Heart and blood vessels
What research found here. What was shown to help comes first, then the risks reported, most common first.
Heart and blood vessels
Strong several reviews agree · Moderate one review or consistent trials · Limited one or a few small studies · Untested no study in people, listed with what it rests on
Shown to help257
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to more cardiovascular deaths at low levels in cohorts, while 21 pooled trials of vitamin D supplements found no fewer cardiovascular events.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across cohort studies, the bottom third of baseline levels had a relative risk of death from cardiovascular disease of 1.35 against the top third (95% CI 1.13 to 1.61) [9]. In 21 randomized trials, vitamin D supplementation was not associated with fewer major adverse cardiovascular events (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.06), heart attacks (RR 1.00), strokes (RR 1.06) or cardiovascular deaths (RR 0.98), and results were consistent across starting 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels [15]. In a trial of 2,000 IU a day, major cardiovascular events did not differ from placebo (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.12) [11].
- Population
- 73 cohort studies [9]. 83,291 participants in 21 trials, mean age 65.8, 74.4% women [15]. 25,871 US adults followed a median 5.3 years [11].
- Sources
- [9], [15], [11]
- Caveats
- The cohort finding is observational. Only 4 of the 21 trials had cardiovascular disease as a prespecified primary end point [15].
Lowering blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 8/5 mm Hg in adults with high blood pressure, with no difference found between drugs in the class.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 92 placebo-controlled trials of 14 ACE inhibitors, doses of half the maximum or more lowered trough blood pressure by about 8 mm Hg systolic and 5 mm Hg diastolic. One eighth to one quarter of the maximum dose gave 60 to 70% of that effect, and doses above the maximum did not lower blood pressure further. No one ACE inhibitor lowered blood pressure more than another [1]. A separate analysis of 354 trials found thiazides, beta-blockers, ACE inhibitors, ARBs and calcium channel blockers produced similar reductions, on average 9.1 mm Hg systolic and 5.5 mm Hg diastolic at standard dose [2].
- Population
- 12,954 adults with primary hypertension and a baseline blood pressure of 157/101 mm Hg, treated 3 to 12 weeks [1]; about 40,000 treated and 16,000 placebo participants in 354 trials [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Trials lasted 3 to 12 weeks. The lisinopril label reports a smaller blood pressure effect in Black patients than in white patients [3].
Heart failure with reduced pumping function
Shown to lower deaths by about 20 to 23% and hospital readmissions for heart failure by about a third in people with heart failure or a weakened left ventricle.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pooling placebo-controlled trials of at least 8 weeks in symptomatic heart failure, ACE inhibitors lowered total mortality (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.88) and the combination of death or hospitalization for heart failure (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.74). Most data came from enalapril, captopril, ramipril, quinapril and lisinopril [4]. In individual data from 5 long-term trials, 23.0% died on an ACE inhibitor and 26.8% on placebo (OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.87). Readmission for heart failure occurred in 13.7% against 18.9% (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.74) and reinfarction in 8.9% against 11.0% [5].
- Population
- Randomized placebo-controlled trials in symptomatic heart failure [4]; 12,763 people with heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction in 5 trials, followed an average of 35 months [5].
- Sources
- [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Three of the 5 long-term trials enrolled people within a week of a heart attack [5]. Both overviews were published by 2000.
After a heart attack, stroke or with artery disease
Shown to cut serious vascular events by about a quarter in high-risk patients, about 36 fewer per 1,000 treated for two years after a heart attack.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Among high-risk patients, antiplatelet therapy lowered serious vascular events by about one quarter, nonfatal heart attack by one third, nonfatal stroke by one quarter and vascular death by one sixth. The absolute reduction was 36 per 1,000 treated for two years after a heart attack, 36 per 1,000 after a stroke or transient ischemic attack, and 38 per 1,000 treated for one month during an acute heart attack. Aspirin was the most widely studied drug [1]. In secondary prevention trials with individual data, serious vascular events occurred at 6.7% a year on aspirin against 8.2% on control, total stroke at 2.08% against 2.54% and coronary events at 4.3% against 5.3% [2].
- Population
- High-risk patients in a collaborative meta-analysis of randomized antiplatelet trials [1]; secondary prevention trials with individual participant data [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Both analyses come from the same collaboration. The band above is the absolute reduction of 36 per 1,000 over two years [1].
Coronary heart disease in cohort studies
Linked to more coronary heart disease at lower levels, about 62% more in the lowest than the highest third across 21 prospective studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of prospective studies in general populations, people in the bottom third of ApoA1 had a relative risk of coronary heart disease of 1.62 (95% CI 1.43 to 1.83) against those in the top third [8]. In a pooled analysis of individual records, ApoA1 and HDL cholesterol had very similar shape and size of association with coronary heart disease, and the authors concluded that either cholesterol levels or apolipoproteins can be measured for risk assessment [9]. In 27,673 initially healthy US women, the hazard ratio for cardiovascular disease in the top against the bottom fifth of ApoA1 was 0.63 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.77), against 0.52 (0.42 to 0.64) for HDL cholesterol [10]. Among patients on statins in 8 trials, each standard deviation higher ApoA1 went with a hazard ratio for major cardiovascular events of 0.79 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.82), including in those with LDL cholesterol below 50 mg/dL [11].
- Population
- 6,333 coronary heart disease cases in 21 studies [8]. 91,307 participants with 4,499 cases in the 22 studies with apolipoproteins measured, within 302,430 people in 68 studies [9]. 27,673 women followed 11 years, 1,015 events [10]. 38,153 trial participants allocated to a statin, 5,387 with a major cardiovascular event [11].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational, including the analysis within statin trials. The literature-based meta-analysis found heterogeneity between studies that study characteristics only partly explained [8].
Heart attack and the ApoB to ApoA1 ratio
Linked to more heart attacks at a higher ApoB to ApoA1 ratio, about 59% higher odds per standard deviation in a 52-country case-control study.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the INTERHEART study, the ApoB to ApoA1 ratio had an odds ratio for acute myocardial infarction of 1.59 per standard deviation (95% CI 1.53 to 1.64) and a population-attributable risk of 54%, against 32% for the ratio of total to HDL cholesterol [15]. In pooled prospective studies, the hazard ratio for coronary heart disease per standard deviation was 1.49 (95% CI 1.39 to 1.60) for the ApoB to ApoA1 ratio and 1.50 (1.38 to 1.62) for the ratio of non-HDL to HDL cholesterol [9]. A literature-based meta-analysis found a relative risk of 1.86 (95% CI 1.55 to 2.22) for the top against the bottom third of the ratio [8]. In a Swedish cohort, the ratio was strongly related to fatal myocardial infarction in men and women, and ApoA1 was noted to be protective [16].
- Population
- 12,461 cases and 14,637 controls in 52 countries, with blood samples from 9,345 cases and 12,120 controls [15]. 91,307 participants in 22 prospective studies [9]. 3,730 coronary cases in 7 studies [8]. 175,553 people followed a mean of about 65 months, with 1,223 fatal myocardial infarctions [16].
- Sources
- [15], [9], [8], [16]
- Caveats
- Observational, and the largest study is a case-control study, which cannot show that the ratio was raised before the heart attack [15]. The ratio is a different quantity from ApoA1 and has no unit, so this page places no typed result against it. One Finnish study put its reference interval at 0.3 to 1.0 in men and 0.3 to 0.8 in women [5], and a European guideline describes such ratios as useful for risk estimation and not for diagnosis or as treatment targets [2].
Heart attack and other cardiovascular events
Linked to more cardiovascular events at higher levels, about 43% more per standard deviation in pooled cohorts, a stronger link than for LDL cholesterol.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of 12 reports found a standardized relative risk of fatal or nonfatal ischemic cardiovascular events of 1.43 for ApoB (95% CI 1.35 to 1.51), 1.34 for non-HDL cholesterol (1.24 to 1.44) and 1.25 for LDL cholesterol (1.18 to 1.33) [9]. In UK Biobank adults not taking lipid-lowering drugs, ApoB, non-HDL cholesterol and triglycerides were each associated with a first heart attack. When they were assessed together, only ApoB remained associated (adjusted HR 1.27 per standard deviation, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.40), and the same was found in statin-treated trial patients with atherosclerosis [10]. In 68 prospective studies, the hazard ratio for coronary heart disease per standard deviation was 1.49 (95% CI 1.39 to 1.60) for the ratio of ApoB to apolipoprotein A-I and 1.50 (1.38 to 1.62) for the ratio of non-HDL to HDL cholesterol [11].
- Population
- 233,455 people with 22,950 events in 12 reports [9]. 389,529 UK Biobank participants followed a median 11.1 years, and 40,430 trial patients followed a median 2.5 years [10]. 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 studies, a subset of whom had apolipoproteins measured [11].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. ApoB, LDL cholesterol and non-HDL cholesterol are highly correlated, which makes their separate contributions hard to tell apart [12]. The largest pooled analysis reported ApoB only as a ratio to apolipoprotein A-I [11].
Cardiovascular events and death in trials that lowered ApoB
Shown in trials: each 10 mg/dL lowered went with about 7% fewer major cardiovascular events, except with drugs that act outside the LDL receptor.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 29 randomized trials, each 10 mg/dL decrease in ApoB went with a relative risk of 0.93 for major adverse cardiovascular events (95% CI 0.90 to 0.97), 0.93 for cardiovascular death (0.88 to 0.98) and 0.95 for death from any cause (0.92 to 0.99). For major events the relative risk was 0.88 (0.83 to 0.93) with statins and 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) with non-statin drugs that clear ApoB through the LDL receptor. Drugs that lower ApoB by other routes (CETP inhibitors, fibrates, niacin, omega-3 fatty acids) showed no reduction (1.02, 0.81 to 1.30), and the reduction in death from any cause was limited to statins [14]. An earlier analysis of 25 trials found each 10 mg/dL decrease went with 9% less coronary heart disease, 6% less major cardiovascular disease and no decrease in stroke. Across all drug classes, the fall in ApoB did not consistently predict risk better than the fall in LDL or non-HDL cholesterol [15].
- Population
- 332,912 patients in 29 trials of at least 1,000 people and 1 year [14]. 131,134 participants in 25 trials: 12 of statins, 4 of fibrates, 5 of niacin and 4 others [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Both analyses compare averages between trials, not individuals within them. None of the trials behind current treatment thresholds enrolled people by ApoB, and ApoB was often measured in only part of a trial population [2].
Lowering blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 8/5 mm Hg in adults with high blood pressure, with no difference found between drugs in the class.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 46 placebo-controlled trials of 9 ARBs, the largest trials put the trough blood pressure effect of the class at about 8 mm Hg systolic and 5 mm Hg diastolic. One eighth to one quarter of the maximum dose gave 60 to 70% of the full effect, half the maximum gave 80%, and doses above the maximum did not lower blood pressure further. No one ARB lowered blood pressure more than another [1]. A separate analysis of 354 trials found thiazides, beta-blockers, ACE inhibitors, ARBs and calcium channel blockers produced similar reductions, on average 9.1 mm Hg systolic and 5.5 mm Hg diastolic at standard dose [2].
- Population
- 13,451 adults with primary hypertension and a baseline blood pressure of 156/101 mm Hg [1]; about 40,000 treated and 16,000 placebo participants in 354 trials [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors found evidence of publication bias and relied on the largest trials for the estimate [1].
Heart failure with reduced pumping function
Shown to lower deaths by about a third in heart failure with reduced pumping function, with no difference found between individual beta-blockers.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A network meta-analysis of 21 trials found beta-blockers lowered mortality against placebo or standard treatment after a median 12 months (OR 0.69, 95% credible interval 0.56 to 0.80), with no clear difference between individual drugs [1]. In individual data from 11 trials, beta-blockers lowered all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in people in sinus rhythm across ejection fraction groups, except in the small group at 50% or above [2]. In the three largest trials, deaths were 11.8% against 17.3% on bisoprolol (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.81) [3], 7.2% against 11.0% per patient-year on extended-release metoprolol (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.81) [4], and 130 against 190 on carvedilol, a 35% lower risk (95% CI 19 to 48) [5].
- Population
- 21 trials of six beta-blockers [1]; 14,262 people in sinus rhythm with a median ejection fraction of 27% [2]; 2,647 people with ejection fraction of 35% or less [3]; 3,991 people with ejection fraction of 40% or less [4]; 2,289 people with ejection fraction below 25% [5].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- All three large trials were stopped early for benefit. In people with heart failure and atrial fibrillation, beta-blockers did not improve prognosis [2].
Lowering blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 10/8 mm Hg and heart rate by 11 beats a minute in adults with mild to moderate high blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 56 trials of beta-1 selective blockers, blood pressure fell by an average of 10/8 mm Hg and heart rate by 11 beats a minute. The largest blood pressure effect came at twice the starting dose, with no graded dose-response for blood pressure across the usual dose range [10]. An analysis of 354 trials found beta-blockers lowered blood pressure by about the same amount as the other main drug classes, on average 9.1/5.5 mm Hg at standard dose [11].
- Population
- 7,812 people with primary hypertension in 56 trials of eight beta-1 selective blockers [10]; about 40,000 treated and 16,000 placebo participants in 354 trials [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane review covers beta-1 selective drugs such as atenolol, metoprolol and bisoprolol, not propranolol or carvedilol [10].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 3 mmHg systolic and 3 mmHg diastolic over about 8 weeks in adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 11 RCTs (860 people with or without hypertension), systolic pressure fell 3.26 mmHg (95% CI -5.10 to -1.42, I² 59%) and diastolic 2.80 mmHg (95% CI -4.28 to -1.32) more than control over a mean 8.3 weeks. Powder lowered pressure more than oil [4]. The 2025 review also reported lower systolic and diastolic pressure [2].
- Population
- Hypertensive and normotensive adults [2][4].
- Sources
- [4], [2]
- Caveats
- The 2016 review included English-language trials only [4].
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Endurance performance
Shown to improve endurance time-trial power by about 3% and completion time by about 2% in mostly young, trained men. Responses varied.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 46 placebo-controlled studies, caffeine improved time-trial mean power output by 3.03% (± 3.07, effect size 0.23) and completion time by 2.22% (± 2.59, effect size 0.41). Two studies reported slower times and five reported lower power on caffeine [1]. An umbrella review of 21 meta-analyses rated the endurance evidence moderate quality and found effects generally larger for aerobic than anaerobic exercise [2].
- Population
- Mostly young, trained men [1][2].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Individual responses varied, including some slower performances. Most trials were in young men, and the umbrella review notes few data in women and older adults [2]. A 2026 meta-analysis of 19 trials in 235 women found a small cycling gain (SMD 0.21, 95% CI 0.11 to 0.29) [4]. In 17 studies, people given a placebo they believed was caffeine also performed better (d 0.49, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.69), on low-quality evidence [5]. Not every pooled estimate gave a definite direction across its 95% prediction interval [2]. Reference [3] is an ISSN position stand, a narrative consensus rather than a systematic review.
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to about 15% lower cardiovascular disease at 3 to 5 cups a day than no coffee, in pooled cohorts. Heavy drinking was not linked to higher risk.
Compared with people drinking no coffee [2]; the lowest intake group, median 0 cups a day [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 3 to 4 cups a day against none, cardiovascular disease was lower (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.90) and so was cardiovascular death (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90) [2]. Across 36 cohorts, cardiovascular disease risk was 0.89 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.94) at a median 1.5 cups a day, 0.85 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.90) at 3.5 cups and 0.95 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.03) at 5 cups, against the lowest intake. Links were nonlinear for both coronary heart disease and stroke [6]. Cardiovascular death was lowest at 3 cups a day, 21% (95% CI 16 to 26%) lower [4], and at 2.5 cups a day in a later update (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.87) [3].
- Population
- 1,279,804 participants and 36,352 cardiovascular cases in 36 cohorts [6]. Cohorts pooled in [2], [4] and [3].
- Sources
- [2], [6], [4], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational, with the same confounding and reverse causation limits as above. Genetic studies mostly did not support a causal effect [5].
Heart attack, stroke and heart failure in cohort studies
Linked to more cardiovascular disease at higher levels, about 82% more for each doubling of cystatin C across 16 pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 16 prospective cohorts, the relative risk of cardiovascular disease was 1.82 per doubling of cystatin C (95% CI 1.56 to 2.13) after adjustment for age, sex and traditional risk factors [16]. In elderly US adults, the highest fifth of cystatin C (1.29 mg/L or above) against the two lowest (0.99 mg/L or below) had hazard ratios of 2.27 (95% CI 1.73 to 2.97) for cardiovascular death, 1.48 (1.08 to 2.02) for heart attack and 1.47 (1.09 to 1.96) for stroke, while the highest fifth of creatinine was not associated with any of the three [11]. Among elderly adults without chronic kidney disease, each 0.18 mg/L higher went with hazard ratios of 1.28 (1.17 to 1.40) for heart failure, 1.22 (1.08 to 1.38) for stroke and 1.20 (1.06 to 1.36) for heart attack [10]. In 23 outpatient cohorts, a cystatin C-based kidney estimate at least 30% below the creatinine-based one went with hazard ratios of 1.35 (1.27 to 1.44) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and 1.54 (1.40 to 1.68) for heart failure [14].
- Population
- 76,481 participants in 16 cohorts, 37,126 with cystatin C measured [16]. 4,637 elderly adults followed from 1992 or 1993 to 2001 [11]. 4,663 elderly adults, 78% without chronic kidney disease, median follow-up 9.3 years [10]. 821,327 outpatients [14].
- Sources
- [16], [11], [10], [14]
- Caveats
- Observational. The genetic analysis in the next block was run to test whether this link is causal and did not support it [16].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to less cardiovascular disease with more daily steps in pooled cohorts, a clear pattern in adults 60 and older and no clear pattern in younger adults.
Compared with people in the lowest quarter of steps [6]; 2,000 steps a day [3][4]; people in the lowest quarter, a median of 2,337 steps a day [2]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In adults aged 60 and older, cardiovascular disease risk against the lowest quarter was 0.80 in the second quarter, 0.62 in the third and 0.51 in the highest (95% CI 0.41 to 0.63). In adults under 60 the hazards were 0.79, 0.90 and 0.95, none significant [6]. Risk of new cardiovascular disease was lower from 2,735 steps a day (HR 0.89) and lowest near 7,126 steps (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.55) [3]. Against 2,000 steps, 7,000 steps was linked to 25% fewer new cases (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.85) and 47% fewer cardiovascular deaths (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.77) [4]. Each extra 500 steps was linked to 7% lower cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.95) [2].
- Population
- 20,152 adults in 8 cohorts, mean age 63.2, 1,523 events over a mean 6.2 years [6]. 111,309 people in 12 studies [3]. 6 studies for new disease and 3 for deaths [4]. 226,889 participants in 17 cohorts [2].
- Sources
- [6], [3], [4], [2]
- Caveats
- Observational. Early heart disease can lower activity before diagnosis, which is reverse causation. Heterogeneity was high for cardiovascular deaths (I² 78.2%), and certainty was rated low for that outcome [4].
Activity and fitness in step-count programs
Shown to add about 1,800 to 2,500 steps a day in trials of pedometers and activity trackers, with a small gain in fitness.
Compared with control participants [8]; control groups the source does not describe [9]; control groups in randomized trials [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In randomized trials, pedometer users raised their activity by 2,491 steps a day more than controls (95% CI 1,098 to 3,885). Having a step goal such as 10,000 steps predicted a larger rise [8]. Across 39 reviews, activity trackers raised physical activity (SMD 0.3 to 0.6), about 1,800 extra steps a day, and fitness (SMD 0.3) [9]. In people with type 2 diabetes, step counters added 1,822 steps a day (95% CI 751 to 2,894), and 3,200 when paired with a goal [10].
- Population
- 2,767 participants in 26 studies, 8 of them randomized, mean age 49, 85% women, mean 18 weeks [8]. 163,992 participants in 39 reviews of all ages [9]. 861 people with type 2 diabetes in 7 trials [10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- People in trials could not be blinded to wearing a counter. Programs lasted months, and the earliest review called long-term durability undetermined [8].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 1.8 mmHg with flavanol-rich cocoa products in short trials, by about 4 mmHg systolic in people with hypertension.
Compared with flavanol-free products or low-flavanol cocoa powder [2]; control conditions the abstract does not describe [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 40 comparisons, flavanol-rich cocoa products lowered systolic pressure by 1.76 mmHg (95% CI 0.43 to 3.09) and diastolic by 1.76 mmHg (95% CI 0.94 to 2.57) over 2 to 18 weeks. Systolic pressure fell 4 mmHg in people with hypertension and did not change significantly in people with normal blood pressure. Removing trials with authors employed by industry sponsors made the effect slightly smaller [2]. A second meta-analysis found diastolic pressure fell 1.60 mmHg (95% CI 0.43 to 2.77), with larger effects above 50 mg of epicatechin a day [3].
- Population
- 1,804 mainly healthy adults in 35 trials [2]. 1,297 participants in 42 trials of up to 18 weeks [3].
- Sources
- [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Unexplained heterogeneity lowered the Cochrane rating to moderate quality, and unblinded trials tended to show larger effects [2]. Many trials used cocoa drinks or extracts rather than chocolate bars.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure about 3 to 7 mmHg against control diets in adults, about 11 mmHg in people with hypertension in the original feeding trial.
Compared with control diets that were not DASH-like, otherwise not described [1]; control diets the source does not describe [2], [3]; a control diet low in fruits, vegetables and dairy, with fat typical of the US diet [4]; a control diet typical of US intake, eaten at high sodium [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 30 RCTs (5,545 participants), DASH lowered systolic blood pressure by 3.2 mmHg (95% CI -4.2 to -2.3) and diastolic by 2.5 mmHg (95% CI -3.5 to -1.5), at moderate certainty. Hypertension status did not change the effect, and it was larger in trials with sodium above 2,400 mg a day and in people under 50 [1]. In 17 RCTs (2,561 participants), systolic fell 6.74 mmHg (95% CI -8.25 to -5.23) and diastolic 3.54 mmHg (95% CI -4.29 to -2.79) [2]. In 20 trials (1,917 participants), systolic fell 5.2 mmHg (95% CI -7.0 to -3.4) and diastolic 2.6 mmHg (95% CI -3.5 to -1.7) [3]. In the original 8-week feeding trial, DASH lowered blood pressure by 5.5/3.0 mmHg against a typical US control diet, 11.4/5.5 mmHg in 133 people with hypertension and 3.5/2.1 mmHg in 326 without [4]. In DASH-Sodium, DASH with low sodium gave systolic pressure 7.1 mmHg lower in people without hypertension and 11.5 mmHg lower in people with hypertension than the control diet with high sodium [5].
- Population
- Adults with and without hypertension in 30 trials [1], 17 trials [2] and 20 trials of 2 to 24 weeks [3]; 459 adults with systolic pressure under 160 mmHg and diastolic 80 to 95 mmHg [4]; 412 adults [5].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Heterogeneity was high in [2] (I² 78.1% for systolic). Effect sizes differ about twofold between reviews. In the two NEJM feeding trials, all food was supplied and body weight was held steady, so they measure the diet eaten as written [4][5].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 4.4 mmHg in mostly healthy adults over short trials. Diastolic pressure did not change significantly.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 16 crossover trials (254 participants), nitrate and beetroot juice lowered systolic pressure by 4.4 mmHg (95% CI -5.9 to -2.8); diastolic fell 1.1 mmHg (95% CI -2.2 to 0.1), not significant [10]. In 75 RCTs (1,823 participants), each additional mmol of nitrate lowered medium-term systolic pressure by 0.48 mmHg (95% CI -0.71 to -0.25) and improved pulse wave velocity and flow-mediated dilation [11].
- Population
- Adults, mostly healthy, in trials from 2 hours to 15 days [10]; acute to medium-term trials [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The 2013 analysis covers short trials only. Neither tests long-term cardiovascular events.
Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, against warfarin
Shown to cut stroke or systemic embolism by about 19% and death by about 10% against warfarin in adults with atrial fibrillation.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across the four pivotal trials, DOACs lowered stroke or systemic embolism by 19% against warfarin (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.91), mainly through fewer hemorrhagic strokes (RR 0.49, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.64), and lowered death from any cause (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.95) [1]. In patient-level data from the same trials, stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 3.01% on a standard-dose DOAC against 3.69% on warfarin (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.89) and death in 7.76% against 8.42% (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.97) [2]. By trial, the yearly rate of stroke or systemic embolism was 1.11% on dabigatran 150 mg against 1.69% on warfarin [3], 1.7% on rivaroxaban against 2.2% [4], 1.27% on apixaban against 1.60% [5] and 1.18% on high-dose edoxaban against 1.50% [6].
- Population
- 71,683 participants in four trials, 42,411 on a DOAC and 29,272 on warfarin [1][2]; 18,113 patients [3]; 14,264 patients [4]; 18,201 patients [5]; 21,105 patients [6].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- Lower-dose regimens did not lower stroke or systemic embolism against warfarin (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.19) [2] and were followed by more ischemic strokes (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.60) [1]. Both meta-analyses pool the same four manufacturer-funded trials. The trials enrolled nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.
Treating deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism
Shown to prevent repeat clots about as well as warfarin-based treatment in adults with acute venous clots, with about 40% less major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across six phase 3 trials, recurrent venous thromboembolism occurred in 2.0% on a DOAC and 2.2% on a vitamin K antagonist (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.06), and major bleeding was lower on a DOAC (RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.83) [7]. A Cochrane review of 21 trials found no clear difference in recurrent clots for factor Xa inhibitors (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.01) or for direct thrombin inhibitors (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.65) against conventional anticoagulation, with less major bleeding on both (OR 0.63 and 0.58) [8]. With apixaban, recurrent clots or related death occurred in 2.3% against 2.7% on conventional therapy, and major bleeding in 0.6% against 1.8% (RR 0.31, 95% CI 0.17 to 0.55) [9].
- Population
- 27,023 patients in six trials [7]; 30,895 participants in 21 trials [8]; 5,244 patients with acute venous thromboembolism [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The trials were designed to show DOACs were not worse than warfarin-based treatment. No placebo group was used.
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to more coronary heart disease above 100 mg/dL in 102 pooled cohorts, 11% to 17% more below the diabetes range, with no link between 70 and 100 mg/dL.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 102 prospective studies, fasting glucose was non-linearly related to vascular risk, with no significant association between 3.90 and 5.59 mmol/L (70 to 100 mg/dL). Against that range, hazard ratios for coronary heart disease were 1.07 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.18) below 3.90 mmol/L, 1.11 (1.04 to 1.18) at 5.60 to 6.09 mmol/L and 1.17 (1.08 to 1.26) at 6.10 to 6.99 mmol/L. Diabetes went with a hazard ratio of 2.00 (1.83 to 2.19). In people without known diabetes, adding fasting glucose to conventional risk factors did not significantly improve prediction of vascular disease [8]. In a meta-analysis of 53 cohorts, impaired fasting glucose went with a relative risk of cardiovascular disease of 1.13 by the American definition and 1.26 by the WHO definition, and of stroke of 1.06 and 1.17 [9].
- Population
- 698,782 people without vascular disease in 102 prospective studies, with 52,765 vascular outcomes [8]. 1,611,339 people in 53 prospective cohort studies, median follow-up 9.5 years [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the pooled cohorts, hazard ratios for diabetes did not change appreciably after further adjustment for lipid, inflammatory or kidney markers [8].
Coronary heart disease
Linked to 9% lower coronary heart disease and 15% lower coronary death at the highest fish intake than the lowest, in pooled cohorts, with lean fish showing no link.
Compared with the lowest fish intake category [7][6]; 20 g a day less fish, in a dose-response model [7][5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 22 cohorts, the highest fish intake was linked to lower coronary heart disease than the lowest (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.97), and across 27 cohorts to lower coronary death (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.94). Each extra 20 g a day was linked to 4% lower incidence and 4% lower death [7]. Each extra 20 g a day was also linked to lower cardiovascular death (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.98) across 8 cohorts [5]. Fatty fish was linked to lower coronary heart disease (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.97) and coronary death (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.98). Lean fish was not, and neither type was significantly linked to overall cardiovascular disease [6].
- Population
- 918,783 participants and 28,261 coronary cases, and 1,139,553 participants and 10,568 coronary deaths, in 40 cohorts [7]. 8 cohorts for cardiovascular death [5]. 20,531 coronary cases in the fatty fish cohorts and 21,636 in the lean fish cohorts [6].
- Sources
- [7], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational, with moderate heterogeneity (I² 47.4% for incidence and 51.3% for death) [7]. Confounding by other habits and reverse causation are possible. Trials of advice to eat fish disagree (see the next block but one).
Stroke
Linked to 10% lower stroke at the highest fish intake than the lowest, and 6% lower for each 3 extra servings a week, in pooled cohorts.
Compared with the lowest fish intake category [8]; 3 fewer servings a week, in a dose-response model [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 33 cohorts, the highest against the lowest fish intake was linked to lower stroke (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.96), with stronger links for hemorrhagic stroke (HR 0.88), women (HR 0.83) and Asia-Pacific cohorts (HR 0.87). Risk was 2% to 12% lower with intakes up to 100 to 700 g a week [8]. Across 15 cohorts, 3 extra servings a week were linked to 6% lower total stroke (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.99), 0.90 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.97) for ischemic stroke and 0.90 (95% CI 0.76 to 1.06) for hemorrhagic stroke [9].
- Population
- 33 prospective cohorts [8]. 383,838 participants and 9,360 strokes in 15 cohorts [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. One review rated its evidence moderate by NutriGrade [8], and the other described the link as weak [9]. The two reviews differ on hemorrhagic stroke.
Stroke and cardiovascular disease
Shown to lower stroke about 10% in adults, with no change in coronary heart disease. Effects were larger in people with low blood folate.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 30 RCTs with 82,334 participants, folic acid lowered stroke (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.96) and overall cardiovascular disease (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 0.99). Coronary heart disease did not change (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.09) [3]. In the largest single trial, first stroke occurred in 2.7% on enalapril plus folic acid and 3.4% on enalapril alone (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.93) [4]. A Cochrane review of B vitamin trials found the same 10% stroke reduction and no change in heart attack [5].
- Population
- Adults with and without cardiovascular disease [3][5]; 20,702 adults with high blood pressure in China, median 4.5 years [4].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Stroke and overall cardiovascular effects were larger in people with lower blood folate at baseline and without existing cardiovascular disease [3]. The Chinese trial gave folic acid with enalapril and compared it with enalapril alone [4].
Blood pressure in people with hypertension
Shown to lower blood pressure about 7 to 8 mmHg systolic and 5 mmHg diastolic in adults with hypertension.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 12 trials (553 hypertensive participants), garlic lowered systolic pressure by a mean 8.3 ± 1.9 mmHg, and in 8 trials (374 participants) diastolic pressure by 5.5 ± 1.9 mmHg [1]. A second meta-analysis of 7 placebo-controlled trials found systolic pressure fell 6.71 mmHg (95% CI -12.44 to -0.99) and diastolic 4.79 mmHg (95% CI -6.60 to -2.99), with no serious adverse events reported [2].
- Population
- Adults with hypertension [1][2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Trials are small. Review [1] has one author and summarizes trials of Kyolic aged garlic extract. Its abstract does not report funding. The authors of [2] call for longer trials focused on primary endpoints.
Heart attack and stroke
Linked to 19% lower heart attack and 36% lower stroke at 1 to 3 cups a day than under 1 cup, in pooled studies, mostly from Asia.
Compared with people drinking under 1 cup a day [3][2]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 1 to 3 cups a day, heart attack (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.98) and stroke (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.86) were lower than at under 1 cup, and heart attack was lower at 4 or more cups (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.84). Non-drinkers had higher cardiovascular disease (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.29) than people drinking under 1 cup a day [3]. In Japanese cohorts, 5 or more cups a day was linked to lower heart disease and cerebrovascular death [2].
- Population
- 259,267 people in 9 studies [3]. 313,381 Japanese adults [2].
- Sources
- [3], [2]
- Caveats
- Observational. The pooled analysis mixed observational studies and trials, and the abstract gives no study count by design [3].
Coronary heart disease in cohort studies
Linked to less coronary heart disease at higher levels, about 22% less for each 15 mg/dL higher across 68 pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 68 prospective studies, coronary heart disease rates per 1,000 person-years were 6.4 in the bottom third and 2.4 in the top third of HDL cholesterol. The adjusted hazard ratio was 0.78 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.82) per 15 mg/dL higher HDL cholesterol [8]. A separate pooled observational analysis found an odds ratio for heart attack of 0.62 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.66) per standard deviation higher [9].
- Population
- 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 prospective studies, mostly in Europe and North America [8].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. Low HDL cholesterol travels with high triglycerides, obesity, smoking and type 2 diabetes, so an association does not show that HDL cholesterol itself is protective [2].
Stroke, clots and death in kidney disease trials that raised hemoglobin
Shown in kidney disease trials: aiming for a higher hemoglobin with erythropoietin-type drugs raised stroke, blood pressure and access clotting, and did not lower deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 9 trials, a higher hemoglobin target carried a higher risk of death from any cause (risk ratio 1.17, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.35) and of clotting in the dialysis access (1.34, 1.16 to 1.54) than a lower target [12]. A later meta-analysis of 27 trials found that a higher target raised stroke (relative risk 1.51, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.21), hypertension (1.67, 1.31 to 2.12) and access clotting (1.33, 1.16 to 1.53). Differences in death (1.09, 0.99 to 1.20) and serious cardiovascular events (1.15, 0.98 to 1.33) did not reach significance [13].
- Population
- 5,143 patients with anemia from chronic kidney disease in 9 randomized trials [12]. 10,452 patients in 27 trials [13].
- Sources
- [12], [13]
- Caveats
- These trials raised hemoglobin with erythropoiesis-stimulating drugs in people with kidney disease, so they do not show what a higher hemoglobin reached another way does in other people. The second analysis could not separate the effect of the drug dose from the effect of the hemoglobin reached [13].
Heart disease and stroke in people without diabetes
Linked to more coronary heart disease from 5.5% upward in adults without diabetes, though adding HbA1c to standard risk factors barely improved risk prediction.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In US adults without diabetes, hazard ratios for coronary heart disease against 5.0 to under 5.5% were 1.23 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.41) at 5.5 to under 6.0%, 1.78 (1.48 to 2.15) at 6.0 to under 6.5% and 1.95 (1.53 to 2.48) at 6.5% or greater, with similar results for stroke [8]. Across 73 prospective studies, the association with cardiovascular disease was approximately J-shaped. Adding HbA1c to conventional risk factors changed the C-index by 0.0018 (95% CI 0.0003 to 0.0033) and gave a net reclassification improvement of 0.42 (-0.63 to 1.48), which the authors called little incremental benefit [9].
- Population
- 11,092 adults [8]. 294,998 participants without known diabetes or cardiovascular disease in 73 studies, median follow-up 9.9 years, 20,840 cardiovascular events [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. The association weakened somewhat after adjustment for HDL cholesterol and C-reactive protein [9].
Coronary heart disease and stroke
Linked to more coronary heart disease and stroke at higher levels, about 37% more coronary disease per threefold rise after adjusting for standard risk factors.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In pooled individual records from 54 prospective studies, the risk ratio for coronary heart disease per one standard deviation higher log CRP (a threefold higher level) was 1.63 (95% CI 1.51 to 1.76) adjusted for age and sex, 1.37 (1.27 to 1.48) after conventional risk factors and 1.23 (1.07 to 1.42) after fibrinogen as well. For ischemic stroke the figures were 1.44, 1.27 and 1.32 [6]. In initially healthy US women followed for 30 years, the top fifth of hs-CRP had a hazard ratio for a first major cardiovascular event of 1.70 against the bottom fifth (95% CI 1.52 to 1.90), compared with 1.36 for LDL cholesterol [7]. In statin-treated patients from three trials, the top quarter of hs-CRP had hazard ratios of 1.31 for major cardiovascular events (95% CI 1.20 to 1.43) and 2.68 for cardiovascular death (2.22 to 3.23) against the bottom quarter [8].
- Population
- 160,309 people without vascular disease in 54 studies, 27,769 outcomes [6]. 27,939 women, mean age 54.7, with 3,662 events [7]. 31,245 patients with or at high risk of atherosclerotic disease on statins [8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational. The pooled analysis found the association depends considerably on conventional risk factors and other markers of inflammation, and that CRP was tied about as strongly to deaths from several cancers and lung disease, which its authors say leaves its relevance unclear [6].
Cardiovascular events in trials that selected people by hs-CRP or lowered inflammation
Shown in trials: a drug that lowered hs-CRP without changing cholesterol cut cardiovascular events 15%, while one that did not lower it made no difference.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with a previous heart attack and hs-CRP of 2 mg/L or more, canakinumab lowered hs-CRP by 26 to 41 percentage points more than placebo without lowering lipids. At 150 mg it reduced the primary end point of heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.98). Fatal infection was more frequent, and death from any cause did not differ (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.06) [12]. Low-dose methotrexate did not lower C-reactive protein and did not reduce cardiovascular events (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.16) [13]. In apparently healthy adults with hs-CRP of 2.0 mg/L or higher and LDL cholesterol below 130 mg/dL, rosuvastatin reduced the primary cardiovascular end point (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.69) while lowering LDL cholesterol by 50% and hs-CRP by 37% [14].
- Population
- 10,061 patients followed a median 3.7 years [12]. 4,786 patients with stable atherosclerosis and diabetes or metabolic syndrome followed a median 2.3 years [13]. 17,802 men and women followed a median 1.9 years [14].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- The statin trial lowered LDL cholesterol and hs-CRP together, and had no group with low hs-CRP, so it cannot show that hs-CRP identified who benefited [14]. Canakinumab acts on interleukin-1 beta, upstream of CRP, so the trial tests lowering inflammation, not lowering CRP itself. The canakinumab trial was funded by its maker [12].
Heart disease and other cardiovascular events
Linked to more coronary heart disease in adults without diabetes, 64% more in the highest than the lowest HOMA-IR group across pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of adults without diabetes, the relative risk of coronary heart disease for high against low values was 1.64 (95% CI 1.35 to 2.00) for HOMA-IR, 1.52 (1.31 to 1.76) for fasting glucose and 1.12 (0.92 to 1.37) for fasting insulin. Per standard deviation higher it was 1.46 (1.26 to 1.69) for HOMA-IR, 1.21 (1.13 to 1.30) for glucose and 1.04 (0.96 to 1.12) for insulin [11]. A later meta-analysis of cohorts of healthy adults and adults with metabolic syndrome components found that a higher HOMA-IR went with more non-fatal major cardiovascular events (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.97) and found no association with fatal ones [12].
- Population
- 516,325 participants in 65 studies of glucose, insulin or HOMA-IR [11]. 215,878 participants in 38 cohort studies [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Observational. Each study compared its own high and low groups, measured with its own insulin assay, so the pooled groups share no common cut point.
High blood pressure
Linked to more new high blood pressure, 43% more in the highest than the lowest HOMA-IR group across pooled cohorts of the general population.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Comparing the highest with the lowest category, the pooled adjusted risk ratio for developing hypertension was 1.43 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.62) for HOMA-IR and 1.54 (1.34 to 1.76) for fasting insulin [14]. A second meta-analysis found a hazard ratio for hypertension of 1.35 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.59) with a higher HOMA-IR [12].
- Population
- 55,059 participants with 10,230 cases of hypertension in 11 prospective studies [14]. 215,878 participants in 38 cohort studies across all outcomes [12].
- Sources
- [14], [12]
- Caveats
- Observational, so confounding by body weight and other factors cannot be ruled out. Each study defined its own highest and lowest groups.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower diastolic blood pressure about 1.4 mmHg more than comparison diets in adults.
Compared with diets that did not restrict carbohydrates to the level of ketosis
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Diastolic pressure fell 1.43 mmHg more than on low-fat diets (95% CI 0.37 to 2.49, 1,298 patients) [1] and 1.41 mmHg more than on control diets (95% CI 0.26 to 2.57) [2]. In type 2 diabetes, systolic pressure fell 2.85 mmHg (95% CI 0.71 to 4.99) and diastolic 1.40 mmHg (95% CI 0.13 to 2.66) [7].
- Population
- Adults with overweight or obesity [1][2]; adults with type 2 diabetes in 29 trials [7].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [7]
- Caveats
- Differences of 1 to 3 mmHg are small. Heterogeneity was 49.1% for diastolic pressure in [2].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 5 to 6 mmHg systolic and 2.6 mmHg diastolic in adults. Doses above 9 g a day and obese participants showed no change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 11 trials with 387 participants taking 4 to 24 g a day, systolic pressure fell 5.39 mmHg (95% CI -8.54 to -2.25) and diastolic 2.66 mmHg (95% CI -3.77 to -1.54) [1]. Across 22 RCTs, systolic fell 6.40 mmHg (95% CI -8.74 to -4.05) and diastolic 2.64 mmHg. Doses above 9 g a day, trials longer than 24 days and obese participants showed no significant change [2]. In 5 RCTs with 202 participants using ambulatory monitoring, 24-hour systolic fell 4.23 mmHg (95% CI -5.87 to -2.58) and diastolic 3.04 mmHg [3].
- Population
- Adults with and without hypertension in RCTs [1][2][3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Trials were small. The ambulatory analysis included 5 trials [3].
Heart attack, stroke and other artery disease
Linked to more atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease across over 200 cohort, genetic and trial studies, with risk rising with the level and the years of exposure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A European Atherosclerosis Society consensus panel reviewed separate meta-analyses of over 200 prospective cohort studies, Mendelian randomization studies and randomized trials. It reported a consistent, dose-dependent, log-linear association between LDL cholesterol and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease that grows with duration of exposure, and concluded that LDL causes the disease [9]. In a pooled analysis of prospective studies, directly measured LDL cholesterol had a hazard ratio for coronary heart disease of 1.38 per 33 mg/dL higher (95% CI 1.09 to 1.73) [10]. In Mendelian randomization analyses, each 1 mmol/L (38.7 mg/dL) lower lifelong LDL cholesterol went with a 54.5% lower risk of coronary heart disease (95% CI 48.8 to 59.5), about 3 times the reduction per unit seen with a statin started later in life [11].
- Population
- More than 2 million participants with over 150,000 cardiovascular events [9]. 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 prospective studies, a subset of whom had LDL cholesterol measured directly [10]. 312,321 participants in genetic studies of 9 variants in 6 genes [11].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The cohort findings are observational. The consensus states that the benefit of lowering holds when the fall in LDL cholesterol is matched by a fall in LDL particle number and the treatment has no offsetting harms [9].
Cardiovascular events in trials that lowered LDL cholesterol
Shown in trials: each 1 mmol/L (39 mg/dL) lowered cut major vascular events about 22% with statins, and similarly with other drugs acting through the LDL receptor.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 26 statin trials, each 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol lowered major vascular events with a rate ratio of 0.78 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.80), including in people whose LDL cholesterol was already below 2 mmol/L [12]. Across 49 trials of 9 kinds of LDL-lowering treatment, the relative risk per 1 mmol/L (38.7 mg/dL) was 0.77 for statins (95% CI 0.71 to 0.84) and 0.75 for diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass and ezetimibe (95% CI 0.66 to 0.86). CETP inhibitors produced less risk reduction than their LDL lowering predicted (observed 1.01 against an expected 0.90) [13]. In populations starting at a median of 70 mg/dL or less, the relative risk per 1 mmol/L was 0.79 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.87) for statins and non-statins combined [14].
- Population
- About 170,000 participants in 26 trials, median follow-up about 5 years [12]. 312,175 participants in 49 trials [13]. A low-LDL subgroup of the statin trials plus 50,627 patients in 3 trials of non-statin drugs added to statins [14].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Effects are expressed per unit of LDL cholesterol lowered, over about 5 years of treatment. The same fall in LDL cholesterol did not bring the same benefit with every drug class [13].
Heart attack and stroke in cohort studies
Linked to more heart attacks and strokes at higher levels, about 11% more cardiovascular disease for each 50 nmol/L higher in 460,506 UK adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 36 prospective studies, the risk ratio for coronary heart disease was 1.13 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.18) per 3.5-fold higher usual lipoprotein(a) after adjustment for lipids and other risk factors, and 1.10 (1.02 to 1.18) for ischemic stroke. It was 1.01 (0.98 to 1.05) for death from nonvascular causes [10]. In the UK Biobank, the relationship with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease appeared linear, with a hazard ratio of 1.11 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.12) per 50 nmol/L. Median levels were 19, 31, 75 and 16 nmol/L in white, South Asian, black and Chinese participants, and the risk per 50 nmol/L was similar across groups. A level of 150 nmol/L or above was found in 12.2% of people without cardiovascular disease and went with a hazard ratio of 1.50 (95% CI 1.44 to 1.56) [11].
- Population
- 126,634 participants in 36 prospective studies, 1.3 million person-years [10]. 460,506 middle-aged UK Biobank participants, median follow-up 11.2 years, 22,401 events [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. The pooled cohorts used many different assays [10]. A European panel states that risk rises continuously, with no level at which it begins [4].
Coronary heart disease in genetic studies
Shown in genetic studies to track coronary heart disease: variants that raise lipoprotein(a) raised risk, about 22% more heart attacks for each doubling.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In Danish studies, genetically elevated lipoprotein(a) went with a hazard ratio for heart attack of 1.22 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.37) per doubling, against 1.08 (1.03 to 1.12) for measured levels [12]. Two variants at the LPA gene had odds ratios for coronary disease of 1.70 and 1.92. Carrying one variant gave an odds ratio of 1.51 (95% CI 1.38 to 1.66) and two or more 2.57 (1.80 to 3.67), and the association disappeared after adjustment for the lipoprotein(a) level [13]. In a Mendelian randomization analysis, each 10 mg/dL lower genetically predicted lipoprotein(a) went with 5.8% lower coronary heart disease risk (OR 0.942, 95% CI 0.933 to 0.951). A difference of 101.5 mg/dL (95% CI 71.0 to 137.0) carried the same risk difference as 38.67 mg/dL of LDL cholesterol [14].
- Population
- 8,637, 29,388 and 2,461 white Danish participants in three studies [12]. 3,145 cases and 3,352 controls, replicated in 4,846 cases and 4,594 controls [13]. 20,793 coronary heart disease cases and 27,540 controls with individual data, plus summary data on 62,240 cases and 127,299 controls, all of European ancestry [14].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Genetic studies estimate the effect of lifelong differences, which may not match what lowering later in life does. Participants were of European ancestry [12][14].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 2 mmHg systolic and 2 mmHg diastolic, with larger drops of about 4 mmHg in people with insulin resistance or chronic disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 34 double-blind trials (2,028 participants), a median 368 mg a day for a median 3 months lowered systolic pressure by 2.00 mmHg (95% CI 0.43 to 3.58) and diastolic by 1.78 mmHg (95% CI 0.73 to 2.82) [1]. In 11 trials of people with insulin resistance, prediabetes or other chronic disease (543 participants), systolic pressure fell by 4.18 mmHg and diastolic by 2.27 mmHg (SMD -0.20 and -0.27) [2].
- Population
- Normotensive and hypertensive adults [1]; adults with preclinical or chronic disease given 365 to 450 mg a day for 1 to 6 months [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Residual heterogeneity remained after stratification in [1]. Effects in [2] are in people with existing disease.
Heart and artery disease
Linked to less cardiovascular disease at higher levels, 30% lower risk per 0.2 mmol/L (0.49 mg/dL) across pooled cohorts, with genetic evidence pointing the same way for coronary disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of prospective studies, each 0.2 mmol/L (0.49 mg/dL) higher circulating magnesium was associated with a 30% lower risk of cardiovascular disease (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.88), with trends toward lower ischemic heart disease (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.05) and fatal ischemic heart disease (RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.37 to 1.00) [7]. A second meta-analysis found a relative risk of coronary heart disease of 0.86 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.996) comparing the highest with the lowest category, with no significant linear trend [8]. In a Mendelian randomization study, each 0.1 mmol/L higher genetically predicted serum magnesium had an odds ratio for coronary artery disease of 0.88 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.99) [9].
- Population
- 313,041 people in 16 prospective studies, with 11,995 cardiovascular disease events [7]. 38,808 people in 5 cohorts, average follow-up 10.5 years [8]. 60,801 coronary artery disease cases and 123,504 non-cases in a genetic consortium analysis of 48 studies [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The cohort findings are observational, and the second meta-analysis reports that its results were sensitive to the exclusion of individual studies [8]. The authors of each study call for trials of magnesium to test whether raising the level lowers risk [7][9].
Heart attack, stroke and other cardiovascular disease in cohort studies
Linked to more cardiovascular disease at higher levels, about 50% more coronary heart disease for each 43 mg/dL higher across 68 pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 68 prospective studies, coronary heart disease rates per 1,000 person-years were 2.3 in the bottom third and 6.7 in the top third of non-HDL cholesterol. The adjusted hazard ratio per 43 mg/dL higher was 1.50 (95% CI 1.39 to 1.61) for coronary heart disease and 1.12 (1.04 to 1.20) for ischemic stroke [8]. In a consortium of 38 cohorts, 30-year cardiovascular event rates rose from 7.7% at non-HDL cholesterol below 2.6 mmol/L (about 100 mg/dL) to 33.7% at 5.7 mmol/L (about 220 mg/dL) or above in women, and from 12.8% to 43.6% in men [9]. A meta-analysis of 9 prospective studies found a relative risk of coronary heart disease of 1.79 (95% CI 1.68 to 1.91) for the highest against the lowest category [10]. Across 12 reports, the standardized relative risk of ischemic cardiovascular events was 1.34 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.44) for non-HDL cholesterol, between that of LDL cholesterol (1.25, 1.18 to 1.33) and ApoB (1.43, 1.35 to 1.51) [11].
- Population
- 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 prospective studies [8]. 398,846 people in 38 cohorts, median follow-up 13.5 years, 54,542 cardiovascular events [9]. 448,732 people in 9 prospective studies [10]. 233,455 people with 22,950 events in 12 reports [11].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the pooled cohorts the hazard ratios were at least as strong in participants who did not fast as in those who did [8]. Each study in the category comparison defined its own highest and lowest groups [10].
Cardiovascular events in trials that lowered non-HDL cholesterol
Shown in trials: each 1 mmol/L (39 mg/dL) of non-HDL cholesterol lowered went with about 21% fewer major vascular events across 49 trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-regression of 24 trials of non-statin drugs and 25 statin trials, the risk ratio for major vascular events was 0.79 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.82) per 1 mmol/L reduction in non-HDL cholesterol [12]. In an earlier analysis of 30 trials, each 1% decrease in non-HDL cholesterol with a statin went with a 4.5-year relative risk of coronary heart disease of 0.99 (95% Bayesian interval 0.98 to 1.00), and the fibrate trials did not differ from the statin trials [13]. Across 7 placebo-controlled statin trials, coronary risk fell 20.0% (95% CI 15.2 to 24.7) per standard deviation decrease in non-HDL cholesterol, 20.1% for LDL cholesterol and 24.4% for ApoB [14]. Among patients on statins in 8 trials, each standard deviation higher on-treatment non-HDL cholesterol went with a hazard ratio of 1.16 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.19) for major cardiovascular events, against 1.13 (1.10 to 1.17) for LDL cholesterol, a significant difference [15].
- Population
- 374,358 patients in 49 trials, with 46,180 major cardiovascular events [12]. 14 statin trials (100,827 people), 7 fibrate trials (21,647), 6 niacin trials (4,445) and 3 others [13]. 7 placebo-controlled statin trials [14]. 62,154 patients in 8 statin trials, of whom 38,153 were allocated to a statin [15].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- The meta-regressions compare trials with each other, not people within a trial, and cover drugs that lower non-HDL cholesterol in different ways [12][13]. The niacin trials did not follow the pattern of the statin trials, with inconsistent results in five small trials of niacin combined with other drugs [13].
Heart disease and stroke in cohorts
Linked to 16% less cardiovascular disease per extra 25 g a day in cohorts, mostly through less stroke. Coronary heart disease alone showed no clear link.
Compared with 25 g a day less, in a dose-response model [3][6]; the bottom third of intake [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Each extra 25 g a day was linked to less cardiovascular disease (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.94) [3]. An earlier pooling found less stroke (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.92) and fewer combined cardiovascular events (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.96), and no significant link with coronary heart disease in cohorts (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.18) [6]. The top third of intake was linked to fewer cardiovascular events and strokes than the bottom third [4].
- Population
- 806,203 participants and 49,223 cardiovascular events in cohorts and one trial [3]. 101,460 participants for coronary heart disease and 38,673 for stroke [6]. 32 cohorts [4].
- Sources
- [3], [6], [4]
- Caveats
- Observational, with heterogeneity. Small-study effects were suspected [6].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure more than comparison diets in adults, by about 3 to 4 mmHg diastolic and 4 to 6 mmHg systolic.
Compared with control diets the source does not describe [1], [3]; a control group the source does not describe [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic pressure fell 4.24 mmHg more (95% CI 1.38 to 7.11) and diastolic 2.95 mmHg more (95% CI 1.18 to 4.72) [1]. In people with metabolic disorders, systolic fell 5.89 mmHg (95% CI 1.86 to 9.97) and diastolic 4.01 mmHg (95% CI 1.80 to 6.21) [5]. Diastolic fell 3.28 mmHg in 19 RCTs (95% CI 2.01 to 4.55) [3].
- Population
- Adults in 8 RCTs [1]; adults with metabolic disorders in 10 RCTs [5]; adults in 19 RCTs [3].
- Sources
- [1], [3], [5]
- Caveats
- In [1], the blood pressure result changed when single studies were removed.
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to about 17% less cardiovascular disease and 23% to 29% fewer cardiovascular deaths at the guideline amount in pooled cohorts, with the largest gains moving from none to some.
Compared with people doing no non-occupational activity [2]; inactive people [3]; insufficiently active people, under 600 MET-minutes a week [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 150 minutes a week of moderate activity, cardiovascular death had an RR of 0.71 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.77) [2]. Moving from inactive to that amount was linked to 23% fewer cardiovascular deaths (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.84) and 17% less new cardiovascular disease (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.89), after adjusting for body weight [3]. In the most active group, ischemic heart disease was 25% lower (RR 0.754) and ischemic stroke 26% lower (RR 0.736), with most of the gain at lower activity levels, up to 3,000 to 4,000 MET-minutes a week [4].
- Population
- 28,884,209 person-years with 74,757 cardiovascular events [2]. 3,439,874 participants in 36 studies, followed an average 12.3 years [3]. 43 studies of heart disease and 26 of stroke [4].
- Sources
- [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Observational. Early heart disease limits activity, which is reverse causation. The reviews draw on overlapping cohorts.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower resting blood pressure by about 3.5 to 4.5 mmHg systolic with aerobic training in pooled trials, and by about 8 mmHg in people with hypertension.
Compared with non-exercising control groups [11][12]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Endurance training lowered systolic pressure 3.5 mmHg (95% CI -4.6 to -2.3) and diastolic 2.5 mmHg. In people with hypertension the fall was 8.3/5.2 mmHg, and in people with normal pressure 0.75/1.1 mmHg, with the systolic change not significant [11]. A larger analysis found aerobic training lowered pressure by 4.49/2.53 mmHg, high-intensity interval training by 4.08/2.50 and isometric training by 8.24/4.00 [12].
- Population
- 5,223 healthy adults in 93 trials of at least 4 weeks [11]. 15,827 participants in 270 trials [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Trials ran weeks to months, and blinding to exercise is not possible.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 3.5 mmHg systolic and 2 mmHg diastolic in people with hypertension, with little effect in people without it.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Increased potassium intake lowered systolic pressure 3.49 mm Hg (95% CI 1.82 to 5.15) and diastolic 1.96 mm Hg (95% CI 0.86 to 3.06), an effect seen in people with hypertension and not in those without it [1]. Salt substitutes lowered systolic pressure 4.61 mm Hg (95% CI 3.14 to 6.07) and diastolic 1.61 mm Hg in one meta-analysis [2], and 4.76 mm Hg systolic and 2.43 mm Hg diastolic in a Cochrane review [3]. In untreated primary hypertension, oral potassium supplements lowered clinic systolic pressure 5.3 mm Hg (95% CI 4.4 to 6.3) and diastolic 4.5 mm Hg (95% CI 3.9 to 5.1). The drop in 24-hour ambulatory pressure was smaller, 2.8 mm Hg systolic and 3.2 mm Hg diastolic [4]. In a dose-response analysis of 10 RCTs, each 50 mmol a day rise in urinary potassium went with 5.3 mm Hg lower systolic pressure in people with hypertension and 0.5 mm Hg lower in people without it [5].
- Population
- 22 RCTs with 1,606 adults [1]; 19 trials reporting blood pressure [2]; 20 RCTs with 21,414 adults [3]; 19 trials with 803 adults, median 4 weeks [4]; 10 RCTs from 2000 to 2024 [5].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Each 10% lower share of sodium chloride in a salt substitute was linked to a further 1.53 mm Hg drop in systolic pressure [2]. In children, the change was 0.28 mm Hg and not significant [1]. Heterogeneity was substantial and follow-up short in [4]. The dose-response review rested on few trials [5].
Blood pressure, from eating less salt
Shown to lower blood pressure, by about 4 mmHg systolic for a 130 mmol daily sodium cut, more in people with hypertension and in older adults.
Compared with usual sodium intake [3]; usual salt intake [4]; a high-sodium diet [5]; higher sodium intakes in the same trials [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 133 trials, a 130 mmol cut in 24-hour urinary sodium lowered systolic pressure by 4.26 mmHg (95% CI 3.62 to 4.89) and diastolic by 2.07 mmHg (1.67 to 2.48). Each 50 mmol cut lowered systolic pressure 1.10 mmHg, with larger falls in older people, non-white populations and those with higher starting pressure. Trials under 15 days showed less than half the effect of longer trials [3]. A Cochrane review of 34 trials found a 4.4 g a day salt cut lowered systolic pressure 5.39 mmHg in people with hypertension and 2.42 mmHg in people without it [4]. In white participants, cutting sodium from 203 to 65 mmol a day lowered systolic pressure 5.71 mmHg with hypertension and 1.14 mmHg without it, and did not change diastolic pressure in people with normal blood pressure [5]. A dose-response analysis of 85 trials found a roughly straight-line relation between sodium intake and blood pressure from 0.4 to 7.6 g a day, with no flattening at the lowest intakes [6].
- Population
- 12,197 adults in 133 randomized trials [3]. 3,230 adults in 34 trials of at least 4 weeks [4]. About 10,000 white participants in up to 96 trials, plus black and Asian participants in smaller sets of trials [5]. 85 trials of at least 4 weeks [6].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The same trials appear in several of these reviews. Effects in people without hypertension were small, and evidence in black and Asian participants was rated low to moderate quality [5]. Heterogeneity was high in [4].
Blood pressure, with salt substitutes
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 4.4 to 4.8 mmHg with potassium-enriched salt substitutes in place of regular salt, in two meta-analyses.
Compared with regular salt [7][8]; usual salt [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review found low-sodium salt substitutes lowered systolic pressure by 4.76 mmHg (95% CI 3.50 to 6.01, 20 trials) and diastolic pressure by 2.43 mmHg (95% CI 1.36 to 3.50, 19 trials) [7]. A network meta-analysis of 34 trials found moderate-potassium, low-sodium substitutes (25% to 40% potassium chloride) lowered systolic pressure by 4.39 to 4.64 mmHg [8]. In older adults with normal blood pressure in care homes, new hypertension was less frequent with a salt substitute over 2 years (11.7 against 24.3 per 100 person-years, HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.92), with a net systolic difference of 8.0 mmHg [9].
- Population
- 21,414 adults in 20 trials [7]. 37,063 participants in 34 trials in 15 countries, mean age 62 [8]. 611 Chinese older adults with normal blood pressure in 48 care facilities [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The two reviews share most of their trials. All trials excluded people for whom extra potassium is known to be harmful [7]. The care home analysis was post hoc, and a salt company supplied the salt [9].
Heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death
Shown to cut cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization by about 23% in adults with heart failure, with or without diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across five trials in heart failure, SGLT2 inhibitors lowered the composite of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.82), cardiovascular death (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.95), first hospitalization for heart failure (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.78) and death from any cause (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.99). Effects were consistent across ejection fraction [1]. With dapagliflozin in reduced ejection fraction, worsening heart failure or cardiovascular death occurred in 16.3% against 21.2% on placebo over a median 18.2 months (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.85) [2]. With empagliflozin in preserved ejection fraction, cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization occurred in 13.8% against 17.1% over a median 26.2 months (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.90) [3]. Across 13 large placebo-controlled trials, the risk of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization fell by 23% (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.81), with similar effects in people with and without diabetes [4].
- Population
- 21,947 participants in five heart failure trials [1]; 4,744 adults with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction [2]; 5,988 adults with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction [3]; 90,409 participants in 13 trials, 82.7% with diabetes [4].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- The heart failure trials tested dapagliflozin, empagliflozin and sotagliflozin. Canagliflozin has no heart failure approval. In the preserved ejection fraction trial the effect was mainly on hospitalization [3]. Both single trials cited were funded by the manufacturers [2][3].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death in type 2 diabetes
Shown to cut major cardiovascular events by about 10% in adults with type 2 diabetes, with the benefit clearest in people with established cardiovascular disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across three cardiovascular outcome trials, SGLT2 inhibitors lowered the composite of heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death by 11% (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83 to 0.96). The benefit was seen in people with established cardiovascular disease (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.93) and not in people without it (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.16) [9]. Across six trials the estimate was similar (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.95), and cardiovascular death fell (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.93) with significant differences between trials [10]. With empagliflozin the composite occurred in 10.5% against 12.1% on placebo over a median 3.1 years (HR 0.86), cardiovascular death in 3.7% against 5.9% and death from any cause in 5.7% against 8.3%, with no significant difference in heart attack or stroke [11]. With dapagliflozin the composite occurred in 8.8% against 9.4% (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.03) [12]. With canagliflozin it occurred at 26.9 against 31.5 per 1,000 patient-years (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.97) [13].
- Population
- 34,322 patients in three trials, 60.2% with established cardiovascular disease [9]; 46,969 patients in six trials, mean age 63.7 [10]; 7,020 adults with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease [11]; 17,160 adults with type 2 diabetes [12]; adults with type 2 diabetes and raised cardiovascular risk, 65.6% with cardiovascular disease [13].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11], [12], [13]
- Caveats
- The dapagliflozin trial did not find a lower rate of the composite [12]. The effect on cardiovascular death differed between drugs (I² 64.3%) [10]. One meta-analysis found the benefit only in people with established disease, and the other found no such difference [9][10].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 2.5 mm Hg and diastolic by about 1.5 mm Hg in adults with type 2 diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 43 trials in type 2 diabetes, systolic blood pressure fell by 2.46 mm Hg (95% CI 2.06 to 2.86) and diastolic by 1.46 mm Hg (95% CI 1.09 to 1.82) [16]. Against other diabetes drugs, systolic pressure fell by 4.45 mm Hg (95% CI 3.18 to 5.73) [14]. All three drugs lowered blood pressure against placebo in a network meta-analysis [15]. In adults without diabetes, blood pressure did not change against placebo [17].
- Population
- 22,528 patients in 43 trials [16]; active-comparator studies [14]; 23,997 participants in 38 trials [15]; 750 adults without diabetes [17].
- Sources
- [16], [14], [15], [17]
- Caveats
- Not an approved use. Heterogeneity was moderate [16].
Heart disease
Linked to more cardiovascular disease and deaths from it with more sitting or TV time in pooled cohorts, with risk rising above about 6 hours of sitting a day.
Compared with people with less sedentary time, with physical activity held equal [1]; each hour less of sitting or TV a day [3]; each 2 hours less of TV a day [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Sedentary time was linked to cardiovascular death (HR 1.179, 95% CI 1.106 to 1.257) and new cardiovascular disease (HR 1.143, 95% CI 1.002 to 1.729) [1]. For cardiovascular death, each hour of sitting carried no added risk up to 6 hours (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.02) and 4% more above 6 hours. Each hour of TV carried 8% more above 4 hours [3]. Each 2 hours of TV was linked to 15% more fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular disease (RR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.23) [6].
- Population
- 14 studies of cardiovascular disease and diabetes [1]. 34 studies [3]. 34,253 people with 1,052 cases in 4 cohorts [6].
- Sources
- [1], [3], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. Heterogeneity in designs and in how sitting was measured was marked [1]. Confounding and reverse causation cannot be excluded.
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to more heart disease and stroke at both short and long sleep in pooled cohorts, with the lowest risk near 7 hours a night.
Compared with people sleeping 7 to 8 hours a night, the reference in most studies [1]; normal sleepers [3]; people with normal sleep duration [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Each hour under 7 was linked to 6% more total cardiovascular disease (RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.08) and 7% more coronary heart disease (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.12). Each hour over 7 was linked to 12% more cardiovascular disease (RR 1.12) and 18% more stroke (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.21) [1]. Short sleepers had higher risk of cardiovascular disease (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.23), coronary heart disease (RR 1.26) and hypertension (RR 1.17) [3]. Long sleepers had higher risk of cardiovascular disease (RR 1.25), stroke (RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.69) and coronary heart disease (RR 1.24), and no higher risk of hypertension (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.07) [4].
- Population
- 3,582,016 participants in generally healthy populations, follow-up 2.3 to 34 years [1]. 5,172,710 participants in 153 studies [3]. 5,134,036 participants in 137 cohorts [4].
- Sources
- [1], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Observational, with self-reported sleep. Confounding and reverse causation, where early heart disease or other illness changes sleep, cannot be ruled out. The three reviews draw on overlapping cohorts.
Heart disease and stroke after quitting
Linked to lower heart disease and stroke risk within 5 years of quitting, with the excess falling steadily with time but staying above never smokers for 10 to 15 years.
Compared with never smokers, with former and current smokers each set against them [7]; patients with heart disease who continued to smoke [8]; people who continued to smoke, and never smokers [9]; people who continued to smoke [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In adults 60 and older, cardiovascular death had a hazard ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.82 to 2.36) in current smokers and 1.37 (95% CI 1.25 to 1.49) in former smokers against never smokers. The excess fell continuously with time since quitting. Heart attack and stroke followed the same pattern [7]. In people with coronary heart disease, quitting was linked to 36% lower death from any cause than continuing to smoke (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.71) [8]. In heavy smokers, quitting within 5 years was linked to lower cardiovascular disease (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.76) than continuing. Against never smokers, the excess stopped being significant 10 to 15 years after quitting (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.60) [9]. In adults without diabetes, recent quitters (HR 0.47) and long-term quitters (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.63) had fewer cardiovascular events than smokers [10].
- Population
- 503,905 adults 60 and older in 25 cohorts, with 37,952 cardiovascular deaths [7]. 20 cohorts of patients with coronary heart disease [8]. 8,770 Framingham participants followed a median 26.4 years, 2,371 of them heavy smokers [9]. 3,251 Framingham Offspring participants followed a mean 25 years [10].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. Many cohorts did not fully control confounding or check smoking status, though restricting to higher-quality studies changed little [8]. In people with diabetes, the estimates were similar but not significant [10].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to about 29% more coronary heart disease and 32% more stroke with poor social relationships, and 34% more cardiovascular deaths with social isolation, in two meta-analyses.
Compared with people with better social relationships [4]; people who were not socially isolated [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Poor social relationships were linked to new coronary heart disease (RR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.59) and stroke (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.68), with no difference by gender [4]. Social isolation was linked to cardiovascular mortality (1.34, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.44), and to all-cause mortality in people who already had cardiovascular disease (1.28) [3].
- Population
- 16 longitudinal datasets in high-income countries with 4,628 heart disease and 3,002 stroke events over 3 to 21 years [4]. 2,205,199 adults in 90 cohorts [3].
- Sources
- [4], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational. The lower confidence limits sit close to no difference [4]. Early heart disease can limit social life before diagnosis.
Heart attack, stroke and death
Shown to cut major vascular events about 22% and deaths about 10% for each 1 mmol/L drop in LDL cholesterol, including in lower-risk people.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Per 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol, major vascular events fell with a rate ratio of 0.78 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.80) and all-cause mortality with 0.90 (95% CI 0.87 to 0.93). More intensive regimens cut major vascular events a further 15% (95% CI 11 to 18) against less intensive ones [1]. In people with a 5-year risk under 10%, each 1 mmol/L reduction cut major vascular events by about 11 per 1,000 over 5 years. In people without vascular disease, all-cause mortality RR was 0.91 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.97) per 1 mmol/L [2].
- Population
- Individual data from 26 trials with about 170,000 participants, median follow-up about 5 years [1]; 27 trials with 174,149 participants, grouped by baseline risk [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Both analyses come from the same collaboration, and the same 5 intensity trials appear in both. Effects are expressed per unit of LDL lowered, not per drug or dose.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower resting blood pressure by about 2 to 4.5 mmHg systolic and 3 mmHg diastolic with dynamic resistance training, and more with isometric training, in pooled trials.
Compared with non-exercising control groups [12][13]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Dynamic resistance training lowered blood pressure by 1.8/3.2 mmHg, most in people with prehypertension (4.0/3.8 mmHg). Isometric resistance training lowered it by 10.9/6.2 mmHg in a few studies [12]. A larger analysis found 4.55/3.04 mmHg with dynamic resistance training and 8.24/4.00 mmHg with isometric training [13].
- Population
- 29 dynamic and 5 isometric resistance groups among 5,223 adults in 93 trials [12]. 15,827 participants in 270 trials [13].
- Sources
- [12], [13]
- Caveats
- Trials lasted weeks to months. The isometric estimates rest on far fewer trials [12].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 3 to 4 mmHg systolic and 1.5 to 2.5 mmHg diastolic in adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 7 studies, taurine lowered systolic pressure by Hedges' g -0.70 (95% CI -0.98 to -0.41) and diastolic by g -0.62, a mean of about 3 mmHg each [3]. Across 25 RCTs, systolic fell by 4.0 mmHg (95% CI -7.3 to -0.7) and diastolic by 1.5 mmHg (95% CI -2.5 to -0.5) [4]. Across 34 RCTs, systolic fell by 4.4 mmHg (95% CI -7.3 to -1.5) and diastolic by 2.5 mmHg (95% CI -4.0 to -1.1) [5].
- Population
- 103 people of varied age and health [3]; 1,024 participants at 0.5 to 6 g a day for 5 to 365 days [4]; adults with cardiometabolic risk factors [5].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- The three reviews overlap in the trials they pool. The earliest pooled only 103 people.
Lowering blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by dose, about 8/3 mm Hg on hydrochlorothiazide 25 mg and 12/4 mm Hg on chlorthalidone in adults with high blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 33 placebo-controlled trials, hydrochlorothiazide at 6.25, 12.5, 25 and 50 mg a day lowered blood pressure by 4/2, 6/3, 8/3 and 11/5 mm Hg. In 7 trials, chlorthalidone at 12.5 to 75 mg a day lowered it by 12.0/4 mm Hg, with no evidence that higher doses lowered it more [1]. A separate analysis of 354 trials found thiazides lowered blood pressure by about the same amount as the other main drug classes, on average 9.1/5.5 mm Hg at standard dose [2]. In stage 4 chronic kidney disease, chlorthalidone lowered 24-hour systolic pressure by 10.5 mm Hg more than placebo at 12 weeks (95% CI 6.4 to 14.6) [3].
- Population
- 11,282 people in 60 trials of six thiazides, mean age 55, treated a mean 8 weeks [1]; about 40,000 treated and 16,000 placebo participants in 354 trials [2]; 160 people with stage 4 chronic kidney disease and poorly controlled hypertension [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- The chlorthalidone trials started from a different baseline pressure (163/88 against 155/100 mm Hg), so the two drugs' figures are not a direct comparison. Most trials were at unclear or high risk of bias [1].
Death from coronary heart disease and total cholesterol
Linked to more coronary heart disease deaths at higher levels: each 1 mmol/L (39 mg/dL) lower total cholesterol went with a third fewer at ages 50 to 69.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 61 prospective studies, each 1 mmol/L lower usual total cholesterol went with lower death from ischemic heart disease in both sexes: hazard ratio 0.44 (95% CI 0.42 to 0.48) at ages 40 to 49, 0.66 (0.65 to 0.68) at ages 50 to 69 and 0.83 (0.81 to 0.85) at ages 70 to 89, with no apparent threshold. The ratio of total to HDL cholesterol predicted these deaths more than twice as informatively as total cholesterol alone [5].
- Population
- Almost 900,000 adults without previous disease in 61 prospective studies, mostly in western Europe or North America, with more than 55,000 vascular deaths [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Observational. The proportional difference in risk was smaller at older ages and at higher blood pressure [5].
Cardiovascular disease and non-HDL cholesterol
Linked to more cardiovascular disease at higher non-HDL cholesterol, about 50% more coronary heart disease for each 43 mg/dL higher across 68 pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 68 prospective studies, coronary heart disease rates per 1,000 person-years were 2.3 in the bottom third and 6.7 in the top third of non-HDL cholesterol, and the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.50 (95% CI 1.39 to 1.61) per 43 mg/dL higher [6]. In a consortium of 38 cohorts, 30-year cardiovascular event rates rose from 7.7% at non-HDL cholesterol below 2.6 mmol/L (about 100 mg/dL) to 33.7% at 5.7 mmol/L (about 220 mg/dL) or above in women, and from 12.8% to 43.6% in men. Adjusted hazard ratios for the highest against the lowest category were 1.9 (95% CI 1.6 to 2.2) in women and 2.3 (2.0 to 2.5) in men [7].
- Population
- 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 prospective studies [6]. 398,846 people in 38 cohorts, median follow-up 13.5 years, 54,542 cardiovascular events [7].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the pooled cohorts the hazard ratios were at least as strong in participants who did not fast as in those who did [6].
Cardiovascular events in trials that lowered non-HDL cholesterol
Shown in trials: each 1 mmol/L (39 mg/dL) of non-HDL cholesterol lowered went with about 21% fewer major vascular events across 49 trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-regression of 24 trials of non-statin drugs and 25 statin trials, the risk ratio for major vascular events was 0.79 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.82) per 1 mmol/L reduction in non-HDL cholesterol [8]. Among patients on statins in 8 trials, each standard deviation higher on-treatment non-HDL cholesterol went with a hazard ratio of 1.16 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.19) for major cardiovascular events, against 1.13 (1.10 to 1.17) for LDL cholesterol, a significant difference [9]. Statin trials found that each 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol lowered major vascular events with a rate ratio of 0.78 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.80) [10].
- Population
- 374,358 patients in 49 trials, with 46,180 major cardiovascular events [8]. 62,154 patients in 8 statin trials, of whom 38,153 were allocated to a statin [9]. About 170,000 participants in 26 statin trials [10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- The meta-regression compares trials with each other, not people within a trial, and covers drugs that lower non-HDL cholesterol in different ways [8].
Heart failure hospital stays in trials of intravenous iron
Shown in trials: intravenous iron cut heart failure hospital stays in iron-deficient patients, possibly more when saturation was below 20%, with no clear effect on deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 10 trials, intravenous iron lowered the combined rate of repeat heart failure hospital stays and cardiovascular death (rate ratio 0.75, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.93). Effects on cardiovascular death (odds ratio 0.86, 0.70 to 1.05) and death from any cause (0.93, 0.78 to 1.12) were inconclusive. Patients with a transferrin saturation below 20% had an odds ratio of 0.67 (0.49 to 0.92) for the main outcome, against 0.99 (0.74 to 1.30) at 20% or above (P for difference 0.07) [13]. In pooled patient-level data from 3 trials of one iron product, the rate ratio for cardiovascular hospital stays and cardiovascular death was 0.86 (0.75 to 0.98), with no apparent effect on death. That analysis reported a lower risk of cardiovascular death in the subgroup with saturation below 15% and possibly unfavorable effects at 24% or above [14].
- Population
- 3,373 people with heart failure and iron deficiency in 10 randomized trials [13]. 4,501 people in 3 placebo-controlled trials of ferric carboxymaltose with at least 52 weeks of follow-up [14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- The findings by saturation come from subgroup analyses, and the test for a difference between subgroups did not reach significance [13]. The trials enrolled people with heart failure who met a definition of iron deficiency, so they say nothing about iron given to other people with a low saturation.
Death from any cause and cardiovascular death
Linked to more deaths at higher ratios with no threshold, 63% more at about 30 mg/g than at about 5 mg/g across 105,872 people.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of general population cohorts, the ratio was related to death on a continuous scale without a threshold. Against a ratio of 0.6 mg/mmol (about 5 mg/g), the adjusted hazard ratio for death from any cause was 1.20 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.26) at 1.1 mg/mmol (10 mg/g), 1.63 (1.50 to 1.77) at 3.4 mg/mmol (about 30 mg/g) and 2.22 (1.97 to 2.51) at 33.9 mg/mmol (about 300 mg/g). Findings were similar for cardiovascular death, and the ratio and estimated GFR each added risk without interaction [5]. In a later meta-analysis of 114 cohorts, higher ratios were associated with higher rates of each of 10 outcomes studied: kidney failure, death from any cause, cardiovascular death, acute kidney injury, hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation and peripheral artery disease [8].
- Population
- 105,872 participants in 14 general population cohorts with ratio measurements [5]. 9,067,753 people with albuminuria data in 114 cohorts, with a median ratio of 11 mg/g in the main population [8].
- Sources
- [5], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational, with the ratio measured once at baseline. The first meta-analysis printed its ratios in mg/mmol, and the mg/g figures other than 10 are converted here with the factor on this page [5].
Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, against no treatment
Shown to cut stroke by about 64% against placebo or no treatment in adults with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, with fewer deaths in one review.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across six trials, adjusted-dose warfarin lowered stroke by 64% (95% CI 49 to 74) against control [1]. In five trials of people with no earlier stroke, warfarin lowered all stroke (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.59), disabling or fatal stroke (OR 0.47, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.80) and death (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.94) over a mean 1.5 years. The reviewers estimated about 25 strokes prevented each year for every 1,000 people treated [2].
- Population
- 2,900 participants in six trials, within a meta-analysis of 29 trials and 28,044 participants, mean age 71 [1]; 2,313 participants without earlier stroke in five trials, mean age 69 [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The band above is the estimate of 25 strokes prevented a year per 1,000 treated. Follow-up was short, and bleeding estimates from these trials were imprecise [2].
Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, against aspirin
Shown to cut stroke by about 39% more than antiplatelet drugs in atrial fibrillation, and to halve stroke against aspirin in adults aged 75 or over.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 12 trials, adjusted-dose warfarin lowered stroke by 39% (95% CI 22 to 52) against antiplatelet therapy [1]. In people aged 75 or over, stroke, intracranial hemorrhage or systemic embolism occurred at 1.8% a year on warfarin against 3.8% on aspirin (RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.80). Extracranial hemorrhage occurred at 1.4% a year against 1.6% [3].
- Population
- 12,963 participants in 12 trials [1]; 973 patients aged 75 or over, mean age 81.5, followed a mean 2.7 years [3].
- Sources
- [1], [3]
- Caveats
- Trial quality varied and was often incompletely reported [1].
Coronary heart disease
Linked to more coronary heart disease at higher counts, about 40% more in the top third than the bottom third across pooled prospective studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of the 7 largest prospective studies, people in the top third of white cell count had a risk ratio for coronary heart disease of 1.4 (95% CI 1.3 to 1.5) against the bottom third, a difference of 8.4 against 5.6 thousand/µL [8]. A later meta-analysis by cell type found the neutrophil count had the strongest association (risk ratio 1.33, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.50, top against bottom third), with substantial differences between studies. In its own US cohort the figure for neutrophils was 1.09 (0.93 to 1.29) [9].
- Population
- 5,337 coronary heart disease cases in 7 long-term prospective studies [8]. 1,764 cases in 5 prospective studies, including 4,625 US adults followed 18 years [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors of the first analysis state that the mechanisms are not clear and call for further study of whether the association is causal [8].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to 19% lower coronary heart disease and 22% lower cardiovascular disease per three daily servings of whole grains, in pooled cohorts. The stroke link did not reach significance.
Compared with 90 g a day less whole grain, in a dose-response model [3]; the lowest whole grain intake [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Per extra 90 g a day of whole grain, about three servings, the relative risk was 0.81 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.87) for coronary heart disease, 0.78 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.85) for cardiovascular disease and 0.88 (95% CI 0.75 to 1.03) for stroke [3]. The highest against the lowest whole grain intake was linked to lower cardiovascular death (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.85, I² 0%), and each extra 16 g a day, about one serving, to 9% lower cardiovascular death [4]. A Lancet series of reviews observed similar findings for whole grains as for dietary fiber, where the highest intakes were linked to 15% to 30% lower death, coronary heart disease and stroke, and graded the whole grain evidence low to moderate in certainty [5].
- Population
- 45 prospective studies [3]. 786,076 participants and 23,957 cardiovascular deaths in 14 cohorts [4]. 185 prospective studies and 58 trials [5].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Observational. People who eat more whole grains differ in other habits such as smoking and exercise (confounding), and illness can change diet (reverse causation). The certainty was graded low to moderate [5].
Heart rate, wrist-worn optical devices pooled
Shown to estimate heart rate within 1 beat per minute of the reference at rest and on a treadmill, reading 5 to 7 beats low during cycling and resistance training.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Wrist-worn optical heart rate devices from 15 brands, pooled [8]. Consumer wearables pooled across 24 systematic reviews [9]. Nine commercial brands across 158 publications [10].
- Compared with
- ECG or a chest strap
- Effect
- Across 44 articles and 738 effect sizes, the mean difference from the reference was -0.40 beats per minute during sleep (95% CI -1.64 to 0.83), -0.01 at rest and -0.51 during treadmill walking and running (95% CI -1.60 to 0.58). It was -4.55 during cycling (95% CI -7.24 to -1.87) and -7.26 during resistance training (95% CI -10.46 to -4.07), where the difference grew by 3 beats for every 10 beat rise in heart rate. The authors concluded validity was acceptable for most common activities [8]. An umbrella review of 24 systematic reviews reported a mean bias of plus or minus 3% for heart rate [9]. A systematic review found heart rate accuracy in laboratory settings varied by manufacturer and device type [10].
- Population
- 44 articles [8]. 24 systematic reviews covering 249 validation studies [9]. 158 publications up to May 2019 [10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Average differences near zero do not describe the error of a single reading. The umbrella review estimated that about 11% of consumer wearables released had been validated for at least one measure [9]. One review searched only to May 2019 [10].
Cardiovascular disease
Linked to more heart failure, heart attack and peripheral arterial disease at higher counts within the usual range, in two large United Kingdom cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In linked English health records, a count of 6,000 to 7,000 cells/µL against 2,000 to 3,000 had adjusted hazard ratios of 2.04 (95% CI 1.82 to 2.29) for heart failure, 1.95 (1.72 to 2.21) for peripheral arterial disease, 1.78 (1.51 to 2.10) for unheralded coronary death, 1.58 (1.42 to 1.76) for nonfatal heart attack and 1.36 (1.17 to 1.57) for ischemic stroke. There was no association with stable angina or bleeding in the brain. The associations were linear, with higher risk already at 3,000 to 4,000 [12]. In UK Biobank, the highest tenth of neutrophil count against the fifth had hazard ratios for cardiovascular death of 1.59 (1.22 to 2.08) in men and 2.15 (1.38 to 3.35) in women. In an analysis that left out people with existing illness and the first two years, each 1,000 cells/µL higher count had a hazard ratio of 1.07 (1.04 to 1.11) in both sexes combined [13].
- Population
- 775,231 adults aged 30 or older with no history of cardiovascular disease, 55,004 cases over a median 3.8 years [12]. 478,259 UK Biobank participants followed a median 7.0 years [13].
- Sources
- [12], [13]
- Caveats
- Observational. Smoking, infection and long-term illness raise the count and also raise cardiovascular risk, and adjustment may not remove this. The UK Biobank authors call for trials of treatments that lower neutrophils to investigate causality [13].
After a heart attack
Shown to lower deaths in the first 30 days after a heart attack, 7.1% against 7.6%, and more in long-term trials of people with a weakened left ventricle.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In individual data from 4 trials that started an ACE inhibitor within 36 hours of a heart attack and continued it 4 to 6 weeks, 30-day mortality was 7.1% on an ACE inhibitor and 7.6% in controls, a 7% proportional reduction (95% CI 2 to 11%). Nonfatal heart failure occurred in 14.6% against 15.2% [6]. In GISSI-3, the lisinopril trial among them, 6.4% on lisinopril and 7.2% of those not given it died by 6 weeks [3]. In 3 trials that enrolled people with heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction after a heart attack and treated them long term, 23.4% died on an ACE inhibitor and 29.1% on placebo (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.83) [5].
- Population
- 98,496 people in 4 trials of early short-term treatment [6]; 19,394 people in GISSI-3 [3]; 5,966 people in 3 long-term trials after a heart attack [5].
- Sources
- [6], [3], [5]
- Caveats
- GISSI-3 was unblinded [3]. Persistent low blood pressure was more frequent on an ACE inhibitor in the early trials, 17.6% against 9.3% [6].
Heart attack, stroke and death in high-risk adults without heart failure
Shown to lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death from 12.8% to 10.7% over about 4.5 years in adults with vascular disease and no heart failure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the HOPE trial, ramipril 10 mg a day for a mean of 5 years lowered the composite of heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death from 17.8% on placebo to 14.0% (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.86). Death from any cause was 10.4% against 12.2% and stroke 3.4% against 4.9% [7]. Combining HOPE with two later trials, ACE inhibitors lowered all-cause mortality (7.8% against 8.9%), nonfatal heart attack (5.3% against 6.4%) and stroke (2.2% against 2.8%). The composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal heart attack or stroke occurred in 10.7% against 12.8% (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.88) [8]. Across 20 trials in which at least two thirds of participants had hypertension, ACE inhibitors were associated with a 10% reduction in all-cause mortality (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.97) [9].
- Population
- 9,297 adults aged 55 or older with vascular disease, or diabetes plus one other risk factor, and no known heart failure [7]; 29,805 people in 3 trials followed a mean of about 4.5 years [8]; 158,998 people in 20 trials [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The evidence in [7] is for ramipril. In ALLHAT, which compared drugs with each other, lisinopril did not differ from the diuretic chlorthalidone on fatal coronary disease or nonfatal heart attack (RR 0.99), and had higher 6-year rates of stroke (6.3% against 5.6%) and heart failure (8.7% against 7.7%) [10].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to more cardiovascular disease at lower albumin, about 85% more for each 1 g/dL lower in a meta-analysis of 14 studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Danish general population cohort, the hazard ratio for each 10 g/L (1 g/dL) lower albumin was 1.17 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.28) for ischemic heart disease, 1.25 (1.09 to 1.43) for heart attack, 1.37 (1.21 to 1.54) for any stroke and 1.46 (1.28 to 1.68) for ischemic stroke. In the accompanying meta-analysis, the risk ratio for a cardiovascular event per 10 g/L lower albumin was 1.85 (95% CI 1.39 to 2.47), with the Danish cohort carrying 57% of the weight [10].
- Population
- 100,520 people without prior cardiovascular disease followed for a median of 8.5 years, and 150,652 individuals in 14 studies [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. The estimates weakened after adjustment for C-reactive protein, and the authors write that the association is partly explained by albumin falling during inflammation [10].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to slightly more cardiovascular disease, 8% more per standard deviation of log alkaline phosphatase in a meta-analysis of 29 cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The pooled, fully adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular disease was 1.08 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.14) per standard deviation of log baseline alkaline phosphatase, with a log-linear relation [11]. A second meta-analysis found a linear association with cardiovascular deaths (RR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.04) [9].
- Population
- 29 cohorts with over 1.23 million participants and 20,406 cardiovascular outcomes, which also covered other liver enzymes [11]. 24 studies with 147,634 participants [9].
- Sources
- [11], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors of the second meta-analysis describe the relationship between alkaline phosphatase and cardiovascular disease as still ambiguous [9].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 3.3/1.3 mm Hg across 10 studies, with larger falls in one trial of adolescents with high uric acid.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 10 studies, systolic pressure fell 3.3 mm Hg more on allopurinol than control (95% CI 1.4 to 5.3) and diastolic 1.3 mm Hg (95% CI 0.1 to 2.5), with similar results in the higher-quality randomized trials [14]. In adolescents with newly diagnosed hypertension and uric acid of 6 mg/dL or more, 4 weeks of allopurinol lowered clinic systolic pressure by 6.9 mm Hg against 2.0 on placebo and diastolic by 5.1 against 2.4. Twenty of 30 reached normal blood pressure on allopurinol and 1 on placebo [15].
- Population
- 738 participants in 10 studies [14]; 30 adolescents aged 11 to 17 in a crossover trial [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Small studies. Not an FDA-approved use [5].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 8/5 mm Hg more than placebo in high blood pressure, which the review authors called modest and likely an overestimate.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across four alpha-blockers, trough blood pressure fell an estimated 8/5 mm Hg more than on placebo, with no drug better or worse than another [16]. In pooled doxazosin label trials, doses of 1 to 16 mg lowered 24-hour blood pressure about 10/8 mm Hg standing and 9/5 mm Hg lying down against placebo [7].
- Population
- 1,175 adults with primary hypertension, baseline 155/101 mm Hg, in 10 trials of 3 to 12 weeks [16]; about 300 people per group in doxazosin trials [7].
- Sources
- [16], [7]
- Caveats
- Only 10 trials, and harms were poorly reported [16]. Tamsulosin, alfuzosin and silodosin are not indicated for blood pressure. For heart outcomes against a diuretic, see the heart failure block under Risks.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic and diastolic blood pressure against control in a pooled analysis of 7 trials, with no difference from daily calorie restriction in a year-long trial.
Compared with eating every day, with no fasting days or daily fasting window
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic (p 0.003) and diastolic (p 0.007) blood pressure fell against control [2]. Blood pressure did not differ between alternate-day fasting and daily calorie restriction at 6 or 12 months [3].
- Population
- 269 adults in 7 trials [2]; 100 adults with obesity [3].
- Sources
- [2], [3]
- Caveats
- The review reports p values without the size of the fall [2].
Clopidogrel compared with aspirin
Shown to lower stroke, heart attack or vascular death slightly more than aspirin, 5.32% against 5.83% a year, in people with artery disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with a recent stroke, recent heart attack or peripheral artery disease, the yearly risk of ischemic stroke, heart attack or vascular death was 5.32% on clopidogrel against 5.83% on aspirin, a relative reduction of 8.7% (95% CI 0.3 to 16.5) [3]. A collaborative meta-analysis put the reduction in serious vascular events with clopidogrel against aspirin at 10% [1].
- Population
- 19,185 patients followed a mean 1.91 years [3].
- Sources
- [3], [1]
- Caveats
- One large trial, with a confidence interval that nearly reached no difference [3].
Clopidogrel added to aspirin during a heart attack or unstable angina
Shown to cut cardiovascular death, heart attack or stroke to 9.3% against 11.4% on aspirin alone in acute coronary syndromes, with more major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation, cardiovascular death, nonfatal heart attack or stroke occurred in 9.3% on clopidogrel plus aspirin against 11.4% on aspirin alone (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90). Major bleeding occurred in 3.7% against 2.7% (RR 1.38) [4]. In acute heart attack, death, reinfarction or stroke occurred in 9.2% against 10.1% over about two weeks, a 9% reduction (95% CI 3 to 14), and death from any cause in 7.5% against 8.1% [5].
- Population
- 12,562 patients treated for 3 to 12 months [4]; 45,852 patients with acute myocardial infarction [5].
- Sources
- [4], [5]
- Caveats
- In the second trial, fatal, transfused or cerebral bleeds did not differ (0.58% against 0.55%) over a short treatment period [5].
After a coronary stent
Shown to cut stent clots to 0.4% against 1.4% and heart attacks to 2.1% against 4.1% when a thienopyridine was continued with aspirin beyond a year, with more bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After 12 months of aspirin plus clopidogrel or prasugrel following a drug-eluting stent, continuing the second drug for 18 more months lowered stent thrombosis (0.4% against 1.4%, HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.17 to 0.48), major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (4.3% against 5.9%) and heart attack (2.1% against 4.1%). Moderate or severe bleeding rose (2.5% against 1.6%), and death from any cause was 2.0% against 1.5% (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.85) [6]. Across 10 trials, treatment beyond 12 months lowered heart attack (OR 0.53) and stent thrombosis (OR 0.33) and raised major bleeding (OR 1.62) and death from any cause (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.66). Courses shorter than 12 months lowered major bleeding (OR 0.58) with no significant difference in ischemic outcomes [7].
- Population
- 9,961 patients after a drug-eluting stent [6]; 32,287 patients in 10 trials [7].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- The large trial tested clopidogrel or prasugrel, not clopidogrel alone, and both groups kept taking aspirin [6]. No trial here compared a stent with no antiplatelet drug.
Clopidogrel with aspirin after a minor stroke or TIA
Shown to cut stroke in the next 90 days to 8.2% against 11.7% on aspirin alone after a minor stroke or TIA in one of two trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Started within 24 hours of a minor stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack, clopidogrel plus aspirin lowered stroke at 90 days to 8.2% against 11.7% on aspirin alone (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.81), with moderate or severe hemorrhage in 0.3% of each group [8]. In a second trial, major ischemic events occurred in 5.0% against 6.5% (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.95), and major hemorrhage in 0.9% against 0.4% (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.10 to 4.87) [9].
- Population
- 5,170 patients in China [8]; 4,881 patients at 269 international sites [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Both trials tested a short course begun within a day of the event. The second was stopped early for both benefit and bleeding [9].
Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation
Shown to cut stroke by about 22% against no treatment in atrial fibrillation, less than warfarin or apixaban did in direct comparisons.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across eight trials, antiplatelet agents lowered stroke by 22% (95% CI 6 to 35) against control in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Adjusted-dose warfarin lowered stroke 39% more than antiplatelet therapy (95% CI 22 to 52) [17]. In a trial of people unsuited to warfarin, stroke or systemic embolism occurred at 3.7% a year on aspirin against 1.6% on apixaban (HR 0.45 for apixaban, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.62), with major bleeding at 1.2% against 1.4% a year [18].
- Population
- 4,876 participants in eight antiplatelet trials and 12,963 in 12 trials against warfarin [17]; 5,599 patients [18].
- Sources
- [17], [18]
- Caveats
- Neither drug's label read here lists atrial fibrillation as an approved use.
Preeclampsia prevention in pregnancy
Shown to cut preeclampsia by about 18% with low-dose aspirin in pregnancy, about 1 fewer case per 61 women treated.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across 60 trials, antiplatelet agents, mostly low-dose aspirin, lowered proteinuric preeclampsia (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.88, number needed to treat 61), preterm birth before 37 weeks (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.95) and fetal or neonatal death (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.95). Postpartum hemorrhage above 500 mL was probably slightly more frequent (RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.12) [19].
- Population
- 40,249 women and their babies in 77 trials [19].
- Sources
- [19]
- Caveats
- Not a use on the aspirin label read here, which warns against aspirin in the third trimester. See the pregnancy block below.
Coronary heart disease in genetic studies
Shown to track coronary heart disease in genetic studies, with about 23% lower odds for each 10 mg/dL lower lifelong ApoB.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In Mendelian randomization analyses, gene variants that lower triglycerides (in LPL) and gene variants that lower LDL cholesterol (in LDLR) were associated with the same lower odds of coronary heart disease per 10 mg/dL lower ApoB: OR 0.771 (95% CI 0.741 to 0.802) and 0.773 (0.747 to 0.801). After adjusting for ApoB, the associations of triglycerides and of LDL cholesterol with coronary heart disease became null [13]. A second multivariable analysis found that only ApoB kept a robust effect (OR 1.92 per standard deviation higher, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.81), while the LDL cholesterol estimate reversed (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.27) [12].
- Population
- 654,783 participants in 63 cohort or case-control studies, including 91,129 with coronary heart disease [13]. Genetic data from up to 441,016 UK Biobank participants, applied to 60,801 coronary cases and 123,504 controls [12].
- Sources
- [13], [12]
- Caveats
- Gene variants act from birth, so these estimates describe lifelong differences, not a change made later in life. The authors of one analysis note that lipid traits are highly correlated, which limits conclusions about any single one [12].
Heart attack, stroke and death
Shown to lower stroke by about 10% and heart failure by 13% across 37 trials, with no reduction in heart attacks or deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 37 randomized trials against placebo or other drugs, ARBs lowered stroke (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.98), heart failure (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.93) and new diabetes (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.93). They did not change the risk of heart attack (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.07), death or cardiovascular death [6]. In people who could not take ACE inhibitors, telmisartan did not significantly lower the composite of cardiovascular death, heart attack, stroke or heart failure hospitalization (15.7% against 17.0% on placebo, HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.05) [7]. Across hypertension trials, ARBs were not associated with lower all-cause mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.04) [8].
- Population
- 147,020 participants in 37 trials with at least 1 year of follow-up [6]; 5,926 high-risk people intolerant to ACE inhibitors, median 56 months [7]; 158,998 people in 20 trials of renin-angiotensin drugs [8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- The pooled trials mixed placebo and active comparators [6]. The evidence in [7] is for telmisartan.
Aortic growth in Marfan syndrome
Shown to about halve the yearly growth of the aortic root in Marfan syndrome against control. Losartan did not differ from atenolol.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In individual data from 4 trials, the annual increase in aortic root Z score was 0.07 on an ARB and 0.13 on control (difference -0.07, 95% CI -0.12 to -0.01) over a median 3 years [19]. In a head-to-head trial, the rate of change in aortic root Z score did not differ significantly between losartan and atenolol (-0.107 against -0.139 standard deviation units a year, P = 0.08) [20].
- Population
- 676 people with Marfan syndrome and no prior aortic surgery in 4 trials of ARB against control, within a 7-trial analysis of 1,442 people [19]; 608 people aged 6 months to 25 years with an aortic root Z score above 3.0 [20].
- Sources
- [19], [20]
- Caveats
- The outcome is aortic size, not dissection or death. Not an FDA-approved use [10].
VO2 max and endurance
Shown to raise VO2 max and aerobic endurance in healthy adults and athletes, though results varied widely across small trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 4 RCTs (142 participants), VO2 max rose by a mean 3.00 (95% CI 0.18 to 5.82) with high heterogeneity [10]. A Bayesian meta-analysis of 12 trials reported ashwagandha outperformed placebo on cardiorespiratory fitness [11]. A 2026 three-level meta-analysis of 13 trials found overall exercise performance improved (Hedges' g 0.47, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.69, I² 60%), most consistently for aerobic endurance (g 0.54, 95% CI 0.22 to 0.85) [12].
- Population
- Healthy adults and athletes [10][11]. 599 participants, mainly young adults or athletes [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- The 95% prediction interval for overall performance ran from -0.40 to 1.33, crossing zero [12]. The Bayesian abstract does not report effect sizes [11].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 1.4 mmHg in adults with overweight or obesity. Diastolic pressure did not change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with a BMI of 25 or more, oat beta-glucan lowered systolic blood pressure by 1.38 mmHg (95% CI 0.09 to 2.66). Diastolic blood pressure did not change. Across cereal beta-glucan, total cholesterol fell by 0.24 mmol/L and LDL by 0.19 mmol/L [8].
- Population
- 49 studies, 3,854 people with overweight or obesity [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One meta-analysis. One author is affiliated with a food science company [8].
Blood pressure and other heart risk markers
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 1.6 mmHg for plant sterols and stanols as a class. HDL, blood sugar and weight did not change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Plant sterols and stanols lowered systolic blood pressure by 1.55 mmHg (95% CI 0.42 to 2.67), diastolic by 0.84 mmHg, apoB by 0.06 g/L and hs-CRP by 0.25 mg/L. HDL cholesterol, fasting glucose, HbA1c, body weight, waist and fat mass did not change [5].
- Population
- Adults of mixed health status in trials pooled across 14 meta-analyses. Blood pressure came from one of them [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Class-level evidence, not beta-sitosterol alone. These are risk markers, not heart attacks or strokes. Certainty was moderate to high for most outcomes, downgraded for inconsistency, imprecision or publication bias [5].
Anxiety and stress, heart rate variability biofeedback
Shown to reduce self-reported stress and anxiety with a large effect (Hedges' g 0.83) against control conditions, in a meta-analysis of 24 studies.
Compared with control conditions the source abstract does not describe [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Heart rate variability biofeedback reduced stress and anxiety within groups (g 0.81) and against control conditions (g 0.83). The effect did not depend on study year, risk of bias, share of women, number of sessions or whether people had an anxiety disorder [9].
- Population
- 484 participants in 24 studies [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- Small studies, and outcomes were self-reported. The authors call for more well-controlled trials [9].
Death in heart failure and after a heart attack
Linked to more deaths in people hospitalized with heart failure, about 2.3 times the risk in the top quarter of BUN in one cohort.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 541 patients admitted for decompensated heart failure, the risk of death rose with each quartile of BUN, with an adjusted relative risk of 2.3 (95% CI 1.3 to 4.1) in the top against the bottom quartile [6]. In a US registry of heart failure admissions, a BUN of 43 mg/dL or above on admission was the single strongest predictor of death in hospital among 39 variables examined [4]. In older Medicare patients, adjusted 1-year mortality rose 3% per 5 mg/dL of BUN after a heart attack and 7% per 5 mg/dL in heart failure, with risk climbing steadily above 17 mg/dL and 16 mg/dL [7].
- Population
- 541 patients, mean age 63, followed for a mean of 343 days [6]. 33,046 hospitalizations in the derivation cohort and 32,229 in the validation cohort, mean age 72.5 [4]. 44,437 patients hospitalized for heart attack and 56,652 for heart failure, aged 65 or older [7].
- Sources
- [6], [4], [7]
- Caveats
- Observational, in people already in hospital with heart disease. The authors of the first study suggest that a raised BUN in this setting reflects reduced blood flow to the kidneys from the heart failure itself [6]. These cut points were derived to predict death in hospital patients and are not reference ranges.
Lowering blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 9/5.5 mm Hg at standard dose, similar to the other main classes of blood pressure drug.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 354 placebo-controlled trials, calcium channel blockers lowered blood pressure by about the same amount as thiazides, beta-blockers, ACE inhibitors and ARBs, on average 9.1 mm Hg systolic and 5.5 mm Hg diastolic at standard dose and 7.1/4.4 mm Hg at half dose. Symptoms attributed to calcium channel blockers rose with dose [1]. In older adults with isolated systolic hypertension, treatment starting with the dihydropyridine nitrendipine lowered blood pressure by 10.1/4.5 mm Hg more than placebo at 2 years [2].
- Population
- About 40,000 treated and 16,000 placebo participants in 354 trials of five drug classes [1]; 4,695 adults over 60 with systolic pressure of 160 to 219 mm Hg [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The pooled analysis reports the class as a whole and does not separate the two subgroups [1]. The trial is of a dihydropyridine, with enalapril and hydrochlorothiazide added as needed [2].
Stroke and heart events against placebo
Shown to lower stroke from 3.4% to 1.9% and total cardiovascular events from 8.0% to 5.7% against placebo, with no significant change in deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review found first-line calcium channel blockers lowered stroke (3.4% with control against 1.9%, RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.84) and total cardiovascular events (8.0% against 5.7%, RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.87). Coronary heart disease (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.55 to 1.09) and mortality (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.09) did not differ significantly [3]. In the Syst-Eur trial of nitrendipine-based treatment, stroke fell from 13.7 to 7.9 events per 1,000 patient-years (42% reduction) and all cardiovascular endpoints fell 31%, with no significant change in all-cause mortality [2].
- Population
- Adults with moderate to severe primary hypertension, mean age 56, within a review of 24 trials and 58,040 people across drug classes [3]; 4,695 adults over 60 with isolated systolic hypertension, median 2 years [2].
- Sources
- [3], [2]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors rated this evidence low quality [3]. The trial evidence is for a dihydropyridine [2].
Angina and coronary artery disease
Shown to lower hospital stays for angina and artery procedures in coronary disease, with no change in deaths. The trials tested amlodipine and nifedipine.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In CAMELOT, a first cardiovascular event occurred in 16.6% on amlodipine and 23.1% on placebo over a mean 19 months (HR 0.691, 95% CI 0.540 to 0.884), mostly through fewer hospitalizations for angina and fewer revascularization procedures [8]. In ACTION, long-acting nifedipine did not change the main composite of death, heart attack, refractory angina, heart failure, stroke and peripheral revascularization (4.60 against 4.75 per 100 patient-years, HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.07) or deaths (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.25). Death or any cardiovascular event or procedure was less frequent (9.32 against 10.50 per 100 patient-years, HR 0.89), mainly from less coronary angiography and intervention [9].
- Population
- 1,318 people with coronary artery disease on angiography assigned to amlodipine 5 to 10 mg or placebo [8]; 7,665 people with treated stable angina, mean 4.9 years [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Both drugs are dihydropyridines. The diltiazem label also lists angina as an approved use, and its trial data were not sourced for this block [10].
Raynaud's attacks
Shown to lower Raynaud's attacks by about 3 to 6 a week against placebo, with a small drop in attack severity.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 23 trials, calcium channel blockers lowered attacks by about 6 a week (WMD -6.13, 95% CI -6.60 to -5.67) from 13.7 a week on placebo, with very high heterogeneity (I² 98%). With one outlying trial removed, the reduction was 2.93 a week (95% CI -3.44 to -2.43). Attack severity fell by 0.62 cm on a 10 cm scale in 16 trials, and attack duration did not differ significantly [12].
- Population
- 528 people with primary or secondary Raynaud's phenomenon in 23 trials, within a review of 38 trials and 982 participants averaging 7.4 weeks [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Moderate quality evidence, downgraded for inconsistency. Most trials were small crossover studies. The abstract does not break results out by drug subgroup [12].
Death and cardiovascular disease
Linked to slightly more deaths and cardiovascular disease at higher calcium, 13% more deaths per standard deviation, in pooled studies of people without a calcium disorder.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a systematic review of studies in people selected neither for kidney disease nor for abnormal calcium, 5 of 11 studies reported a significant positive association between serum calcium and death, and 8 of 13 between serum calcium and cardiovascular disease. Pooled across 8 studies each, the hazard ratio per standard deviation of serum calcium was 1.13 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.18) for death and 1.08 (1.04 to 1.13) for cardiovascular disease. With hazard ratios adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, the pooled figure for cardiovascular disease was 1.04 (1.01 to 1.08) [5].
- Population
- Longitudinal studies with at least 1 year of follow-up, located in a search to December 2014 [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors state that these data cannot determine causality [5]. The abstract gives no total head count.
Coronary artery disease in a genetic study
Shown in a genetic study to go with more coronary artery disease, 25% higher odds for each 0.5 mg/dL of genetically higher calcium.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Using 6 gene variants related to serum calcium, the odds ratio per 0.5 mg/dL of genetically predicted higher calcium, about 1 standard deviation, was 1.25 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.45) for coronary artery disease and 1.24 (1.05 to 1.46) for heart attack [6].
- Population
- 184,305 individuals, 60,801 with coronary artery disease and 123,504 without [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Mendelian randomization. The 6 variants explained about 0.8% of the variation in serum calcium. The estimate describes lifelong genetic exposure, and the authors state that whether it carries over to shorter exposures is unknown [6].
Blood flow and blood vessel function
Shown to raise flow-mediated dilation, a measure of artery widening, in middle-aged and older adults. Arterial stiffness did not change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 8 RCTs (176 participants), L-citrulline raised flow-mediated dilation, a measure of artery widening (mean difference 1.81, 95% CI 0.76 to 2.85), and did not change pulse wave velocity, a measure of arterial stiffness (-0.14, 95% CI -0.45 to 0.17). Watermelon changed neither [12]. In the postmenopausal review, 2 of 4 trials found flow-mediated dilation improved, and arterial stiffness findings were mixed [9].
- Population
- Middle-aged and older adults [12]; postmenopausal women [9].
- Sources
- [12], [9]
- Caveats
- Small trials. These are measures of vessel function, not heart attacks or strokes.
High blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure: in one trial 50% of men on clonidine reached goal against 25% on placebo, similar to other drug classes, with more stopping for intolerance.
Compared with placebo [1][2]; hydrochlorothiazide, atenolol, captopril, diltiazem and prazosin [1]; spironolactone as a fourth drug [3]
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In a trial of six drugs, 50% on clonidine reached and kept the diastolic goal at one year, against 25% on placebo, 59% on diltiazem, 51% on atenolol, 46% on hydrochlorothiazide and 42% on captopril or prazosin. Drug intolerance was more frequent with clonidine (14%) [1]. With a clonidine patch, blood pressure was controlled in 11 of 15 people against 4 of 15 on placebo [2]. In resistant hypertension, office blood pressure control was similar with clonidine (29.3%) and spironolactone (33.3%), while spironolactone lowered 24-hour blood pressure more [3].
- Population
- 1,292 men with diastolic pressure 95 to 109 mm Hg, 48% Black, followed at least one year [1]; 30 adults with mild hypertension over 5 weeks [2]; adults with resistant hypertension on three drugs [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- No meta-analysis of clonidine for blood pressure was located. The six-drug trial enrolled men only [1]. These trials measured blood pressure, not heart attacks or strokes.
Heart failure
Shown to lower deaths and heart failure hospitalizations in people with heart failure on standard therapy. The largest trial was funded by a CoQ10 maker.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 33 RCTs, CoQ10 was associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.85, moderate quality) and hospitalization for heart failure (RR 0.50), and 31.7 m more on the 6-minute walk test [6]. In Q-SYMBIO, 420 patients on 100 mg three times a day for 2 years had fewer major cardiovascular events (15% versus 26%, HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.80) and lower all-cause mortality (10% versus 18%). Short-term endpoints at 16 weeks did not change [7].
- Population
- Patients with heart failure on standard therapy [6][7].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Q-SYMBIO was funded by Kaneka Corp., a CoQ10 manufacturer, and the International Coenzyme Q10 Association [7]. Several pooled outcomes were rated low quality [6].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 3.4 mmHg in adults. Diastolic pressure did not change, and no change was seen in people with diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 45 RCTs, CoQ10 lowered systolic pressure by 3.44 mmHg (95% CI -5.13 to -1.55). Diastolic pressure and heart rate did not change significantly [8].
- Population
- Adults in 48 effect sizes [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- Larger reductions in subgroups with lower doses and longer trials [8]. In 20 RCTs in people with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes, systolic and diastolic pressure did not change [9].
Heart rate variability
Shown to raise heart rate variability for up to 15 minutes after cold exposure in healthy adults, alongside a slightly lower heart rate and slightly higher blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 24 studies of cold water immersion and cryostimulation, heart rate variability indices rose after exposure, including RMSSD (SMD 0.61) and high-frequency power (SMD 0.46), persisting up to 15 minutes. Heart rate fell (SMD -0.16) and mean blood pressure rose (SMD 0.28) [13]. An umbrella review of post-exercise studies also reported better heart rate variability immediately after immersion [6].
- Population
- Healthy participants in 24 studies [13].
- Sources
- [13], [6]
- Caveats
- The pooled analysis mixes cold water immersion with whole-body and partial-body cryostimulation. Effects were measured within minutes, and the authors note they depend on individual characteristics and cooling technique [13].
Stroke, heart attack and cardiovascular death at higher levels
Linked to more strokes and cardiovascular deaths at higher serum copper in two meta-analyses of cohorts, while a genetic study pointed the other way for heart disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 17 cohort studies, higher circulating copper went with more stroke (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.78), coronary artery disease death (RR 2.77, 1.82 to 4.19) and cardiovascular death (RR 1.79, 1.52 to 2.11), and not with acute myocardial infarction (RR 2.01, 0.63 to 6.47). Per 20 µg/dL higher copper, the odds ratio for stroke was 1.23 (1.14 to 1.33) and the hazard ratio for cardiovascular death was 1.28 (1.07 to 1.53) [7]. A second meta-analysis, comparing the highest with the lowest category, found pooled odds ratios of 1.49 (1.22 to 1.82) for stroke, 1.31 (1.17 to 1.46) for myocardial infarction and 1.60 (1.39 to 1.86) for cardiovascular death [8]. A Mendelian randomization study found the reverse direction: genetically predicted copper was associated with less ischemic heart disease (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.90 to 0.98) [9].
- Population
- 47,813 people in 17 cohort studies [7]. 41,322 participants in 16 observational studies [8]. Up to 76,014 cases of ischemic heart disease and 264,785 controls [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational, and the two meta-analyses share studies and disagree on myocardial infarction. Serum copper rises with inflammation because ceruloplasmin is an acute phase protein [3][4], so a higher level may mark inflammation already present. The genetic study used variants tied to copper in red blood cells, not serum copper, and its authors call for further investigation [9]. No trial that lowered serum copper and counted cardiovascular events was located.
High blood pressure
Linked to 6% lower high blood pressure for each extra 200 g a day of milk or low-fat dairy, in pooled cohorts.
Compared with 200 g a day less milk or low-fat dairy, in a dose-response model [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Each extra 200 g a day was linked to lower hypertension for low-fat dairy (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.90 to 0.98) and milk (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.92 to 0.97). Total dairy showed a nonlinear association [9].
- Population
- Cohort studies within a review of 42 articles [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. One review.
Blood vessel function and insulin resistance
Shown to improve blood vessel widening and lower insulin resistance in short trials of chocolate or cocoa, in one meta-analysis rated low to moderate quality.
Compared with control conditions the abstract does not describe [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Flow-mediated dilation rose 1.34% (95% CI 1.00 to 1.68) with regular intake and 3.19% after a single dose. HOMA-IR fell 0.67 (95% CI 0.36 to 0.98) through lower serum insulin. Changes in LDL cholesterol (-0.07 mmol/L, 95% CI -0.13 to 0.00) and HDL cholesterol were of borderline significance [3].
- Population
- 1,297 participants in 42 trials of up to 18 weeks [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- The authors rated the evidence low to moderate quality and called for larger, longer, independently funded trials [3].
Heart disease, stroke and diabetes in cohorts
Linked to about 20% lower rates of cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, stroke and diabetes in cohort studies, at low certainty.
Compared with people who followed DASH less closely [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 15 prospective cohorts (942,140 people), closer adherence to DASH was linked to lower cardiovascular disease (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.85), coronary heart disease (RR 0.79), stroke (RR 0.81) and diabetes (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.92) [7].
- Population
- Adults in prospective cohorts, observational [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Observational. Certainty was low for cardiovascular disease incidence [7]. No trial of DASH has measured heart attacks or strokes.
Preventing repeat clots after the first months of treatment
Shown to cut repeat venous clots to 1.7% against 8.8% on placebo over a year with apixaban, and to 1.2% to 1.5% against 4.4% on aspirin with rivaroxaban.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- After 6 to 12 months of earlier treatment, recurrent venous thromboembolism or related death occurred in 1.7% on apixaban 2.5 mg and 1.7% on 5 mg against 8.8% on placebo, a difference of about 7 percentage points. Major bleeding occurred in 0.2%, 0.1% and 0.5% [10]. With rivaroxaban, recurrence occurred in 1.5% on 20 mg and 1.2% on 10 mg against 4.4% on aspirin (HR 0.34 and 0.26), with major bleeding in 0.5%, 0.4% and 0.3% [11].
- Population
- 2,482 patients who had completed 6 to 12 months of anticoagulation [10]; 3,365 patients with venous thromboembolism treated a median 351 days [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The band above is the absolute difference of about 7 in 100 in the apixaban trial. Both trials were funded by the manufacturers and enrolled people for whom continued treatment was an open question.
Preventing clots after hip or knee replacement
Shown to prevent symptomatic clots after hip or knee replacement at least as well as enoxaparin injections, with rivaroxaban lower on clots and higher on bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against enoxaparin, the risk of symptomatic venous thromboembolism was lower with rivaroxaban (RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.75) and similar with dabigatran (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.23 to 2.12) and apixaban (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.41 to 1.64). Clinically relevant bleeding was higher with rivaroxaban (RR 1.25, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.49), similar with dabigatran (RR 1.12, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.35) and lower with apixaban (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.98) [12].
- Population
- 38,747 patients in 16 trials [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- The treatments did not differ on the net clinical endpoint. Edoxaban was not included [12].
Heart disease, stroke, heart failure and hospital admission
Linked to more coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation and hospital admissions at lower eGFR in an analysis of 114 cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In an individual-participant meta-analysis, lower eGFR was significantly associated with higher risk of each of 10 outcomes studied, among them coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, peripheral artery disease and any hospitalization. Among people with a urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio below 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 against 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 went with more hospitalizations (adjusted HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.3), 161 against 79 events per 1,000 person-years [7].
- Population
- 27,503,140 individuals from 114 global cohorts with creatinine-based eGFR, and 720,736 from 20 cohorts with eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, from 1980 to 2021 [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Observational and retrospective. The analysis used the 2021 CKD-EPI equations. Confounding by age and other illness may remain after adjustment [7].
Ezetimibe added to a statin: heart attacks and strokes
Shown to lower heart attacks, strokes and related events about 6% when added to a statin, 267 against 284 per 1,000, mostly in people with recent heart disease.
Compared with a statin alone or with placebo [3][4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Adding ezetimibe to a statin lowered major cardiovascular events (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.90 to 0.98), from 284 to 267 per 1,000, nonfatal heart attack (RR 0.88, 105 to 92 per 1,000) and nonfatal stroke (RR 0.83, 32 to 27 per 1,000) [3]. In the largest trial, the 7-year event rate was 32.7% on simvastatin with ezetimibe and 34.7% on simvastatin alone (HR 0.936, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.99), an absolute difference of 2.0 points [4].
- Population
- 21,727 people in 10 trials, mostly with established heart disease [3]; 18,144 patients within 10 days of an acute coronary syndrome, median follow-up 6 years [4].
- Sources
- [3], [4]
- Caveats
- The pooled result is driven by one trial, which carried 41.5% to 98.4% of the weight [3]. That trial was funded by the maker [4]. Evidence for people without heart disease and for ezetimibe alone is limited [3].
High blood pressure and stroke
Linked to more new high blood pressure, 63% more in the highest against the lowest fasting insulin group across 10 cohorts, and not linked to stroke.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Comparing the highest with the lowest group of fasting insulin, the pooled relative risk was 1.63 (95% CI 1.35 to 1.97) for hypertension and 1.18 (0.87 to 1.60) for stroke. Each 50 pmol/L higher fasting insulin went with a relative risk of 1.25 (1.14 to 1.36) for hypertension and 0.999 (0.99 to 1.01) for stroke [11].
- Population
- 36,617 people and 4,491 cases in 10 studies of hypertension, and 27,887 people and 1,550 cases in 7 studies of stroke [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Observational, from one meta-analysis, so confounding by body weight and other factors cannot be ruled out.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 4 mm Hg and diastolic by about 2 mm Hg in pooled trials.
Compared with normal diets, a meal replacement, continuous energy restriction, a Mediterranean diet, a placebo or a supplement [1]; an unrestricted diet, in generally healthy US adults [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic pressure fell 4.148 mm Hg (95% CI -7.584 to -0.711) and diastolic 2.263 mm Hg (95% CI -4.162 to -0.364) [1]. Three cycles lowered blood pressure against an unrestricted diet [5].
- Population
- 11 trials [1]; 100 generally healthy adults [5].
- Sources
- [1], [5]
- Caveats
- Other cardiovascular risk factors did not change significantly in the pooled analysis [1].
Blood pressure (quercetin alone)
Shown to lower blood pressure about 3 mmHg systolic and 2.6 mmHg diastolic with quercetin alone, mainly above 500 mg a day.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 7 trials, quercetin lowered systolic pressure by 3.04 mmHg (95% CI -5.75 to -0.33) and diastolic pressure by 2.63 mmHg (95% CI -3.26 to -2.01). The effect appeared limited to, or larger at, more than 500 mg a day [9].
- Population
- 587 patients in 7 RCTs with 9 arms [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One meta-analysis from 2016. This is quercetin taken alone, not as a senolytic.
Atrial fibrillation
Linked to more atrial fibrillation at higher free T4 inside the reference range: 45% higher risk in the top quarter than the bottom quarter in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among people with a TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L in 11 pooled cohorts, the hazard ratio for new atrial fibrillation was 1.45 (95% CI 1.26 to 1.66) for the highest quartile of free T4 against the lowest, with a significant trend across quartiles. TSH itself was not associated [7]. In older US adults whose thyroid tests were all in the reference range, higher free T4 was associated with atrial fibrillation (P below 0.001), and the top quartile had 11.0 more cases per 1,000 person-years than the bottom quartile [8].
- Population
- 30,085 adults in 11 prospective cohorts, 2,574 new cases of atrial fibrillation [7]. 2,843 older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study not taking thyroid medication [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational. Quartiles were set within each cohort, so the finding is not tied to one ng/dL value [7].
Cardiovascular disease and death
Linked in a J shape: risk of cardiovascular disease and death was lowest at the 20th to 40th percentiles of free T4, and the top fifth had 34% more deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In pooled data on 134,346 adults, risk was lowest at the 20th to 40th percentiles of free T4, medians of 13.5 to 14.8 pmol/L. Against that band, the top fifth had hazard ratios of 1.20 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.31) for cardiovascular events or death combined, 1.34 (1.20 to 1.49) for death from any cause, 1.57 (1.31 to 1.89) for cardiovascular death and 1.22 (1.11 to 1.33) for cardiovascular events [9]. In older US adults with thyroid tests in the reference range, the top quartile of free T4 had more coronary heart disease, heart failure and deaths than the bottom quartile, by 8.0, 7.8 and 14.3 per 1,000 person-years [8].
- Population
- 134,346 adults in 26 cohorts, median age 59 [9]. 2,843 older adults [8].
- Sources
- [9], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational, so illness that shifts free T4 before an event cannot be ruled out. The pooled figures are adjusted for age and sex, and the percentile medians are printed in pmol/L [9].
Heart attack, stroke and death from any cause
Linked to more heart attacks and deaths at high levels in US and Swedish cohorts, and to slightly more deaths at the lowest levels.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a US cohort followed for two decades, elevated fructosamine and glycated albumin were each significantly associated with coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure and death after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. The associations were similar in size to those for HbA1c and tended to be J-shaped, with raised risk at the lowest levels as well [7]. In a Swedish cohort, the hazard ratio in people above 2.70 mmol/L on that cohort's scale, against its reference range, was 2.88 (95% CI 2.70 to 3.07) for heart attack and 2.31 (2.21 to 2.41) for death from any cause, and the associations weakened but remained after adjustment for glucose [8]. Among Swedish adults without diabetes, the lowest tenth of fructosamine had a hazard ratio for death of 1.20 against the middle eight tenths, falling to 1.11 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.15) after adjustment for six other blood markers [9].
- Population
- 11,104 adults with and without diabetes, with 1,096 new cases of coronary heart disease, 605 ischemic strokes, 1,432 cases of heart failure and 2,860 deaths [7]. 338,443 people followed 19 years on average, with 21,526 heart attacks and 73,458 deaths [8]. 215,011 people without diabetes, 41,388 deaths over 25 years [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. The Swedish cohort reported fructosamine in mmol/L on a scale about ten times this page's, so its cut points are not placed here. Its authors found that smoking and chronic inflammation at least partly explained the higher mortality at low fructosamine [9]. No source here tested whether lowering fructosamine changes these outcomes, and a laboratory guideline states that treatment goals have not been established [2].
Heart disease and stroke
Linked to more cardiovascular disease, 23% higher risk per standard deviation of log GGT in a meta-analysis of 29 cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 29 prospective cohorts, the fully adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular disease was 1.23 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.29) per standard deviation of log baseline GGT, in a log-linear pattern [9]. In US adults, GGT above 51 U/L in men or 33 U/L in women was not significantly associated with cardiovascular death (HR 1.3, 95% CI 0.80 to 2.0) [4].
- Population
- Over 1.23 million participants and 20,406 cardiovascular outcomes in 29 cohorts, which also covered other liver enzymes [9]. 14,950 US adults [4].
- Sources
- [9], [4]
- Caveats
- Observational. The cohorts cannot separate GGT from alcohol intake, body weight and other factors that move with it, beyond the adjustments each study made.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 2.4 mmHg in overweight adults, in one meta-analysis of 3 small trials.
Compared with control groups in 3 randomized trials [2]; a control diet low in fruits and vegetables [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pooled across 3 trials, systolic blood pressure fell more with grapefruit than with controls (MD -2.43 mmHg, 95% CI -4.77 to -0.09, I² 0%) [2]. In the 6-week trial, blood pressure did not differ between groups, and systolic pressure fell 3.21 mmHg from baseline in the grapefruit group (P = .03) [4].
- Population
- 250 overweight and obese adults in 3 trials [2]. 74 overweight adults [4].
- Sources
- [2], [4]
- Caveats
- The upper end of the pooled interval sits close to zero, and the trials were short [2]. The 6-week trial found no difference against its control group [4].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 2 mmHg in pooled trials of green tea drinks and extracts, with no separate result for the drink.
Compared with control groups, including placebo capsules, water and low-catechin green tea drinks [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic pressure fell by 1.98 mmHg (95% CI 1.01 to 2.94) and diastolic by 1.92 mmHg (95% CI 0.68 to 3.17). Falls were larger in people with stage 1 hypertension (3.52 mmHg systolic) and were seen only in trials that removed the effect of caffeine, used lower polyphenol doses or lasted longer [5].
- Population
- 1,367 participants in 13 randomized trials, several using green tea drinks [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- The pooled trials mixed drinks and capsules. Polyphenol doses ranged from 208 to 1,207 mg a day [5].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 2 mmHg in adults, more with extracts and in those starting at 130 mmHg or higher.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 13 studies, green tea lowered systolic pressure by 2.08 mmHg (95% CI -3.06 to -1.05) and diastolic by 1.71 mmHg (95% CI -2.86 to -0.56). Reductions were larger with baseline systolic pressure of 130 mmHg or more and with extracts [4].
- Population
- Adults in RCTs from 1995 to 2013 [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- One meta-analysis.
Weight and metabolic markers (spirulina or chlorella alone)
Shown to lower weight about 1 to 1.3 kg with spirulina or chlorella alone in adults. Reviews disagree on chlorella and cholesterol.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 17 RCTs in adults, spirulina lowered body weight by 1.07 kg, BMI by 0.40 and body fat by 0.84 percentage points, with no significant change in waist circumference [6]. In 24 studies, chlorella lowered weight by 1.28 kg (95% CI -2.00 to -0.56), body fat by 0.73 points, LDL by 6.20 mg/dL and total cholesterol by 8.03 mg/dL [7]. A 2025 meta-analysis of 21 RCTs found chlorella had no effect on blood pressure or blood lipids. Spirulina lowered diastolic pressure by a small amount (-0.42, 95% CI -0.81 to -0.02) without a significant lipid change [8].
- Population
- Adults in RCTs of single-algae supplements [6][7][8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- These trials tested spirulina or chlorella alone, not multi-ingredient greens blends. Certainty in [7] was very low for most outcomes and low for BMI. The reviews disagree on chlorella and lipids [7][8]. The authors of [8] call the blood pressure effect small and of uncertain clinical significance.
Resting heart rate variability with training guided by daily readings
Shown to raise resting heart rate variability more than a fixed training plan in one meta-analysis, with no difference in resting heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Training guided by heart rate variability raised vagal-related heart rate variability indices more than predefined training (SMD 0.50, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.91). Resting heart rate did not differ (SMD 0.04, 95% CI -0.34 to 0.43) [23].
- Population
- Adults in endurance training trials [23].
- Sources
- [23]
- Caveats
- The outcome is the same measure used to steer the training. The authors note that index choice, recording position and baseline methods differed between trials [23].
Heart rate variability at rest, Polar H10 chest strap
Shown to match ECG for beat-to-beat intervals and time-domain heart rate variability at rest in healthy adults across three studies, with error under 1% in the largest.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Polar H10 chest strap
- Compared with
- Laboratory ECG [7][8]. Visual inspection of the raw ECG signal alongside a Holter monitor [9].
- Effect
- In 43 adults, agreement with ECG for mean RR interval, RMSSD and SDNN gave concordance of 0.99 or higher, mean absolute percentage error under 1% and limits of agreement no wider than -1.5 to 1.7 ms [7]. In 25 adults, resting values did not differ from ECG, and during a cycling ramp the bias in RR intervals was under 1 ms, while a nonlinear index (DFA a1) showed limits of agreement from -40.9 to 58.1% at high intensity [8]. In 10 adults across five activities, the strap correctly detected 99.6% of RR intervals overall and 99.4% during high-intensity activity [9].
- Population
- 43 healthy adults aged 18 to 39 [7]. 25 recreationally active men and women [8]. 10 healthy individuals [9].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Healthy young and active adults in short protocols. One study was supported by a grant from Polar Electro [9].
Nighttime heart rate variability, Oura Ring
Shown to track nightly average RMSSD closely against ECG in healthy adults across three studies, with larger errors over 5 minute windows and in older adults.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Oura Ring, generation not stated [17][18]. Oura Ring Generation 3 [19].
- Compared with
- Chest ECG worn overnight
- Effect
- In 35 adults monitored at home, 5 minute RMSSD correlated 0.915 with ECG with a mean bias of -14.97 ms, and night averages showed lower error than 5 minute values. Low frequency power and the low to high frequency ratio had high error in both tests [17]. In 49 adults, nightly average heart rate variability agreed with ECG (r² 0.980, mean bias -1.2 ms), and 5 minute segments agreed less closely (r² 0.765) [18]. In 114 adults, agreement improved when at least 80% of beats in a segment were valid and values were averaged over 30 minutes or more, and more than half of participants aged 45 or older exceeded 10% median absolute percentage error for heart rate variability [19].
- Population
- 35 healthy adults at home [17]. 49 adults aged 15 to 72 [18]. 92 adults under 45 and 22 aged 45 or older in two laboratory sleep studies [19].
- Sources
- [17], [18], [19]
- Caveats
- The lead author of one study was affiliated with Oura Health [18]. In two separate multi-device studies, Oura rings underestimated heart rate variability by 10.2 ms (Generation 2) and showed 6 to 7% error (Generations 3 and 4) [14][16].
Death from any cause
Linked to more deaths at both low and high hematocrit in an Iranian cohort of 49,983 adults and in the Framingham cohort.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 49,983 Iranian adults followed for a mean of 5 years, the relation between hematocrit and death was U-shaped in both sexes. In women, against 35% to 39%, adjusted hazard ratios for death were 2.12 (95% CI 1.26 to 3.58) at 15% to 29%, 1.58 (1.29 to 1.93) at 45% to 49% and 2.05 (1.17 to 3.60) at 50% to 54%. In men, against 40% to 44%, they were 2.12 (1.30 to 3.45) at 15% to 29%, 1.64 (1.22 to 2.21) at 30% to 34% and 1.29 (1.04 to 1.61) at 50% to 54%. Deaths from cardiovascular disease followed the same pattern [7]. In the Framingham cohort over 34 years, people in the highest fifth of hematocrit had more deaths from any cause and more cardiovascular disease, and women with lower values also had more cardiovascular events, which the authors describe as a J-shaped or U-shaped relation [8].
- Population
- 49,983 adults aged 40 to 75 in the Golestan Cohort Study in northeast Iran, 2,262 deaths [7]. 5,209 men and women in the Framingham cohort [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the Iranian cohort, leaving out the first 2 years of follow-up weakened the association at low hematocrit in both sexes and removed the association at high hematocrit in men, which points to illness before death as part of the explanation. That cohort measured hematocrit by spinning blood in a tube, not by analyzer [7]. The Framingham abstract gives no hazard ratios [8].
Heart function in heart failure
Shown to raise ejection fraction and lower BNP over 2 to 4 weeks in people with heart failure, in pooled trials of 60°C far-infrared sessions.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of 7 controlled studies found that 15 minutes in a 60°C infrared sauna followed by 30 minutes of warm rest, 5 times a week for 2 to 4 weeks, was associated with lower B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), a smaller cardiothoracic ratio and higher left ventricular ejection fraction. Left ventricular and left atrial diameters and blood pressure did not change [1]. A second meta-analysis reported ejection fraction 3.27 percentage points higher and BNP 116.66 pg/mL lower after 2 to 4 weeks of sauna treatment [2]. In 188 patients, ejection fraction rose from 31.6% to 34.6% and BNP fell from 542 to 394 pg/mL after 2 weeks of daily sessions, with no significant change in controls [3].
- Population
- People with chronic heart failure in 9 controlled studies, 7 pooled [1]. Participants in 16 articles [2]. 188 patients, 112 assigned to Waon therapy and 76 to control [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- The reviewers rated the strength of evidence from moderate to insufficient, and only short-term effects were measured [1]. Nearly all trials come from Japan, many from the group that developed Waon therapy. Patients could not be blinded to heat. The searches in [1] found no eligible Finnish sauna trial in heart failure.
Walking distance and symptoms in heart failure
Shown to improve 6-minute walk distance and symptom class in people with heart failure, though the largest trial missed its main endpoint, the change in BNP.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 149 hospitalized patients with advanced heart failure, 10 daily sessions improved NYHA class, 6-minute walk distance and cardiothoracic ratio only in the Waon group. The primary endpoint, the change in BNP, did not reach statistical significance [4]. Pooled sauna studies found 6-minute walk distance 48.11 m longer after 2 to 4 weeks [2]. In 41 patients, walk distance rose from 337 to 379 m after 3 weeks [5]. In 49 patients, physical and mental quality of life scores on the SF-36 improved after 3 weeks [6].
- Population
- 76 Waon and 73 control patients at 19 Japanese institutes, mean age 66 [4]. Participants in 16 articles [2]. 41 patients [5] and 49 patients [6] with chronic heart failure, no control groups.
- Sources
- [4], [2], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The largest trial did not meet its primary endpoint [4]. Walking and symptom measures depend on effort and expectation, and no trial was blinded. Two of the studies had no control group [5][6].
Weight, blood sugar and lipids
Shown to lower BMI slightly, about 0.6 kg/m², and glucose, triglycerides and blood pressure in adults across several conditions, at low certainty for some.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 18 RCTs (898 participants) of at least 4 weeks, inositol lowered BMI by 0.57 kg/m² (95% CI -1.10 to -0.03), waist circumference by 2.36 cm, glucose by 7.25 mg/dL, HOMA-IR by 1.21, triglycerides by 29.80 mg/dL, LDL cholesterol by 5.15 mg/dL, and systolic and diastolic pressure by 5.34 and 6.12 mm Hg [11].
- Population
- Adults in RCTs across several conditions [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Certainty was low to very low for BMI, waist and blood pressure, and moderate for glucose, insulin and HOMA-IR. Heterogeneity was high for most outcomes, and the authors note a high risk of bias in the trials [11].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure by about 2 mm Hg against unrestricted eating in adults without diabetes, more in those starting with high pressure.
Compared with eating every day, with no fasting days or daily fasting window
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Time-restricted eating without calorie restriction lowered systolic pressure by 1.79 mm Hg (95% CI -3.30 to -0.27), diastolic by 1.75 mm Hg (95% CI -3.07 to -0.43) and heart rate by 2.19 beats a minute, with larger falls when baseline pressure was high [11]. An early 8-hour window plus calorie restriction lowered diastolic pressure 4 mm Hg (95% CI -8 to 0) more than calorie restriction with a 12-hour window [6]. Blood pressure did not differ between an 8-hour window, calorie restriction and control in type 2 diabetes [12], nor between time-restricted eating with calorie restriction and calorie restriction alone [3].
- Population
- 11 trials with 653 adults without diabetes [11]; 90 adults with obesity over 14 weeks [6]; 75 adults with type 2 diabetes [12]; 139 adults with obesity [3].
- Sources
- [3], [6], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- The pooled falls are small. When calorie intake was matched, blood pressure did not differ [3].
Heart attack, stroke and other cardiovascular disease in cohort studies
Linked to more cardiovascular disease at higher levels, about 2.5 times the rate in the top against the bottom fifth of 27,673 US women.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In initially healthy US women, the adjusted hazard ratio for cardiovascular disease in the top against the bottom fifth was 2.51 (95% CI 1.91 to 3.30) for LDL particle number, 2.57 (1.98 to 3.33) for ApoB, 2.52 (1.95 to 3.25) for non-HDL cholesterol and 1.74 (1.40 to 2.16) for LDL cholesterol. Adding LDL particle number to a model with the total to HDL cholesterol ratio and other risk factors reclassified essentially no one, and the authors called its prediction comparable but not superior to standard lipids or apolipoproteins [4]. In a multi-ethnic US cohort, the hazard ratio per standard deviation was 1.32 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.47) for LDL particle number and 1.20 (1.08 to 1.34) for LDL cholesterol [5]. In a later analysis of that cohort, the top against the bottom quarter had a hazard ratio for coronary heart disease of 1.77 (95% CI 1.21 to 2.58), which weakened after adjustment for the standard lipid panel [8]. A laboratory medicine working group reviewed 25 studies with 85 outcomes in which both markers were measured, and found LDL particle number and ApoB each significantly associated with the outcome in 50 comparisons and neither in 17 [3].
- Population
- 27,673 women followed 11 years, 1,015 events [4]. Participants in a cohort of 6,814 adults aged 45 to 84, 319 events over 5.5 years [5]. 4,679 participants of the same cohort [8]. 25 clinical studies [3].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [8], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational. None of the studies here assigned treatment by LDL particle number, so they do not show what happens to events when it is lowered. The multi-ethnic cohort analysis was written with employees of the company that ran the test [5].
Heart disease when LDL particle number and LDL cholesterol disagree
Linked to coronary events when the two disagree: women with low LDL cholesterol and high LDL particle number had about 2.3 times the risk of women low on both.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among 27,533 healthy women split at the medians, 24.3% had LDL particle number and LDL cholesterol on opposite sides. Among women with LDL cholesterol below the median of 121 mg/dL, those with LDL particle number at or above its median had an age-adjusted hazard ratio for coronary events of 2.32 (95% CI 1.88 to 2.85) against women low on both. Among women with LDL cholesterol at or above the median, those with a low LDL particle number had a hazard ratio of 0.42 (0.33 to 0.53). The same pattern held for ApoB (2.48 and 0.34) and non-HDL cholesterol (2.92 and 0.40) [9]. In a multi-ethnic cohort, among people whose two values differed by 12 percentile points or more, LDL particle number was associated with cardiovascular events (HR 1.45 per standard deviation, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.78) and LDL cholesterol was not (1.07, 0.88 to 1.30) [5]. In the Framingham Offspring cohort, people below the 25th percentile of LDL particle number had 59 events per 1,000 person-years, against 81 for those equally low on LDL cholesterol [10].
- Population
- 27,533 women, median follow-up 17.2 years, 1,070 coronary events [9]. Participants in a cohort of 6,814 adults, 319 events [5]. 3,066 middle-aged white adults followed a median 14.8 years, 531 events [10].
- Sources
- [9], [5], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. High and low were defined by each cohort's own medians or percentiles, not by a fixed cut point. After adjustment for HDL cholesterol, triglycerides and other factors, risk in the women's cohort remained under or overestimated by about 20% to 50% [9].
Aortic valve stenosis
Linked to more aortic valve stenosis in cohort and genetic studies, about 3 times more at levels above 90 mg/dL in 77,680 Danish adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against levels below 5 mg/dL, adjusted hazard ratios for aortic valve stenosis were 1.6 (95% CI 1.1 to 2.4) at 20 to 64 mg/dL, 2.0 (1.2 to 3.4) at 65 to 90 mg/dL and 2.9 (1.8 to 4.9) above 90 mg/dL. Genetic analysis gave a relative risk of 1.6 (95% CI 1.2 to 2.1) for a 10-fold higher lipoprotein(a) [15]. In a genome-wide study, one LPA variant was associated with aortic valve calcification (odds ratio per allele 2.05), with incident aortic stenosis (HR per allele 1.68, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.15) and with aortic valve replacement (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.27) [16].
- Population
- 77,680 Danish adults followed for up to 20 years, 454 diagnosed with aortic valve stenosis [15]. 6,942 people with CT scans in the discovery cohorts, with replication in further cohorts [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16]
- Caveats
- The cohort reported mass units (mg/dL), which do not convert to nmol/L by a fixed factor. The cohort analysis is observational, and the genetic analyses estimate the effect of lifelong differences [15][16].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 8/4 mm Hg more than placebo in high blood pressure, an estimate the review authors called likely too high.
Compared with placebo [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Loop diuretics lowered systolic blood pressure 7.9 mm Hg (95% CI 5.4 to 10.4) and diastolic 4.4 mm Hg (95% CI 2.8 to 5.9) more than placebo, with no meaningful difference between drugs in the class. Withdrawals for adverse effects and blood chemistry changes did not differ significantly [9]. Torsemide 5 to 10 mg once a day lowered blood pressure in label trials, near maximal by 4 to 6 weeks [1].
- Population
- 460 people with baseline blood pressure 162/103 mm Hg in 9 trials, mean 8.8 weeks, including furosemide 40 to 60 mg [9]; hypertension trials in the label [1].
- Sources
- [9], [1]
- Caveats
- Low quality evidence with likely publication bias. No trial measured heart attacks, strokes or deaths [9]. The furosemide label says people not controlled on thiazides will probably not be controlled on furosemide alone [10].
Blood pressure, in cohorts and in trials of magnesium supplements
Shown in trials: magnesium supplements that raised serum magnesium by 0.05 mmol/L lowered blood pressure by about 2 mm Hg over a median 3 months.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials, magnesium at a median 368 mg a day for a median 3 months lowered systolic blood pressure by 2.00 mm Hg (95% CI 0.43 to 3.58) and diastolic by 1.78 mm Hg (95% CI 0.73 to 2.82). Serum magnesium rose by 0.05 mmol/L (95% CI 0.03 to 0.07), about 0.12 mg/dL, compared with placebo [10]. In cohorts, each 0.1 mmol/L higher circulating magnesium was associated with a 4% lower incidence of hypertension (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.99) [8].
- Population
- 2,028 adults with normal or high blood pressure in 34 trials [10]. 14,876 participants in 3 cohorts, 3,149 cases, average follow-up 6.7 years [8].
- Sources
- [10], [8]
- Caveats
- The trial authors note that residual heterogeneity may remain. The trials ran for months and measured blood pressure, not heart attack or stroke [10].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower office blood pressure by about 5 to 9 mm Hg systolic in pooled trials. One review found no significant fall in out-of-office readings.
Compared with control groups the source abstract does not describe [11]; control arms the source abstract does not describe [12]; treatment as usual, waiting list, and active programs such as relaxation training, yoga, social support and health education [13]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Transcendental Meditation lowered systolic pressure by 4.7 mm Hg (95% CI -7.4 to -1.9) and diastolic by 3.2 mm Hg (95% CI -5.4 to -1.3) against control in 9 trials, with similar results in high-quality trials and people with hypertension [11]. Mindfulness-based stress reduction lowered office systolic pressure by 6.64 mm Hg and diastolic by 2.47 mm Hg after the program, with no significant reduction in 24-hour, daytime or asleep pressure [12]. Across 12 trials of mindfulness programs, systolic pressure fell 9.12 mm Hg (95% CI -12.18 to -6.05) and diastolic 5.66 mm Hg. Against waiting list alone the difference was not significant [13]. An American Heart Association statement rated Transcendental Meditation Class IIB and other meditation techniques Class III for lowering blood pressure [14].
- Population
- 9 randomized trials [11]. 12 trials in people with elevated blood pressure or hypertension [12]. 715 people with prehypertension or hypertension in 12 trials [13].
- Sources
- [11], [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Only one of 12 trials was at low risk of bias, and out-of-office readings came from few trials [12]. Heterogeneity was high (I² 84%) [13]. The Transcendental Meditation trials were rated from low to high quality [11].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
Shown to lower heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular deaths against minimal advice in adults at raised heart risk, with reviews disagreeing on how certain this is.
Compared with minimal intervention, such as a healthy diet brochure, and low-fat programmes, in a network meta-analysis [1]; a low-fat diet in the PREDIMED trial, and usual care in the Lyon Diet Heart Study [2]; a control diet of advice to reduce dietary fat, in Spanish adults [3]; a low-fat diet, in patients with coronary heart disease [4]; a prudent Western-type diet, in patients after a first heart attack [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a network meta-analysis of 40 trials (35,548 people), Mediterranean programs lowered all-cause death (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.92), cardiovascular death (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.78), stroke (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.93) and non-fatal heart attack (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.65) against minimal intervention, at moderate certainty. Mediterranean and low-fat programs did not clearly differ for death or non-fatal heart attack [1]. A Cochrane review found low-quality evidence of little or no effect of the PREDIMED diets against a low-fat diet on cardiovascular death (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.32) or total death (HR 1.0, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.24), and fewer strokes (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.80, moderate quality) [2]. In PREDIMED, major cardiovascular events occurred in 3.8% on the olive oil diet, 3.4% on the nut diet and 4.4% on the low-fat control diet over a median 4.8 years (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.91, and HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.95) [3]. In CORDIOPREV, events ran at 28.1 per 1,000 person-years on the Mediterranean diet against 37.7 on a low-fat diet over 7 years (adjusted HR 0.719 to 0.753) [4]. In the Lyon Diet Heart Study, cardiac death plus non-fatal heart attack totaled 14 events on a Mediterranean-type diet against 44 on a prudent Western-type diet over a mean 46 months [5].
- Population
- Adults at raised cardiovascular risk in 40 trials followed at least 9 months [1]; 30 RCTs with 12,461 people [2]; 7,447 Spanish adults aged 55 to 80 at high risk with no heart disease at entry [3]; 1,002 patients with coronary heart disease, 82.5% men [4]; 605 patients after a first heart attack [2][5].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- PREDIMED's first report was withdrawn after randomization problems at 2 of 11 sites. The reanalysis gave similar results after leaving out 1,588 affected participants [3]. The Cochrane review rated the death evidence low quality and the network meta-analysis rated it moderate [1][2]. In CORDIOPREV the effect appeared in men, and no difference was found in the 175 women [4]. CORDIOPREV was funded in part by olive oil foundations [4]. The Lyon trial added canola margarine and compared against usual care, and the Cochrane review rated it low quality [2].
Blood pressure, cholesterol and blood sugar markers
Shown to lower blood pressure about 3/2 mmHg and LDL cholesterol and HbA1c slightly in adults, at low to moderate certainty.
Compared with no or minimal intervention, and another dietary intervention the abstract does not name [2]; a low-fat diet, a low-carbohydrate diet and the American Diabetes Association diet [7]; control diets the source does not describe [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against no or minimal intervention, systolic blood pressure fell 2.99 mmHg (95% CI -3.45 to -2.53) and diastolic 2.0 mmHg (95% CI -2.29 to -1.71) at moderate quality, with little or no effect on LDL or HDL. Against other diets, LDL fell 0.15 mmol/L (95% CI -0.27 to -0.02) and triglycerides 0.09 mmol/L, with little or no effect on blood pressure [2]. In 9 RCTs (1,337 people at raised risk of diabetes or heart disease), HbA1c fell 0.18 points (95% CI -0.35 to -0.01), LDL 0.10 mmol/L and triglycerides 0.20 mmol/L. Fasting glucose, insulin, insulin resistance and HDL did not change [10]. Over 12 months or more, blood pressure and lipids changed about as much as on comparator diets [7].
- Population
- Healthy adults and adults at high cardiovascular risk [2]; adults at increased risk of type 2 diabetes and heart disease [10]; adults with overweight or obesity [7].
- Sources
- [2], [7], [10]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane review rated the lipid evidence low or very low quality for most comparisons [2]. The changes are small next to drug effects.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower diastolic pressure about 2 mmHg, with no clear change in systolic pressure except a 4 mmHg drop in adults 60 and older.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 10 RCTs, NMN lowered resting diastolic pressure by 2.15 mmHg (95% CI -3.68 to -0.61). Systolic pressure did not change significantly overall. In participants aged 60 and older, systolic pressure fell by 3.94 mmHg (95% CI -7.06 to -0.82) [9]. A second meta-analysis found no change in systolic pressure and a slight fall in diastolic pressure [8].
- Population
- 349 participants in 10 RCTs with 11 arms [9]; 15 RCTs [8].
- Sources
- [9], [8]
- Caveats
- The age subgroup is one of several subgroup analyses [9]. The two reviews overlap in the trials they pool.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure about 4 mmHg against usual diets in adults, though one trial found no change.
Compared with control groups the source does not describe [1]; a usual or habitual Nordic diet, a usual Western diet or general healthy eating advice [2]; the participants' usual Western diet, in Swedish adults [3]; an average Nordic diet with the same calories [4]; an average Danish diet, with all food supplied free [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 4 RCTs, systolic blood pressure fell 3.97 mmHg (95% CI -6.40 to -1.54) and diastolic 2.08 mmHg (95% CI -3.43 to -0.72) [1]. A second meta-analysis reported a small systolic reduction without a figure in its abstract [2]. In a 26-week Danish trial, systolic fell 5.1 mmHg (95% CI -8.2 to -2.1) and diastolic 3.2 mmHg more than on an average Danish diet [5]. In NORDIET, systolic fell 6.6 mmHg, which was no longer significant after adjusting for weight loss [3]. SYSDIET found no blood pressure change [4].
- Population
- Adults with cardiometabolic risk factors [1][2]; 181 Danish adults with central obesity [5]; adults with mild high cholesterol [3] or metabolic syndrome [4].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Few trials. Part of the effect may come from weight loss [3].
Heart disease, diabetes and death in cohorts
Linked to lower death, heart attack, stroke and type 2 diabetes rates with higher adherence in cohort studies, at low certainty.
Compared with people with the lowest adherence to Nordic dietary patterns, in European cohorts [2]; people with lower adherence to the Nordic dietary pattern [9]; people in the lowest category of Nordic diet adherence [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 13 cohorts (930,153 people), high against low adherence was linked to lower all-cause death (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.87), cardiovascular death (RR 0.78), stroke (RR 0.88), heart attack (RR 0.80) and type 2 diabetes (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99) [10]. In 15 cohorts, total cardiovascular disease was 7% lower (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.99, I² 88%) [2]. A 2025 meta-analysis of 32 cohorts found 12% lower type 2 diabetes and 8% lower cardiovascular disease [9].
- Population
- Adults in prospective cohorts, observational [2][9][10].
- Sources
- [2], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. Certainty ranged from very low to low [10], and was low for total cardiovascular disease [2].
Heart failure, heart disease and stroke in people without cardiovascular disease
Linked to about twice the rate of heart disease, stroke or heart failure in the top third against the bottom third among 95,617 people without cardiovascular disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In an individual-participant meta-analysis, people in the top third of NT-proBNP had a risk ratio of 1.76 (95% CI 1.56 to 1.98) for coronary heart disease or stroke and 2.00 (1.77 to 2.26) for coronary heart disease, stroke or heart failure against the bottom third, after adjustment for conventional risk factors. Adding NT-proBNP to those risk factors raised the C-index by 0.019 for the combined outcome. The authors describe it as a strong predictor of first-onset heart failure [6].
- Population
- 95,617 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease in 40 prospective studies, with 5,500 coronary heart disease, 4,002 stroke and 2,212 heart failure outcomes [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. The comparison is between thirds of the distribution in people without cardiovascular disease, not between the bands of the guideline ranges on this page [6].
Death from any cause and from cardiovascular disease
Linked to about 2.4 times the deaths from any cause in the highest against the lowest category across 11 general population studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of prospective studies in the general population, the highest category of NT-proBNP against the lowest had a hazard ratio of 2.44 (95% CI 2.11 to 2.83) for death from any cause, 3.77 (2.85 to 5.00) for cardiovascular death and 2.35 (1.45 to 3.82) for death from coronary heart disease [7]. Among patients with acute heart failure in a pooled emergency department study, a level above 5,180 pg/mL at presentation went with death within 76 days (OR 5.2, 95% CI 2.2 to 8.1) [5]. In a meta-analysis by kidney function, the unadjusted risk ratio for death with a raised NT-proBNP was 3.01 (2.53 to 3.58) in patients with preserved kidney function and 3.25 (2.45 to 4.30) in patients with reduced function [8].
- Population
- 25,715 people in 11 studies [7]. 720 patients with acute heart failure among 1,256 with acute breathlessness [5]. 32,203 patients in 30 studies [8].
- Sources
- [7], [5], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational. The studies defined the highest and lowest categories by different cut points [7].
Death from coronary heart disease
Linked to fewer coronary deaths at higher levels: an estimated 30% lower risk at an index of 8% than at 4% across 10 pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In an analysis of 10 cohort studies, the mean omega-3 index was 6.1% (SD 2.1%) and each standard deviation higher went with a hazard ratio for fatal coronary heart disease of 0.85 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.91). The median index was 4.2% in the lowest fifth and 8.3% in the highest, from which the authors estimated about 30% lower risk at 8% than at 4% [3]. In the Framingham Offspring cohort, people in the highest fifth of the index (above 6.8%) had a 39% lower risk of a first cardiovascular event than those in the lowest fifth (below 4.2%) [6].
- Population
- 10 cohort studies drawn from a published 19-cohort meta-analysis [3]. 2,500 participants, mean age 66, 54% women, 245 cardiovascular events [6].
- Sources
- [3], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational, so confounding cannot be ruled out. Both papers were led by a developer of the index. The Framingham authors list a relatively short follow-up and a single measurement as limits [6].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
Linked to more cardiovascular events at higher PTH: 45% more in people with the highest levels than in those with the lowest across 10 cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Comparing the highest with the lowest PTH concentrations, the pooled hazard ratio was 1.45 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.71) for all cardiovascular events, 1.50 (1.18 to 1.91) for fatal events and 1.48 (1.14 to 1.92) for non-fatal events [13].
- Population
- 12 prospective studies in the meta-analysis, 10 of them of total cardiovascular events, lasting 2 to 14 years, in mainly white populations with a mean age of 55 to 75 [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Observational, with moderate differences between studies. The comparison is of each study's highest against its lowest PTH group, not of fixed levels. PTH also runs higher with low vitamin D and reduced kidney function (see the blocks above), so it may mark those and not cause events. In a trial that gave a drug for raised PTH, events did not fall significantly (see the next block).
Cardiovascular death
Linked to about 19% to 31% fewer cardiovascular deaths in pet or dog owners in two meta-analyses of cohorts. One review found no link for dogs alone.
Compared with people without a dog [1]; people without pets [2]; people without a dog, in single- and multiple-person households [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Dog ownership was linked to 31% lower cardiovascular death (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.71) [1]. Pet owners had lower cardiovascular death after adjustment (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.97), and cat owners too (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.99), while dog ownership showed no significant link [2]. In a Swedish registry cohort, dog ownership was linked to lower cardiovascular death in single-person households (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.70) and multiple-person households (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.90) [3].
- Population
- 3,837,005 participants in 10 studies, mean follow-up 10.1 years [1]. 26 studies [2]. 3,432,153 Swedish adults followed up to 12 years [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational. People in better health are more able to keep and walk a dog, which is reverse causation. The first review did not adjust for confounders [1]. In the Swedish twin subsample, the lower risk was not replicated [3].
Walking and physical activity
Linked to more walking in dog owners in one meta-analysis. In a controlled study, getting a dog added about 2,600 daily steps at 3 months, gone by 8 months.
Compared with people without a dog [5]; people who delayed getting a dog and people with no plans to get one [6]; young people without a family dog [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Dog owners walked more (d 0.26) and were more physically active (d 0.16) than non-owners. About 60% of owners walked their dog, a median 160 minutes and 4 walks a week [5]. People who got a dog took 2,589 more steps a day at 3 months (p = 0.004), and the gain was not maintained at 8 months [6]. In children and teenagers, 7 of 9 studies found more activity with a family dog [7].
- Population
- 29 studies, mostly cross-sectional, mostly in Australia and the US [5]. 71 adults, 17 of whom got a dog, followed 8 months [6]. 9 studies of youth [7].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Most studies were cross-sectional, and active people may choose dogs. The controlled study let people choose their group and was small [6].
Stroke, heart events and death
Shown to lower stroke about 14% and death about 12% with a potassium salt substitute, mostly from one trial in older rural Chinese adults at high stroke risk.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Stroke was lower on a salt substitute of 75% sodium chloride and 25% potassium chloride than on regular salt (29.14 against 33.65 per 1,000 person-years, rate ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.96). Major cardiovascular events (rate ratio 0.87) and death (rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.95) were also lower [6]. Pooled trials found lower total mortality (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.94) and cardiovascular events (RR 0.89) [2]. In cohort studies, higher potassium intake went with a 24% lower stroke risk (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.89) [1]. In a post hoc analysis of the same trial, total cancer did not differ (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.08), and stomach cancer showed a non-significant trend lower (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.08) [7].
- Population
- 20,995 people in 600 rural Chinese villages with prior stroke, or aged 60 or older with high blood pressure, mean follow-up 4.74 years [6][7]; 5 trials reporting clinical outcomes [2]; 11 cohorts with 127,038 people [1].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- One trial carries most of the clinical events, and it enrolled people at high stroke risk. Cochrane rated the effects as slight and the certainty moderate [3]. The trial was funded by Australia's National Health and Medical Research Council [6].
Death from any cause
Linked to more deaths at both low and high potassium, with the lowest risk at 4 to 4.5 mEq/L across 1.2 million people.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In an individual-level meta-analysis of 27 cohorts, the relation between potassium and death was U-shaped, with the lowest risk at 4 to 4.5 mmol/L. Against 4.2 mmol/L, the adjusted hazard ratio for death from any cause was 1.22 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.29) at 5.5 mmol/L and 1.49 (1.26 to 1.76) at 3.0 mmol/L. Risks were similar across levels of kidney function [8]. In two US community cohorts, potassium of 5.0 mEq/L or above went with more deaths from any cause than 4.0 to 4.4 mEq/L (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.76), and the association was stronger in people using diuretics [9].
- Population
- 1,217,986 participants in 10 general population, 7 high cardiovascular risk and 10 chronic kidney disease cohorts, followed for a mean of 6.9 years [8]. 9,651 adults free of cardiovascular disease in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and the Cardiovascular Health Study [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational, from potassium measured in outpatients at baseline. The authors of the US cohort study write that whether keeping potassium within the normal range improves outcomes requires future study [9].
Heart rhythm problems and cardiovascular death
Linked to more rhythm problems at low potassium and more cardiovascular deaths at high potassium in a meta-analysis of 24 observational studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the older general population, low potassium was associated with more supraventricular arrhythmias (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.02 to 2.55) and high potassium with more cardiovascular deaths (RR 1.38, 1.14 to 1.66). In patients with a heart attack, high potassium was associated with more ventricular arrhythmias (RR 2.33, 1.60 to 3.38). In people with high blood pressure, a composite cardiovascular outcome was 2.6 times as frequent with hypokalemia and 1.7 times as frequent with hyperkalemia [10].
- Population
- 310,825 participants in 24 observational studies [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- Observational, and the studies defined low and high potassium by different cut points. The authors call for controlled trials [10].
Heart attack and other artery disease
Linked to more coronary disease at higher RDW, both in volunteers free of disease and in people who had already had a heart attack.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In UK Biobank volunteers free of coronary disease at the start, an RDW of 15% or above went with more new coronary artery disease than an RDW below 12.5% (subhazard ratio 1.67, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.99), and with more heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, atrial fibrillation and stroke [7]. In people with a prior heart attack, each 1 point higher RDW had a hazard ratio for death of 1.14 (1.05 to 1.24). The top quarter had a hazard ratio of 1.78 (1.28 to 2.47) against the bottom quarter, and higher RDW also went with more coronary death or nonfatal heart attack, new heart failure and stroke [8]. Among older adults in community studies, the hazard ratio for cardiovascular death was 1.15 per 1 point (1.12 to 1.25) [6].
- Population
- 240,477 UK volunteers aged 40 to 70 [7]. 4,111 participants with a prior heart attack and no heart failure in a pravastatin trial, median follow-up 59.7 months [8]. 11,827 older adults in 7 studies [6].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. The analysis in people with a prior heart attack was planned after the trial ended [8]. None of the sources shows that RDW itself changes risk.
Outcomes in people with heart failure
Linked to more deaths in people with heart failure, about 10% more per 1 point of RDW across 9 pooled studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among 36 routine laboratory values in a heart failure trial program, higher RDW showed the strongest association with illness and death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.17 per standard deviation). In a second cohort it was 1.29 per standard deviation for death, second only to age [9]. A meta-analysis found that each 1 point higher RDW at baseline had a hazard ratio for death of 1.10 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.13), pooling 9 of its 17 studies [10].
- Population
- 2,679 people with chronic heart failure in a trial program and 2,140 in a hospital database [9]. 18,288 people with heart failure in 17 cohort studies [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. The meta-analysis found evidence of publication bias among the pooled studies [10].
Blood pressure and heart rate
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 4.6 mm Hg and heart rate by about 5 beats a minute in the short term, in pooled trials.
Compared with control groups the source abstract does not describe [14]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Foot reflexology lowered systolic blood pressure (mean difference -4.62 mm Hg, 95% CI -5.58 to -3.66), diastolic blood pressure (-3.32 mm Hg), heart rate (-4.76 beats a minute) and breathing rate, and raised oxygen saturation (0.95%) [14].
- Population
- 819 patients in 13 trials [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Short-term measurements only. A pooled analysis in pregnant women found no change in blood pressure [13].
Stroke, heart events and death, with salt substitutes
Shown to lower stroke by 14%, major heart events by 13% and death by 12% in one large trial of older Chinese adults, an effect that drives pooled results.
Compared with regular salt [10][7][8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a mean 4.74 years, stroke was less frequent with a 75% sodium chloride, 25% potassium chloride substitute than with regular salt (29.14 against 33.65 events per 1,000 person-years, rate ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.96), as were major cardiovascular events (rate ratio 0.87, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.94) and death (rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.95) [10]. A Cochrane review rated substitutes as probably reducing non-fatal stroke, non-fatal acute coronary syndrome and cardiovascular death slightly, by 20, 150 and 180 fewer per 100,000 person-years [7]. A network meta-analysis estimated 7 to 17 fewer deaths per 1,000 people, and found that removing the large Chinese trial left no significant effect on death from any cause [8].
- Population
- 20,995 people in 600 Chinese villages with past stroke, or aged 60 or older with high blood pressure, mean age 65.4, 49.5% women [10]. Adults in 3 trials with event data [7]. 34 trials [8].
- Sources
- [10], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial in rural China, where most salt is added at home, carries the pooled results, and no trial outside China reported deaths [8]. The reviewers describe very limited generalizability beyond Chinese populations who add much of their salt at home [8].
Blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic and diastolic blood pressure by about 4 mmHg across heat therapy trials. An 8-week sauna trial in adults with coronary artery disease found no change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 15 studies of repeated heat therapy, systolic pressure fell 3.94 mmHg (95% CI -7.22 to -0.67, 10 studies) and diastolic pressure fell 3.88 mmHg (95% CI -6.13 to -1.63, 9 studies) against control. Resting heart rate did not change [1]. A meta-analysis of 16 sauna articles found systolic and diastolic pressure 5.55 and 6.50 mmHg lower in the 30 minutes after a session, and 5.26 and 4.14 mmHg lower after 2 to 4 weeks of sessions [2]. In 47 sedentary adults, a 15-minute sauna after each exercise session for 8 weeks lowered systolic pressure by 8.0 mmHg (95% CI -14.6 to -1.4) compared with the same exercise alone [3]. In 41 adults with stable coronary artery disease, 4 sauna sessions a week for 8 weeks did not change systolic (P = 0.951) or diastolic pressure (P = 0.292) relative to control [4]. In 16 people with untreated hypertension, the authors report that exercise followed by sauna had positive effects on 24-hour systolic and mean pressure, without giving figures in the abstract [5].
- Population
- Healthy and clinical populations in 15 studies, 10 to 36 sessions of 30 to 90 minutes [1]. Participants in 16 articles [2]. 47 adults aged 49 on average with low activity and at least one cardiovascular risk factor [3]. 41 adults with coronary artery disease, mean age 62 [4]. 16 people with untreated hypertension [5].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- The pooled review covers heat therapy as a whole, and its abstract does not separate sauna from other heating methods. Certainty was rated moderate for systolic and diastolic pressure [1]. The abstract of [2] does not say how many of its articles were controlled trials. The trial in [3] compared exercise plus sauna against exercise, with no sauna-only group.
Heart rate variability
Shown to raise vagally mediated heart rate variability during, right after and across weeks of slow breathing practice, in one meta-analysis of 223 studies.
Compared with control conditions the source abstract does not describe [12]; mindfulness meditation [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Vagally mediated heart rate variability rose with voluntary slow breathing during the session (172 studies), immediately after one session (16 studies) and after multi-session programs (49 studies) [12]. In the 1-month trial of 5 minutes a day, resting heart rate variability and resting heart rate measured by a wrist wearable did not change in any group [4].
- Population
- 223 studies [12]. 114 adults invited into a remote trial [4].
- Sources
- [12], [4]
- Caveats
- The meta-analysis abstract gives no effect sizes [12]. Heart rate variability during slow breathing rises partly because breathing itself drives heart rhythm, so a rise in the moment is not a lasting change in resting tone.
Heart failure with reduced pumping function
Shown to lower deaths in severe heart failure, 35% against 46% on placebo over 2 years, and heart failure hospital stays by 35%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the RALES trial, 35% died on spironolactone and 46% on placebo over a mean 24 months (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.82), and hospitalization for worsening heart failure was 35% less frequent (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.77) [1]. Individual data from four trials of this drug class found a lower risk of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.83), with a larger effect in the two trials in reduced ejection fraction (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.73), where all-cause death also fell (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.83) [2].
- Population
- 1,663 people with severe heart failure and ejection fraction of 35% or less, on an ACE inhibitor and a loop diuretic [1]; 13,846 people in four trials, one of spironolactone and one of eplerenone in reduced ejection fraction [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The trial was stopped early for benefit, at a mean dose of 26 mg a day [3]. The pooled analysis combines spironolactone with eplerenone and finerenone [2].
Resistant high blood pressure
Shown to lower home systolic pressure by 8.7 mm Hg more than placebo when added to three drugs in resistant high blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a crossover trial in people whose blood pressure stayed high on three drugs, spironolactone lowered home systolic pressure by 8.70 mm Hg more than placebo (95% CI 7.69 to 9.72), 4.03 mm Hg more than doxazosin and 4.48 mm Hg more than bisoprolol [5]. A meta-analysis of 4 trials of add-on spironolactone in resistant hypertension found systolic pressure fell 16.67 mm Hg (95% CI 5.80 to 27.54) and diastolic 6.11 mm Hg more than placebo [6]. A Cochrane review in hypertension found a reduction of 20.09/6.75 mm Hg across 5 crossover studies, with no further reduction above 50 mg a day [7].
- Population
- 335 people randomized, 285 of whom received spironolactone, each drug taken for 12 weeks [5]; 869 people in 4 trials, mean 12 weeks [6]; 5 crossover studies in hypertension [7].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Trials lasted about 12 weeks and did not measure heart attack or stroke. Serious adverse effects or withdrawals tended to be more frequent on spironolactone (OR 2.11, 95% CI 0.98 to 4.53) [6].
Heart disease
Linked to 17% less cardiovascular disease in one meta-analysis of cohorts, with two other reviews finding borderline lower cardiovascular death.
Compared with people doing no muscle-strengthening activity [1]; no exercise [2]; no resistance training [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Muscle-strengthening activity was linked to lower cardiovascular disease (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.93), J-shaped with the largest drop, 18%, at 60 minutes a week [1]. Cardiovascular death had an HR of 0.83 (95% CI 0.67 to 1.03) in one review [2] and an RR of 0.81 (95% CI 0.66 to 1.00) in another [3].
- Population
- 257,888 adults with 16,056 cases in 7 cohorts [1]. 11 studies [2]. 4 studies for cardiovascular death [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational. Two of three estimates had intervals reaching no difference, and certainty was rated very low [1].
Blood pressure, against no exercise or usual care
Shown to lower blood pressure in people with hypertension by about 12 to 13 mm Hg systolic, in two meta-analyses, one of tai chi and one of Baduanjin qigong.
Compared with control groups the source abstract does not describe [5]; no intervention [6]; antihypertensive drugs alone [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Tai chi was associated with lower systolic pressure (WMD -12.47 mm Hg, 95% CI -16.00 to -8.94) and diastolic pressure (WMD -6.46 mm Hg, 95% CI -8.28 to -4.64) and better quality of life [5]. Baduanjin qigong lowered systolic pressure by 13.00 mm Hg (95% CI -21.24 to -4.77) and diastolic by 6.13 mm Hg against no intervention, and did not differ from antihypertensive drugs. Added to drugs, it lowered systolic pressure 7.49 mm Hg more than drugs alone [6].
- Population
- Adults with essential hypertension in trials from 15 databases [5]. Adults with hypertension in 8 trials [6].
- Sources
- [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The two reviews cover different practices, tai chi and Baduanjin qigong. Both searched Chinese databases, and neither abstract reports trial quality or heterogeneity [5][6].
Endurance and exercise performance
Shown to improve endurance and time to exhaustion modestly in people, in small trials with low certainty.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 10 studies, taurine improved endurance performance by Hedges' g 0.40 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.67) and time to exhaustion by g 0.43 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.75). Dose and single versus repeated dosing did not change the effect [1]. A 2025 three-level meta-analysis of 23 trials of a single dose found g 0.25 (95% CI 0.10 to 0.39, I² 61%) across performance measures [2].
- Population
- 10 studies at 1 to 6 g a day, single doses up to 2 weeks [1]; 308 participants with 69 effect sizes [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- GRADE certainty in [2] was low to very low. Several subgroup effects weakened after influential studies were removed, and prediction intervals often included no effect [2]. Both analyses pool small trials.
Heart attack, stroke and death
Shown to lower stroke from 6.2% to 4.2%, coronary heart disease from 3.9% to 2.8% and deaths from 11.0% to 9.8% as first-line low-dose treatment.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review found first-line low-dose thiazides lowered mortality (11.0% with control against 9.8%, RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.97), total cardiovascular events (12.9% against 9.0%, RR 0.70), stroke (6.2% against 4.2%, RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.77) and coronary heart disease (3.9% against 2.8%, RR 0.72). High-dose thiazides lowered stroke (RR 0.47) and total cardiovascular events (RR 0.72) and did not lower mortality [4]. In the SHEP trial of chlorthalidone-based treatment, the 5-year incidence of stroke was 5.2 per 100 on treatment and 8.2 on placebo (RR 0.64), with major cardiovascular events also lower (RR 0.68) [5]. In ALLHAT, chlorthalidone did not differ from amlodipine or lisinopril on fatal coronary disease or nonfatal heart attack, and had a lower 6-year rate of heart failure than either (7.7% against 10.2% and 8.7%) [6].
- Population
- 58,040 people in 24 trials across drug classes, mean age 56, followed 3 to 5 years [4]; 4,736 adults aged 60 and over with isolated systolic hypertension, mean age 72 [5]; 33,357 adults aged 55 or older in ALLHAT [6].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors rated the low-dose evidence high quality and the high-dose evidence low to moderate [4]. The two named trials used chlorthalidone.
Coronary heart disease
Linked to more coronary heart disease at TSH of 10 mIU/L or above, with no link at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L or inside the reference range, in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In pooled data on 55,287 adults, the hazard ratio for coronary heart disease events against a TSH of 0.50 to 4.49 mIU/L was 1.00 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.18) at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L, 1.17 (0.96 to 1.43) at 7.0 to 9.9 mIU/L and 1.89 (1.28 to 2.80) at 10 to 19.9 mIU/L. For coronary deaths the figures were 1.09 (0.91 to 1.30), 1.42 (1.03 to 1.95) and 1.58 (1.10 to 2.27) [16]. Among 55,412 people with TSH inside 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, each 1 mIU/L higher TSH had a hazard ratio of 0.97 (0.90 to 1.04) for coronary death and 1.00 (0.97 to 1.03) for a first coronary event [11]. In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for coronary death was 1.29 (1.02 to 1.62) [17].
- Population
- 55,287 adults in 11 prospective cohorts, with events data from 7 [16]. 55,412 adults in 14 cohorts with no known thyroid or cardiovascular disease [11]. 52,674 adults in 10 cohorts [17].
- Sources
- [16], [11], [17]
- Caveats
- Observational. All three analyses come from one research collaboration and share cohorts. The high TSH groups had normal thyroxine, so these figures do not describe overt thyroid disease.
Atrial fibrillation
Linked to more atrial fibrillation at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, with no link inside the reference range or at mildly raised TSH, in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for new atrial fibrillation was 1.68 (95% CI 1.16 to 2.43), and risk was higher below 0.10 mIU/L than at 0.10 to 0.44 mIU/L [17]. In 30,085 people with TSH of 0.45 to 19.9 mIU/L, baseline TSH was not significantly associated with new atrial fibrillation, either inside the reference range or in subclinical hypothyroidism [19].
- Population
- 8,711 adults in 5 cohorts with atrial fibrillation data, 785 cases [17]. 30,085 adults in 11 cohorts, 2,574 cases [19].
- Sources
- [17], [19]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the second analysis, higher free T4 inside the reference range was tied to atrial fibrillation while TSH was not [19].
Blood pressure and heart rate
Shown to lower systolic blood pressure by about 3 mmHg and diastolic by about 2 mmHg in forest settings, in one meta-analysis of 20 trials, with heart rate also lower.
Compared with non-forest environments [5]; people with lower greenspace exposure [2]; before the forest bathing, in the same people [6]; control conditions, mostly passive [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic blood pressure was lower in the forest than in non-forest environments (MD -3.15 mmHg, 95% CI -4.12 to -2.18, I² 1%), as was diastolic pressure (MD -1.75 mmHg, 95% CI -2.38 to -1.13) [5]. Greenspace exposure was linked to lower diastolic pressure (-1.97 mmHg) and heart rate (-2.57 beats a minute) [2]. Heart rate fell after forest bathing (MD -4.00, 95% CI -6.90 to -1.09) at very low certainty [6]. Across reviews, nature-based programs lowered heart rate (SMD -0.70, 95% CI -1.17 to -0.23) [7].
- Population
- 732 participants in 20 trials, 17 in Japan [5]. 143 studies [2]. 11 studies [6]. 30 reviews in a second-order meta-analysis [7].
- Sources
- [5], [2], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Trials were short, and 17 of the 20 were in Japan [5]. Walking, quiet and cleaner air come with forest time and cannot be separated from it. No trial located tested whether the drop lasts.
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction
Shown to cut cardiovascular death or worsening heart failure, 9.9% against 15.3% on placebo, in adults with obesity and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Cardiovascular death or worsening heart failure occurred in 9.9% on tirzepatide and 15.3% on placebo (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.95). Worsening heart failure events were 8.0% and 14.2% (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.85). Cardiovascular deaths were 8 (2.2%) and 5 (1.4%) (HR 1.58, 95% CI 0.52 to 4.83). The KCCQ health status score rose 6.9 points more on tirzepatide (95% CI 3.3 to 10.6) [9]. Pooled with observational studies, tirzepatide was associated with fewer cardiovascular deaths or worsening heart failure events than standard therapy (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.60). Heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality did not differ, and no outcome differed significantly against semaglutide [10].
- Population
- 731 adults with heart failure, ejection fraction of 50% or more and BMI of 30 or more, median follow-up 104 weeks [9]; 47,710 patients with this type of heart failure and BMI of 30 or more in 5 studies [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- SUMMIT had few deaths, so its death estimate is imprecise, and it was funded by Eli Lilly [9]. The meta-analysis mixed randomized and observational studies [10].
Coronary heart disease in genetic studies
Shown in genetic studies to track coronary heart disease, an effect that followed the number of ApoB-carrying particles more than triglycerides themselves.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Each copy of a variant in the APOA5 gene went with 16.0% higher triglycerides (95% CI 12.9 to 18.7) and an odds ratio for coronary heart disease of 1.18 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.26), in line with the hazard ratio of 1.10 seen for the same triglyceride difference in cohorts [13]. Across 185 common variants, the strength of a variant's effect on triglycerides correlated with its effect on coronary artery disease after accounting for LDL and HDL cholesterol [14]. In a Mendelian randomization analysis, triglyceride-lowering LPL variants and LDL-lowering LDLR variants went with the same lower risk per 10 mg/dL lower ApoB (odds ratios 0.771 and 0.773). After adjustment for ApoB, the association of triglycerides with coronary heart disease was null (OR 1.014, 95% CI 0.965 to 1.065) [15].
- Population
- 20,842 coronary heart disease patients and 35,206 controls [13]. Variants mapped in genome-wide studies of plasma lipids [14]. 654,783 participants, including 91,129 coronary heart disease cases, in 63 studies [15].
- Sources
- [13], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Variants that change triglycerides also change other lipoproteins. The APOA5 variant went with lower HDL cholesterol and higher ApoB [13]. The authors of the largest analysis concluded that the benefit of lowering triglycerides may be proportional to the change in ApoB [15].
High blood pressure
Linked to more new high blood pressure, 13% higher risk per 1 mg/dL in a meta-analysis of 18 cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 18 prospective cohorts, hyperuricemia went with more new hypertension (adjusted risk ratio 1.41, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.58), and each 1 mg/dL higher uric acid with a risk ratio of 1.13 (1.06 to 1.20). The association was larger in younger study populations and tended to be larger in women [14]. An umbrella review found the hypertension association in observational studies and in some trials of intermediate outcomes, and not statistically significant in Mendelian randomization studies [12].
- Population
- 55,607 participants in 18 cohorts [14].
- Sources
- [14], [12]
- Caveats
- Observational. Later and US-based studies reported smaller effects [14]. The absence of a genetic association leaves open whether uric acid causes the rise [12].
Heart disease
Linked to about 22 to 28% lower coronary heart disease in cohort studies, with no significant link to total cardiovascular death.
Compared with omnivores, in cohort studies [9]; non-vegetarian dietary patterns, in cohorts [10]; meat eaters in the same UK cohort (EPIC-Oxford) [11]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 10 cohorts, vegetarian diets were linked to lower incidence or death from ischemic heart disease (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.82), and not to total cardiovascular disease, all-cause death or cancer death [9]. In 7 cohorts (197,737 participants), vegetarian diets were linked to lower coronary heart disease death (RR 0.78) and incidence (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.85), and not to cardiovascular death (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.02) [10]. In EPIC-Oxford over 18.1 years, vegetarians had 22% lower rates of ischemic heart disease than meat eaters (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.87), about 10 fewer cases per 1,000 people over 10 years [11].
- Population
- Adults in prospective cohorts [9][10]; 48,188 UK adults [11]. All observational.
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. Certainty was very low for all outcomes in [10]. The EPIC-Oxford link weakened after adjusting for cholesterol, blood pressure, diabetes and BMI (HR 0.90) [11]. Vegetarian groups in these cohorts include vegans.
Blood pressure
Shown to lower blood pressure about 3.8 mmHg systolic and 1.5 mmHg diastolic in short trials of adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 29 trials, systolic pressure fell 3.84 mm Hg (95% CI 2.38 to 5.29) and diastolic 1.48 mm Hg (95% CI 0.10 to 2.86) against control. In people with hypertension, systolic fell 4.85 mm Hg, and the diastolic change of 1.67 mm Hg was not significant [2].
- Population
- Trials of 10 to 120 participants, median dose 500 mg a day, median 8 weeks [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- Short trials of blood pressure, not of heart attack or stroke. Effects shrank when 9 trials with imputed data were added [2].
Purpose in life and heart events
Linked to 17% fewer cardiovascular events in people with a stronger sense of purpose in life, in one meta-analysis.
Compared with people with a lower sense of purpose in life [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Higher purpose in life was linked to fewer cardiovascular events (adjusted RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.92), with similar results by country, questionnaire, age and baseline heart disease [10].
- Population
- 136,265 participants in 10 prospective studies [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. One review with overlapping cohorts for death and heart events.
Treating and preventing venous clots
Shown to cut repeat venous clots by about 95% against placebo when continued after three months, in one trial of first unprovoked clots.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After three months of treatment for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism, 17 of 83 people on placebo had a recurrence (27.4% per patient-year) against 1 of 79 who continued warfarin (1.3% per patient-year), a 95% reduction (95% CI 63 to 99). Three people on warfarin had nonfatal major bleeding against none on placebo [7]. Across six trials of acute venous thromboembolism, recurrence occurred in 2.2% on a vitamin K antagonist and 2.0% on a DOAC (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.06), with more major bleeding on the vitamin K antagonist [8].
- Population
- 162 patients followed an average 10 months [7]; 27,023 patients in six trials [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- The placebo-controlled trial was small and stopped early for benefit [7].
Mechanical heart valves
Linked to about 1 major embolism per 100 patient-years with coumarin treatment in people with mechanical valves, against 4 without antithrombotic treatment.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 46 studies, the incidence of major embolism was 4 per 100 patient-years without antithrombotic treatment, 2.2 with antiplatelet treatment and 1 with coumarin treatment. Major bleeding on coumarins occurred at 1.4 per 100 patient-years [9]. In a randomized trial, stroke occurred in 5% on dabigatran and in none on warfarin [10]. The label gives a target INR of 2.5 or 3.0 by valve type and position [11].
- Population
- 13,088 patients studied for 53,647 patient-years in 46 studies [9]; 252 patients with mechanical heart valves [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The meta-analysis pooled mostly observational studies from 1970 to 1992, and embolism risk varied with valve type and position [9].
Self-testing and self-managing the INR
Shown to cut clotting events by about 42% when people tested or managed their own INR, with no change in major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 18 trials, self-monitoring or self-management lowered thromboembolic events (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.75). Self-management lowered death from any cause (RR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.84) and self-monitoring did not (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.15). Major hemorrhage did not change (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.12) [15].
- Population
- 8,950 participants in 28 randomized trials [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- Evidence quality was rated low to moderate. Trial participants were people able and willing to test themselves.
Cardiorespiratory fitness with tracker use
Shown to raise fitness modestly across systematic reviews of activity tracker trials. One crossover study found a 1.5 mL/kg/min rise in estimated fitness over 8 weeks.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- An umbrella review of 39 systematic reviews and meta-analyses found activity trackers improved fitness (SMD 0.3) and physical activity (SMD 0.3 to 0.6) [18]. In 50 inactive adults who followed their activity on a Garmin Vivosmart 4 for 8 weeks after a 4-week control period, estimated cardiorespiratory fitness rose by 1.52 mL/kg/min (95% CI 0.82 to 2.22) and daily steps by 982 (95% CI 492 to 1,471). Blood pressure did not change [19].
- Population
- 163,992 participants across 39 reviews [18]. 62 inactive adults recruited, 50 completed, mean age 48, 84% women [19].
- Sources
- [18], [19]
- Caveats
- These trials tested wearing an activity tracker, not seeing a VO2 max number. In the crossover study, participants were also instructed to reach 150 intensity minutes a week, there was no randomized control group, and fitness was reported as an estimate [19].
Blood pressure, against waiting list or usual care
Shown to lower blood pressure about 8/5 mm Hg against waiting list or usual care in people with raised blood pressure, in pooled trials rated very low in quality.
Compared with waiting list [8]; usual care [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 26 trials, systolic pressure fell 7.95 mm Hg (95% CI -10.24 to -5.66) and diastolic 4.93 mm Hg (95% CI -6.25 to -3.60) against waiting list, with high heterogeneity [8]. An earlier review found systolic pressure 9.65 mm Hg lower (95% CI -17.23 to -2.06) and diastolic 7.22 mm Hg lower against usual care, with effects in trials of people with hypertension and not in trials mixing hypertension and prehypertension [9].
- Population
- 2,283 people with prehypertension or hypertension in 30 trials [8]. 452 patients in 7 trials [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The two reviews come from overlapping authors, and the later one updates the earlier. Evidence quality was very low and heterogeneity high (I² 90%) [8][9].
Stress hormones, heart rate and blood fats, against active controls
Shown in one meta-analysis to lower cortisol, ambulatory systolic pressure, resting heart rate, fasting glucose and LDL cholesterol more than active control activities.
Compared with active control interventions [11]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 42 trials, practices including yoga postures were associated with lower evening and waking cortisol, ambulatory systolic blood pressure, resting heart rate, fasting blood glucose, cholesterol and LDL cholesterol, and higher high-frequency heart rate variability, compared with active controls [11].
- Population
- Participants in 42 randomized trials in various populations [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives no effect sizes and describes the interventions as heterogeneous. Some included mindfulness-based stress reduction alongside postures [11].
Kidney disease progression
Small trials from one research group found fruits and vegetables slowed kidney function decline against usual care in kidney disease, about as much as sodium bicarbonate.
Compared with oral sodium bicarbonate [4]; oral sodium bicarbonate or usual care [5], [6]; people with a lower diet acid load [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In stage 4 kidney disease, eGFR after 1 year did not differ between fruits and vegetables and oral sodium bicarbonate. Metabolic acidosis improved in both, more with bicarbonate, and urine markers of kidney injury fell in both [4]. Over 5 years in people with hypertension and heavy albuminuria, eGFR fell 1.08 mL/min/1.73 m² a year with fruits and vegetables, 1.17 with bicarbonate and 1.94 with usual care, and systolic blood pressure was lower with fruits and vegetables [5]. In a post hoc analysis of stage 3 disease, 0 of 36 people on fruits and vegetables, 2 on bicarbonate and 6 on usual care had a heart attack or stroke over 5 years [6]. In observational studies, a higher diet acid load was linked to chronic kidney disease (RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.62) [7].
- Population
- 71 adults with stage 4 kidney disease from hypertension on ACE inhibitors [4]; 153 adults with hypertension and macroalbuminuria [5]; 108 adults with stage 3 kidney disease and metabolic acidosis [6]; 9 observational studies [7].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- All the trials come from one research group. The cardiovascular count is post hoc [6], and [7] is observational. The diet added fruits and vegetables, so more than acid load changed.
Exercise time in stable angina
One crossover trial found high-dose allopurinol lengthened exercise time before ECG changes by 43 seconds against placebo in people with stable angina.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- On allopurinol 600 mg a day for 6 weeks, median time to ST depression on a treadmill test rose from 232 to 298 seconds, against 249 seconds on placebo, a difference of 43 seconds (95% CI 31 to 58). Total exercise time was 58 seconds longer (95% CI 45 to 77) and time to chest pain 38 seconds longer (95% CI 17 to 55) [13].
- Population
- 65 adults with coronary artery disease and stable angina, 60 analyzed in both periods [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- One small trial of 6 weeks. A later trial of 5,721 people with ischemic heart disease found no fewer cardiovascular events [11].
Markers of aging
One trial in healthy adults without obesity found 4 weeks of strict alternate-day fasting improved cardiovascular markers, with lower sICAM-1 and LDL after longer use.
Compared with eating every day, with no fasting days or daily fasting window
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Strict alternate-day fasting for 4 weeks improved cardiovascular markers and the fat-to-lean ratio and raised β-hydroxybutyrate. After long-term alternate-day fasting, sICAM-1, LDL and triiodothyronine were lower [4].
- Population
- Healthy middle-aged adults without obesity [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives no participant numbers or effect sizes. Lifespan was not measured [4].
Death and heart attack when ApoB and LDL cholesterol disagree
One cohort of statin-treated adults linked high ApoB with low LDL cholesterol to 21% more deaths and 49% more heart attacks than when both were low.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Compared with both values below the median, ApoB above the median with LDL cholesterol below it had hazard ratios of 1.21 for death from any cause (95% CI 1.07 to 1.36) and 1.49 for heart attack (95% CI 1.15 to 1.92). High LDL cholesterol with low ApoB was not associated with a higher risk of either outcome [16].
- Population
- 13,015 statin-treated adults in the Copenhagen General Population Study, median follow-up 8 years [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Observational, in one Danish cohort. High and low were defined by the cohort's own medians, which the abstract does not report [16].
Stroke in high blood pressure with an enlarged left ventricle
One trial found losartan lowered stroke by 25% against atenolol in adults with high blood pressure and an enlarged left ventricle, at similar blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over at least 4 years, the composite of death, heart attack or stroke occurred at 23.8 per 1,000 patient-years on losartan and 27.9 on atenolol (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.98). Stroke occurred in 232 people on losartan and 309 on atenolol (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.89). Heart attack did not differ (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.31). Blood pressure fell by 30.2/16.6 mm Hg on losartan and 29.1/16.8 mm Hg on atenolol [9].
- Population
- 9,193 adults aged 55 to 80 with high blood pressure and left ventricular hypertrophy on ECG [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- The comparison was atenolol, not placebo. The losartan label states there is evidence this benefit does not apply to Black patients [10].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 9,193 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Chronic kidney disease in diabetes
Limited evidence: astragalus, mostly by injection, lowered urine protein in diabetic kidney disease in low-quality trials. One oral trial slowed kidney function decline but not albuminuria.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 66 RCTs (4,785 people with diabetic kidney disease), astragalus injection added to conventional treatment lowered albuminuria (32 RCTs, SMD -2.05, 95% CI -2.49 to -1.61), proteinuria (26 RCTs, SMD -1.85) and serum creatinine (32 RCTs, -14.78 µmol/L, 95% CI -19.22 to -10.33). Oral astragalus lowered albuminuria in 4 RCTs (236 people, SMD -1.27) [2]. In 118 people with type 2 diabetes, stage 2 to 3 CKD and macroalbuminuria, oral astragalus granules added to standard care for 48 weeks slowed eGFR decline by 4.6 mL/min/1.73 m² per year (95% CI 1.5 to 7.6) and lowered systolic blood pressure by 7.9 mmHg. Albuminuria did not differ [3].
- Population
- Adults with diabetic kidney disease [2]. Adults with type 2 diabetes and CKD in Hong Kong [3].
- Sources
- [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Study quality was low, heterogeneity was 94% to 97%, and the authors report publication bias [2]. Most pooled trials used an injection, not an oral product [2]. Trial [3] was assessor-blind with standard care as the control, not placebo.
Heart rate control in atrial fibrillation
One small crossover trial found metoprolol and carvedilol lowered 24-hour heart rate in permanent atrial fibrillation, from 96 beats a minute to 82 and 84.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Mean 24-hour heart rate was 96 beats a minute untreated, 82 on metoprolol 100 mg a day and 84 on carvedilol 25 mg a day, against 75 on diltiazem 360 mg and 81 on verapamil 240 mg [14].
- Population
- 60 adults with permanent atrial fibrillation, mean age 71, given each drug for 3 weeks in random order [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- One small investigator-blind trial of 3-week periods. In people with heart failure and atrial fibrillation, beta-blockers did not improve prognosis in pooled trial data [2].
Performance anxiety and stage fright
Small trials found propranolol removed physical symptoms of stage fright in musicians and raised performance quality as scored by critics.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In two double-blind trials in musicians, propranolol removed the physical impediments to performance caused by stage fright, including dry mouth, and the quality of performance as judged by experienced music critics improved significantly [17].
- Population
- 29 musicians in two trials [17].
- Sources
- [17]
- Caveats
- Two small trials from 1982, and the abstract gives no effect sizes. Not an FDA-approved use. For diagnosed anxiety disorders, see the next block.
Death in adults without diabetes
Limited evidence: two analyses of one US survey linked the highest quarter of fasting C-peptide to about 70% to 80% more deaths in adults without diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 5,153 adults aged 40 to 74 without diabetes, the highest quarter of fasting C-peptide, 0.984 nmol/L (about 2.97 ng/mL) or above, had an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.72 (95% CI 1.34 to 2.21) for death from any cause and 1.60 (1.07 to 2.39) for cardiovascular death against the lowest quarter, 0.418 nmol/L (about 1.26 ng/mL) or below. C-peptide predicted these deaths better than fasting glucose, insulin or indices built from them [7]. In 5,902 adults aged 40 and older from the same survey, the highest quarter had a hazard ratio of 1.80 (1.33 to 2.43) for death from any cause and 3.20 (2.07 to 4.93) for cardiovascular death against the lowest [8].
- Population
- 5,153 adults without diabetes in the third US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey of 1988 to 1994, followed for a median of 14.4 years with 513 deaths [7]. 5,902 adults with no history of diabetes in the same survey, mean C-peptide 0.78 nmol/L [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational, and both analyses draw on the same survey, so they are not independent. The authors read a high C-peptide in a person without diabetes as a sign of insulin resistance. Neither source tested whether lowering it changes the risk of death [7][8].
Heart rate control in atrial fibrillation
One small crossover trial found diltiazem and verapamil lowered 24-hour heart rate in permanent atrial fibrillation, from 96 beats a minute to 75 and 81.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Mean 24-hour heart rate was 96 beats a minute untreated, 75 on diltiazem 360 mg a day, 81 on verapamil 240 mg a day, 82 on metoprolol 100 mg a day and 84 on carvedilol 25 mg a day. All four drugs lowered heart rate against baseline [11].
- Population
- 60 adults with permanent atrial fibrillation, mean age 71, given each drug for 3 weeks in random order [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One small investigator-blind trial of 3-week periods. The evidence is for the non-dihydropyridines only.
Atrial fibrillation
One trial found less atrial fibrillation recurrence with about a cup a day than with abstaining from coffee, 47% against 64%, after cardioversion.
Compared with abstaining from coffee and caffeine [16]; people drinking one cup a day fewer [17]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 200 coffee drinkers with persistent atrial fibrillation after electrical cardioversion, recurrence over 6 months was 47% with caffeinated coffee and 64% with abstinence (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.89). Adverse events did not differ [16]. In 386,258 UK adults, each extra daily cup was linked to 3% lower risk of any arrhythmia (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.96 to 0.98), and genetic analyses found no link between caffeine metabolism and arrhythmia [17].
- Population
- 200 adults, mean age 69, 71% men, in an open-label randomized trial at 5 hospitals [16]. 386,258 UK Biobank participants followed a mean 4.5 years [17].
- Sources
- [16], [17]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial in people who already drank coffee and already had atrial fibrillation [16]. The cohort is observational.
Heart disease and stroke, in cohorts
Linked to slightly lower heart disease and stroke in cohort meta-analyses, with the lowest risk near 45 g a week, rated low credibility.
Compared with people eating 20 g a week less [4]; people eating 10 g a day less [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Each 20 g a week more chocolate was linked to 1.8% lower cardiovascular disease (RR 0.982, 95% CI 0.972 to 0.992) and 4.4% lower stroke. Risk was lowest at about 45 g a week (RR 0.890), and the authors suggest higher intakes may lose the link [4]. Per 10 g a day, coronary heart disease (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93 to 0.99) and stroke (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.98) were slightly lower, while heart failure and type 2 diabetes were not linked [5].
- Population
- 405,304 participants with 35,093 cases in 23 studies [4]. 27 cohort analyses [5].
- Sources
- [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Observational. Most studies measured all chocolate, not dark chocolate. The credibility of the evidence was rated low to very low [5].
Stable coronary or peripheral artery disease, low-dose rivaroxaban with aspirin
One trial found cardiovascular death, stroke or heart attack in 4.1% on low-dose rivaroxaban plus aspirin against 5.4% on aspirin alone, with more major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The primary outcome occurred in 4.1% on rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily plus aspirin against 5.4% on aspirin alone (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.86). Major bleeding occurred in 3.1% against 1.9% (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.40 to 2.05), with no significant difference in intracranial or fatal bleeding. Deaths occurred in 3.4% against 4.1% (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.96). Rivaroxaban 5 mg twice daily alone did not improve outcomes against aspirin and caused more major bleeding [13].
- Population
- 27,395 participants with stable atherosclerotic vascular disease [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for rivaroxaban. The mortality result did not meet the trial's threshold for significance. Funded by the manufacturer [13].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 27,395 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Atrial fibrillation when warfarin is unsuitable, against aspirin
One trial found stroke or systemic embolism at 1.6% a year on apixaban against 3.7% on aspirin, with no significant rise in major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Stroke or systemic embolism occurred at 1.6% a year on apixaban and 3.7% a year on aspirin (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.62). Major bleeding occurred at 1.4% a year against 1.2% (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.75), with 11 and 13 intracranial bleeds. Deaths occurred at 3.5% a year against 4.4% (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.02) [14].
- Population
- 5,599 patients with atrial fibrillation for whom vitamin K antagonist therapy was unsuitable [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for apixaban. The trial was stopped early for benefit [14].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 5,599 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One large trial found major cardiovascular events in 12.0% on dulaglutide against 13.4% on placebo over 5.4 years in adults with type 2 diabetes.
Compared with placebo [6]; other glucose-lowering drugs in a network meta-analysis [2]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Non-fatal heart attack, non-fatal stroke or cardiovascular death occurred in 12.0% on dulaglutide and 13.4% on placebo, 2.4 against 2.7 per 100 person-years (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.99). Death from any cause did not differ (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.01) [6]. In a network meta-analysis of people at increased cardiovascular risk on metformin-based treatment, the odds of stroke were lower with dulaglutide [2].
- Population
- 9,901 adults aged 50 or older with type 2 diabetes and previous cardiovascular disease or risk factors, median HbA1c 7.2%, 46.3% women [6]; 21 trials in people at increased cardiovascular risk [2].
- Sources
- [6], [2]
- Caveats
- One trial, funded by the manufacturer. The absolute difference was 1.4 percentage points over a median 5.4 years [6].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 9,901 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Death from coronary heart disease
Limited evidence: one Norwegian cohort of 2,014 men linked a higher ESR to more deaths from coronary heart disease over 23 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After adjustment for age, hemoglobin, smoking, cholesterol and systolic blood pressure, ESR was a strong short-term and long-term predictor of death from coronary heart disease, most of all in men who had developed angina or had a positive exercise test at a second survey 7 years later. More deaths from other causes and more nonfatal heart attacks were seen only in the upper range of ESR [11].
- Population
- 2,014 apparently healthy men aged 40 to 60 examined in 1972 to 1975 and followed for 23 years [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort of men. The abstract gives no hazard ratios and no ESR levels [11].
Ezetimibe alone in adults 75 and older
One open-label trial found ezetimibe lowered heart events about a third against usual care in Japanese adults 75 or older without heart disease, with no change in deaths or strokes.
Compared with usual care with dietary counseling [5]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The composite of sudden cardiac death, heart attack, coronary revascularization or stroke was lower on ezetimibe 10 mg (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.86), with fewer cardiac events (HR 0.60) and revascularizations (HR 0.38). Stroke, all-cause mortality and adverse events did not differ [5].
- Population
- 3,796 adults aged 75 or older in Japan with raised LDL and no coronary disease, 3,411 analyzed, median follow-up 4.1 years [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Open-label, stopped early, with follow-up problems and 10% excluded after randomization, which the authors say call for caution [5].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,796 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Ezetimibe with a moderate statin against a high-dose statin
One trial found a moderate statin with ezetimibe matched a high-intensity statin on heart events over 3 years, 9.1% against 9.9%, with fewer people stopping for intolerance.
Compared with high-intensity statin alone, rosuvastatin 20 mg [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The 3-year composite of cardiovascular death, major cardiovascular events or nonfatal stroke was 9.1% on rosuvastatin 10 mg with ezetimibe and 9.9% on rosuvastatin 20 mg, meeting the trial's noninferiority margin. LDL below 70 mg/dL was reached by 72% to 75% against 55% to 60%, and drug stopping or dose cuts for intolerance were 4.8% against 8.2% [6].
- Population
- 3,780 patients with atherosclerotic heart disease at 26 centers in South Korea [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Open-label, a noninferiority design, and funded by a manufacturer [6].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,780 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiac death in people on hemodialysis
One trial found about 43% fewer serious cardiovascular events with 4 g a day in adults on hemodialysis, who have very high cardiovascular risk.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 3.5 years, serious cardiovascular events occurred at 0.31 per 1,000 patient-days on fish oil and 0.61 on a corn-oil placebo (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.70). Cardiac death (HR 0.55), heart attack (HR 0.56), stroke (HR 0.37) and amputation for vascular disease (HR 0.57) were each lower. Adherence and adverse events did not differ meaningfully between groups [7].
- Population
- 1,228 adults on maintenance hemodialysis at 26 sites in Canada and Australia, given 4 g of omega-3 fatty acids a day (1.6 g EPA and 0.8 g DHA) [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- One trial, in people on hemodialysis, who have a very high cardiovascular risk. It does not describe the general population [7].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,228 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart disease
Limited evidence: in a review of 4 trials in healthy adults, replacing part of animal protein with plant protein lowered LDL and total cholesterol. No study measured heart disease itself.
Compared with diets with a higher share of animal protein foods [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A 2026 systematic review found 4 dietary interventions, reported in 7 articles, that partially replaced animal protein foods with plant protein foods in healthy adults. LDL cholesterol, total cholesterol and body weight improved in those eating the higher share of plant protein. Vitamin B12 status fell on the diets with the most plant protein [9].
- Population
- Healthy adults with a mean or median age of 18 to 65 in randomized trials, 3 of 7 articles at low risk of bias [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives no pooled sizes of effect [9]. Cholesterol is a risk marker, not heart disease. No cohort or trial of flexitarian eating and heart attacks or heart deaths was located.
Death in people with heart disease
One cohort found more deaths within a year among heart patients with low free T3: 14.4% against 3% with normal free T3.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among 573 consecutive patients with heart disease, 173 had a free T3 below 3.1 pmol/L. Over 1 year, deaths from any cause were 14.4% in that group and 3% in the group at 3.1 pmol/L or above, and cardiac deaths were 7.5% and 1.5%. In a Cox model free T3 was the strongest predictor of death from any cause (hazard ratio 3.582) [6].
- Population
- 573 consecutive cardiac patients at one center, followed for 1 year [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort of hospital patients. A US guideline states that T3 levels are low in severe illness without thyroid disease, because less T4 is converted to T3 [2], so low free T3 may mark the severity of illness.
Sudden cardiac death
One cohort found more sudden cardiac death at higher free T4, with a hazard ratio of 2.28 per 1 ng/dL, including in people with normal TSH.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the Rotterdam Study, higher free T4 was associated with sudden cardiac death even in the normal range of thyroid function, with a hazard ratio of 2.28 per 1 ng/dL (95% CI 1.31 to 3.97). The absolute 10-year risk rose from 1% to 4% with increasing free T4 among people with TSH of 0.4 to 4.0 mIU/L [10].
- Population
- 10,318 adults aged 45 and older, 261 sudden cardiac deaths over a median 9.1 years [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort with 261 events [10].
Blood pressure
One trial found GABA-rich Chlorella lowered systolic pressure more than placebo in adults with high-normal blood pressure. GABA alone was not tested.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 80 adults with high-normal blood pressure or borderline hypertension, GABA-rich Chlorella (20 mg of GABA twice a day) for 12 weeks lowered systolic pressure more than placebo (p below 0.01). Diastolic pressure tended to fall [5]. A USP review found some studies with a transient, moderate drop in blood pressure of less than 10% [6].
- Population
- 80 Japanese adults [5]. Clinical studies reviewed by USP [6].
- Sources
- [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The trial tested GABA inside Chlorella, so the effect cannot be assigned to GABA alone. The abstract does not give the size of the change [5].
Physical activity
One randomized trial found a community garden plot added about 6 minutes a day of moderate to vigorous activity during the growing season, against a waiting list.
Compared with a waiting list for a community garden plot [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Moderate to vigorous physical activity showed a significant time-by-intervention effect (p = 0.012), with a mean between-group difference of 5.80 minutes a day (99.5% CI -4.44 to 16.05) by accelerometer. Sedentary time did not change [7]. Those who gardened the whole season reported a median 90 minutes a week at the garden [8].
- Population
- 291 adults aged 18 and older who had not gardened in 2 years, 145 given a plot [7]. 145 people in the gardening group [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- One trial, with a strict confidence interval that crosses zero at the second time point [7]. 67% of the gardening group gardened the whole season [8].
Cardiovascular events
Limited evidence: habitual glucosamine use was linked to about 15% fewer cardiovascular events in UK adults. No trial has tested this.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among 466,039 UK Biobank participants followed a median 7 years, habitual glucosamine use was associated with fewer cardiovascular events (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.90) and cardiovascular deaths (HR 0.78) [6].
- Population
- UK adults without cardiovascular disease at baseline [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. No randomized trial has tested this.
Venous insufficiency and varicose veins
One trial without placebo found shorter venous reflux time and lower symptom scores with 150 mg twice a day in adults with varicose veins.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 176 adults with varicose veins and venous reflux, 150 mg twice a day plus lifestyle changes for 12 weeks shortened venous reflux time more than lifestyle changes alone, and lowered venous severity and quality of life symptom scores [6]. A Cochrane review of phlebotonics included 1 grape seed extract trial and reports results for all phlebotonics together [7].
- Population
- 176 adults aged 19 to 80 with varicose veins [6].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- The varicose vein trial was open-label with no placebo, and its abstract gives no effect sizes [6].
Leg swelling while sitting
One small trial found less leg swelling during 6 hours of sitting in healthy Japanese women.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover study, a single dose and a 14-day course both reduced the increase in leg volume, body extracellular fluid and leg water during 6 hours of sitting [8].
- Population
- Healthy Japanese women. The abstract does not give the number [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One small study in healthy women. The abstract gives no effect sizes [8].
Red blood cell clumping
One uncontrolled study of 10 adults found red blood cells carried more surface charge and clumped less on slides after 2 hours grounded. Blood viscosity itself was not measured.
Compared with blood samples taken before grounding, in the same people [8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After 2 hours with conductive patches on the hands and feet wired to a rod in the earth, red blood cell zeta potential rose by an average of 2.70 and red cell aggregation on microscope slides fell significantly [8].
- Population
- 10 healthy adults recruited by word of mouth [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- No control condition. Fingertip blood on a slide is not blood flow in the body, and no cardiovascular outcome was measured. Two of the authors disclosed contracts with and shares in the company sponsoring grounding research in a later paper [6].
Heart rate variability at rest, Apple Watch on watchOS 4.2
One study found Apple Watch beat-to-beat intervals agreed with a chest strap at rest in 20 healthy volunteers, with gaps in the recording that lowered frequency measures.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch running watchOS 4.2, with beat-to-beat intervals taken from the Breathe app. The paper does not state the watch model.
- Compared with
- Polar H7 chest strap, not ECG
- Effect
- Reliability and agreement coefficients between the watch and the chest strap were above 0.9. The watch's interval series contained gaps, on average 5 per recording lasting 6.5 seconds each. Time-domain indices (SDNN, RMSSD, pNN50) were not significantly affected by the gaps, while low and high frequency power fell significantly [2].
- Population
- 20 healthy volunteers during relaxation and mild mental stress [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- The reference was a chest strap, not ECG. Laboratory relaxation and mental stress tasks only. Published in 2018 on watchOS 4.2 [2].
Heart rate variability at rest, Polar Vantage V2
One study found the wrist-worn Polar Vantage V2 slightly overestimated heart rate variability against a chest sensor in recreational athletes, with correlation of 0.93 overnight.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Polar Vantage V2, wrist optical sensor
- Compared with
- A chest-worn heart rate sensor recording RR intervals, not ECG
- Effect
- Across 11,344 pooled intervals, the watch's pulse intervals differed from the chest sensor's RR intervals by a mean 0.17 ms (correlation 0.993). The watch overestimated LnRMSSD in the laboratory (mean bias 0.20, p < 0.001) and overnight (mean bias 0.17, p < 0.001). Overnight intraclass correlation was 0.931 for LnRMSSD and 0.998 for heart rate. The authors described accuracy as adequate and noted that overestimation mainly affected people with low values [10].
- Population
- Recreationally endurance-trained adults: 39 in a 5 minute supine laboratory recording and 29 in a 4 hour recording during sleep [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- The reference was a chest sensor, not ECG. Trained adults lying still or asleep [10].
Nighttime heart rate variability, Fitbit Versa 4
One pilot study of 8 people found nightly RMSSD from Fitbit Versa 4 did not differ significantly from an ambulatory ECG device.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Fitbit Versa 4
- Compared with
- Firstbeat Bodyguard 3 ambulatory ECG
- Effect
- Median RMSSD was 21.66 ms on Fitbit and 20.56 ms on the ECG device (p = 0.39). In a mixed model, ECG values averaged about 92.3% of Fitbit values [15].
- Population
- 8 participants wearing both devices for at least three nights [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- Eight participants, described by the authors as a pilot giving preliminary support [15].
Blood clots in the veins
Limited evidence: one Norwegian cohort linked each 5-point rise in hematocrit to 25% more venous clots over 12.5 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The hazard ratio for venous thromboembolism per 5-point increase in hematocrit was 1.25 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.44), and 1.37 (1.10 to 1.71) for clots with no provoking cause, after adjustment for age, body mass index and smoking. Men in the top fifth of hematocrit, 46% or above, had 1.5 times the risk of any venous clot (95% CI 1.08 to 2.21) and 2.4 times the risk of an unprovoked clot (1.36 to 4.15) of men in the lowest two fifths. Estimates were higher for men than for women [9].
- Population
- 26,108 adults in the Tromsø Study in Norway, 447 venous clots over a median of 12.5 years [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort. Findings for hemoglobin and red cell count were similar, so the study cannot separate hematocrit from them [9].
Cardiovascular death and clots in a trial that held hematocrit below 45% in polycythemia vera
One trial found a hematocrit target below 45% in polycythemia vera went with fewer cardiovascular deaths and major clots, 2.7% against 9.8% at a 45% to 50% target.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Adults with JAK2-positive polycythemia vera were assigned to treatment aimed at a hematocrit below 45% or at 45% to 50%. After a median of 31 months, death from cardiovascular causes or a major clot had occurred in 5 of 182 patients in the lower target group (2.7%) and 18 of 183 in the higher target group (9.8%), a hazard ratio in the higher target group of 3.91 (95% CI 1.45 to 10.53). The rate of adverse events did not differ significantly between groups [10].
- Population
- 365 adults with polycythemia vera in Italy, treated with phlebotomy, hydroxyurea or both [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One trial of 365 people with a bone marrow disorder that raises red cell production, so it does not show what a hematocrit of 45% to 50% means in people without that disorder [10].
Heart events and clots at a hematocrit of 52% or above in men on testosterone therapy
Limited evidence: one database study linked a hematocrit of 52% or above on testosterone therapy to more heart events and clots in the first year, 5.15% against 3.87%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among men with low testosterone who received testosterone therapy, 5,842 who reached a hematocrit of 52% or above were matched to 5,842 who did not. A major cardiovascular event or venous clot in the first year occurred in 301 (5.15%) against 226 (3.87%), an odds ratio of 1.35 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.61). Among men whose hematocrit stayed under 52%, the odds were similar with and without testosterone therapy (odds ratio 1.07, 0.98 to 1.18). The authors report that national guidelines stop or change therapy at thresholds between 50% and 55%, and that the basis for those thresholds is not cited in the guidelines [12].
- Population
- Men over 18 with total testosterone below 350 ng/dL in a US multi-institution records database, 86% white [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Retrospective, from medical records. Men who reached 52% started with a higher hematocrit, a mean of 47.4%, and the groups could not be matched on it, so the authors cannot say whether the risk comes from reaching 52% or from the higher starting value. The guideline thresholds are quoted from this study, not from the guidelines themselves [12].
Aerobic fitness in athletes
One sham-controlled trial found higher VO2 max after 40 sessions in middle-aged master athletes, with 31 of 37 randomized participants analyzed.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Compared with sham, 40 sessions at 2 ATA raised maximal oxygen consumption (p = 0.010, effect size 0.989) and oxygen consumption at the anaerobic threshold (effect size 0.837). Measures of mitochondrial respiration and mitochondrial mass in muscle also rose [15].
- Population
- 37 healthy master athletes aged 40 to 50, of whom 16 hyperbaric and 15 sham participants were analyzed [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- One small trial with 6 randomized participants missing from the analysis. The abstract reports effect sizes without the size of the VO2 max change.
Cardiac events over 5 years in heart failure
One non-randomized study found cardiac events in 31.3% of heart failure patients who continued Waon therapy for 5 years, against 68.7% of matched controls.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 60 months, cardiac events, defined as events due to heart failure or cardiac death, had occurred in 31.3% of the Waon group and 68.7% of the control group (P < 0.01). Eight patients died in the Waon group and 12 in the control group [7].
- Population
- 129 patients in NYHA class III or IV, 64 treated daily for 5 days in hospital and at least twice a week after discharge, and 65 controls matched for age, sex and class [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Not randomized, single center, and the group that kept attending sessions may differ from those who did not.
Irregular heartbeats in heart failure
One small trial found fewer premature ventricular beats after 2 weeks of daily sessions in people with heart failure, 848 against 3,097 per 24 hours.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After 2 weeks, premature ventricular contractions numbered 848 ± 415 per 24 hours in the sauna group and 3,097 ± 1,033 in the untreated group (p < 0.01). Heart rate variability (SDNN) was higher, 142 against 112 ms, and BNP was lower [8].
- Population
- 30 patients with NYHA class II or III heart failure and at least 200 premature ventricular contractions a day, 20 randomized to sauna and 10 to bed rest [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One small trial from the group that developed the therapy.
Blood vessel function
Small studies found better artery dilation after 2 to 3 weeks of daily sessions in men with coronary risk factors and in people with heart failure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 25 men with at least one coronary risk factor, flow-mediated dilation rose from 4.0% to 5.8% after 2 weeks of daily sessions (p < 0.001) [9]. In 20 people with heart failure, flow-mediated dilation rose after 2 weeks while nothing changed in 10 untreated patients [10]. In uncontrolled heart failure studies it rose from 3.5% to 5.5% [5] and from 3.6% to 5.1% [6]. In 10 healthy women, a single 45-minute session did not change arterial stiffness compared with rest [11].
- Population
- 25 men with risk factors, mean age 38 [9]. 30 people with heart failure [10]. 41 and 49 people with heart failure [5][6]. 10 healthy women [11].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [5], [6], [11]
- Caveats
- The risk factor study had no untreated comparison for the change over time [9]. All repeated-session studies are small and from Japan.
Peripheral artery disease
One small trial found less leg pain and longer walking distance after 6 weeks of daily Waon therapy in people with peripheral artery disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Leg pain scores, ankle-brachial pressure index and 6-minute walking distance improved significantly after 6 weeks in the Waon group and not in the control group [15].
- Population
- 21 people with peripheral artery disease on standard medication, 11 randomized to Waon therapy and 10 to control [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- Twenty-one people, and the abstract gives no sizes for the clinical changes.
Heart disease in type 1 diabetes
One trial found 42% fewer cardiovascular events over a mean 17 years in people with type 1 diabetes first assigned to intensive insulin treatment.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a mean 17 years of follow-up, 46 cardiovascular events occurred in 31 patients first assigned to intensive treatment against 98 events in 52 patients assigned to conventional treatment. Intensive treatment lowered the risk of any cardiovascular event by 42% (95% CI 9 to 63) and of nonfatal heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death by 57% (95% CI 12 to 79) [16].
- Population
- 1,441 patients with type 1 diabetes treated for a mean 6.5 years, 93% of them then followed observationally [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Events were few. After the randomized phase ended, follow-up was observational. A Cochrane review found too few heart attacks and strokes across trials to draw a conclusion [2].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,441 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death in type 2 diabetes
One trial found fewer major cardiovascular events, 13.0% against 14.9% on placebo, in adults with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A first major cardiovascular event occurred in 13.0% on liraglutide and 14.9% on placebo (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.97). Cardiovascular death was 4.7% against 6.0% (HR 0.78), and death from any cause 8.2% against 9.6% (HR 0.85). Nonfatal heart attack, nonfatal stroke and heart failure hospitalization were lower but not significantly [9].
- Population
- 9,340 adults with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk, median follow-up 3.8 years [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One trial, in people with type 2 diabetes. It does not describe people without diabetes. Funded by Novo Nordisk and the National Institutes of Health [9]. A re-analysis estimating the effect of staying on treatment found a 3.5-year risk difference of 1.1% (95% CI -0.4 to 2.6), against 1.5% (95% CI 0.1 to 2.9) by intention to treat [10].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 9,340 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Repeat stroke after a minor stroke in type 2 diabetes
One open-label trial found fewer repeat strokes within 90 days, 7.9% against 13.8%, in adults with type 2 diabetes after a minor stroke.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Within 90 days, stroke recurred in 7.9% on liraglutide added to standard care and 13.8% on standard care alone (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.91). An excellent functional outcome was reached by 87.3% against 77.8% (OR 1.95). Symptomatic brain bleeding and death were low and similar between groups [11].
- Population
- 636 adults with type 2 diabetes randomized within 24 hours of a minor ischemic stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack, at 27 hospitals in China [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial over 90 days, which the authors describe as underpowered [11].
Swelling and fluid in heart failure
Limited evidence: label trials found torsemide cut weight and swelling more than placebo in heart failure, and higher furosemide doses removed more fluid in acute heart failure.
Compared with placebo [1]; a lower furosemide dose [2]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In controlled trials in NYHA class II to IV heart failure, torsemide 10 to 20 mg a day produced significantly greater reductions in weight and swelling than placebo [1]. In acute heart failure, furosemide at 2.5 times the previous oral dose gave greater fluid removal than the previous dose itself, with a trend toward better symptom scores (P=0.06) and some transient worsening of kidney function [2].
- Population
- Patients with heart failure in label trials [1]; 308 patients hospitalized with acute decompensated heart failure [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The label gives no sizes for the placebo comparison [1]. The placebo-controlled trials behind the oldest uses are decades old, and no recent pooled placebo-controlled analysis was found.
Atrial fibrillation
Limited evidence: one US cohort linked serum magnesium of 1.77 mg/dL or below to about 50% more atrial fibrillation over up to 20 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The incidence of atrial fibrillation was 9.4 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 6.7 to 11.9) in the lowest quartile of serum magnesium (1.77 mg/dL or below) and 6.3 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 4.1 to 8.4) in the highest (1.99 mg/dL or above). After adjustment, the lowest quartile had a hazard ratio of 1.52 (95% CI 1.00 to 2.31) compared with the upper quartiles. Results were similar after excluding people on diuretics [11].
- Population
- 3,530 Framingham Offspring Study participants free of atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular disease, mean age 44, 228 cases over up to 20 years [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort, and the confidence interval reaches 1.00 [11].
Long-term mortality after a heart attack, before statins
One trial from before statins found 11% lower mortality at 15 years in men after a heart attack, appearing after treatment had stopped.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At a mean 15 years, about 9 years after the trial ended, mortality was 52.0% in the niacin group and 58.2% on placebo, 11% lower (P = 0.0004). During the trial, niacin lowered nonfatal repeat heart attacks and did not lower total mortality [4].
- Population
- 8,341 men aged 30 to 64 with a prior heart attack, treated 1966 to 1975 [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- One trial from before statins. The mortality difference appeared after treatment stopped [4].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 8,341 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Treatment offered because the level was raised, in people with diabetes
One trial of 300 people with diabetes and NT-proBNP above 125 pg/mL found intensified heart drug treatment cut cardiac hospital stays or deaths by 65%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- People with type 2 diabetes, an NT-proBNP above 125 pg/mL and no cardiac disease were assigned to usual diabetes care or to additional treatment at a cardiac clinic, where renin-angiotensin system blockers and beta-blockers were raised to the highest tolerated doses. After 2 years, hospitalization or death due to cardiac disease was less frequent in the intensified group (HR 0.351, 95% CI 0.127 to 0.975) [10].
- Population
- 300 people with type 2 diabetes, mean age 67.5, with a median NT-proBNP of 265.5 pg/mL [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One trial of 300 people with a wide confidence interval. It tested treating people selected by the marker. It did not compare them with people whose level was not raised, and it does not show what lowering the level itself does [10].
Heart disease, in cohorts
Linked to 21% to 29% lower cardiovascular disease per daily serving in cohort meta-analyses. Stroke was not significantly linked.
Compared with people eating 28 g a day less [6]; people eating one serving a day less, and the lowest intake group [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Per 28 g a day more, nuts were linked to lower coronary heart disease (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.80) and cardiovascular disease (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.88), and not significantly to stroke (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.05). Results were similar for tree nuts and peanuts [6]. Per serving a day, ischemic heart disease (RR 0.72) and cardiovascular disease (RR 0.71) were lower, and stroke did not differ between the highest and lowest intakes (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.02) [7].
- Population
- 20 prospective studies [6]. 18 prospective studies with 8,862 cardiovascular cases [7].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Observational. People who eat nuts may differ in diet, exercise and income, so confounding is possible, and people who are unwell may eat fewer nuts. Heterogeneity was moderate [6].
Heart attack and stroke, in a diet trial with nuts
One trial found 28% fewer heart attacks, strokes or heart deaths with a Mediterranean diet plus mixed nuts than with advice to cut dietary fat.
Compared with a control diet with advice to reduce dietary fat [8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 4.8 years, major cardiovascular events occurred in 3.4% of the Mediterranean diet with nuts group and 4.4% of the control group (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.95) [8].
- Population
- 7,447 Spanish adults aged 55 to 80 at high cardiovascular risk, 57% women [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- Nuts were one part of a whole diet change, so the trial does not isolate nuts. The original report was withdrawn after randomization problems, and these are reanalyzed estimates [8].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 7,447 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death in a trial
One large trial found fewer major cardiovascular events on a Mediterranean diet with extra virgin olive oil than on low-fat advice, 3.8% against 4.4%.
Compared with a control diet of advice to reduce dietary fat [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 4.8 years, major cardiovascular events (heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death) occurred in 3.8% of the extra virgin olive oil group and 4.4% of the control group (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.91). Results were similar after leaving out 1,588 participants whose assignment departed from the protocol [7].
- Population
- 7,447 Spanish adults aged 55 to 80 at high cardiovascular risk, 57% women, assigned to one of three diets [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- The olive oil was given with a whole Mediterranean diet and education sessions, so the trial does not isolate olive oil. The first report was withdrawn over randomization problems [7]. The mediterranean-diet page covers this trial's weight, diabetes and cognition results.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 7,447 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Exercise in low oxygen or at altitude
Small trials found sildenafil raised exercise capacity only at very low oxygen, about 3,900 m and above, with no change at lower altitudes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Results differ by trial. Breathing 10% oxygen at low altitude, sildenafil 50 mg raised maximum workload to 172.5 W against 130.6 W on placebo. At Mount Everest base camp it also raised maximum workload and lowered pulmonary artery pressure [3]. At a simulated 3,874 m, sildenafil cut 6 km time-trial time by 15%. Responders improved 39% and nonresponders 1.0% [4]. At simulated altitudes of about 2,100 m and 3,900 m, sildenafil 50 mg did not change peak power or 15 km time-trial times, though oxygen saturation was 3% higher at the higher altitude [5].
- Population
- 14 healthy mountaineers and trekkers [3]; 10 trained men [4]; 11 trained men and 10 trained women [5].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Small crossover trials of single doses. The positive results came from very low oxygen levels (about 3,900 m and above). The authors of [5] state benefits are unlikely below 4,000 m.
Walking distance in pulmonary arterial hypertension
One trial found walking distance rose about 45 to 50 m more than placebo over 12 weeks in people with pulmonary arterial hypertension.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After 12 weeks, six-minute walk distance rose by 45 m, 46 m and 50 m more than placebo on 20, 40 and 80 mg three times daily. Mean pulmonary artery pressure fell and functional class improved. Clinical worsening did not differ from placebo [6].
- Population
- 278 patients with symptomatic pulmonary arterial hypertension [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- One trial, not powered for mortality. It describes people with the disease, not healthy athletes.
Heart attack, stroke and other artery disease
Limited evidence: one Danish cohort linked a count of 301 to 450 thousand/µL to 32% more cardiovascular disease than a count of 201 to 250.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The adjusted hazard ratio for a later heart attack, ischemic stroke or peripheral vascular disease was 1.32 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.69) at 301 to 450 thousand/µL against 201 to 250. A count of 100 to 200 was not associated with later bleeding or venous clots [7]. In an Italian cohort, counts outside the limits for age and sex were not related to cardiovascular death [8].
- Population
- 21,252 adults aged 20 and older in a Danish general population study, linked to national registers [7]. 21,563 Italian adults [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- One cohort, observational, adjusted for age, sex, smoking, hemoglobin, white cell count, C-reactive protein and other illness. It does not show that the platelet count itself changes risk [7].
Heart rhythm in people with a defibrillator
One open-label trial found fewer arrhythmia events, hospitalizations and deaths when potassium was raised with supplements or a drug in adults with a defibrillator.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 1,200 adults with an implantable defibrillator and plasma potassium of 4.3 mmol/L or lower, a strategy of raising potassium to 4.5 to 5.0 mmol/L with potassium supplements, a mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist or both lowered the composite of sustained ventricular tachycardia or appropriate shocks, unplanned hospitalization for arrhythmia or heart failure, and death: 22.7% against 29.2% on standard care (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.95) over a median 39.6 months [8]. Atrial fibrillation events were 8.0% against 12.2% (subdistribution HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.93) [9]. Among those on potassium supplements alone, 21% reached the primary endpoint, against 29% of controls [10].
- Population
- 1,200 adults with cardiac disease and a defibrillator in Denmark, POTCAST trial [8][9][10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial in a high-risk group. The strategy combined supplements and a prescription drug, so the effect of potassium supplements alone was not randomized [10]. Funded by the Independent Research Fund Denmark and others [8].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,200 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Raising potassium to the upper part of the range
One trial found raising potassium to 4.5 to 5.0 mEq/L cut a combined count of arrhythmia events, hospital stays and deaths by 24% in people with implanted defibrillators.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- People with a baseline plasma potassium of 4.3 mmol/L or lower were assigned to a regimen aimed at 4.5 to 5.0 mmol/L or to standard care. Over a median 39.6 months, sustained ventricular tachycardia or appropriate defibrillator therapy, unplanned hospitalization for arrhythmia or heart failure, or death occurred in 22.7% of the higher potassium group and 29.2% of the standard care group (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.95). Hospitalization for hyperkalemia or hypokalemia was similar in the two groups [11].
- Population
- 1,200 people in Denmark with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator, at high risk of ventricular arrhythmias [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial in people with an implanted defibrillator, so it does not show what a higher potassium does in people without heart disease. The regimen used potassium supplementation, a mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist or both, with dietary guidance [11].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,200 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Cardiovascular death in adults with hypertension
Limited evidence: two US survey analyses linked the highest red cell folate levels to more cardiovascular deaths in adults with hypertension.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In adults with hypertension surveyed from 1991 to 1994, the high folate quartile had a hazard ratio for cardiovascular death of 1.44 (95% CI 1.31 to 1.58) against the intermediate quartiles and 2.13 (1.77 to 2.57) for death from heart attack. The low quartile did not differ (1.09, 0.94 to 1.27) [9]. In adults with hypertension surveyed from 1999 to 2014, the highest quartile against the second had hazard ratios of 1.68 (1.30 to 2.16) for cardiovascular death and 1.30 (1.16 to 1.46) for death from any cause, and the lowest quartile was not associated with either. The associations were non-linear, with inflection points at 819.7 and 760.1 ng/mL [10].
- Population
- 2,986 US adults with hypertension, 579 cardiovascular deaths over an average 11.7 years [9]. 13,986 US adults with hypertension, 548 cardiovascular deaths over a median 7.0 years [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational, and limited to people with hypertension. Supplement use and illness may differ between people with high and low levels. No trial cited here tested the outcome of lowering a high red cell folate [9][10].
Stress and fitness
One small trial found better VO2 max, grip strength and mood scores than placebo in sedentary female students over 30 days.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 78 female college students in India, 1,000 mg a day for 30 days improved heart rate, VO2 max, physical work capacity and right-hand grip strength against placebo, and anxiety, depression and well-being scores improved. The 500 mg dose differed from the 1,000 mg dose on VO2 max and work capacity [6].
- Population
- 78 sedentary female students, mean age 20.6 [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- One small trial. The abstract does not report effect sizes or funding.
Aerobic fitness when added to exercise
One trial found estimated VO2 max rose 2.7 mL/kg/min more when a 15-minute sauna followed each exercise session for 8 weeks, in 47 sedentary adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Estimated VO2 max rose 2.7 mL/kg/min more (95% CI 0.2 to 5.3) with exercise plus sauna than with exercise alone. Exercise alone raised it 6.2 mL/kg/min (95% CI 4.2 to 8.3) over the control group [3].
- Population
- 47 adults aged 49 ± 9 with low physical activity and at least one cardiovascular risk factor, randomized to exercise plus sauna, exercise or control for 8 weeks [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- One trial of about 16 people per group. VO2 max was estimated, not measured by gas analysis. There was no sauna-only group.
Endurance performance in trained runners
Small trials found longer run time to exhaustion and higher VO2 max in trained runners after 3 weeks of post-training sauna sessions.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 6 male distance runners, 3 weeks of post-training sauna increased run time to exhaustion by 32% (90% confidence limits 21 to 43%) relative to control training, which the authors equate to about 1.9% in an endurance time trial. Plasma volume rose 7.1% [6]. In 20 middle-distance runners, 3 weeks of post-exercise sauna raised VO2 max by 0.27 L/min (p = 0.02) and running speed at 4 mmol/L blood lactate by 0.6 km/h (p = 0.01) more than training alone [7]. In 26 runners who all used the sauna, VO2 max rose 5% in both women and men [8].
- Population
- 6 competitive male runners in a crossover study [6]. 20 trained runners, 13 of them women, mean age 20 [7]. 26 trained runners, 16 of them women [8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Very small samples. The abstract of [7] does not say that groups were randomized, and [8] had no control group. Sessions were about 30 minutes at 90°C to 108°C straight after training.
Death from heart disease
Linked to fewer cardiovascular deaths in Finnish cohorts, with a hazard ratio of 0.37 for sudden cardiac death at 4 to 7 sessions a week against one.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 2,315 Finnish men followed for a median 20.7 years, fatal cardiovascular disease occurred in 22.3% of men using a sauna once a week, 16.4% at 2 to 3 times and 12.0% at 4 to 7 times. The adjusted hazard ratio for sudden cardiac death was 0.78 (95% CI 0.57 to 1.07) at 2 to 3 sessions a week and 0.37 (95% CI 0.18 to 0.75) at 4 to 7 sessions. Sessions longer than 19 minutes carried a hazard ratio of 0.48 (95% CI 0.31 to 0.75) against sessions under 11 minutes [9]. In 1,688 men and women followed for 15.0 years, adjusted hazard ratios for cardiovascular death were 0.75 (95% CI 0.52 to 1.08) and 0.23 (95% CI 0.08 to 0.65) [10]. In 2,277 men over 26.1 years, 3 to 7 sessions a week against 2 or fewer carried a hazard ratio of 0.74 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.94) for cardiovascular death [11].
- Population
- Men aged 42 to 60 from eastern Finland in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease study [9][11]. 1,688 participants with a mean age of 63, 51.4% women [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. All three analyses come from one Finnish cohort program and one research group, and sauna habits were self-reported at baseline. Only 201 men were in the 4 to 7 sessions group, with 10 sudden cardiac deaths [9]. The link may reflect other differences between frequent and infrequent sauna users.
Stroke
Linked to fewer strokes in Finnish men and women, with a hazard ratio of 0.38 at 4 to 7 sessions a week against one.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- During a median 14.9 years, 155 strokes occurred. Compared with one session a week, 4 to 7 sessions carried a hazard ratio of 0.38 (95% CI 0.18 to 0.81) after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, physical activity and socioeconomic status [13].
- Population
- 1,628 men and women aged 53 to 74 with no history of stroke, in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease study [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Observational, one cohort. Only 34 hemorrhagic strokes occurred, and the association there was described as modest [13].
New high blood pressure
Linked to fewer new cases of hypertension in Finnish men, with a hazard ratio of 0.53 at 4 to 7 sessions a week against one.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 24.7 years, 251 of 1,621 men (15.5%) developed hypertension. After adjustment, hazard ratios were 0.83 (95% CI 0.59 to 1.18) at 2 to 3 sessions a week and 0.53 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.98) at 4 to 7 sessions, compared with one [14].
- Population
- 1,621 men aged 42 to 60 without hypertension at baseline [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Observational, one cohort of men. The upper confidence limit sits close to 1.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One large trial found major cardiovascular events in 6.5% on semaglutide against 8.0% on placebo in adults with heart disease and overweight, without diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A major cardiovascular event occurred in 6.5% on semaglutide and 8.0% on placebo (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90) [5].
- Population
- 17,604 adults aged 45 or older with existing cardiovascular disease and a BMI of 27 or more, without diabetes, followed a mean of 39.8 months [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- One trial, though large. It enrolled people with heart disease, so it does not describe people without it. Funded by Novo Nordisk [5].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 17,604 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Stroke and death at higher levels
Limited evidence: one British cohort of 7,690 middle-aged men linked creatinine above 1.31 mg/dL to 60% more strokes over about 15 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Median creatinine was 98 µmol/L (1.11 mg/dL). Above 116 µmol/L (1.31 mg/dL), the top tenth, the relative risk of stroke was 1.6 (95% CI 1.1 to 2.1) against all other men after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. For major ischemic heart disease, the relative risk at 130 µmol/L (1.47 mg/dL) or above was 1.2 (0.8 to 1.7) after adjustment. Death from any cause and from cardiovascular disease was significantly raised only above the 97.5th percentile, and there was no association with death from cancer [6].
- Population
- 7,690 men aged 40 to 59 from 24 British towns, followed for an average of 14.75 years, with 287 strokes, 967 major ischemic heart disease events and 1,259 deaths [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort of middle-aged men in one country [6]. Studies that convert creatinine to an estimated filtration rate are covered on the eGFR page.
Coronary artery disease in a genetic study
Limited evidence: one genetic study found higher serum iron went with slightly less coronary artery disease, an odds ratio of 0.94 per standard deviation.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Mendelian randomization study using three gene variants tied to iron status, the odds ratio for coronary artery disease was 0.94 per standard deviation higher serum iron (95% CI 0.88 to 1.00, P = 0.039). Results for transferrin saturation (0.95, 0.91 to 0.99) and ferritin (0.85, 0.73 to 0.98) pointed the same way [7].
- Population
- Gene associations with iron status from 48,972 people, and with coronary artery disease from 60,801 cases and 123,504 controls combined with a second set of 63,746 cases and 130,681 controls [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- A genetic estimate of lifelong difference in iron status, resting on three variants, with a confidence interval that reaches 1.00. It does not show what a single high or low reading means, or what changing serum iron does [7].
Stroke in a genetic study
Limited evidence: one genetic study found higher serum iron went with slightly more stroke, an odds ratio of 1.07 per standard deviation.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Mendelian randomization study, the odds ratio for stroke was 1.07 per standard deviation higher genetically determined serum iron (95% CI 1.01 to 1.14), 1.06 for transferrin saturation (1.01 to 1.11) and 1.18 for ferritin (1.02 to 1.36). Among types of ischemic stroke, the finding was driven by cardioembolic stroke [8].
- Population
- Gene associations with iron status from 48,972 people, and with stroke from the MEGASTROKE consortium [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- The same gene variants pointed toward less coronary artery disease in a separate study, so the genetic evidence runs in opposite directions for two vascular outcomes [7][8].
Heart disease after leaving night shift work
One cohort of women nurses linked more years since leaving rotating night shift work to lower coronary heart disease risk.
Compared with nurses with a history of shift work who had left it more recently [3]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among women who had ever worked rotating night shifts, longer time since quitting shift work was linked to lower coronary heart disease risk in the younger cohort (P for trend under 0.001). In the older cohort, the link between years of shift work and heart disease was stronger in the first half of follow-up, which the authors read as waning risk after stopping [3].
- Population
- 189,158 initially healthy women nurses in the Nurses' Health Studies, followed 24 years, with 10,822 coronary heart disease cases [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- Observational, in one occupation. Nurses who leave shift work may differ in health and income from those who stay. The abstract reports a trend, not a size [3].
Blood pressure, resistance breathing training against sham
One trial of 36 adults found 30 daily breaths against high resistance lowered systolic pressure from 135 to 126 mm Hg over 6 weeks. Sham training did not.
Compared with low-resistance sham training [11]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- High-resistance inspiratory muscle strength training at 75% of maximal inspiratory pressure lowered casual systolic pressure from 135 to 126 mm Hg (P < 0.01), about 75% of which remained 6 weeks after training stopped, and diastolic pressure from 79 to 77 mm Hg (P = 0.03). Twenty-four hour systolic pressure was lower after training than after sham (P = 0.01). Blood pressure did not change with sham training at 15% of maximum. Brachial artery flow-mediated dilation rose about 45% [11].
- Population
- 36 adults aged 50 to 79 with systolic pressure of 120 mm Hg or higher, 18 per group [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One small double-blind trial using a handheld resistance device. This is strength training of the breathing muscles, not slow breathing [11].
Blood pressure
One cohort of 229 adults aged 50 to 68 found loneliness at the start predicted larger rises in systolic blood pressure over the next 4 years.
Compared with less lonely people in the same cohort [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Higher loneliness at the start predicted increases in systolic blood pressure 2, 3 and 4 years later, cumulatively, independent of age, sex, ethnicity, cardiovascular risk factors, medications, depressive symptoms, social support, perceived stress and hostility [10].
- Population
- 229 White, Black and Hispanic adults aged 50 to 68 in Chicago, tested yearly for 5 years [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One small observational cohort, and the test was one-tailed at p < .05 [10].
Blood pressure
One small study found UVA light on the skin lowered blood pressure in 24 healthy volunteers, with signs of nitric oxide released from the skin.
Compared with a control condition the source abstract does not describe [12]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Two standard erythemal doses of UVA on the skin lowered blood pressure, with falls in circulating nitrate and rises in nitrite. Forearm blood flow rose, independently of nitric oxide synthase [12].
- Population
- 24 healthy volunteers [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- A UV lamp in a laboratory, not sunlight. The abstract gives no size for the fall, and the effect was measured over hours, not weeks.
Blood pressure, against aerobic exercise
One trial of 342 adults with prehypertension found a year of tai chi lowered office systolic pressure 2.4 mm Hg more than aerobic exercise of the same schedule.
Compared with aerobic exercise, four 60-minute supervised sessions a week [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 12 months, office systolic pressure fell 7.01 mm Hg with tai chi and 4.61 mm Hg with aerobic exercise, a difference of -2.40 mm Hg (95% CI -4.39 to -0.41). Twenty-four hour ambulatory systolic pressure (-2.16 mm Hg) and nighttime systolic pressure (-4.08 mm Hg) were also lower with tai chi [7].
- Population
- 342 adults aged 18 to 65 with prehypertension at 2 hospitals in China, mean age 49, 51.5% women [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- One single-blinded trial. People with full hypertension were not included [7].
Cardiovascular events at ratios below 30 mg/g
One cohort of 1,568 adults without diabetes or high blood pressure linked ratios above the group's median, far below 30 mg/g, to nearly three times the cardiovascular events.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Participants with a ratio at or above the sex-specific median (3.9 mg/g for men, 7.5 mg/g for women) had a hazard ratio of 2.92 (95% CI 1.57 to 5.44) for a first cardiovascular event against those below the median, and 1.75 (0.95 to 3.22) for death. The finding held when people with a ratio of 30 mg/g or more were excluded [9].
- Population
- 1,568 adults in the Framingham Offspring Study, mean age 55, free of cardiovascular disease, hypertension and diabetes, followed for a median of 6 years, with 54 first cardiovascular events [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One cohort with 54 events and wide intervals. The larger pooled analyses above also found risk rising below 30 mg/g [5].
Blood vessel function after switching
One trial found better blood vessel function within 1 month in smokers who switched to e-cigarettes, with or without nicotine, than in those who kept smoking.
Compared with people who kept smoking, a nonrandomized preference group [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Within 1 month of switching, flow-mediated dilation improved by 1.49% (95% CI 0.93 to 2.04) against continued smoking, and arterial stiffness fell (pulse wave velocity -0.529 m/s, 95% CI -0.946 to -0.112). Women gained more than men. E-cigarettes with and without nicotine did not differ [6].
- Population
- Adults smoking at least 15 cigarettes a day for at least 2 years, free of heart disease, randomized to e-cigarettes with or without nicotine, with a smoking comparison group [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- The comparison with continued smoking was not randomized and was adjusted by propensity score. Follow-up was 1 month [6].
After a heart attack
One trial found death, repeat heart attack or stroke in 16.7% on warfarin against 20.0% on aspirin after a heart attack, with more major bleeding.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Death, nonfatal reinfarction or thromboembolic stroke occurred in 16.7% on warfarin against 20.0% on aspirin (rate ratio 0.81, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.95), and in 15.0% on warfarin plus aspirin (rate ratio 0.71, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.83). Major nonfatal bleeding occurred at 0.62% per treatment-year in both warfarin groups against 0.17% on aspirin [12].
- Population
- 3,630 patients after acute myocardial infarction. Warfarin alone was dosed to an INR of 2.8 to 4.2 [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One trial, published in 2002, at a higher INR target than the label gives for most uses.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,630 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
VO2 max, Fitbit Charge 2
One study of 60 young adults found the Fitbit Charge 2 fitness score within 1.6 mL/kg/min of laboratory VO2 max on average, with error under 10%.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Fitbit Charge 2
- Compared with
- Laboratory VO2 max testing
- Effect
- The Fitbit score had a positive bias of 1.59 mL/kg/min against laboratory data averaged over 15 seconds and 0.30 against data averaged over 60 seconds. Tests of equal means and variances did not reject concordance (P = 0.133 and 0.926), and mean absolute percentage error was under 10% for each comparison [5].
- Population
- 65 healthy adults aged 18 to 45 recruited, 60 analyzed, who wore the device for a week and completed a qualifying outdoor run [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- The authors limit the result to young, healthy, fit adults who are able to run. Published in 2019 [5].
VO2 max, Garmin fēnix 6
One study of 19 adults found Garmin fēnix 6 estimates within 7% of laboratory VO2 max on average, meeting the study's preset criteria.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin fēnix 6
- Compared with
- A metabolic system during a graded exercise test
- Effect
- Against laboratory data averaged over 30 seconds, mean absolute percentage error was 7.05% and concordance correlation 0.73. The study had set validity at an error under 10% and concordance above 0.7 [6].
- Population
- 19 apparently healthy adults, active and sedentary, who completed a graded test and an outdoor run [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Nineteen participants. No external funding, and the authors declared no conflicts of interest [6].
VO2 max, Garmin Forerunner 265
One study of 20 runners found Garmin Forerunner 265 estimates about 2.7 mL/kg/min above laboratory VO2 max, with error under 10%.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin Forerunner 265
- Compared with
- A laboratory maximal test
- Effect
- At the start of training the watch estimate averaged 43.95 mL/kg/min against 41.10 in the laboratory (p = 0.009), and after 12 weeks 45.00 against 42.43 (p = .007). Mean absolute percentage error was below the 10% threshold the study had adopted. The watch's half-marathon predictions averaged 129.97 minutes against official times of 137.55 (p = .003) [11].
- Population
- 20 adults in a 12-week half-marathon training program [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Twenty participants. The overestimate was statistically significant at both time points even though it fell inside the study's threshold [11].
Heart rate, Apple Watch, Basis Peak, Fitbit Surge, Microsoft Band, Mio Alpha 2, PulseOn and Samsung Gear S2
One study of 60 adults found six of seven wrist devices had a median heart rate error below 5% during cycling, with higher error while walking.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch, Basis Peak, Fitbit Surge, Microsoft Band, Mio Alpha 2, PulseOn, Samsung Gear S2
- Compared with
- Continuous ECG telemetry
- Effect
- Six of the seven devices had a median heart rate error below 5% during cycling. Error was lowest for cycling and highest for walking, and was higher in men, at greater body mass index and with darker skin tone. The authors concluded most of the devices adequately measured heart rate in laboratory activities [5].
- Population
- 60 volunteers (31 women), mean age 38, chosen to vary in skin tone, body size and fitness [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Published in 2017 with devices from that period. Laboratory sitting, walking, running and cycling only [5].
Reported risks265
With an ARB or aliskiren
Shown to raise high potassium, low blood pressure and kidney failure when an ACE inhibitor is combined with an ARB or aliskiren, with no fewer deaths.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across 33 trials, combining two blockers of the renin-angiotensin system did not lower all-cause mortality against one (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.06) and raised hyperkalemia by 55%, low blood pressure by 66% and kidney failure by 41% [26]. In ONTARGET, ramipril plus telmisartan brought more low blood pressure symptoms (4.8% against 1.7%), fainting (0.3% against 0.2%) and kidney dysfunction (13.5% against 10.2%) than ramipril alone, with no difference in cardiovascular events (16.3% against 16.5%) [15]. In people with diabetic kidney disease, lisinopril added to losartan raised hyperkalemia (6.3 against 2.6 events per 100 person-years) and acute kidney injury (12.2 against 6.7), and the trial was stopped early [27].
- Population
- 68,405 people in 33 trials, mean 52 weeks [26]; 17,078 people assigned to the combination or ramipril alone [15]; 1,448 people with type 2 diabetes and kidney disease [27].
- Sources
- [26], [15], [27]
- Caveats
- Hospital admissions for heart failure fell 18% on dual therapy in the pooled analysis [26]. The lisinopril label describes the same findings [3].
Dizziness and low blood pressure on standing
Shown to raise dizziness and low blood pressure on standing in label trials, with dizziness in 15% on tamsulosin 0.4 mg against 10% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Dizziness was reported by 14.9% on tamsulosin 0.4 mg, 17.1% on 0.8 mg and 10.1% on placebo, and at least one positive orthostatic test by 16%, 19% and 11% [4]. Dizziness was 15.6% on doxazosin against 9.0% on placebo in BPH trials and 19% against 9% in hypertension trials [7]. On terazosin it was 9.1% against 4.2%, and postural hypotension 3.9% against 0.8% [19]. On alfuzosin dizziness was 5.7% against 2.8% [6], and on silodosin 3.2% against 1.1%, with orthostatic hypotension 2.6% against 1.5% [5]. In chronic prostatitis trials, adverse events such as dizziness and postural hypotension were more frequent than on placebo (RR 1.60, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.34) [15].
- Population
- 1,487 men in two US tamsulosin trials [4]; 965 BPH and 675 hypertension patients in doxazosin trials [7]; 996 men in terazosin BPH trials [19]; 1,151 men in alfuzosin trials [6]; 923 men in silodosin trials [5]; 1,588 men in prostatitis trials [15].
- Sources
- [4], [7], [19], [6], [5], [15]
- Caveats
- Rates differ by drug and trial, and cross-trial comparisons between drugs are not reliable.
With an ACE inhibitor or aliskiren
Shown to raise high potassium, low blood pressure and kidney failure when an ARB is combined with an ACE inhibitor or aliskiren, with no fewer deaths.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across 33 trials, combining two blockers of the renin-angiotensin system did not lower all-cause mortality against one (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.06) and raised hyperkalemia by 55%, low blood pressure by 66% and kidney failure by 41% [36]. In ONTARGET, telmisartan plus ramipril brought more low blood pressure symptoms (4.8% against 1.7%) and kidney dysfunction (13.5% against 10.2%) than ramipril alone [16]. In people with diabetic kidney disease on losartan, adding lisinopril raised hyperkalemia (6.3 against 2.6 events per 100 person-years) and acute kidney injury (12.2 against 6.7), and the trial was stopped early [37].
- Population
- 68,405 people in 33 trials, mean 52 weeks [36]; 17,078 people assigned to the combination or ramipril alone [16]; 1,448 people with type 2 diabetes and kidney disease [37].
- Sources
- [36], [16], [37]
- Caveats
- Hospital admissions for heart failure fell 18% on dual therapy in the pooled analysis [36]. The losartan label carries the same warning [10].
Heart rate and blood pressure
Shown to raise heart rate 20 beats a minute or more in 29% of adults on viloxazine against 13%, and diastolic pressure 15 mmHg in 25% of teenagers against 13%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- On viloxazine, a heart rate rise of 20 bpm or more occurred in 22% to 34% of children and teenagers against 9% to 23% on placebo, and in 29% of adults against 13%. Diastolic pressure rose 15 mmHg or more in 25% of teenagers on 400 mg against 13%, and 13% of adults against 9% [6]. On atomoxetine, about 5% to 10% of children had clinically important changes in heart rate or blood pressure. Mean heart rate rose about 5 bpm in children, and 9.4 to 11 bpm in poor CYP2D6 metabolizers. Tachycardia was reported in 1.5% of adults against 0.5%. The label reports sudden death in children with heart abnormalities, and sudden death, stroke and heart attack in adults, of unknown relation to the drug [9].
- Population
- Viloxazine label trials in children, teenagers and adults [6]; atomoxetine label trials [9].
- Sources
- [6], [9]
- Caveats
- The band above is from the viloxazine trials. Rates are any rise at any visit, not sustained hypertension.
Ankle and leg swelling
Shown to raise ankle and leg swelling, 10.7% against 3.2% on controls, more often on dihydropyridines and at higher doses.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across 106 trials in hypertension, peripheral edema occurred in 10.7% on calcium channel blockers and 3.2% on control or placebo, and 2.1% against 0.5% stopped treatment over it. It was more frequent on dihydropyridines (12.3%) than non-dihydropyridines (3.1%), and at high doses (16.1%) than low doses (5.7%), and reached 24% after 6 months [15]. In placebo-controlled trials of amlodipine, edema occurred in 1.8%, 3.0% and 10.8% at 2.5, 5 and 10 mg, against 0.6% on placebo [8]. On extended-release diltiazem, edema occurred in 2.6% against 1.3% on placebo [10].
- Population
- 99,469 people in 106 trials, mean age 56 [15]; 839 people on amlodipine and 520 on placebo [8]; 607 people on diltiazem and 301 on placebo [10].
- Sources
- [15], [8], [10]
- Caveats
- Trials of at least 100 people on a calcium channel blocker and at least 4 weeks [15].
Faster resting heart rate
Shown to raise resting heart rate about 2 to 3 bpm over placebo. Rises over 10 bpm occurred in 34% against 19% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- The FDA label reports mean resting heart rate increases of 2 to 3 bpm against placebo, and 4 to 9 bpm higher in 24-hour monitoring. Rises of more than 10 bpm at two consecutive visits occurred in 34% on Saxenda and 19% on placebo [13]. A higher heart rate was observed more often with liraglutide alone than with liraglutide plus exercise [6].
- Population
- Adult participants in the Saxenda clinical trials [13]; 195 adults [6].
- Sources
- [13], [6]
- Caveats
- The label figures pool the manufacturer's trials and are not broken out by trial.
Flushing and stopping for side effects
Shown to roughly double stopping for side effects, with flushing the most common reason in one trial.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across 17 trials, people on niacin were about twice as likely to stop treatment for side effects (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.70 to 2.77) [3]. On immediate-release niacin, 39% withdrew before 3,000 mg a day, most often for flushing and other vasodilatory symptoms, fatigue and skin darkening (acanthosis nigricans) [7].
- Population
- 33,539 participants in 17 trials [3]; 23 adults on immediate-release niacin [7].
- Sources
- [3], [7]
- Caveats
- Heterogeneity was high (I² 77%) [3].
Dizziness, low blood pressure and fainting
Shown to cause dizziness in 20% to 28% against 5% to 15% on placebo, with low blood pressure in 4% to 7% and fainting in 3% to 5%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In controlled depression trials, dizziness or light-headedness occurred in 28% of outpatients on trazodone against 15% on placebo and 20% of inpatients against 5%. Hypotension occurred in 4% against 0 and 7% against 1%, and syncope in 5% against 1% and 3% against 2% [12]. The label states that a blood pressure medicine taken at the same time may need a lower dose [12]. In older outpatients with hypertension, trazodone users had a larger drop in blood pressure on standing (systolic 23.8 vs 14.3 mm Hg) and more syncope and falls (58.3% vs 21.2%) [16].
- Population
- 157 outpatients and 142 inpatients on trazodone, 158 and 95 on placebo [12]; 123 outpatients with hypertension, mean age 81, of whom 12 took trazodone [16].
- Sources
- [12], [16]
- Caveats
- The observational study had 12 trazodone users, and its association weakened after adjusting for a dementia diagnosis [16].
More clots than warfarin in antiphospholipid syndrome
One small trial found strokes or heart attacks in 12% on rivaroxaban and none on warfarin in high-risk antiphospholipid syndrome, and was stopped early.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In people with antiphospholipid syndrome positive on all three antibody tests, thromboembolic events occurred in 7 of 59 on rivaroxaban (12%), 4 ischemic strokes and 3 heart attacks, against none of 61 on warfarin. Major bleeding occurred in 7% against 3% [26]. The rivaroxaban label states that DOACs have been associated with more recurrent thrombotic events than vitamin K antagonists in this group [23].
- Population
- 120 high-risk patients followed a mean 569 days [26].
- Sources
- [26], [23]
- Caveats
- A small open-label trial in one high-risk group. The evidence is for rivaroxaban.
Selenium
Limited evidence: low selenium in 20% of children on the diet for epilepsy at one center, with one case of heart muscle disease.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- At one center, 9 children on the diet had low selenium, including one with cardiomyopathy and no detectable whole-blood selenium. Of 39 more children tested, 8 had levels below the normal range, 6 at first test and 2 on later testing. Supplementation raised levels in all [13]. In 91 children over 12 months, mean plasma selenium fell from 0.95 to 0.88 μmol/L [14].
- Population
- Children treated for drug-resistant epilepsy [13][14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Children on a medical ketogenic diet with prescribed supplements. No adult data on selenium were located.
Tizanidine: low blood pressure
One label study found hypotension in 16% after 8 mg of tizanidine and 33% after 16 mg, against none on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In the label's single-dose study, hypotension was reported by 16% after 8 mg and 33% after 16 mg, against 0% on placebo, and a slow heart rate by 2% and 10% against 0%. The label states that fainting has been reported after marketing and calls for monitoring when tizanidine is taken with blood pressure medication [12].
- Population
- 45 people given 8 mg, 49 given 16 mg and 48 given placebo [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Single doses in people with spasticity from multiple sclerosis, from one label study.
Interaction with nitroglycerin
Small trials found more headache and low blood pressure when NAC was given with nitroglycerin in hospital patients with unstable angina.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In 200 patients with unstable angina, oral NAC with transdermal nitroglycerin was followed by side effects in 35%, mainly intolerable headache, almost twice as often as nitroglycerin alone [11]. In 46 patients, intravenous NAC with intravenous nitroglycerin caused symptomatic hypotension in 7 versus 0 on nitroglycerin alone [12].
- Population
- Hospital patients with unstable angina [11][12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Hospital doses, in [12] 5 g intravenously every 6 hours. The same combination also lowered cardiac event rates in both trials.
253 more
Faster heart rate and cardiovascular events
Limited evidence: Qsymia raised average heart rate about 3.6 bpm, while observational data did not find more major cardiovascular events.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In an 8-week ambulatory study, Qsymia raised 24-hour average heart rate by 3.6 bpm (95% CI 2.1 to 5.2) against placebo. In trials up to one year, a rise of more than 10 bpm at a single visit occurred in 42.1% on placebo and 56.1% on 15/92 mg [8]. In insurance claims, the rate of major cardiovascular events during current use against unexposed former use was 0.57 (95% CI 0.19 to 1.78) for phentermine plus topiramate and 0.56 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.91) for phentermine alone [9]. In health records, cardiovascular disease or death occurred in 0.3% (41 events), with no difference by length of phentermine use [7].
- Population
- Qsymia trial participants [8]; US MarketScan claims [9]; 13,972 phentermine users [7].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [7]
- Caveats
- [9] and [7] are observational with few events and wide intervals. [9] was funded by Vivus. No cardiovascular outcome trial of phentermine or phentermine-topiramate was sourced.
Raised blood pressure and heart rate
Shown to raise blood pressure by about 2 to 4 mm Hg and heart rate by about 3 to 6 beats a minute on average.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- The labels state that stimulants raise blood pressure by a mean of about 2 to 4 mm Hg and heart rate by about 3 to 6 beats a minute, and that some people have larger increases [17][18]. In a network meta-analysis of short trials, methylphenidate raised systolic pressure against placebo by 1.81 mm Hg in children and adolescents (95% CI 1.05 to 2.57) and 1.66 mm Hg in adults (95% CI 0.38 to 2.93), amphetamines raised it by 2.3 mm Hg in adults (95% CI 0.66 to 3.94), and methylphenidate raised adult pulse by 4.37 beats a minute (95% CI 3.16 to 5.59) [23]. In the binge eating trials, pulse rose 4.41 to 6.31 beats a minute on lisdexamfetamine [7]. Tachycardia was reported by 6% of adults on extended-release mixed amphetamine salts against 3% on placebo, by 5% against 0 on extended-release methylphenidate, and increased heart rate by 7% against 1% on lisdexamfetamine [17][21][18]. In a case-control study, 3 to 5 years of cumulative ADHD medication use was associated with hypertension (adjusted OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.51 to 1.97) [24].
- Population
- 13,315 children and adolescents and 9,387 adults in 102 trials with a median follow-up of 7 weeks [23]; adults in label trials [17][21][18]; 278,027 people with ADHD aged 6 to 64 in Sweden [24].
- Sources
- [17], [18], [23], [7], [21], [24]
- Caveats
- The band above is the rate of reported tachycardia, since the average rises apply to everyone treated. Confidence in the adult estimates was rated very low [23]. Isolated blood pressure elevations in a 4-week adolescent trial were no more frequent on the drug than on placebo [17]. The hypertension finding is observational [24].
Atrial fibrillation
Shown to raise serious atrial fibrillation in pooled trials, about 1.4 to 1.5 times the odds, 1.3% against 0.4% in the main zoledronic acid trial. Observational studies disagreed.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Serious atrial fibrillation was more frequent on bisphosphonates in pooled trials (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.14), but all atrial fibrillation events were not (OR 1.14, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.36) [19]. A second meta-analysis found more serious atrial fibrillation in trials (OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.93) and no rise in stroke or cardiovascular death [20]. In the zoledronic acid label trial, serious atrial fibrillation occurred in 1.3% (50 of 3,862) against 0.4% (17 of 3,852) [13]. Pooled observational studies found no link in one analysis (OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.16) [21] and a small one in another (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.36) [22].
- Population
- 4 trial datasets [19]; 41,375 people in 6 trials and 149,856 in 6 observational studies [20]; 7,714 women [13]; 266,761 patients in 7 studies [21]; 12 observational studies [22].
- Sources
- [19], [20], [13], [21], [22]
- Caveats
- The trial signal rests mostly on zoledronic acid. Observational studies had high heterogeneity [22].
Swelling and weight gain
Shown to cause swelling of the legs or hands in 6% to 8% against 2% on placebo, and weight gain of 7% or more in 9% against 2% on pregabalin.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In pregabalin trials, peripheral edema was reported by 6% against 2% on placebo, and a gain of 7% or more of body weight within 14 weeks by 9% against 2%. Weight gain was related to dose and length of exposure. Among people with diabetes, those on pregabalin gained an average of 1.6 kg against 0.3 kg on placebo. In people taking a thiazolidinedione diabetes drug, edema was reported by 3% on that drug alone, 8% on pregabalin alone and 19% on both [7]. In postherpetic neuralgia trials of gabapentin, peripheral edema was reported by 8% against 2% and weight gain by 2% against 0 [19].
- Population
- Adults in controlled pregabalin trials of up to 14 weeks [7]; 336 people on gabapentin and 227 on placebo [19].
- Sources
- [7], [19]
- Caveats
- The label states that the long-term cardiovascular effects of weight gain on pregabalin are unknown [7].
Heart attack, stroke and heart failure
Shown to raise major vascular events with coxibs and diclofenac, mostly at high doses, about 3 more per 1,000 people a year. Heart failure roughly doubled.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Against placebo, a coxib raised major vascular events by a rate ratio of 1.37 and diclofenac by 1.41. Ibuprofen raised major coronary events (RR 2.22, 95% CI 1.10 to 4.48), while naproxen did not raise major vascular events (RR 0.93). Of 1,000 people on a coxib or diclofenac for a year, 3 more had a major vascular event, 1 of them fatal. Heart failure risk was roughly doubled by all NSAIDs [10]. In people with arthritis at raised cardiovascular risk, the primary cardiovascular outcome occurred in 2.3% on celecoxib, 2.5% on naproxen and 2.7% on ibuprofen [11]. The prescription label states the risk may occur early in treatment and may increase with duration of use [12].
- Population
- 280 placebo-controlled trials with 124,513 participants and 474 head-to-head trials with 229,296 participants [10]; 24,081 adults with osteoarthritis or rheumatoid arthritis on mean daily doses of 2,045 mg ibuprofen, 852 mg naproxen or 209 mg celecoxib, mean follow-up 34.1 months [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- The meta-analysis mostly reflects high doses [10]. In [11], 68.8% stopped the study drug and 27.4% left follow-up, and the trial was funded by Pfizer, maker of celecoxib.
Low blood pressure and dizziness
Shown to raise low blood pressure and dizziness, most often in heart failure and soon after a heart attack.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In hypertension trials of lisinopril, dizziness was 3.5 percentage points more frequent than on placebo. In heart failure trials, low blood pressure was 3.8 points more frequent than on placebo. In GISSI-3, persistent low blood pressure occurred in 9.0% on lisinopril and 3.7% of those not given it. In the ATLAS heart failure trial, the high dose brought more dizziness (19% against 12%), low blood pressure (11% against 7%) and fainting (7% against 5%) than the low dose [3]. Across 4 trials started within 36 hours of a heart attack, persistent low blood pressure occurred in 17.6% on an ACE inhibitor and 9.3% of controls [6].
- Population
- Lisinopril trials in hypertension and heart failure, 3,164 people in ATLAS and 19,394 in GISSI-3 [3]; 98,496 people in 4 trials [6].
- Sources
- [3], [6]
- Caveats
- The label gives the hypertension and heart failure figures as the excess over placebo, not as two rates. The band here is taken from the 9.0% in GISSI-3, and rates were higher in the pooled heart attack trials [6].
Pregnancy
Linked to a small rise in heart malformations with methylphenidate in early pregnancy, 18.8 against 12.7 per 1,000 infants, and no rise with amphetamines.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In US data, cardiac malformations occurred in 18.8 per 1,000 infants exposed to methylphenidate, 15.4 per 1,000 exposed to amphetamines and 12.7 per 1,000 unexposed. After adjustment, the relative risk of cardiac malformations was 1.28 for methylphenidate (95% CI 0.94 to 1.74), and 1.28 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.64) when pooled with Nordic data. For amphetamines it was 0.96 (95% CI 0.78 to 1.19). Any malformation did not differ significantly for either drug [31]. The amphetamine label states that published studies have not identified a drug-associated risk of major birth defects or miscarriage, and that premature delivery and low birth weight have been seen in infants of mothers taking amphetamines [17]. The methylphenidate label describes the published findings as inconsistent [21].
- Population
- 1,813,894 pregnancies in the US and 2,560,069 in the Nordic countries [31].
- Sources
- [31], [17], [21]
- Caveats
- Observational. The pooled confidence interval for methylphenidate reaches 1.00, and the unadjusted rates above differ more than the adjusted risks do.
Fainting, most often after the first doses
The label warns terazosin can cause fainting after the first dose or first few days, reported in about 1% of hypertension trial patients.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In trials of nearly 2,000 hypertensive patients, syncope was reported in about 1% on terazosin. In BPH trials it was 0.6% on terazosin against 0% on placebo. The risk was greatest in the first 7 days but continued at all times [19]. Syncope was 0.2% on tamsulosin 0.4 mg, 0.4% on 0.8 mg and 0.6% on placebo [4], and 0.2% on alfuzosin against 0% on placebo [6].
- Population
- Nearly 2,000 hypertensive patients and 996 men with BPH [19]; 1,487 men [4]; 1,151 men [6].
- Sources
- [19], [4], [6]
- Caveats
- Terazosin and doxazosin labels start at 1 mg because of this effect [19][7]. Tamsulosin did not differ from placebo.
FDA boxed warning: weaker effect of clopidogrel in CYP2C19 poor metabolizers
FDA states clopidogrel has a reduced effect on platelets in people with two loss-of-function CYP2C19 alleles. Studies disagree on how far outcomes differ.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- The boxed warning states that clopidogrel depends on conversion to an active metabolite, mainly by CYP2C19, that it forms less of this metabolite in people with two nonfunctional alleles, and that tests can identify them [22]. In a meta-analysis of people treated mostly for stenting, 2.2% carried two reduced-function alleles and 26.3% one. Carriers of one or two had more cardiovascular death, heart attack or stroke (HR 1.55 and 1.76) and more stent thrombosis (HR 2.67 and 3.97) than noncarriers [25]. A second meta-analysis found a higher risk of cardiovascular events in carriers (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.28) that disappeared in studies with 200 or more events (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.09), with evidence of small-study bias [26]. In a trial after stenting, carriers given genotype-guided treatment had events in 4.0% against 5.9% on clopidogrel (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.43 to 1.02) [27].
- Population
- 9,685 patients, 91.3% of whom had a stent procedure [25]; 42,016 patients in 32 studies [26]; 5,302 patients, 1,849 of them carriers [27].
- Sources
- [22], [25], [26], [27]
- Caveats
- The band above is the 2.2% who carried two reduced-function alleles in one pooled population [25]. The trial result did not reach statistical significance [27].
Stopping treatment
Linked to about 37% more cardiovascular events after long-term users stopped low-dose aspirin, about one extra event a year per 74 people who stopped.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In a Swedish national cohort, long-term users who stopped low-dose aspirin without major surgery or bleeding had more cardiovascular events than those who continued (adjusted HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.34 to 1.41), equal to one additional event a year in 1 of every 74 people who stopped. The risk rose shortly after stopping [32]. The clopidogrel label states that discontinuation increases the risk of cardiovascular events [22]. After a stent, stent thrombosis and heart attack rose in the 3 months after a thienopyridine was stopped, in both trial groups [6].
- Population
- Long-term low-dose aspirin users in Swedish registers, followed a median 3.0 years with 62,690 cardiovascular events [32]; 9,961 patients after a stent [6].
- Sources
- [32], [22], [6]
- Caveats
- The cohort is observational, and people who stop may differ from those who continue.
Dizziness and low blood pressure
Shown to raise dizziness slightly in high blood pressure, 3% against 2% on placebo, and more in heart failure, 17% against 9%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In 4 hypertension trials of losartan, dizziness occurred in 3% on losartan and 2% on placebo [10]. In heart failure trials of valsartan, dizziness occurred in 17% against 9% on placebo and low blood pressure in 7% against 2% [14]. In ONTARGET, low blood pressure symptoms were more frequent on telmisartan than on ramipril (2.6% against 1.7%) [16].
- Population
- More than 1,000 people on losartan and more than 300 on placebo [10]; 3,282 people on valsartan and 2,740 on placebo in heart failure trials, about 93% also on an ACE inhibitor [14]; 17,118 people in ONTARGET [16].
- Sources
- [10], [14], [16]
- Caveats
- The band is taken from the hypertension trials. Rates were higher in heart failure, where most people also took an ACE inhibitor [14].
Low blood pressure on standing and fainting
Shown to cause fainting in 1% on quetiapine against 0.2% on placebo, and low blood pressure on standing in 4% against 1%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Syncope was reported in 1% (28 of 3,265) on quetiapine and 0.2% (2 of 954) on placebo, postural hypotension in 4% against 1% in schizophrenia and mania trials, and dizziness in 11% against 5% [3]. On aripiprazole, orthostatic hypotension was reported in 1% against 0.3% and syncope in 0.5% against 0.4% [10]. Both labels state that the drug may add to the effect of blood pressure medicines [3][10].
- Population
- 3,265 people on quetiapine across trials [3]; 2,467 adults on oral aripiprazole in short-term trials [10].
- Sources
- [3], [10]
- Caveats
- The label states that these effects occur mostly during the first dose increases on quetiapine.
Slow heart rate and low blood pressure
Shown to raise slow heart rate and low blood pressure, with a slow heart rate in 9% on carvedilol against 1% on placebo in heart failure trials.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In US heart failure trials of carvedilol, a slow heart rate occurred in 9% against 1% on placebo and low blood pressure in 9% against 3%. In severe heart failure the figures were 10% against 3% and 14% against 8% [25]. In the MERIT-HF trial of extended-release metoprolol, a slow heart rate was reported in 1.5% against 0.4% and dizziness or vertigo in 1.8% against 1.0% [24]. After a heart attack, hospitalization for slow heart rate, heart block, low blood pressure, fainting or pacemaker implantation occurred in 3.4% on a beta-blocker and 3.2% without [7].
- Population
- 765 people on carvedilol and 437 on placebo in mild to moderate heart failure, and 1,156 against 1,133 in severe heart failure [25]; 1,990 people on metoprolol and 2,001 on placebo [24]; 5,020 people after a heart attack [7].
- Sources
- [25], [24], [7]
- Caveats
- Rates differ widely by drug and condition, from 1.5% to 10% for a slow heart rate.
Raised blood pressure
Shown to raise blood pressure by about 1 mm Hg on average. New hypertension was more frequent when bupropion was combined with a nicotine patch.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across randomized trials, bupropion alone or with naltrexone raised systolic pressure by 1.34 mm Hg (95% CI 0.38 to 2.29) and diastolic by 0.93 mm Hg (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99), more at doses above 360 mg [24]. In a smoking cessation trial, new hypertension occurred in 6.1% on bupropion plus a nicotine patch, 2.5% on bupropion alone, 1.6% on the patch alone and 3.1% on placebo, mostly in people with signs of earlier hypertension [8]. In immediate-release trials, hypertension was reported by 4% against 2% on placebo [8].
- Population
- Randomized trials of bupropion alone or with naltrexone [24]; smokers in a four-arm trial and adults in immediate-release trials described in labeling [8].
- Sources
- [24], [8]
- Caveats
- The pooled figure mixes bupropion alone with the naltrexone combination, which raised pressure more [24]. In the smoking trial, bupropion alone did not exceed placebo.
Dizziness, flushing and palpitations
Shown to raise flushing and palpitations with dose on amlodipine, with palpitations in 4.5% at 10 mg against 0.6% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In placebo-controlled trials of amlodipine at 2.5, 5 and 10 mg, dizziness occurred in 1.1%, 3.4% and 3.4% against 1.5% on placebo, flushing in 0.7%, 1.4% and 2.6% against 0.0%, and palpitations in 0.7%, 1.4% and 4.5% against 0.6%. Fatigue occurred in 4.5% against 2.8%. The label states that symptomatic low blood pressure is possible, and that worsening angina or a heart attack can develop after starting or raising the dose, particularly in severe obstructive coronary disease [8].
- Population
- 839 people on amlodipine and 520 on placebo in dose-ranging trials, and 1,730 against 1,250 for fatigue [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for amlodipine, a dihydropyridine.
Slow heart rate and heart block
Shown to slow the heart on diltiazem, with a slow heart rate in 3.3% against 1.3% on placebo. The same is reported for verapamil.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In placebo-controlled trials of extended-release diltiazem, a slow heart rate occurred in 3.3% against 1.3% on placebo and first-degree heart block in 3.3% against 0.0%. Second- or third-degree heart block occurred in 13 of 3,290 people (0.40%) [10]. In trials of oral verapamil, a heart rate below 50 a minute occurred in 1.4% and heart block of any degree in 1.2%, with no placebo rate given [16].
- Population
- 607 people on diltiazem and 301 on placebo, and 3,290 people for higher-degree block [10]; 4,954 people on verapamil [16].
- Sources
- [10], [16]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for the non-dihydropyridines. People with conduction abnormalities were usually excluded from these trials [10].
Heart failure
Shown to bring more heart failure than diuretics or ACE inhibitors in blood pressure trials. Verapamil and diltiazem labels warn of worsening in a weakened heart.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- As first-line blood pressure treatment, calcium channel blockers brought more heart failure than diuretics (RR 1.37, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.51) and ACE inhibitors (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.28) [4]. In ALLHAT the 6-year rate was 10.2% on amlodipine and 7.7% on chlorthalidone (RR 1.38, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.52) [5]. In clinical trials of verapamil, 1.8% developed heart failure or pulmonary edema [16]. After a heart attack, diltiazem was associated with more cardiac events in people with lung congestion (HR 1.41) and fewer in those without (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.98) [17]. The diltiazem label reports worsening heart failure in people with impaired ventricular function [10].
- Population
- 153,849 people in 23 trials [4]; 24,303 people assigned to amlodipine or chlorthalidone [5]; 4,954 people on verapamil [16]; 2,466 people after a heart attack, 490 with lung congestion [17].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [16], [17], [10]
- Caveats
- The blood pressure trials compare drugs with each other, not with placebo. The band is taken from the verapamil trials. In severe heart failure, amlodipine did not raise deaths against placebo [18].
Low blood pressure, slow heart rate and fainting
Shown to lower blood pressure and heart rate in ADHD trials, with low blood pressure in 7% on guanfacine against 3%, and reports of severe slow heart rhythms.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Hypotension occurred in 7% on guanfacine and 3% on placebo [7], and bradycardia in 4% on 0.4 mg extended-release clonidine against 0% [6]. A meta-analysis found greater falls in blood pressure and heart rate with clonidine and QTc prolongation with guanfacine than with placebo [5]. The labels report fainting and severe bradycardia needing atropine, isoproterenol or temporary pacing in people with conduction problems or taking other drugs that slow the heart [13][6].
- Population
- Children and adolescents in ADHD trials [7][6][5]; postmarketing reports [13].
- Sources
- [7], [6], [5], [13]
- Caveats
- Rates are from children's trials. The guanfacine label states the falls lessened over time [7].
Heart attack on dabigatran
Shown to raise heart attack or acute coronary events on dabigatran, to 1.19% against 0.79% on comparators across seven trials.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Across seven trials, heart attack or acute coronary syndrome occurred in 237 of 20,000 people on dabigatran (1.19%) against 83 of 10,514 on warfarin, enoxaparin or placebo (0.79%) (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.71) [25].
- Population
- 30,514 participants in seven trials across atrial fibrillation, venous clots and acute coronary syndrome [25].
- Sources
- [25]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for dabigatran. Using revised trial results the estimate was borderline (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.61). In its atrial fibrillation trial, death rates on dabigatran were not higher than on warfarin [3].
Faster heart rate and heart conduction changes
Shown to raise heart rate by 2 to 4 beats a minute, with sinus tachycardia in 5.6% on 1.5 mg against 3.0% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Dulaglutide raised mean heart rate by 2 to 4 beats a minute. Sinus tachycardia was reported in 5.6% on 1.5 mg, 2.8% on 0.75 mg and 3.0% on placebo, persisting in 1.6%, 0.4% and 0.2%. The PR interval rose 2 to 3 milliseconds against a 0.9 millisecond fall on placebo [1].
- Population
- Adults in placebo-controlled trials described in the label [1].
- Sources
- [1]
- Caveats
- Pooled trial data from the manufacturer, without confidence intervals.
Raised blood pressure
Shown to raise blood pressure in some women: new or worse hypertension in 7.0% on Myfembree against 0.8% on placebo in one trial.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In LIBERTY 1, new or worsening hypertension occurred in 7.0% on Myfembree against 0.8% on placebo [2]. On Oriahnn, systolic pressure rose a mean 5.1 mm Hg more than placebo (95% CI 2.68 to 7.59), and systolic pressure of 160 or above occurred in 7.1% against 3.7% [6].
- Population
- Women in the placebo-controlled fibroid trials [2][6].
- Sources
- [2], [6]
- Caveats
- The label reports the hypertension excess in one of the two trials, LIBERTY 1 [2].
Raised blood pressure
Shown to raise blood pressure after each dose, peaking at 40 minutes. Rises of 40 mmHg systolic or 25 diastolic occurred in 3% to 19% against 1% to 4%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Esketamine raised systolic and diastolic pressure at all doses, peaking about 40 minutes after dosing and lasting about 4 hours. Rises of at least 40 mmHg systolic or 25 mmHg diastolic occurred at least once in 3% to 19% against 1% to 4% on placebo. Blood pressure increase was reported as an adverse event in 10% against 3%. The label contraindicates esketamine where a rise in blood pressure or skull pressure is a serious risk, such as aneurysm [4].
- Population
- 346 on esketamine and 222 on placebo, plus other label trials [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The band above is the adverse-event rate.
Low blood pressure (label)
Shown to raise low blood pressure reactions, including fainting on standing, to 1.1% against 0.5% on placebo in adult trials.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Reactions related to low blood pressure, including fainting on standing and circulatory collapse, were reported in 1.1% on Saxenda and 0.5% on placebo in adult trials. Systolic pressure fell below 80 mmHg in 4 people on Saxenda (0.1%) and none on placebo [13].
- Population
- Adults in the Saxenda trials, as reported in the label [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Pooled figures from the manufacturer's trials, not broken out by trial.
Blood pressure and heart rate
Shown to raise reports of high blood pressure, 3% against 1% on placebo, and fast heart rate and palpitations, 2% against 1%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In pooled trials, hypertension was reported in 3% on modafinil vs 1% on placebo, chest pain in 3% vs 1%, palpitations in 2% vs 1% and tachycardia in 2% vs 1%. The label reports chest pain, palpitations and ischemic ECG changes in three people with mitral valve prolapse or left ventricular hypertrophy, and one episode of asystole in a patient with prior fainting [3]. The Cochrane review of shift workers lists a rise in blood pressure among reported adverse effects [7].
- Population
- 934 on modafinil and 567 on placebo [3]; shift workers in trials [7].
- Sources
- [3], [7]
- Caveats
- Short trials. The rates are reports of adverse reactions, not measured mean blood pressure change.
Faster heart rate
Shown to raise heart rate about 4 to 5 beats per minute against 0.5 on placebo, with fast heart rate reported in 3% against 0.9%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Heart rate rose a mean 4 to 5 beats per minute on orforglipron against 0.5 on placebo, and tachycardia was reported in 3% against 0.9% [6]. A meta-analysis found a pooled rise of 6.38 beats per minute (95% CI 2.99 to 9.77), with high heterogeneity [5]. Against oral semaglutide, pulse rose 3.7 to 4.7 beats per minute against 1.0 to 1.5 [8].
- Population
- Label pool [6]; 5 trials with 2,672 participants [5]; 1,698 adults with type 2 diabetes [8].
- Sources
- [6], [5], [8]
- Caveats
- These trials did not test whether the rise affects heart outcomes.
Low blood pressure and fainting (label)
The label reports low blood pressure in 1.3% against 0.4% on placebo and fainting in 0.8% against 0.2%, more often with blood pressure medicines.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In the weight trials, reactions related to low blood pressure occurred in 1.3% on Wegovy and 0.4% on placebo, and fainting in 0.8% and 0.2%. Some were related to gastrointestinal reactions and fluid loss. Low blood pressure was more frequent in people also taking blood pressure medication. In adolescents it occurred in 2.3% against 0% [14].
- Population
- Adults and adolescents in the Wegovy weight trials, as reported in the label [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Pooled figures from the manufacturer's trials, not broken out by trial.
Low blood pressure and fluid loss
Shown to cause fluid loss reactions such as low blood pressure and fainting in 2.3% to 3.4% on canagliflozin against 1.5% on comparators, more often with age over 75.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In eight pooled canagliflozin trials, at least one volume depletion reaction occurred in 2.3% on 100 mg and 3.4% on 300 mg against 1.5% on comparators. In people aged 75 and older the rates were 4.9% and 8.7% against 2.6%, and in people on a loop diuretic 3.2% and 8.8% against 4.7%. In the canagliflozin kidney trial, hypotension occurred in 2.8% against 1.5% on placebo [24]. In pooled empagliflozin trials, these reactions were reported by 0.5% on 10 mg and 0.3% on 25 mg against 0.3% on placebo, and the label states that diuretics taken with empagliflozin raised urine volume and may add to fluid loss [20]. In the dapagliflozin heart failure trial, volume depletion events did not differ from placebo [2].
- Population
- Adults in eight pooled canagliflozin trials and 2,201 on canagliflozin in the kidney trial [24]; 2,971 adults in five empagliflozin trials [20]; 4,744 adults with heart failure [2].
- Sources
- [24], [20], [2]
- Caveats
- Rates differed widely between drugs and trial pools, from no excess to about double.
Leg and foot amputation, a former FDA boxed warning on canagliflozin
Mixed results: one canagliflozin trial program found amputations in 3.3% against 1.5% on placebo, while a later canagliflozin trial and pooled trials of other drugs found no clear rise.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In the CANVAS program, amputation occurred at 6.3 against 3.4 participants per 1,000 patient-years (HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.41 to 2.75), mostly at the toe or metatarsal [13]. On the label, 3.3% of people on canagliflozin and 1.5% on placebo had an amputation in CANVAS, and 1.5% against 0.9% in CANVAS-R [24]. FDA required a boxed warning in 2017 and removed it in 2020, stating that the risk, while still increased with canagliflozin, is lower than previously described [27]. In the canagliflozin kidney trial, amputation rates did not differ significantly (12.3 against 11.2 events per 1,000 patient-years) [8][24]. Pooling seven randomized trials of the class, the association was not significant with a random effects model (RR 1.28, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.76), was significant for canagliflozin alone (RR 1.59, 95% CI 1.26 to 2.01), and was not significant for dapagliflozin or empagliflozin [28]. A network meta-analysis found raised odds for the class (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.3) and for canagliflozin (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.4) [29]. Across four empagliflozin outcome trials the rate was 5.0 against 4.3 events per 1,000 patient-years (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.36) [20].
- Population
- Adults with type 2 diabetes and raised cardiovascular risk followed an average of 5.7 years in CANVAS and 2.1 years in CANVAS-R [13][24]; 4,401 adults in the kidney trial [8]; 42,453 participants in seven trials with events [28]; 96,522 participants in 36 studies [29].
- Sources
- [13], [24], [27], [8], [28], [29], [20]
- Caveats
- The band above is the share with an amputation on canagliflozin in CANVAS. There is no boxed warning on the current labels. Heterogeneity between trials was substantial (I² 62%) [28].
Raised blood pressure
Shown to raise blood pressure in a dose-related way, with sustained hypertension in about 1% to 3% on venlafaxine or desvenlafaxine against 0.5% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- On venlafaxine extended release, sustained diastolic hypertension occurred in 3% of people in depression studies at 75 to 375 mg a day and in 0.5% to 0.9% in anxiety and panic studies. A diastolic rise of 15 mm Hg or more to at least 105 mm Hg occurred in 1.4% vs 0.9% on placebo [10]. On desvenlafaxine, sustained hypertension occurred in 1.3% at 50 mg and 2.3% at 400 mg against 0.5% on placebo [9]. In original data from depression trials, venlafaxine's effect on diastolic pressure was highly dose dependent and reached significance only above 300 mg a day [32]. On duloxetine, mean blood pressure rose 0.5 mm Hg systolic and 0.8 diastolic against small falls on placebo, and sustained elevations did not differ from placebo [18].
- Population
- Adults in premarketing studies of venlafaxine extended release [10] and desvenlafaxine [9]; 3,744 patients with depression [32]; adults in placebo-controlled duloxetine trials [18].
- Sources
- [10], [9], [32], [18]
- Caveats
- Short-term studies. The venlafaxine label notes too few people took more than 300 mg a day to measure the rate at those doses [10].
Tingling, warmth and chest, neck or jaw tightness
Shown to raise tingling, warm or cold sensations and pressure or tightness, with chest symptoms in 2% on sumatriptan 50 or 100 mg against 1% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In the label's placebo-controlled trials, tingling was reported by 3% to 5% on sumatriptan tablets and 2% on placebo, pain and pressure sensations by 6% to 8% against 4%, chest pain, tightness or pressure by 1% to 2% against 1%, neck, throat or jaw tightness by up to 3% against under 1%, and tiredness by 2% to 3% against under 1%. The label states that these sensations are usually not from the heart [11]. Across 53 trials, sumatriptan 100 mg added 13 percentage points to the share with any adverse event over placebo, 6 points for nervous system events and 1.9 points for chest events [3]. In adolescents, minor adverse events were 13 percentage points more frequent than on placebo [10].
- Population
- 1,625 people on sumatriptan tablets and 309 on placebo [11]; 24,089 patients in 53 trials [3]; 7,026 adolescents [10].
- Sources
- [11], [3], [10]
- Caveats
- The band here is taken from the 2% with chest symptoms named in the Finding. Any adverse event was more frequent than that.
Heart failure against a diuretic in high blood pressure
One trial found doxazosin doubled heart failure against chlorthalidone in high blood pressure, 8.1% against 4.5% at 4 years, with more strokes. Heart attacks did not differ.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Fatal coronary disease or nonfatal heart attack did not differ (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.17), nor did total mortality. Doxazosin raised stroke (RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.40), combined cardiovascular disease (4-year rates 25.45% against 21.76%) and heart failure (8.13% against 4.45%, RR 2.04, 95% CI 1.79 to 2.32). The doxazosin arm was stopped early [20].
- Population
- 24,335 adults aged 55 or older with hypertension and another heart risk factor, median follow-up 3.3 years [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- Compared with a diuretic, not placebo, so it shows doxazosin did less than chlorthalidone. One trial.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 24,335 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Around non-cardiac surgery
One trial found metoprolol started just before non-cardiac surgery lowered heart attacks and raised deaths, 3.1% against 2.3%, and strokes, 1.0% against 0.5%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Extended-release metoprolol started 2 to 4 hours before surgery and continued 30 days lowered heart attack (4.2% against 5.7% on placebo, HR 0.73) and raised death (3.1% against 2.3%, HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.74) and stroke (1.0% against 0.5%, HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.26 to 3.74) [35]. A slow heart rate (6.6% against 2.4%) and low blood pressure (15% against 9.7%) were more frequent [24].
- Population
- 8,351 people with or at risk of atherosclerotic disease having non-cardiac surgery who were not already taking a beta-blocker [35].
- Sources
- [35], [24]
- Caveats
- One trial, of people newly started on a beta-blocker hours before surgery. It does not describe people already taking one.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 8,351 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart rhythm
The label reports cardiac arrhythmia in 5% of people on immediate-release bupropion at 300 to 600 mg a day, against 4% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In controlled trials of the immediate-release form at 300 to 600 mg a day, cardiac arrhythmia was reported by 5% against 4% on placebo [8]. In a review of misuse cases, a fast heart rate was the most frequent effect at presentation [25].
- Population
- Adults in immediate-release trials described in labeling [8]; published cases of misuse by snorting or injection [25].
- Sources
- [8], [25]
- Caveats
- A one-point difference from placebo in trials that ran up to 600 mg a day, with no type of arrhythmia named.
Fenofibrate: blood clots in the lungs and legs
One trial found more pulmonary embolism on fenofibrate than placebo, 1.1% against 0.7%, and more deep vein clots. The label warns of it.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Pulmonary embolism occurred in 53 of 4,895 on fenofibrate and 32 of 4,900 on placebo (p=0.022), and deep vein thrombosis in 67 against 48 (p=0.074) [7]. A meta-analysis of fenofibrate trials found more venous clots (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.12 to 2.06), an estimate drawn entirely from this trial [13].
- Population
- 9,795 adults with type 2 diabetes [7][13].
- Sources
- [7], [13]
- Caveats
- One trial.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 9,795 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Deaths after heart attack
One trial was stopped early after 6 people on L-arginine died against none on placebo, in patients after a first heart attack.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In 153 patients after a first ST-elevation heart attack, adding L-arginine at a goal of 3 g three times a day to standard care did not improve vascular stiffness or ejection fraction over 6 months. Six participants (8.6%) on L-arginine died against none on placebo (p = 0.01), and the safety committee closed enrollment [15].
- Population
- Heart attack patients, 77 aged 60 or older [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- One trial stopped early. Supported by the NHLBI [15].
Lightheadedness, fluid retention and fast heart rate with oral use
Limited evidence: lightheadedness, fluid retention and fast heart rate each occurred in under 2% on low-dose oral minoxidil in uncontrolled studies.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- On low-dose oral minoxidil, lightheadedness occurred in 1.7%, fluid retention in 1.3%, tachycardia in 0.9%, headache in 0.4% and swelling around the eyes in 0.3%. These led 1.2% to stop. No life-threatening effects were observed [10]. Pooled, ankle swelling occurred in 2%, more often at higher doses, and postural low blood pressure and heart rate changes in 1.1% and 1.3% [11]. Headache occurred in 14% of men on oral 5 mg [4]. Pooled across 27 studies of oral minoxidil for hair loss, adverse events of any kind occurred in 27% (95% CI 18% to 36%) [12].
- Population
- 1,404 patients [10]; 442 patients [11]; 45 men [4]; 27 studies with 2,933 patients [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [4], [12]
- Caveats
- [10] is retrospective with no control group. The authors of [10] and [11] describe these rates as low. [12] pooled single arms, without a comparison group.
Low blood pressure and skin sensation changes
One trial found low blood pressure in up to 6% and abnormal skin sensation in up to 7%, against 1% or less on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Hypotension occurred in 1%, 5% and 6% on 4, 9 and 12 mg against under 1% on placebo. Dysesthesia, an abnormal skin sensation, occurred in 4%, 6% and 7% against 1% [5].
- Population
- 1,152 adults with obesity and type 2 diabetes [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- One trial reporting these counts.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,152 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and sudden death
Mixed results: two large cohorts and a meta-analysis found no significant rise in serious cardiovascular events, while one study linked longer use to more cardiovascular disease.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- The labels state that sudden death has been reported in people with structural heart abnormalities or other serious heart disease treated with stimulants at ADHD doses [17]. In children and young adults, current users of ADHD drugs had no increase in serious cardiovascular events (adjusted HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.31 to 1.85), against a cohort rate of 3.1 per 100,000 person-years [25]. In adults aged 25 to 64, current users had 1.34 heart attacks, 0.30 sudden cardiac deaths and 0.56 strokes per 1,000 person-years, with no increase against non-use (adjusted RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.96) or against past use (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.24) [26]. A meta-analysis of 19 observational studies found no significant association with cardiovascular disease in children and adolescents (RR 1.18, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.53), young or middle-aged adults (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.43 to 2.48) or older adults (RR 1.59, 95% CI 0.62 to 4.05) [27]. In a later case-control study, each added year of ADHD medication use was associated with 4% higher odds of cardiovascular disease (adjusted OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.05), mainly hypertension and arterial disease [24].
- Population
- Children and young adults in a US cohort with 81 events [25]; adults with 806,182 person-years of follow-up [26]; 3,931,532 participants in 19 studies [27]; 10,388 people with ADHD and cardiovascular disease and 51,672 matched controls [24].
- Sources
- [17], [25], [26], [27], [24]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors of [26] attributed the apparent protective association to healthy-user bias, and [25] could not rule out a doubling of risk. Heterogeneity was high in the meta-analysis [27]. The band above is the event rate in adult current users, which did not exceed the rate in non-users.
Pregnancy and newborns
Linked to persistent pulmonary hypertension in about 2.9 per 1,000 exposed newborns, and to a small rise in birth defects that disappeared among women with a psychiatric diagnosis.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- Among 156,978 pregnancies exposed to an SSRI or SNRI, persistent pulmonary hypertension of the newborn occurred in 2.9 per 1,000 live births (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.54), a number needed to harm of 1,000 [48]. The label gives a background rate of 1 to 2 per 1,000 [24]. Across 29 cohort studies, first-trimester SSRI use was associated with major congenital anomalies (RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.19) and congenital heart defects (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.37). Neither association was significant when the comparison was limited to women with a psychiatric diagnosis (RR 1.04 and 1.06) [49]. The paroxetine label states that first-trimester exposure is associated with a less than 2-fold increase in cardiovascular malformations [28]. The labels also describe newborns exposed late in pregnancy who needed prolonged hospital stays, breathing support and tube feeding, and a less than 2-fold increase in postpartum hemorrhage with use in the month before delivery [24].
- Population
- 11 studies of prenatal exposure [48]; 9,085,954 births in 29 cohort studies [49].
- Sources
- [48], [24], [49], [28]
- Caveats
- Observational, with high heterogeneity for the pulmonary hypertension estimate (I² 72%) [48]. The label also cites a study in which women who stopped antidepressants in pregnancy relapsed more often than women who continued [24].
With trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole
Linked to hospital admission for high potassium and to sudden death in adults over 65 on an ACE inhibitor or ARB given this antibiotic.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- Among older adults on an ACE inhibitor or ARB, hospital admission with hyperkalemia within 14 days was about 7 times as likely after trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole as after amoxicillin (adjusted OR 6.7, 95% CI 4.5 to 10.0). Other antibiotics studied showed no such rise [29]. Sudden death within 7 days was also more likely than after amoxicillin (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.76), about 3 sudden deaths within 14 days per 1,000 prescriptions [30].
- Population
- Ontario residents aged 66 or older on an ACE inhibitor or ARB, with 4,148 hyperkalemia admissions over 14 years [29] and 39,879 sudden deaths from 1994 to 2012 [30].
- Sources
- [29], [30]
- Caveats
- Observational studies in older adults from one province. Ciprofloxacin was also associated with sudden death in the second study [30].
With trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole
Linked to hospital admission for high potassium and to sudden death in adults over 65 on an ARB or ACE inhibitor given this antibiotic.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- Among older adults on an ARB or ACE inhibitor, hospital admission with hyperkalemia within 14 days was about 7 times as likely after trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole as after amoxicillin (adjusted OR 6.7, 95% CI 4.5 to 10.0) [39]. Sudden death within 7 days was also more likely than after amoxicillin (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.76), about 3 sudden deaths within 14 days per 1,000 prescriptions [40].
- Population
- Ontario residents aged 66 or older on an ACE inhibitor or ARB, with 4,148 hyperkalemia admissions over 14 years [39] and 39,879 sudden deaths from 1994 to 2012 [40].
- Sources
- [39], [40]
- Caveats
- Observational studies in older adults from one province. Neither abstract separates ARB users from ACE inhibitor users.
Boxed warning: clots, stroke and heart attack (Myfembree, Oriahnn)
FDA boxed warning: estrogen and progestin combinations, including Myfembree and Oriahnn, raise the risk of clots, stroke and heart attack. Two clots occurred in 453 women on Oriahnn.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- Both labels state that estrogen and progestin combinations increase the risk of pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis, stroke and heart attack, especially in women over 35 who smoke and women with uncontrolled high blood pressure, and contraindicate use in women with past or current clots [2][6]. In the elagolix fibroid trials, 2 of 453 women (0.4%) on Oriahnn had a clot, one in the calf and one pulmonary embolism [6]. On Myfembree, one woman treated for endometriosis had a deep vein thrombosis and a pulmonary embolism after 38 days [2].
- Population
- 453 women on Oriahnn in 3 trials [6]; women in the Myfembree trials [2].
- Sources
- [2], [6]
- Caveats
- The trials were too small to measure a rate against placebo. The warning rests on the estrogen and progestin component.
Blood clots in the veins with combined pills
Shown to raise venous clots about 3.5 times, more with desogestrel, gestodene or drospirenone than levonorgestrel, at 3 to 9 per 10,000 women a year.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Rare: fewer than 1 in 1,000 people.
- Effect
- Combined pill use raised venous thrombosis risk against non-use (RR 3.5, 95% CI 2.9 to 4.3). Pills with 30 to 35 µg ethinyl estradiol and gestodene, desogestrel, cyproterone acetate or drospirenone carried 50% to 80% higher risk than levonorgestrel pills, and higher estrogen doses raised risk [14]. In Danish women, relative risks against non-users were 2.9 for levonorgestrel pills, 6.6 for desogestrel, 6.2 for gestodene and 6.4 for drospirenone, and progestin-only pills and hormonal IUDs did not raise it [15]. The label estimates 3 to 9 per 10,000 woman-years on combined pills against 1 to 5 in non-pregnant non-users, highest in the first year and lower than in pregnancy and after birth [2].
- Population
- 26 studies [14]; Danish women aged 15 to 49 over 8,010,290 woman-years [15]; label statement [2].
- Sources
- [14], [15], [2]
- Caveats
- Observational studies. Non-users in two cohorts had 0.19 and 0.37 clots per 1,000 person-years [14].
Heart attack and stroke
Mixed results: cohort studies found no rise in heart attack or stroke with triptans overall, and one found a rise just after a first prescription in under 0.01% of users.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Rare: fewer than 1 in 1,000 people.
- Effect
- The label states that there have been rare reports of serious cardiac reactions, including heart attack, within hours of sumatriptan, that it may cause coronary artery spasm, and that stroke, brain hemorrhage and marked rises in blood pressure have been reported with this drug class. It contraindicates use in coronary artery disease, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack, peripheral vascular disease and uncontrolled hypertension [11]. Among people with migraine in the General Practice Research Database, triptan prescription was not associated with stroke (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.65) or heart attack (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.43) [13]. A review of 4 observational studies pooled an odds ratio of 0.86 (95% CI 0.52 to 1.43) for serious ischemic events with intense triptan use, and called the stroke evidence conflicting [14]. Among 429,612 people filling a first triptan prescription in Denmark, 11 (0.003%) had a heart attack and 18 (0.004%) an ischemic stroke in the time windows studied, with odds ratios of 3.3 (95% CI 1.0 to 10.9) and 3.2 (95% CI 1.3 to 8.1) for the period just after the prescription [15].
- Population
- 63,575 people with migraine, 13,664 of them prescribed a triptan [13]; 4 observational studies [14]; 429,612 first-time triptan users, median age 38 [15].
- Sources
- [11], [13], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Observational. People with heart disease are steered away from triptans, which lowers event rates among users. The people with events after a first prescription had a median age of about 60 and a high-risk cardiovascular profile [15].
Azithromycin and heart rhythm or cardiac death
Mixed results: one cohort linked azithromycin to 47 extra cardiovascular deaths per million courses, while a Danish cohort found no rise against penicillin. The label warns of QT prolongation.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Rare: fewer than 1 in 1,000 people.
- Effect
- During 5 days of azithromycin, cardiovascular death was higher than with no antibiotic (HR 2.88) or amoxicillin (HR 2.49), an estimated 47 extra deaths per million courses and 245 in people at highest heart risk [27]. In Danish adults aged 18 to 64, 17 cardiovascular deaths occurred during 1,102,419 azithromycin episodes, and risk did not differ from penicillin V (rate ratio 0.93, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.55) [28]. The label reports QT prolongation and torsades de pointes and notes observational studies showing about twice the short-term risk of cardiovascular death [18].
- Population
- Tennessee Medicaid patients with 347,795 azithromycin prescriptions [27]; Danish adults [28].
- Sources
- [27], [28], [18]
- Caveats
- Observational. The two cohorts differed in age and baseline heart risk.
Blood clots with the patch, ring, implant and hormonal IUD
Linked to venous clots 7.9 times higher on the patch and 6.5 times on the ring than non-use, 8 to 10 per 10,000 years, not on the hormonal IUD.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Rare: fewer than 1 in 1,000 people.
- Effect
- Against non-users, confirmed venous thrombosis was raised on the patch (RR 7.9, 95% CI 3.5 to 17.7) and ring (RR 6.5, 95% CI 4.7 to 8.9), at 9.7 and 7.8 events per 10,000 exposure years, against 2.1 in non-users. It was 1.4 (95% CI 0.6 to 3.4) on the implant and 0.6 (95% CI 0.4 to 0.8) on the levonorgestrel IUD. Against levonorgestrel pills, the patch carried 2.3 times and the ring 1.9 times the risk [16]. The patch label warns of possibly greater clot risk at a BMI above 30 [13].
- Population
- 1,626,158 Danish women aged 15 to 49, 9,429,128 woman-years [16].
- Sources
- [16], [13]
- Caveats
- One national cohort, observational.
Stroke and heart attack
Linked to 1.3 to 2.3 times the risk of clot-related stroke and heart attack on pills with 30 to 40 µg ethinyl estradiol, with low absolute rates.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Rare: fewer than 1 in 1,000 people.
- Effect
- Overall, thrombotic stroke occurred at 21.4 and heart attack at 10.1 per 100,000 person-years. With 30 to 40 µg ethinyl estradiol, relative risks ranged from 1.5 to 2.2 for stroke and 1.3 to 2.3 for heart attack by progestin. With 20 µg they were 0.9 to 1.7. The vaginal ring carried 2.5 for stroke [17].
- Population
- 1,626,158 Danish women aged 15 to 49, 14,251,063 person-years [17].
- Sources
- [17]
- Caveats
- Observational, one cohort.
Higher blood pressure
Shown to raise systolic blood pressure by about 4.4 to 4.7 mmHg and diastolic by 2.7 to 4.5 mmHg within hours, in pooled studies of single energy drinks.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 15 studies, systolic pressure rose 4.44 mmHg (95% CI 2.71 to 6.17) and diastolic 2.73 mmHg (95% CI 1.52 to 3.95) from baseline, and heart rate did not change significantly (0.80 beats a minute). Systolic rose 6.44 mmHg with drinks of 200 mg of caffeine or more [6]. Across 17 randomized trials, systolic pressure rose 4.71 mmHg (95% CI 2.97 to 6.45) at 60 to 80 minutes and diastolic 4.51 mmHg (95% CI 2.60 to 6.42) at 120 minutes [7]. Against a drink with the same 320 mg of caffeine, systolic pressure was higher 6 hours after an energy drink (4.72 against 0.83 mmHg) [8].
- Population
- About 340 people in 15 studies [6]. Healthy adults in 17 randomized trials [7]. 18 healthy young adults in a crossover trial [8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Single drinks measured over hours, not long-term use. Eleven of the 17 trials had some concerns and 6 a high risk of bias [7].
Long naps linked to heart disease
Linked to about 37% to 82% more cardiovascular disease with naps of an hour or more in two meta-analyses. Two other reviews found no clear link with cardiovascular death.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Naps of 60 minutes or more a day were linked to more cardiovascular disease (RR 1.82, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.71) than no nap [6]. Napping an hour or more was linked to a 1.37-fold risk (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.71) [7]. Napping was not significantly linked to cardiovascular death in two reviews (HR 1.20, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.50 [9], and RR 1.19, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.48 [10]).
- Population
- 151,588 participants with 5,276 cardiovascular events [6]. 371,306 participants in 21 studies [7]. 130,068 participants [9]. 98,163 participants [10].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Observational. Heterogeneity was high in the newer review (I² 68.3% for long naps) [7]. Sleep apnea, which raises both daytime sleepiness and heart risk, may confound the link.
Heart attack and coronary heart disease
Linked to about a quarter more heart attacks and coronary events in shift workers in pooled studies, with risk rising after the first 5 years of shift work.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Shift work was linked to myocardial infarction (RR 1.23, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.31), ischemic stroke (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.09) and coronary events (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.39). It was not linked to death from vascular or any cause. Every schedule except evening shifts carried a higher coronary risk [4]. A second review found 17% more cardiovascular events and 26% more coronary heart disease (RR 1.26, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.43). After the first 5 years, risk rose 7.1% for every further 5 years of shift work [5]. In nurses, more years of rotating night shifts were linked to more coronary heart disease, a small absolute increase [3].
- Population
- 2,011,935 people in 34 studies [4]. 173,010 participants in 21 studies [5]. 189,158 women nurses [3].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [3]
- Caveats
- Observational. Shift workers differ from day workers in income, smoking and job type, though adjustment for smoking and socioeconomic status did not explain the heterogeneity [4]. Heterogeneity was high for coronary events (I² 85%) [4]. The two reviews disagree on cardiovascular death: one found no link [4] and the other a higher rate in a subgroup (RR 1.22) [5].
Long sleep linked to stroke and death
Linked to higher stroke and death rates in people sleeping long hours, in two meta-analyses of cohorts. The rise grew with each extra hour.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Long sleepers had a 46% higher stroke risk (RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.69) and a 39% higher death rate (RR 1.39, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.47) than people with normal sleep duration, with a linear rise as sleep lengthened [4]. Each hour over 7 was linked to 18% more stroke (RR 1.18) and 13% more deaths (RR 1.13) against people sleeping 7 to 8 hours [1].
- Population
- 5,134,036 participants in 137 cohorts [4]. 3,582,016 participants in 67 articles [1].
- Sources
- [4], [1]
- Caveats
- Observational. Long sleep often follows illness, depression or low activity, so reverse causation may explain much of the link. No trial has tested shortening sleep in long sleepers.
Heart disease and stroke, even at one cigarette a day
Linked to more heart disease and stroke at every level of smoking. One cigarette a day carried about half the excess heart risk of 20 a day in men.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Against never smokers, men smoking 1 cigarette a day had an RR of coronary heart disease of 1.48 and those smoking 20 a day 2.04. In women the RRs were 1.57 and 2.84. One cigarette a day carried 46% of the excess coronary risk of 20 a day in men and 31% in women. For stroke, RRs were 1.25 and 1.64 in men, and 1.31 and 2.16 in women [20]. In adults 60 and older, current smokers had a cardiovascular death hazard ratio of 2.07, with risk rising with cigarettes smoked [7].
- Population
- 141 cohort studies in 55 reports [20]. 503,905 adults 60 and older in 25 cohorts [7].
- Sources
- [20], [7]
- Caveats
- Observational. Adjusting for more confounders made the one-cigarette risk larger, not smaller [20].
Cardiac arrhythmias
Shown to raise heart rhythm problems about 53% over placebo in men aged 40 and older. One large trial found more atrial fibrillation.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Pooled RCTs with at least 12 months of follow-up found more cardiac arrhythmias on testosterone than placebo (RR 1.53, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.97) [10]. A second meta-analysis found an arrhythmia signal among nonfatal cardiovascular events (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.05) [12]. TRAVERSE reported a higher incidence of atrial fibrillation on testosterone [8].
- Population
- 9,280 men aged 40 and older in 23 RCTs [10]; 6,598 participants in the arrhythmia analysis of a 31-trial review [12]; 5,246 men aged 45 to 80 at high cardiovascular risk [8].
- Sources
- [10], [12], [8]
- Caveats
- The reviews share trials. The second review's authors call the clinical significance of the signal uncertain, and the same review found lower total cholesterol, LDL and triglycerides on testosterone [12].
Heart disease and stroke after hysterectomy
Linked to about 11% to 19% more cardiovascular disease and about 10% more stroke after hysterectomy in cohort studies, more when done before menopause or with ovary removal.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Cardiovascular disease was more frequent after hysterectomy (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.29), as was stroke (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.22), with raised risk after premenopausal hysterectomy and none found after postmenopausal surgery [20]. A second meta-analysis found HR 1.11 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.13) for cardiovascular disease and 1.09 for stroke, a larger effect with oophorectomy, and no significant link with death from any cause [21]. A third found RR 1.16 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.30) for cardiovascular disease, 1.31 for hypertension, and a link with hysterectomy before age 50 but not after [22].
- Population
- 28 studies with 2,942,404 women [20]; 43 cohort studies [21]; 17 studies with 1,233,495 women [22].
- Sources
- [20], [21], [22]
- Caveats
- Observational studies. Women who have hysterectomies may differ in health from those who do not, and the reasons for surgery were not always separated, so the link may not be caused by the operation [21][22].
Blood pressure
Shown to raise daytime systolic blood pressure by 4.7 mm Hg against placebo in adults with hypertension taking 4 g a day for 2 weeks.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a crossover trial in adults with hypertension, 1 g four times a day for 2 weeks raised mean daytime systolic pressure from 132.8 to 136.5 mm Hg, against 133.9 to 132.5 on placebo, a placebo-corrected rise of 4.7 mm Hg (95% CI 2.9 to 6.6). Diastolic pressure rose 1.6 mm Hg (95% CI 0.5 to 2.7) [21]. In people with coronary artery disease, 1 g three times a day for 2 weeks raised mean ambulatory pressure from 122.4 to 125.3 mm Hg systolic and 73.2 to 75.4 diastolic, both significant against placebo [24].
- Population
- 110 adults with hypertension randomized, 103 completing both periods [21]; 33 people with coronary artery disease [24].
- Sources
- [21], [24]
- Caveats
- Two small crossover trials of 2 weeks at 3 to 4 g a day. Neither measured heart attacks or strokes.
Blood fats and blood pressure
Shown to raise triglycerides, total and LDL cholesterol and blood pressure in trials of higher against lower sugar intake, independent of body weight.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Higher sugar intake raised triglycerides by 0.11 mmol/L (95% CI 0.07 to 0.15), total cholesterol by 0.16 mmol/L (95% CI 0.10 to 0.24), LDL cholesterol by 0.12 mmol/L (95% CI 0.05 to 0.19) and HDL cholesterol by 0.02 mmol/L (95% CI 0.00 to 0.03). In trials of 8 weeks or longer, systolic pressure rose 6.9 mmHg (95% CI 3.4 to 10.3) and diastolic 5.6 mmHg [11]. A liter of regular cola a day for 6 months raised triglycerides 32% and total cholesterol 11% more than milk, diet cola or water [12].
- Population
- 37 trials reporting lipids and 12 reporting blood pressure, each at least 2 weeks [11]. 47 overweight adults [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Heterogeneity was moderate to high (I² 36% to 75%) [11]. The cola trial was small.
Faster heart rate and heart events
Shown to raise heart rate by about 9 beats a minute after one dose. Over longer trials, cardiovascular events rose, mostly from a fast heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A single dose of a beta-agonist raised heart rate by 9.12 beats a minute (95% CI 5.32 to 12.92) against placebo. In trials of 3 days to 1 year, cardiovascular events rose (RR 2.54, 95% CI 1.59 to 4.05), sinus tachycardia (RR 3.06) more than all other events (RR 1.66, 95% CI 0.76 to 3.6) [12]. The label states beta-agonists can change pulse and blood pressure and have been reported to cause ECG changes including QTc prolongation [1].
- Population
- 13 single-dose and 20 longer trials in people with asthma or COPD [12].
- Sources
- [12], [1]
- Caveats
- The meta-analysis pooled several beta-agonists and gives relative, not absolute, rates [12].
Higher blood pressure with regular drinking
Trials found cutting down lowered blood pressure only in people drinking over two drinks a day, 5.5 mmHg systolic at six or more. Genetic studies linked intake to higher pressure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In trials, cutting alcohol by about half lowered systolic pressure by 5.50 mmHg (95% CI 4.30 to 6.70) and diastolic by 3.97 mmHg in people drinking 6 or more drinks a day. In people drinking 2 or fewer drinks a day, cutting down did not significantly lower blood pressure [11]. In Chinese men, genetically predicted alcohol intake was strongly linked to higher systolic pressure [7]. In UK adults, genetically predicted intake was linked to 1.3-fold higher risk of hypertension per standard deviation [6].
- Population
- 2,865 participants, 2,464 of them men, in 36 trials lasting at least 7 days [11]. 161,498 genotyped Chinese adults [7]. 371,463 UK adults [6].
- Sources
- [11], [7], [6]
- Caveats
- Most trial participants were men [11].
Blood pressure and heart rate in the hours after drinking
Shown to lower blood pressure for up to 12 hours after drinking and raise it after 13 hours at high doses. Heart rate rose about 5 beats a minute.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Against placebo, 14 to 28 g of alcohol lowered systolic pressure by 5.6 mmHg (95% CI 3.0 to 8.3) and diastolic by 4.0 mmHg within 6 hours, and raised heart rate by 4.6 beats a minute. Over 30 g lowered systolic pressure by 3.5 mmHg within 6 hours and by 3.7 mmHg at 7 to 12 hours, then raised it by 3.7 mmHg (95% CI 2.3 to 5.1) and diastolic by 2.4 mmHg 13 hours or more later. Heart rate stayed raised for up to 24 hours after high doses [14].
- Population
- 767 participants in 32 randomized trials, mostly healthy men, mean age 33 [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Single doses. The authors note the findings apply mainly to healthy men [14].
Stroke
Linked to higher stroke risk in a pooled analysis of current drinkers and in genetic studies, which found no protective effect at moderate intake.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Among current drinkers, each 100 g a week was linked to higher stroke risk (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.17), heart failure (HR 1.09) and fatal hypertensive disease (HR 1.24) [4]. In Chinese men, genetically predicted intake was linked to higher risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (RR 1.58 per 280 g a week, 95% CI 1.36 to 1.84) and ischemic stroke (RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.43), with no U-shaped dip. Self-reported moderate drinking had looked protective in the same cohort [7]. Against non-drinkers, pooled cohorts found no difference in incident stroke (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.06) [2].
- Population
- 599,912 current drinkers [4]. 512,715 Chinese adults, 161,498 genotyped [7]. 17 cohorts for incident stroke [2].
- Sources
- [4], [7], [2]
- Caveats
- Few women in the Chinese cohort drank, so the genetic results are for men [7].
Older adults (Beers Criteria)
The 2023 Beers Criteria list amitriptyline and nortriptyline as drugs for older adults to avoid, because they are highly anticholinergic, sedating and cause low blood pressure on standing.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The American Geriatrics Society lists antidepressants with strong anticholinergic activity, including amitriptyline and nortriptyline, as ones to avoid in adults 65 and older, rating the evidence high quality and the recommendation strong. It also lists tertiary tricyclics such as amitriptyline among drugs to avoid in people with fainting, because they raise the risk of low blood pressure on standing [16]. The label states older adults are particularly sensitive to anticholinergic effects, including confusion, delirium and urinary retention, and may be at greater risk of falls [13].
- Population
- Adults aged 65 and older, in an expert panel review of the evidence [16]; labeling statement [13].
- Sources
- [16], [13]
- Caveats
- A guideline listing, not a measured rate.
Blood pressure
Shown to raise blood pressure by about 2 mmHg systolic and 2 mmHg diastolic in adults, more in men and at higher doses.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 8 RCTs (11 effect sizes), caffeine raised systolic pressure by 1.94 mmHg (95% CI 0.52 to 3.35) and diastolic by 1.66 mmHg (95% CI 0.75 to 2.57). Rises were larger in men, with dose, and in trials longer than 9 weeks; diastolic rose at doses above 400 mg a day [16].
- Population
- Adults 18 and older in RCTs [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Only 8 trials. The ISSN position stand names anxiety and sleep disruption as the side effects that vary most between people [3].
Headache, racing heart, gut upset and anxiety
Shown to raise racing heart, anxiety, insomnia, gut upset and headache in athletes, with several rising with dose.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 48 placebo-controlled trials in 940 athletes (mean dose 4.9 mg per kg), caffeine raised the odds of self-reported tachycardia (log odds ratio 1.47, more than 4 times the odds), anxiety (1.29), insomnia (1.20), abdominal discomfort (1.12), increased urine output (1.04), nervousness (0.82) and headache (0.74). Tachycardia, headache, abdominal discomfort and anxiety rose with dose [17]. A systematic review of 27 studies in healthy people found anxiety symptoms rose with caffeine dose [18].
- Population
- Athletes aged 15 and older, 63% male [17]. Healthy individuals [18].
- Sources
- [17], [18]
- Caveats
- Side effects were self-reported and often secondary outcomes [17]. The anxiety review's search ran to March 2021 and its statistical methods were not fully reported [18].
Heart effects of energy drinks and high doses in teenagers
Shown to raise heart rate and blood pressure and lengthen QTc in most energy drink studies. Case reports describe arrhythmias in 39 adolescents.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a systematic review of 37 studies (1,597 participants, mean age 22.6), energy drinks raised heart rate in 60.9% of studies, systolic pressure in 53.8%, diastolic pressure in 61.5%, and prolonged the QTc interval in 63.2% [19]. A review of 12 reports, 9 of them case reports, described 39 adolescents aged 13 to 18 with caffeine-associated arrhythmias or ECG changes after energy drinks, caffeine tablets or powder, ranging from sinus tachycardia to ventricular tachycardia and QTc prolongation [20].
- Population
- People aged 13 and older drinking energy drinks [19]. Adolescents [20].
- Sources
- [19], [20]
- Caveats
- Energy drinks contain ingredients besides caffeine [19]. The percentages are shares of studies, not of people [19]. Case reports cannot give a rate [20].
Nifedipine and deaths in coronary disease
Shown to raise deaths in people with coronary disease at nifedipine doses of 80 mg a day in 16 older trials. A later long-acting nifedipine trial found no rise.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 16 randomized secondary-prevention trials of nifedipine in people with coronary heart disease, total mortality was higher on nifedipine (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.33). The risk rose with dose: 1.06 at 30 to 50 mg a day, 1.18 at 60 mg and 2.83 (95% CI 1.35 to 5.93) at 80 mg [20]. In a later trial of long-acting nifedipine in stable angina, deaths did not differ from placebo (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.25) [9].
- Population
- People with coronary heart disease in 16 secondary-prevention trials [20]; 7,665 people with stable angina [9].
- Sources
- [20], [9]
- Caveats
- The pooled trials were published before 1995, and the abstract does not name the formulations or give absolute death rates [20].
High blood pressure
Mixed results: labels report new or worse high blood pressure after approval, while two meta-analyses found no significant rise in blood pressure or hypertension.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The erenumab label reports new and worsening hypertension after approval, some needing medicine or hospital care, most often within 7 days of a dose [12]. The galcanezumab and atogepant labels carry the same warning for CGRP antagonists [11][16]. Across 19 randomized trials, hypertension did not rise against control (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.58 to 1.43), in very low certainty evidence [17]. Before and after erenumab, systolic (MD 0.86 mmHg) and diastolic pressure (MD 1.33 mmHg) did not change significantly [18].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports [12]; 19 trials in adults with migraine [17]; studies of erenumab users [18].
- Sources
- [12], [11], [16], [17], [18]
- Caveats
- Trials enrolled relatively healthy people for short periods [17]. The before-and-after studies were fragile and heterogeneous [18].
Neck artery tears and stroke after neck manipulation
Linked to artery tears and stroke in adults under 45 in case-control studies. Case-crossover studies found the same link with doctor visits, attributed to tears already present.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In Ontario, people under 45 with a vertebrobasilar stroke were 5 times as likely as matched controls to have seen a chiropractor in the week before (95% CI 1.32 to 43.87) [16]. In a US case-control study, vertebral artery dissection was associated with spinal manipulation in the previous 30 days (OR 6.62, 95% CI 1.4 to 30), after adjusting for neck pain [17]. In 818 vertebrobasilar strokes over more than 100 million person-years, people under 45 were about 3 times as likely to have seen a chiropractor, and also a primary care doctor, before their stroke. The same held when each case was compared with their own earlier periods, and there was no excess risk with chiropractic care over primary care [18]. In 15,523 carotid strokes, associations with chiropractic and primary care visits were similar [19]. In 1,829 US strokes, chiropractic visits were not significantly associated with vertebrobasilar stroke [20]. A meta-analysis of 6 studies found a small association between chiropractic care and dissection (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.26 to 2.41), at very low quality, and no convincing evidence of causation [21]. The American Heart Association states that most population studies found an association in young patients, that it is unclear whether this reflects unrecognized existing dissections or trauma from manipulation. It advises informing patients of the association before neck manipulation [22].
- Population
- 582 cases and 2,328 controls in Ontario [16]. 51 patients with dissection and 100 controls under 60 [17]. 818 vertebrobasilar strokes [18]. 15,523 carotid strokes [19]. 1,829 strokes in US health plans [20]. 6 studies [21].
- Sources
- [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22]
- Caveats
- Dissection itself causes neck pain and headache, the symptoms that bring people to a chiropractor, so people may arrive with a tear already forming. Billing records do not show whether manipulation was actually given [20]. Neither study design can give the number of strokes caused per treatment, and no rate has been established [22].
Serious adverse events overall
Serious events are rare in published estimates, from 1 per 2 million manipulations to 13 per 10,000 patients, and none was reported in trials of acute back pain.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A scoping review of 250 articles found serious adverse event estimates ranging from 1 per 2 million manipulations to 13 per 10,000 patients, including spinal or neurological problems and cervical artery strokes [23]. No trial of acute low back pain reported a serious adverse event [6]. In older adults, stroke of any type within 7 days was 1.2 per 1,000 after chiropractic visits and 1.4 per 1,000 after primary care visits for neck pain (HR 0.39), and slightly higher at 30 days (HR 1.10) [24]. In one chronic back pain trial, a safety board judged one serious adverse event possibly related to manipulation [3].
- Population
- 250 articles [23]. 26 trials [6]. 1,157,475 Medicare beneficiaries aged 66 to 99 [24]. 47 trials [3].
- Sources
- [23], [6], [24], [3]
- Caveats
- The estimates span two frequency bands and come from different designs. The reviewers write that incidence and cause are hard to establish [23].
Heart disease in people with diabetes
Linked to 69% more cardiovascular disease at one or more eggs a day than under one a week, in cohorts of people with diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In studies of people with diabetes, the highest egg intake was linked to overall cardiovascular disease (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.62) against the lowest [7].
- Population
- Cohort studies of people with diabetes within a review of 22 cohorts [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Observational, and a subgroup of one review.
Longer QTc interval on the ECG
Mixed results: two randomized trials found a longer QTc interval after 32 ounces of energy drink, while a pooled analysis of 17 trials found no significant QT change.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a crossover trial, the largest rise in QTc was 17.9 and 19.6 ms with two energy drinks against 11.9 ms with placebo [9]. Against a caffeinated control drink, QTc 2 hours after the energy drink changed by 0.44 ms against -10.4 ms [8]. Pooled randomized trials found no significant effect on QT or QTc interval or resting heart rate [7]. A review of 43 prospective studies found QTc rose from baseline in all but one, above the pathological limit in two [10].
- Population
- 34 healthy volunteers, mean age 22.1 [9]. 18 healthy young adults [8]. 17 randomized trials [7]. 43 prospective clinical studies [10].
- Sources
- [9], [8], [7], [10]
- Caveats
- Small, short trials in healthy young adults measuring an ECG reading, not arrhythmias. Case reports of arrhythmias in teenagers are on the caffeine page.
Mercury and heart disease in adults
Mixed results: a meta-analysis linked higher mercury exposure to 68% higher cardiovascular death, while two reviews found no clear pattern for heart disease at low exposure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 14 studies, mercury exposure was linked to higher cardiovascular death (RR 1.68, 95% CI 1.15 to 2.45) and death from other heart diseases (RR 1.50, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.11). Links with nonfatal ischemic heart disease (RR 1.21, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.50) and death from any cause (RR 1.21, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.62) did not reach significance, and stroke was not linked. Risk rose consistently from a hair mercury level of 2 µg/g [21]. A review of low-level exposure found no clear pattern for cardiovascular disease across populations [19]. Another found the effects of low-level methylmercury in adults not clearly established, while it may modestly reduce the cardiovascular benefits of fish [20].
- Population
- More than 34,000 participants in 17 countries, including people exposed to inorganic mercury at work [21].
- Sources
- [21], [19], [20]
- Caveats
- Observational. Some studies measured mercury from work, not from fish [21].
Atrial fibrillation
Shown to raise atrial fibrillation about 25% in large cardiovascular trials, more above 1 g a day. A Cochrane review found no rise in arrhythmia overall.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 7 cardiovascular outcome trials (81,210 patients, mean age 65, weighted follow-up 4.9 years), marine omega-3 was associated with more atrial fibrillation (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.46). The hazard ratio was 1.49 (95% CI 1.04 to 2.15) in trials above 1 g a day and 1.12 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.22) at 1 g a day or less [45].
- Population
- Adults in large cardiovascular trials, 39% female [45].
- Sources
- [45]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane review found no difference in arrhythmia overall (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.06, low certainty) [1]. The two analyses used different trial sets and outcome definitions.
Higher blood levels of some calcium channel blockers
The FDA states grapefruit juice can interact with nifedipine. In small trials it raised felodipine exposure about 2.5 to 2.9-fold, with lower blood pressure and faster heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The FDA names nifedipine among drugs grapefruit juice can interact with [1]. With grapefruit juice, felodipine bioavailability was 284% of that with water, diastolic blood pressure was lower, heart rate higher, and side effects from blood vessel widening more frequent. Nifedipine bioavailability was 134% of that with water [19]. Felodipine AUC rose from 53 with water to 130 nmol.h/L with grapefruit juice [20]. In adults aged 70 to 83, felodipine AUC was 2.9-fold and peak concentration 4.0-fold higher with 250 mL of juice. Blood pressure was lower in the single-dose study, and heart rate was higher in both studies [10].
- Population
- 6 men with borderline hypertension and 6 healthy men [19]. 12 healthy men [20]. 12 healthy adults aged 70 to 83 [10].
- Sources
- [1], [19], [20], [10]
- Caveats
- Small studies of single or short courses. The size of the interaction varied widely between people [10].
Heart rhythm problems and cardiovascular disease with over- or under-replacement
Linked to more cardiovascular disease and heart rhythm problems in people on levothyroxine whose TSH was suppressed or high, not when TSH was low but unsuppressed.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Against people on levothyroxine with TSH in the reference range, those with a suppressed TSH (0.03 mU/L or lower) had more cardiovascular disease (HR 1.37), dysrhythmias (HR 1.6) and fractures (HR 2.02). Those with a high TSH also had more of all three. Those with a low but unsuppressed TSH (0.04 to 0.4) had no increase [11]. The label warns of cardiac reactions, including atrial fibrillation, in older people and people with heart disease [10]. A systematic review found that cardiac, neuropsychiatric and muscle adverse events at replacement doses mostly did not differ from comparators. They occurred mainly when TSH was suppressed, and blinded placebo-controlled trials in people with normal thyroid levels showed no differences [12].
- Population
- 17,684 people on long-term levothyroxine in Tayside, Scotland [11]; 12 studies with 1,817 people, 7 of them RCTs [12].
- Sources
- [11], [10], [12]
- Caveats
- Observational. In TRUST, serious adverse events of special interest were not raised at the doses used [2].
Heart disease and stroke
Shown to raise stroke on estrogen plus progestin, 8 more per 10,000 women a year, with early heart risk also higher. Risk rose most in women 70 and older.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In the 2002 report of estrogen plus progestin, hazard ratios were 1.29 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.63) for coronary heart disease and 1.41 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.85) for stroke, or 7 more heart events and 8 more strokes per 10,000 person-years [4]. Over the full treatment phase the coronary HR was 1.18 (95% CI 0.95 to 1.45). With estrogen alone it was 0.94 (95% CI 0.78 to 1.14) [5]. In WHI women with moderate or severe hot flashes, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease did not differ from placebo at ages 50 to 59 (HR 0.85 on estrogen alone, 0.84 on estrogen plus progestin) but rose at 70 and older (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.06 to 3.59, and 3.22, 95% CI 1.36 to 7.63) [15]. On estrogen plus progestin, coronary risk was similar to placebo with untreated LDL under 130 mg/dL (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.31 to 1.10) and more than doubled at 190 mg/dL or higher (HR 2.77, 95% CI 1.42 to 5.40) [16].
- Population
- 16,608 women with a uterus and 10,739 women after hysterectomy, aged 50 to 79 [4][5]; secondary analyses of the same 27,347 women [15][16].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [15], [16]
- Caveats
- Women aged 50 to 59 on estrogen alone had more favorable results for heart attack than older women [5]. The hot flash and lipid results are secondary analyses of subgroups [15][16].
Blood clots
Shown to roughly double pulmonary embolism on estrogen plus progestin. In health records, oral therapy was linked to more clots and transdermal therapy was not.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In the WHI trial, pulmonary embolism HR was 2.13 (95% CI 1.39 to 3.25), 8 more per 10,000 person-years [4]. In UK health records, oral therapy was associated with more venous thromboembolism (adjusted OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.52 to 1.64), highest for conjugated equine estrogen with medroxyprogesterone (2.10, 95% CI 1.92 to 2.31). Transdermal therapy was not associated with higher risk (0.93, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.01) [17].
- Population
- 16,608 women in the WHI trial [4]; 80,396 women aged 40 to 79 with a clot and 391,494 matched controls [17].
- Sources
- [4], [17]
- Caveats
- The route comparison comes from case-control data, not a randomized trial.
Beta carotene and lung cancer in smokers
Shown to raise lung cancer in current smokers at high beta carotene doses of 20 to 30 mg a day, well above typical multivitamin content.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Beta carotene, with or without vitamin A, was associated with more lung cancer (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.42, 4 RCTs, 94,830 people) and cardiovascular death (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.19) [4]. Among current smokers, beta carotene raised lung cancer risk (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.39) and among former smokers did not (OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.45). 70% of 47 sampled multivitamins contained beta carotene [15].
- Population
- People at high risk of lung cancer in large prevention trials [4][15].
- Sources
- [4], [15]
- Caveats
- The trial doses (20 to 30 mg a day) are well above the median multivitamin content of 0.3 mg [15].
Napping linked to high blood pressure
Linked to 19% more high blood pressure in daytime nappers in one meta-analysis. Across all nappers, including night-shift workers, the link was not significant.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across all nappers, the pooled risk of hypertension was not significant (RR 1.13, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.30). Limited to daytime nappers, it was (RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.35). One study found less hypertension in night-shift workers who napped at night (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.00) [16].
- Population
- 112,267 people in 9 observational studies [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Observational, with few studies. Nap length was not analyzed in the abstract.
Heart disease and stroke, in cohorts
Linked to 9% more cardiovascular disease and 18% more cerebrovascular disease with higher artificial sweetener intake in a French cohort, and to more cardiovascular events in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 103,388 French adults, total artificial sweetener intake was linked to cardiovascular disease (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.18), with 346 against 314 cases per 100,000 person-years in higher consumers and non-consumers. It was linked to cerebrovascular disease (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.31). Aspartame was linked to cerebrovascular events, and acesulfame potassium and sucralose to coronary heart disease [12]. Pooled cohorts linked sweetener use to more cardiovascular events [9], and WHO reported a higher risk of cardiovascular disease in its review [1].
- Population
- 103,388 adults, 79.8% women, mean age 42, 904,206 person-years [12]. 30 cohorts [9].
- Sources
- [12], [9], [1]
- Caveats
- Observational, with possible confounding and reverse causation. The French cohort was web-based and 79.8% women [12].
Use in later pregnancy
The label warns use from about 20 weeks of pregnancy may cause fetal kidney problems, and from 30 weeks early closure of the ductus arteriosus.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The prescription ibuprofen label states that use at about 20 weeks of pregnancy or later may cause fetal kidney problems leading to low amniotic fluid, and that from about 30 weeks NSAIDs raise the risk of premature closure of the fetal ductus arteriosus [12]. In a meta-analysis of observational studies, NSAID use in pregnancy was associated with kidney disease in the child (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.62), including in the second trimester (OR 1.17) and third trimester (OR 1.10) [21].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports and studies summarized in the label [12]; 7 studies with 4,159,617 participants [21].
- Sources
- [12], [21]
- Caveats
- The label statement is not a trial rate. The authors of [21] state their observational data cannot settle whether the link is causal.
Venous blood clots
Linked to about 2.7 times the risk of venous blood clots in women using injectable progestin, in observational studies. Progestin-only pills were not linked to a rise.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 8 observational studies, progestin-only contraception overall was not linked to venous clots (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.39), nor were progestin-only pills (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.45). Injectable progestin was (RR 2.67, 95% CI 1.29 to 5.53) [19]. The injection label reports serious arterial and venous clotting events with the intramuscular form, states that a causal link has not been clearly established, and contraindicates use with current or past clotting disorders [1]. The norethindrone acetate label contraindicates use with active or past deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism and lists clotting events among progestin adverse reactions [2].
- Population
- 147 women with a clot across 8 observational studies [19].
- Sources
- [19], [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Few events and observational designs [19]. The studies covered contraceptive doses, not the 5 to 15 mg daily norethindrone acetate doses used for endometriosis [2][19].
Coronary heart disease from processed meat
Linked to 42% more coronary heart disease per daily 50 g of processed meat in one pooled analysis. A later review rated such links very small and low certainty.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Each 50 g a day of processed meat was linked to higher coronary heart disease risk (RR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.89), and neither processed nor unprocessed red meat to stroke, in only 3 studies [8]. Each 3 fewer servings a week was linked to very small decreases in cardiovascular death, stroke and heart attack [9].
- Population
- 5 studies for coronary heart disease [8]. 55 cohorts [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational, with few studies in the 2010 pooling [8].
Coronary heart disease from unprocessed red meat
Mixed results: one pooled analysis found no link with coronary heart disease, while a later one linked eating less to very small drops in heart attack and stroke.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Unprocessed red meat was not linked to coronary heart disease (RR 1.00 per 100 g a day, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.23) [8]. Each 3 fewer servings a week was linked to very small decreases in cardiovascular death, stroke and heart attack, at low certainty [9].
- Population
- 4 studies [8]. 55 cohorts [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational. The 2010 analysis had only 4 studies [8].
Higher blood potassium with salt substitutes
Shown to raise blood potassium slightly, by 0.12 mmol/L, in trials that excluded people at risk. Serious high potassium events did not differ from regular salt.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Low-sodium salt substitutes raised blood potassium by 0.12 mmol/L (95% CI 0.07 to 0.18, 6 trials) and made little or no difference to hyperkalemia (4 more per 100,000, 95% CI 47 fewer to 121 more, 5 trials) [7]. In the large trial, serious adverse events attributed to hyperkalemia occurred at 3.35 against 3.30 per 1,000 person-years (rate ratio 1.04, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.37) [10]. A network meta-analysis found no substitute increased adverse events or withdrawals [8].
- Population
- 784 adults for blood potassium and 22,849 for hyperkalemia [7]. 20,995 older Chinese adults [10]. 34 trials [8].
- Sources
- [7], [10], [8]
- Caveats
- Every trial excluded people for whom more potassium is known to be harmful, so these results do not cover them [7]. The network meta-analysis authors limit their safety conclusion to people without kidney impairment [8].
Irregular and late sleep linked to cardiometabolic risk
Linked to higher body mass index, insulin resistance, high blood pressure and heart events with irregular sleep timing in two systematic reviews that did not pool results.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Consistent, moderate-certainty evidence linked more irregular sleep timing to higher depressive and anxiety symptoms, higher body mass index, insulin resistance, hypertension and new cardiovascular events [18]. Later sleep timing and greater sleep variability were generally linked to adverse health outcomes, and weekend catch-up sleep to better ones, with evidence rated very low to moderate [19].
- Population
- 59 studies of adults [18]. 92,340 adults in 41 studies from 14 countries [19].
- Sources
- [18], [19]
- Caveats
- Observational. Neither review pooled effect sizes, because measures varied. Most associations were linear, so no threshold for late or irregular could be set [19].
Heart rhythm and QT interval
Shown to lengthen the QT interval by about 6 milliseconds on average, more with citalopram and more at higher doses.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 16 articles, SSRIs lengthened the corrected QT interval against placebo by 6.10 milliseconds (95% CI 3.47 to 8.73), in a dose-dependent way, and citalopram lengthened it more than sertraline, paroxetine or fluvoxamine [47]. In a QT study in healthy volunteers, the maximum mean difference from placebo was 8.5 milliseconds at citalopram 20 mg and 18.5 milliseconds at 60 mg. The citalopram label reports torsade de pointes, ventricular tachycardia and sudden death in postmarketing use and limits the dose to 40 mg a day [27]. The sertraline label reports postmarketing cases of QT prolongation and torsade de pointes, most with other risk factors [24]. The labels name other QT-prolonging drugs as adding to the risk, including some antipsychotics, antiarrhythmics and the antibiotics erythromycin, gatifloxacin and moxifloxacin [24][27].
- Population
- 4,292 patients in 16 articles [47]; 119 healthy subjects in a crossover QT study [27].
- Sources
- [47], [27], [24]
- Caveats
- The pooled figure is an average change on an ECG, not a rate of arrhythmia. The sources give no rate for arrhythmia itself.
Cardiovascular death, a class warning on the label
Mixed results: the label warns of cardiovascular death from a 1970s tolbutamide trial, and one meta-analysis found higher mortality, while larger recent trials and another meta-analysis did not.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The labels carry a warning based on the University Group Diabetes Program, in which 823 patients were assigned to four treatments. People treated for 5 to 8 years with diet plus tolbutamide 1.5 g a day had about two and a half times the cardiovascular mortality of people on diet alone, without a significant rise in total mortality [3]. A Bayesian meta-analysis of randomized trial data found higher all-cause mortality (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.44) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.77) on sulfonylureas than on all other treatments combined [16]. A meta-analysis of 47 trials of second and third generation sulfonylureas found no association with all-cause or cardiovascular mortality (OR 1.12 for each) [7]. In a trial of 6,033 adults, cardiovascular outcomes on glimepiride matched linagliptin (HR 0.98) [5]. Glyburide was not associated with more cardiovascular events than other secretagogues (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.26) [15].
- Population
- 823 patients in the 1970s trial described on the label [3]; 82 randomized trials and 26 observational studies [16]; 37,650 patients in 47 trials [7]; 6,033 adults [5].
- Sources
- [3], [16], [7], [5], [15]
- Caveats
- The label warning rests on tolbutamide, an older drug not covered on this page, and the label itself notes controversy over the trial's interpretation [3]. This is not a boxed warning.
Heart rhythm
Mixed results: any heart rhythm problem was more frequent than on placebo in adults with obesity, while atrial fibrillation did not differ significantly.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In adults with overweight or obesity, atrial fibrillation did not differ significantly from placebo (OR 2.20, 95% CrI 0.81 to 6.75), while any arrhythmia was more frequent (OR 1.84, 95% CrI 1.04 to 3.90) [26]. In type 2 diabetes, atrial fibrillation did not differ (RR 1.39, 95% CI 0.53 to 3.67) [27].
- Population
- 6,515 participants in 10 RCTs [26]; 10,615 patients with type 2 diabetes in 12 RCTs [27].
- Sources
- [26], [27]
- Caveats
- Event rates were low [26].
Blood clots
Mixed results: a Danish cohort linked oral tranexamic acid to 4 times the rate of venous clots, about 1 extra per 78,549 five-day courses. Pooled trials found no rise.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 2.0 million Danish women aged 15 to 49, venous clots occurred at 11.8 per 10,000 person-years during oral tranexamic acid use and 2.5 during non-use (adjusted IRR 4.0, 95% CI 1.8 to 8.8). Arterial clots did not differ (IRR 1.3, 95% CI 0.4 to 4.2). The number needed to harm was 78,549 women per 5 days of treatment [9]. In a UK case-control study of women with heavy periods, the odds ratio for recent use was 3.20 (95% CI 0.65 to 15.78), not significant, while mefenamic acid (OR 5.54) and norethisterone (OR 2.41) and a diagnosis of anemia (OR 2.23) were also linked to clots [10]. In 22 randomized trials of non-surgical bleeding (49,538 patients), tranexamic acid did not raise deep vein thrombosis (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.41), pulmonary embolism (RR 0.97), stroke (RR 1.10) or heart attack (RR 0.88) [11]. In heavy menstrual bleeding trials, one clot was reported across two trials that recorded clots [1], and one in a control arm in a 2026 review [2].
- Population
- 63,896 Danish women who filled prescriptions, among 2.0 million followed 13.8 million person-years [9]; 134 cases and 552 controls in the UK General Practice Research Database [10]; 49,538 patients in 22 RCTs, mostly not menstrual bleeding [11]; women in heavy menstrual bleeding trials [1][2].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11], [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The cohort and case-control studies are observational, and heavy bleeding itself may raise clot risk (confounding by indication) [10]. The pooled trials were mostly not of menstrual use, and the menstrual trials were too small to detect rare clots [1][11]. The label contraindicates use in women with active clots or a history of clots, including retinal vein or artery occlusion [4].
Short-term rises in heart rate and blood pressure
Shown to raise heart rate and blood pressure slightly right after vaping, in one meta-analysis of 14 short studies.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Acute vaping raised heart rate by 2.27 beats a minute (95% CI 1.64 to 2.89), diastolic pressure by 2.01 mmHg (95% CI 0.62 to 3.39) and systolic pressure by 2.02 mmHg (95% CI 0.07 to 3.97). The review also reported lower blood pressure in people who switched from smoking to long-term vaping. Effects on endothelial function and arterial stiffness came from single studies [7].
- Population
- 441 participants in 14 studies [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Mostly non-randomized studies of moderate quality. Acute changes do not show long-term heart disease [7].
Hemorrhagic stroke
Shown to raise hemorrhagic stroke about 22%, one extra per 1,250 people, while lowering ischemic stroke, one fewer per 476.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 5 trials reporting it, vitamin E raised hemorrhagic stroke (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.48) and lowered ischemic stroke (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99). That is one extra hemorrhagic stroke for every 1,250 people taking it and one ischemic stroke prevented per 476 [3]. In the Physicians' Health Study II, hemorrhagic stroke rose (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.04 to 2.91) [1].
- Population
- 118,765 participants in 9 trials [3]; 14,641 male physicians [1].
- Sources
- [1], [3]
- Caveats
- Dose and health status did not explain differences between trials [3].
Refined grains and heart events
Mixed results: one 21-country cohort linked high refined grain intake to 27% higher death and 33% more major heart events, while pooled cohorts found little link.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- At 350 g or more of refined grains a day against under 50 g, death from any cause was higher (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.46) and so were major cardiovascular events (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.52). Higher refined grain intake was linked to higher systolic blood pressure. Whole grains and white rice were not linked to outcomes in this cohort [15]. A meta-analysis of 45 studies found little evidence of a link between refined grains, white rice or total grains and cardiovascular disease or death [3], and another found no link between refined grains and type 2 diabetes (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.04) [6].
- Population
- 137,130 adults in 21 countries followed a median 9.5 years [15]. 45 prospective studies [3]. 6 cohorts for refined grains [6].
- Sources
- [15], [3], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. What counts as a refined grain food differs between countries.
Deaths, heart, stomach and kidney events in long-term users
Linked to more deaths, cardiovascular events, gastrointestinal bleeds and kidney function loss at higher doses in cohort studies of regular users.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A systematic review found 8 cohort studies. One of two reporting mortality found the relative rate rose with dose from 0.95 (95% CI 0.92 to 0.98) to 1.63 (1.58 to 1.68). All four reporting cardiovascular events found a dose response, one with risk ratios from 1.19 (0.81 to 1.75) to 1.68 (1.10 to 2.57). One reported gastrointestinal events or bleeds rising from 1.11 (1.04 to 1.18) to 1.49 (1.34 to 1.66). Three of four reporting kidney outcomes found a dose response, one with odds of a 30% or greater fall in estimated glomerular filtration rate from 1.40 (0.79 to 2.48) to 2.19 (1.4 to 3.43) [25].
- Population
- Adults in 8 cohort studies comparing paracetamol use with no use [25].
- Sources
- [25]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors state that channelling bias, where paracetamol is chosen for people already at higher risk, may have had an important impact on the results [25].
Heart disease, stroke and death
Linked to heart disease and death in cohorts. US adults getting 25% or more of calories from added sugar had 2.75 times the heart death risk.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Against under 10% of calories from added sugar, 10% to 24.9% was linked to higher cardiovascular death (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.55) and 25% or more to HR 2.75 (95% CI 1.40 to 5.42) [10]. An umbrella review found each 250 mL a day more of sugar-sweetened drinks linked to 17% more coronary heart disease and 4% more death from any cause, on low quality evidence [14]. A 2023 meta-analysis linked these drinks to hypertension, stroke and death from any cause, with relative risks from 1.08 to 1.54 [9].
- Population
- 11,733 US adults followed a median 14.6 years, 831 cardiovascular deaths [10]. 73 meta-analyses [14]. 72 articles [9].
- Sources
- [10], [14], [9]
- Caveats
- Observational, open to confounding and reverse causation. The umbrella review rated these links low quality [14].
Use with MAOIs
The label lists MAOIs as a contraindication because the combination can cause a hypertensive crisis. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The amphetamine and methylphenidate labels state that taking a stimulant with a monoamine oxidase inhibitor, or within 14 days of stopping one, can cause hypertensive crisis, with possible outcomes including death, stroke, heart attack and aortic dissection. The amphetamine label counts the antibiotic linezolid and intravenous methylene blue among MAOIs [17][21].
- Population
- Labeling statements [17][21].
- Sources
- [17], [21]
- Caveats
- The labels give no rate or case counts.
Other drug interactions
The label states that alkalinizing agents raise amphetamine blood levels, acidifying agents lower them, and tricyclic antidepressants can strengthen cardiovascular effects. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The amphetamine label states that gastrointestinal or urinary alkalinizing agents increase blood levels and potentiate the action of amphetamine, acidifying agents lower blood levels, CYP2D6 inhibitors may increase exposure, tricyclic antidepressants may potentiate cardiovascular effects, and proton pump inhibitors shorten the time to peak level [17]. The methylphenidate label lists blood pressure drugs as an interaction that calls for closer blood pressure monitoring and dose adjustment of the blood pressure drug, and states that the risk of movement side effects from risperidone may rise when either dose is changed [21].
- Population
- Labeling statements [17][21].
- Sources
- [17], [21]
- Caveats
- Changes in drug levels or effects, with no rate of harm.
Cold, numb or discolored fingers and toes
The label warns stimulants are associated with peripheral vasculopathy, including Raynaud's phenomenon, usually intermittent and mild, with rare skin ulceration. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The labels state that effects were seen in postmarketing reports at therapeutic doses in all age groups and throughout treatment, that after-effects have included ulceration of the fingers or toes and soft tissue breakdown, and that signs generally improved after the dose was lowered or the drug stopped [17][21].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports summarized in labeling [17][21].
- Sources
- [17], [21]
- Caveats
- Reports with no denominator.
Interactions with beta-blockers, diuretics, digoxin and some antidepressants
The label warns that beta-blockers block albuterol and may cause severe bronchospasm, diuretics may worsen low potassium, and MAOIs or tricyclics may strengthen its effects on blood vessels.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states beta-blockers block albuterol's effect in the lungs and may produce severe bronchospasm in asthma. Loop or thiazide diuretics' ECG changes and low potassium can be acutely worsened. Single doses of albuterol lowered serum digoxin by 16% to 22% in volunteers. The vascular effects of albuterol may be potentiated during or within 2 weeks of MAOIs or tricyclic antidepressants [1].
- Population
- Labeling statements and a volunteer study [1].
- Sources
- [1]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate of harm.
Atrial fibrillation
One trial found atrial fibrillation returned in 53% of regular drinkers who abstained against 73% who kept drinking, over 6 months.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Drinkers of 10 or more drinks a week with atrial fibrillation were randomized to abstain or continue. Recurrence was 37 of 70 (53%) with abstinence and 51 of 70 (73%) with usual drinking (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.84), and time spent in atrial fibrillation was lower with abstinence [12].
- Population
- 140 adults, 85% men, mean age 62, at 6 Australian hospitals [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial in people who already had atrial fibrillation. The rate is recurrence in people with the condition who kept drinking.
Interaction with warfarin
Limited evidence: in people taking warfarin, alcohol misuse and heavy episodic drinking were linked to about twice the odds of major bleeding, in one case-control study.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Screening positive for moderate or severe alcohol misuse (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.08 to 4.07) and drinking 5 or more drinks on an occasion (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.24 to 4.50) were linked to major bleeding [24]. A review states that acute drinking may raise warfarin's effect by slowing its breakdown, while chronic drinking may lower it [22].
- Population
- 265 people with major bleeding and 305 without, all taking warfarin, mean age 70 [24].
- Sources
- [24], [22]
- Caveats
- One case-control study of misuse, not of light drinking.
Interaction with blood pressure drugs, nitrates and erectile dysfunction drugs
The labels warn that alpha-blockers with PDE5 inhibitors, other blood pressure drugs or nitrates can lower blood pressure further, with symptomatic hypotension possible.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The doxazosin label states that taking it with a PDE5 inhibitor can add to blood pressure lowering and cause symptomatic hypotension [7]. In 24 healthy men, silodosin with sildenafil 100 mg or tadalafil 20 mg produced more positive orthostatic tests than silodosin alone, with no symptomatic events [5]. The alfuzosin label warns of more hypotension and fainting with blood pressure drugs and nitrates [6]. The tamsulosin label advises caution with PDE5 inhibitors [4].
- Population
- Label statements, and 24 men aged 45 to 78 in one study [5].
- Sources
- [7], [5], [6], [4]
- Caveats
- Mostly label warnings rather than measured rates.
QT prolongation with alfuzosin
The alfuzosin label reports a small rise in the QT interval, larger at four times the usual dose, and advises caution in people with QT prolongation.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a postmarketing study, alfuzosin 10 mg raised placebo-subtracted QTcF by 1.9 msec, and by 5.9 msec when given with another drug of similar QT effect, against 10.2 msec for moxifloxacin. The QT effect appeared greater at 40 mg than 10 mg [6].
- Population
- 45 healthy men aged 19 to 45 in a crossover study, and a separate postmarketing QT study [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- The label calls the clinical impact of these changes unknown [6].
Stroke in a national cohort (alpha-GPC)
Linked to about 43% more strokes over 10 years in South Koreans aged 50 and over prescribed alpha-GPC, with risk rising with longer use.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Among 12,008,977 South Koreans aged 50 and over, the 108,877 prescribed alpha-GPC had more strokes over 10 years after matching (total stroke aHR 1.43, 95% CI 1.41 to 1.46; ischemic aHR 1.34; hemorrhagic aHR 1.37). Risk rose with longer prescription duration [11].
- Population
- Adults 50 and over without prior stroke or Alzheimer's disease, followed 2009 to 2018 [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. People prescribed alpha-GPC may differ from non-users in ways matching did not capture. No randomized trial has tested this.
Heart rhythm problems
The label reports arrhythmias, fast heart rate and slowed heart conduction, especially at high doses, and lists use after a recent heart attack and with cisapride as contraindications.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states tricyclic antidepressants, especially at high doses, have been reported to cause arrhythmias, sinus tachycardia and prolonged conduction time, and that heart attack and stroke have been reported with the class. It is contraindicated in the acute recovery phase after a heart attack and with cisapride, because of QT prolongation and arrhythmia [13].
- Population
- Reports summarized in the label [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- No rates are given.
Overdose
Linked to more deaths per overdose than other antidepressants: tricyclics had a case fatality rate ratio of 13.8 against 0.5 for SSRIs in England and Wales.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Comparing deaths with non-fatal self-poisonings, tricyclic antidepressants had a case fatality rate ratio of 13.8 (95% CI 13.0 to 14.7), against 2.5 for venlafaxine, 1.9 for mirtazapine and 0.5 for SSRIs. Dosulepin and doxepin were more toxic than amitriptyline [18]. The label states that overdose can cause cardiac dysrhythmias, severe low blood pressure, convulsions and coma, and that deaths may occur [13].
- Population
- UK prescriptions, poisoning deaths in England and Wales, and non-fatal self-poisonings at six hospitals, 2000 to 2006 [18].
- Sources
- [18], [13]
- Caveats
- Observational. People prescribed tricyclics may differ from those prescribed other drugs [18].
Drugs that raise amitriptyline levels
The label states that SSRIs, quinidine, cimetidine and other drugs that block the liver enzyme CYP2D6 can raise tricyclic levels, and topiramate raised them sharply in some people.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- CYP2D6 inhibitors include quinidine, cimetidine, many antidepressants, phenothiazines and the heart rhythm drugs propafenone and flecainide, and all SSRIs inhibit it to varying degrees. People who metabolize poorly through this enzyme, about 7% to 10% of Caucasians, can have up to 8-fold higher tricyclic exposure. Cimetidine raised tricyclic levels and side effects. Some people had a large rise in amitriptyline concentration with topiramate [13].
- Population
- Labeling statements drawn from drug interaction studies [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Changes in blood levels, with no rate of harm given.
Other interactions on the label
The label names thyroid medication, guanethidine, anticholinergic drugs and epinephrine with local anesthetics as combinations that need close supervision. It gives no rates.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Amitriptyline may block the blood pressure effect of guanethidine. Close supervision is required in people taking thyroid medication. Combining it with anticholinergic or sympathomimetic drugs, including epinephrine with local anesthetics, requires dose adjustment. Hyperpyrexia has been reported with anticholinergic or neuroleptic drugs in hot weather, and paralytic ileus with anticholinergic drugs [13].
- Population
- Labeling statements [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- No rates are given.
Overdose of diphenhydramine
FDA warns that taking more diphenhydramine than the label directs can cause serious heart problems, seizures, coma or death, after teenagers were harmed in a social media challenge.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- FDA stated that taking more than the label directs can lead to serious heart problems, seizures, coma or death, and that it was aware of teenagers ending up in emergency rooms or dying after a challenge promoted in TikTok videos [16]. The over-the-counter sleep-aid label limits use to one dose in 24 hours and warns against combining it with any other diphenhydramine product [13].
- Population
- Reports reviewed by FDA [16].
- Sources
- [16], [13]
- Caveats
- No denominator.
Omeprazole and esomeprazole with clopidogrel
The label warns that omeprazole and esomeprazole significantly reduce clopidogrel's antiplatelet activity. One trial found no difference in cardiovascular events with omeprazole.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that omeprazole significantly reduced the antiplatelet activity of clopidogrel when given together or 12 hours apart, that esomeprazole had a similar effect, and that dexlansoprazole, lansoprazole and pantoprazole had less effect [22]. In a trial of people on aspirin and clopidogrel, cardiovascular events occurred in 4.9% on omeprazole and 5.7% on placebo (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.44), and gastrointestinal events in 1.1% against 2.9% (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.63) [28].
- Population
- Pharmacodynamic studies summarized in labeling [22]; 3,761 patients with coronary artery disease followed to 180 days [28].
- Sources
- [22], [28]
- Caveats
- The trial stopped short of its planned enrollment, and its authors state that it does not rule out a meaningful difference in cardiovascular events [28].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,761 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
NSAIDs, including ibuprofen blocking aspirin's effect
The labels warn that NSAIDs raise the risk of bleeding with either drug. A small study found ibuprofen taken before aspirin blocked aspirin's effect on platelets.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The clopidogrel label states that NSAIDs taken with clopidogrel increase the risk of gastrointestinal bleeding [22]. The aspirin label states that other NSAIDs increase the risk of bleeding and may impair kidney function, and that ibuprofen can interfere with the antiplatelet effect of low-dose aspirin [23]. In a crossover study, aspirin's inhibition of platelet thromboxane and aggregation was blocked when a single daily dose of ibuprofen was given before aspirin and when ibuprofen was given several times a day. Rofecoxib, acetaminophen and diclofenac did not have this effect [31].
- Population
- Statements in labeling [22][23]; volunteers in a crossover pharmacodynamic study [31].
- Sources
- [22], [23], [31]
- Caveats
- The ibuprofen study measured platelet function, not heart attacks or strokes. The labels give no rates.
Drug interactions
The labels contraindicate both drugs with MAO inhibitors. Fluoxetine and paroxetine raise atomoxetine levels 3 to 8 times, and viloxazine raises duloxetine, ramelteon, tizanidine and theophylline levels.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Atomoxetine is contraindicated with MAO inhibitors, including linezolid and intravenous methylene blue, or within 14 days, after reports of serious, sometimes fatal reactions. Fluoxetine raised atomoxetine exposure 6 to 8 times, and paroxetine or fluoxetine raised peak levels 3 to 4 times. The label advises caution with blood pressure drugs and pressor drugs, and notes oral albuterol's effects on heart rate and blood pressure can be increased [9]. Viloxazine is contraindicated with MAO inhibitors because of hypertensive crisis risk, and with alosetron, duloxetine, ramelteon, tasimelteon, tizanidine or theophylline, whose levels it raises by blocking CYP1A2 [6].
- Population
- Labeling statements and interaction studies [9][6].
- Sources
- [9], [6]
- Caveats
- Changes in drug levels, not measured harm.
QT interval and sudden cardiac death
Linked to about twice the rate of sudden cardiac death in current users of atypical antipsychotics against non-users in one large cohort, rising with dose.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Current users of atypical antipsychotics had more sudden cardiac death than non-users (adjusted incidence-rate ratio 2.26, 95% CI 1.88 to 2.72), similar to users of typical antipsychotics (1.99), rising from 1.59 at low doses to 2.86 at high doses. Former users had no significant increase [19]. The quetiapine label states that trials showed no persistent increase in QT interval, that postmarketing cases of QT prolongation occurred in overdose, with other illness, or with drugs that affect electrolytes or the QT interval, and names antiarrhythmics, other antipsychotics and the antibiotics gatifloxacin and moxifloxacin as combinations to avoid [3]. Across 32 antipsychotics, QTc change against placebo ranged from -2.21 ms to 23.90 ms [2].
- Population
- A cohort of current, former and non-users of antipsychotics [19]; 15,467 participants in the QTc analysis [2].
- Sources
- [19], [3], [2]
- Caveats
- Observational, and a class finding. The abstract gives rate ratios without an absolute rate, and the QTc range does not single out quetiapine or aripiprazole.
Low-dose quetiapine and cardiovascular events
Linked to more heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular deaths on low-dose quetiapine than on Z-drug sleep medicines in one Danish cohort.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Compared with new users of Z-drug hypnotics, new users of low-dose quetiapine had more major adverse cardiovascular events (adjusted HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.24 by intention to treat, and 1.52, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.70 while on treatment), more non-fatal ischemic stroke (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.68) and more cardiovascular death (HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.19). Results were similar against SSRIs (HR 1.42) [20].
- Population
- 60,566 low-dose quetiapine users and 454,567 Z-drug users aged 18 to 85 in Denmark, without severe mental illness or earlier heart attack or stroke [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort comparing two drugs, with possible unmeasured differences between the people prescribed each. No absolute rates are given in the abstract.
Stroke in older people with dementia
The label reports more strokes and transient ischemic attacks, some fatal, on aripiprazole than placebo in trials of older people with dementia. It gives no rate here.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In three placebo-controlled trials in dementia-related psychosis, mean age 84, cerebrovascular adverse events were more frequent on aripiprazole than placebo, with a significant dose-response relationship in the fixed-dose trial [10]. The quetiapine label reports the same finding for risperidone, aripiprazole and olanzapine in older people with dementia [3].
- Population
- Older people with dementia-related psychosis in three aripiprazole trials [10].
- Sources
- [10], [3]
- Caveats
- The label passage read for this page gives no percentages. The evidence is for aripiprazole and two other drugs, not quetiapine.
Faster kidney decline and more vascular events in diabetic kidney disease
One trial found kidney filtration fell faster on B vitamins than placebo in 238 people with diabetic nephropathy, and vascular events or death were twice as common.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- At 36 months, kidney filtration fell 16.5 mL/min/1.73 m² on B vitamins and 10.7 on placebo (difference -5.8, 95% CI -10.6 to -1.1). Heart attack, stroke, revascularization or death was twice as common (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.0 to 4.0) [6].
- Population
- 238 people with type 1 or 2 diabetes and diabetic nephropathy at 5 Canadian centers [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- One trial. Dialysis need did not differ (HR 1.1) [6].
More events after a heart attack on folic acid, B12 and B6
One trial found heart attack, stroke or sudden coronary death trended higher on folic acid, B12 and B6 than placebo after a heart attack, at the edge of significance.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In the group given all three vitamins, recurrent heart attack, stroke or sudden coronary death trended higher than placebo (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.50, P = 0.05) [9].
- Population
- 3,749 people within 7 days of a heart attack, median 40 months [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One trial, with an interval touching 1.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,749 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart rhythm
Case reports: a woman with prolonged QT had a dangerous arrhythmia and cardiac arrest after months of berberine, which resolved after stopping.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A 36-year-old woman with prolonged QT developed torsades de pointes and cardiac arrest after several months of berberine bought online. Her symptoms and EKG changes resolved after stopping it [13]. A 2026 systematic review of 22 studies listed prolonged QT interval, slow heart rate and low blood pressure among berberine's cardiovascular side effects, and reported that berberine inhibits the hERG potassium channel [14].
- Population
- Single case report [13]. 22 studies [14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- One case cannot show cause or rate. The review abstract does not separate human from animal or cell studies or give rates [14].
Stopping suddenly
The label warns that worse angina and, in some cases, heart attack have followed abrupt stopping of beta-blockers.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The metoprolol label states that after abrupt cessation of certain beta-blockers, exacerbations of angina and, in some cases, heart attack have occurred, particularly in people with ischemic heart disease [24]. The atenolol label reports severe exacerbation of angina, heart attack and ventricular arrhythmias after abrupt discontinuation in people with angina [26]. The propranolol and carvedilol labels carry the same warning [27][25]. The metoprolol label also states that abrupt withdrawal in thyrotoxicosis might precipitate a thyroid storm [24].
- Population
- People with coronary artery disease taking beta-blockers, as described in the labels [24][26].
- Sources
- [24], [26], [27], [25]
- Caveats
- Based on reports, with no rate. The atenolol label sets the statement apart in a box, and the other labels list it under warnings.
With verapamil, diltiazem, digoxin or clonidine
The label warns that these drugs slow the heart and that taking them with a beta-blocker can raise the risk of a slow heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The metoprolol label states that digitalis glycosides, clonidine, diltiazem and verapamil slow conduction and heart rate, and that use with beta-blockers can increase the risk of a slow heart rate. It also states that beta-blockers may exacerbate the rebound high blood pressure that can follow withdrawal of clonidine [24].
- Population
- People taking metoprolol with these drugs, as described in the label [24].
- Sources
- [24]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate.
With paroxetine or fluoxetine
Small studies found paroxetine raised metoprolol blood levels 3 to 5 times and lowered heart rate and blood pressure further. Observational results conflict.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a systematic review of 9 reports, experimental studies found paroxetine raised metoprolol exposure 3 to 5 times and significantly lowered systolic blood pressure and heart rate. Case reports described a slow heart rate and heart block. One cohort study linked the combination to early stopping of metoprolol, and one case-control study found no significant link to a slow heart rate [36]. The metoprolol label states that strong CYP2D6 inhibitors such as quinidine, fluoxetine, paroxetine and propafenone doubled metoprolol concentrations [24].
- Population
- 4 experimental studies, 2 observational studies and 3 case reports [36].
- Sources
- [36], [24]
- Caveats
- The evidence is for metoprolol. The experimental studies were small and no rate of harm is available.
Use in pregnancy
Mixed results: pooled observational studies found no rise in birth defects overall with first-trimester use, and higher odds of heart defects and cleft lip or palate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 13 observational studies, first-trimester use of oral beta-blockers showed no increased odds of all or major congenital anomalies. Organ-specific analyses found higher odds of cardiovascular defects (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.18 to 3.42, 4 studies), cleft lip or palate (OR 3.11, 95% CI 1.79 to 5.43, 2 studies) and neural tube defects (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.19 to 10.67, 2 studies) [37]. The metoprolol label states that published observational studies have not demonstrated a drug-associated risk of major birth defects or miscarriage, and that reports of growth restriction, preterm birth and perinatal death with beta-blocker use are inconsistent [24].
- Population
- 13 population-based case-control or cohort studies [37].
- Sources
- [37], [24]
- Caveats
- The authors called causality difficult to interpret, given few and heterogeneous studies and possible bias [37].
Brief rise in blood pressure and fall in heart rate
Limited evidence: blood pressure rose up to 6 mmHg systolic and heart rate fell up to 5 beats per minute, peaking 2 to 4 hours after a dose.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Systolic blood pressure rose by up to 6 mm Hg and diastolic by up to 3 mm Hg, peaking 2 to 4 hours after a dose, with heart rate falling by up to 5 beats per minute. These changes usually resolved within 12 hours [2]. Ambulatory monitoring found small, transient rises [5].
- Population
- Clinical study participants [2][5].
- Sources
- [2], [5]
- Caveats
- The label advises against use in people at high risk for cardiovascular disease and asks that blood pressure be controlled before starting [2].
Use with MAOIs
The label lists MAOIs as a contraindication, within 14 days in either direction, because of an increased risk of hypertensive reactions.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that bupropion blocks the reuptake of dopamine and norepinephrine and that use with a monoamine oxidase inhibitor is contraindicated because of an increased risk of hypertensive reactions. It applies the same to the antibiotic linezolid and intravenous methylene blue. It cites animal studies in which the MAOI phenelzine increased bupropion's acute toxicity [8].
- Population
- Labeling statement [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate in people.
Misuse
Case reports: snorting or injecting bupropion has been described almost only in people with a substance use history. A review called misuse uncommon.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A systematic review of misuse cases found that insufflation and intravenous injection occurred almost exclusively in people with a history of substance use disorder. The most frequent effect at presentation was a fast heart rate, followed by seizures, and injection caused skin infection and tissue damage [25]. A second review concluded that misuse occurs in practice and is uncommon, and that bupropion lacks some reinforcing effects of other stimulants [27]. The label reports mild amphetamine-like activity after a single 400 mg dose in people experienced with drugs of abuse [8].
- Population
- Published cases of bupropion misuse [25]; preclinical, clinical and postmarketing studies [27].
- Sources
- [25], [27], [8]
- Caveats
- No denominator, so no rate. Bupropion is not a controlled substance [8].
Use with MAOIs
The label lists MAOIs as a contraindication, within 14 days in either direction, citing reports of raised blood pressure and a risk of serotonin syndrome.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states there have been reports of elevated blood pressure when buspirone was added to a regimen including a monoamine oxidase inhibitor, and lists the combination as contraindicated because of an increased risk of serotonin syndrome, elevated blood pressure or both. It applies the same to the antibiotic linezolid and intravenous methylene blue [4].
- Population
- Reports summarized in labeling [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- No rate is given.
Heart attack and cardiovascular events
Limited evidence: one 2010 review linked calcium without vitamin D to more heart attacks, while later reviews found no change in heart disease.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Sources disagree. A 2010 meta-analysis of calcium without vitamin D found more heart attacks (patient data HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.67; trial data RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.59) [14]. A 2015 meta-analysis of 18 trials in older women found no change in coronary heart disease (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.09), heart attack (RR 1.08, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.26) or death (RR 0.96) [18]. A 2016 review of 4 trials and 27 observational studies found no consistent link between calcium intake within upper limits and cardiovascular disease [17].
- Population
- 15 trials of people with a mean age over 40, 8,151 with patient-level data and 11,921 with trial-level data [14]; 63,563 women [18]; generally healthy adults [17].
- Sources
- [14], [18], [17]
- Caveats
- Cardiovascular outcomes were secondary end points in all the trials [17]. The 2016 review was funded by the National Osteoporosis Foundation [17].
With beta-blockers or digoxin
The label warns that verapamil or diltiazem with a beta-blocker can add to slowing of the heart, and that verapamil raises digoxin levels 50 to 75%.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The verapamil label states that use with beta-blockers may have additive negative effects on heart rate, conduction and contractility, and that excessive slowing of the heart and heart block have been reported. It states that long-term verapamil can raise serum digoxin by 50 to 75% in the first week, which can result in digitalis toxicity [16]. The diltiazem label describes additive effects on conduction with beta-blockers or digitalis, and a rise of about 20% in digoxin levels in one study of 24 healthy men [10].
- Population
- People taking verapamil or diltiazem with a beta-blocker or digoxin, as described in the labels, and 24 healthy men in one digoxin study [16][10].
- Sources
- [16], [10]
- Caveats
- The labels give no rate. The warning is for the non-dihydropyridines.
With cyclosporine, tacrolimus or sildenafil
The label warns that amlodipine may raise blood levels of cyclosporine and tacrolimus, and that blood pressure may fall further with sildenafil.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The amlodipine label states that it may increase systemic exposure to cyclosporine or tacrolimus, and calls for monitoring for low blood pressure when sildenafil is taken with it. It also states that moderate and strong CYP3A inhibitors increase exposure to amlodipine [8].
- Population
- People taking amlodipine with these drugs, as described in the label [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate.
With grapefruit juice
One small study found grapefruit juice raised felodipine blood levels to 284% of those with water, with lower diastolic pressure and a higher heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 6 men, felodipine bioavailability with grapefruit juice averaged 284% of that with water (range 164 to 469%), diastolic blood pressure was lower, heart rate was higher, and vasodilation side effects were more frequent. Orange juice had no such effect. In 6 healthy men, nifedipine bioavailability with grapefruit juice was 134% of that with water [22].
- Population
- 6 men with borderline hypertension given felodipine and 6 healthy men given nifedipine [22].
- Sources
- [22]
- Caveats
- Two groups of 6 men given single doses. The evidence is for felodipine and nifedipine, both dihydropyridines.
Raynaud's phenomenon
Case reports: the labels describe new or worse Raynaud's phenomenon after approval, a median 71 days after an antibody dose, sometimes serious.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- New, recurrent or worsening Raynaud's phenomenon was reported after CGRP antagonists, with onset a median 71 days after an antibody dose. Many cases had serious outcomes, including hospitalization and disability from pain, and most resolved after stopping [12]. The fremanezumab and eptinezumab labels carry the same warning [13][14].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports [12].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- No denominator.
TMAO and platelet reactivity
One trial found choline bitartrate raised TMAO and platelet reactivity over 4 weeks in 82 healthy volunteers, while eggs and phosphatidylcholine did not.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Over 4 weeks, plasma TMAO (P < .0001) and platelet reactivity (P < .01) rose in all three groups taking choline bitartrate. Four eggs a day and phosphatidylcholine supplements did not significantly raise either [12].
- Population
- 82 healthy volunteers with normal kidney function, median age 28 [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- TMAO and platelet reactivity are markers. The trial did not measure heart attacks or clots [12].
FDA compounding listing for CJC-1295
FDA states compounded CJC-1295 may pose an immune reaction risk, and has identified serious adverse events including a raised heart rate and a vasodilatory reaction.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- FDA states that compounded drugs containing CJC-1295 may pose a risk of immunogenicity for certain routes and may have complexities with peptide-related impurities and characterization of the active ingredient. FDA has identified serious adverse events associated with CJC-1295, including increased heart rate and a systemic vasodilatory reaction, and states that available clinical data are limited. CJC-1295 appears on FDA's list of substances previously in category 2 whose nominations were withdrawn [5].
- Population
- Compounded drug products in the US [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- FDA does not give the number of events or their source on this page [5].
Rebound high blood pressure on stopping
The labels warn that stopping clonidine or guanfacine suddenly can cause a rapid rise in blood pressure, with rare reports of brain swelling from hypertension, stroke and death.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Sudden cessation of clonidine has caused nervousness, agitation, headache and tremor with a rapid rise in blood pressure and raised catecholamines, more likely after high doses or with continued beta-blocker treatment. Rare hypertensive encephalopathy, stroke and death have been reported [13]. The guanfacine label reports clinically significant, persistent rebound hypertension after abrupt stopping, including hypertensive encephalopathy [7]. In a small patch trial, no rebound was seen after stopping [2].
- Population
- Adults with hypertension and children with ADHD, in label reports [13][7]; 15 adults on a clonidine patch [2].
- Sources
- [13], [7], [2]
- Caveats
- The labels give no rate. No studies of abrupt stopping in children with ADHD were done [6].
Heart rate drugs: beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers and digoxin
The label reports severe slow heart rate needing a pacemaker with diltiazem or verapamil, and a greater rebound risk when beta-blockers continue after clonidine is stopped.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label calls for heart rate monitoring with drugs that affect the sinus node or AV conduction, such as digitalis, calcium channel blockers and beta-blockers, and reports sinus bradycardia leading to hospitalization and pacemaker insertion with diltiazem or verapamil. Rebound on stopping is more likely with continued beta-blocker treatment [13].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports and labeling statements [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- No rates are given.
Other interactions
The labels state tricyclic antidepressants can blunt clonidine's blood pressure effect, and drugs that block or speed the liver enzyme CYP3A4 change guanfacine levels.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- With tricyclic antidepressants, clonidine's blood pressure lowering may be reduced. With neuroleptics, low blood pressure on standing, dizziness and fatigue may occur or worsen [13]. Strong and moderate CYP3A4 inhibitors such as ketoconazole and fluconazole raise guanfacine exposure, and inducers such as rifampin and efavirenz lower it [7].
- Population
- Labeling statements drawn from interaction studies [13][7].
- Sources
- [13], [7]
- Caveats
- No rates of harm are given.
Extra heartbeats from the lower chambers
One randomized trial found 51% more premature ventricular beats on coffee days than caffeine-free days, and no significant rise in atrial beats.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Premature ventricular contractions averaged 154 a day on coffee days and 102 on caffeine-free days (rate ratio 1.51, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.94). Premature atrial contractions were 58 and 53 (rate ratio 1.09, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.20). Steps rose by 1,058 a day and glucose did not differ [23].
- Population
- 100 adults wearing a continuous ECG for 14 days [23].
- Sources
- [23]
- Caveats
- One trial of 14 days. Extra beats were counted, not symptoms or harm.
Air embolism
Case reports: a fatal case of air in the liver's portal vein and systemic air embolism after colon hydrotherapy.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A published case report describes fatal aeroportia, air in the portal venous system, with systemic air embolism after colon hydrotherapy [15].
- Population
- One patient [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- One case. No abstract was available, and the details here come from the report's title.
Anemia after repeated wet cupping
Case reports: severe iron deficiency anemia after repeated wet cupping, needing transfusion, and in one man a heart attack with hemoglobin of 4.1 g/dL.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A 55-year-old man who had intensified regular wet cupping for back pain presented with a heart attack and hemoglobin of 4.1 g/dL. After transfusion, hemoglobin was 14.8 g/dL within 2 months [17]. In Korea, about 30 sessions of cupping with blood loss over 2 months by an unqualified practitioner led to hospital admission and transfusion for iron deficiency anemia, with lasting skin pigmentation [18].
- Population
- One man [17]. One patient [18].
- Sources
- [17], [18], [1]
- Caveats
- Single cases after unusually frequent cupping. NCCIH also lists anemia from blood loss after repeated wet cupping [1].
Blood pressure reactions with MAOI antidepressants
The label of the MAOI antidepressant phenelzine warns that excessive amounts of chocolate and caffeine may cause hypertensive reactions.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Among foods and drinks to avoid during phenelzine treatment and for two weeks after, the label lists excessive amounts of chocolate and caffeine, and states they may cause hypertensive reactions [13].
- Population
- People taking phenelzine [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- A label warning that sets no amount and gives no rate.
FDA boxed warning: stopping early raises the risk of clots and stroke
FDA states that stopping any oral anticoagulant early, without another anticoagulant in its place, increases the risk of thrombotic events.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The boxed warning on all four labels states that premature discontinuation of any oral anticoagulant increases the risk of thrombotic events [22][23][20][21]. The rivaroxaban label reports that an increased rate of stroke was observed during the transition from rivaroxaban to warfarin in atrial fibrillation trials [23].
- Population
- Boxed warnings in labeling. The stroke observation comes from atrial fibrillation trials of rivaroxaban [23].
- Sources
- [22], [23], [20], [21]
- Caveats
- The label sections read here give no rate.
Dangerous blood pressure rises with MAOI antidepressants
The phenelzine label warns that foods high in tyramine, including fermented foods such as sauerkraut, aged cheese and yogurt, can cause hypertensive crises, sometimes fatal.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that hypertensive crises during phenelzine treatment may be caused by foods high in tyramine or dopamine, and tells patients to avoid high-protein food that has undergone aging, fermentation, pickling, smoking or bacterial contamination. It lists sauerkraut, cheese other than cottage and cream cheese, yogurt, pickled herring, dry sausage and yeast extract, during treatment and for two weeks after. It describes these crises as sometimes fatal [1].
- Population
- People taking phenelzine, an MAOI antidepressant [1].
- Sources
- [1]
- Caveats
- A label warning. The label gives no rate, and tyramine content varies widely between foods and batches.
Fisetin or quercetin alone at senolytic doses
One trial found quercetin shifted inflammatory proteins in a pro-inflammatory direction in women after bypass surgery, and the opposite in men.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In the coronary bypass trial, quercetin at 500 mg twice a day shifted circulating inflammatory proteins in a pro-inflammatory direction in women and increased inflammaging signatures in their artery fibroblasts, while men showed the opposite [4].
- Population
- 97 patients, 19 of them women, treated from 2 days before surgery to hospital discharge [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- Exploratory analyses with few women. No trial of fisetin alone at senolytic doses was located.
Cardiovascular events at 15 mg a day
Limited evidence: trials at 15 mg a day reported more cardiovascular events in people with high homocysteine, with none at 10 mg or less.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 36 RCTs in high homocysteine, no cardiovascular adverse events were observed at 10 mg a day or less, while trials using 15 mg a day reported more (3 studies, 35 events) [12].
- Population
- Adults with high homocysteine [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Few events in 3 trials. The events were not adjudicated, and the authors call all dose findings hypothesis-generating [12].
Blood pressure drop and blood pressure medicines
Limited evidence: USP reports some studies with a brief blood pressure drop under 10%, and states that blood pressure medicines could conceivably add to it.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Some studies showed a transient, moderate fall in blood pressure of less than 10%. The USP reviewers state that use alongside blood pressure medicines could conceivably raise the risk of low blood pressure [6].
- Population
- Clinical studies reviewed by USP [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- The interaction is inferred from the blood pressure findings, not observed in a study [6].
Heart conduction on pregabalin
The label reports pregabalin lengthened the PR interval on ECG by a mean of 3 to 6 milliseconds, without a rise in heart block.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In analyses of trial ECG data, the mean PR interval rose by 3 to 6 milliseconds at doses of 300 mg a day or more. This was not associated with more people having a PR interval above 200 milliseconds or a 25% rise from baseline, or with more second or third degree heart block [7].
- Population
- Adults with ECG data in pregabalin trials [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- An average change on a tracing, with no count of people affected. The evidence is for pregabalin.
Blood pressure in the pediatric trial
One trial found higher blood pressure in children on glucomannan than placebo, while an adult meta-analysis found no change.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Systolic blood pressure at 12 weeks and diastolic pressure at 24 weeks were higher with glucomannan than with placebo in children [7]. In the 2008 adult meta-analysis, blood pressure did not change [1].
- Population
- 96 children [7]; adults and children in RCTs [1].
- Sources
- [1], [7]
- Caveats
- A secondary outcome in one trial. Sizes are not given in the abstract.
Higher blood levels of amiodarone
The FDA states grapefruit juice can interact with amiodarone. In one small study it raised amiodarone exposure 50% and blocked its main metabolite.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The FDA names amiodarone (Pacerone, Cordarone) among drugs grapefruit juice can interact with [1]. Three 300 mL glasses on the day of a single dose raised amiodarone AUC by 50% and peak concentration by 84%, and completely stopped production of its main metabolite. Amiodarone's changes to the PR and QTc intervals of the heart tracing were smaller with grapefruit juice [14].
- Population
- 11 healthy adults, compared with their own earlier test [14].
- Sources
- [1], [14]
- Caveats
- One study, one dose, not randomized, with the comparison period 6 months earlier [14].
Interaction with nadolol
One small study found 700 mL a day of brewed green tea cut blood levels of the beta-blocker nadolol by about 85% and weakened its effect on blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- After 14 days of green tea, peak nadolol levels fell 85.3% and total exposure 85.0% against water, and nadolol's lowering of systolic pressure was reduced [10].
- Population
- 10 healthy volunteers [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One small study of a single drug. The green tea extract page reports the same study.
Interaction with warfarin
Case reports: a man on warfarin drinking half to one gallon of green tea a day saw his INR fall from 3.79 to 1.14, rising again when he stopped.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- INR fell to 1.37 about a week after he began drinking large amounts of green tea, and to 1.14 a month later. After stopping, it rose to 2.55. The authors attribute this to vitamin K in green tea [12].
- Population
- One 44-year-old man with a mechanical heart valve [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- A single case at very high intake.
Interaction with nadolol
One small study found brewed green tea cut blood levels of the beta-blocker nadolol by about 85% in healthy adults.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 10 healthy volunteers, 14 days of green tea at 700 mL a day lowered the peak concentration and AUC of the beta-blocker nadolol by 85.3% and 85.0% and reduced its effect on systolic blood pressure [12].
- Population
- 10 healthy adults [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Brewed green tea, not extract. Other drugs were not tested.
QT prolongation with kidney impairment
The famotidine label reports prolonged QT intervals in people with moderate or severe kidney impairment, in whom famotidine is cleared more slowly. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that CNS adverse reactions and prolonged QT intervals have been reported in patients with moderate and severe renal impairment, and lists a lower dose when creatinine clearance is under 60 mL/minute [2].
- Population
- Reports summarized in labeling [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- No rate or trial data are given.
FDA boxed warning: smoking and serious cardiovascular events
FDA states smoking raises the risk of serious cardiovascular events with combined hormonal birth control, more with age and over 35.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The combined pill label states that cigarette smoking increases the risk of serious cardiovascular events, rising with age, particularly over 35, and with the number of cigarettes, and that women over 35 who smoke are not to use it [2]. The patch label carries the same warning and contraindicates it at a BMI of 30 or higher because of possibly greater clot risk, and says it may prevent pregnancy less well at 90 kg or more [13].
- Population
- Label statements [2][13].
- Sources
- [2], [13]
- Caveats
- The boxed warning gives no rate.
Implant insertion and removal problems
FDA states improper implant insertion raises the risk of complications, including nerve injury, scarring and migration into blood vessels, so Nexplanon is available only through a restricted program.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The boxed warning states improper insertion increases the risk of complications. Reported complications include pain, numbness, bleeding, hematoma, scarring, infection and migration into blood vessels, including lung vessels, sometimes needing surgery. An implant not inserted may go unnoticed and lead to pregnancy [11].
- Population
- Label statements [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- No rate given.
Heart rhythm and psychiatric case reports
Case reports: fast heart rhythm, hypomania and new psychosis after horny goat weed use.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A published report describes tachyarrhythmia and hypomania with horny goat weed [5]. A 2026 report describes new-onset psychosis in a person with Parkinson's disease after horny goat weed use [6]. A review of sexual enhancement products sold online found horny goat weed reported with adverse events and psychological symptoms such as mood changes, anxiety and hallucinations [7].
- Population
- Case reports [5][6]; review of 203 websites and the medical literature [7].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Abstracts were not available for [5] and [6]. Case reports cannot establish cause.
QT prolongation and torsade de pointes
The label warns of QT prolongation and torsade de pointes, mostly in people with other risk factors, and lists a prolonged QT interval as a contraindication. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label reports postmarketing cases of QT prolongation and torsade de pointes, most in people with existing heart disease, electrolyte imbalances or use of other arrhythmia-causing drugs. It names other QT-prolonging drugs as a concern: some antiarrhythmics, antipsychotics such as quetiapine and ziprasidone, the antidepressants citalopram and fluoxetine, the antibiotics azithromycin, erythromycin, clarithromycin, gatifloxacin and moxifloxacin, and methadone, ondansetron and others [5]. A review of the manufacturer's safety database from 1955 to 2016 found 59 reports potentially linked to hydroxyzine. Apart from intentional overdose, every case had at least one other risk factor, and laboratory studies showed concentration-dependent inhibition of cardiac ion channels [14]. The European Medicines Agency confirmed the risk in 2015, concluded that events are most likely in people with risk factors, and restricted use and dose [13].
- Population
- 59 pharmacovigilance reports over about 60 years [14]; postmarketing reports summarized by regulators [5][13].
- Sources
- [5], [14], [13]
- Caveats
- Spontaneous reports with no denominator. The database review was conducted by the manufacturer [14].
Interactions with ritonavir and other strong CYP3A4 inhibitors
The label states use with strong CYP3A4 inhibitors such as ritonavir, ketoconazole or clarithromycin can raise steroid levels and heart side effects. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The fluticasone-salmeterol label states that strong CYP3A4 inhibitors, including ritonavir, atazanavir, clarithromycin, indinavir, itraconazole, nefazodone, nelfinavir, saquinavir, ketoconazole and telithromycin, may raise systemic corticosteroid and cardiovascular adverse effects [15].
- Population
- Labeling statement drawn from pharmacokinetic data [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- No rate of harm is given.
Low potassium
The label warns that all insulins shift potassium into cells and can cause low blood potassium. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The glargine label states that all insulins cause a shift in potassium from outside to inside cells, possibly leading to hypokalemia, and that untreated hypokalemia may cause respiratory paralysis, ventricular arrhythmia and death. It names people on potassium-lowering medicines as at risk [5].
- Population
- A class warning in labeling, with no study counts [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- The label gives no numbers.
Fluid retention and heart failure with thiazolidinediones
The label warns that thiazolidinedione diabetes drugs taken with insulin can cause dose-related fluid retention, which may lead to or worsen heart failure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The glargine label states that thiazolidinediones can cause dose-related fluid retention when used with insulin, and that this may lead to or exacerbate heart failure. It also states that some people on insulin have had sodium retention and edema, particularly when poor control was improved by intensified treatment [5]. In a 5-year trial, peripheral edema was reported by 20.0% on glargine and 22.7% on NPH insulin [5].
- Population
- A class warning in labeling. The edema rates come from 1,017 adults with type 2 diabetes [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate for heart failure. The edema rates compare two insulins, with no group off insulin.
Cardiovascular death in cohort studies
Linked to 2.35 times the cardiovascular death rate with eating windows under 8 hours, against 12 to 14 hours, in a US survey cohort.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Over a median 8.1 years, eating duration under 8 hours was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.39 to 3.98) and not with all-cause or cancer mortality [14]. A second analysis found a U-shaped pattern with the lowest mortality at about 11 to 12 hours. Windows of 8 hours or less were linked to at least 30% higher all-cause mortality, and windows of 15 hours or more to 25% higher [15].
- Population
- 19,831 adults [14] and 33,052 adults [15] from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2003 to 2018. Observational.
- Sources
- [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Observational. Eating duration came from two 24-hour diet recalls, not a fasting plan. The authors of [14] note the link may reflect residual confounding.
Use with sedatives, opioids, stimulants and MAOIs
The label warns that benzodiazepines, opioids and alcohol may add to sedation, and that stimulants and MAOIs may raise blood pressure further.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states CNS depressants such as benzodiazepines, opioids and alcohol may increase sedation, and that psychostimulants such as amphetamines, methylphenidate, modafinil and armodafinil, and MAO inhibitors, may increase blood pressure [4].
- Population
- Labeling statement [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- Predicted from how the drugs act. No rate is given.
Low blood sugar and low blood pressure on medication
An expert consensus states that starting a low-carbohydrate diet on insulin, sulfonylureas or blood pressure drugs carries a risk of low blood sugar and low blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- An international consensus on adjusting medication states that starting a low-carbohydrate diet on medication requires close monitoring and medication changes to reduce the risk of hypoglycemia and hypotension. It names insulin, sulfonylureas, SGLT2 inhibitors, blood pressure medications and diuretics as the most immediate adjustments [20]. In trials of ketogenic diets in type 2 diabetes, diabetes medication use fell more than on control diets [4].
- Population
- Adults with type 2 diabetes on medication [20].
- Sources
- [4], [20]
- Caveats
- A consensus document, not a trial measuring hypoglycemia rates.
TMAO and cardiovascular markers
Limited evidence: L-carnitine raised blood TMAO tenfold in older women without changing inflammation or lipids. The heart disease link is from mice and observational data.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In mice, carnitine supplements raised TMAO and increased atherosclerosis, which did not occur when gut bacteria were suppressed. In 2,595 people having cardiac evaluation, plasma carnitine predicted cardiovascular disease and major adverse cardiac events only when TMAO was also high. Omnivores produced more TMAO than vegans after carnitine [10]. In healthy older women, 24 weeks of L-carnitine raised plasma TMAO tenfold but did not change CRP, IL-6, adhesion molecules or lipids [11]. In healthy volunteers given 0.5 or 1.5 g of carnitine or acetylcarnitine, about 90% of both was metabolized to TMAO, with plasma levels reaching 50 µM [12].
- Population
- Mice and observational cohorts [10]; healthy older women [11]; healthy volunteers given single doses [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- The heart disease link is from animals and observational data. The one supplement trial measured markers, not events, for 24 weeks.
Toxicity at weight-loss doses (boxed warning)
The label warns thyroid hormones are not for weight loss, and doses beyond daily needs may produce serious or even life-threatening toxicity.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label's boxed warning states that thyroid hormones are not for obesity or weight loss, and that doses beyond daily hormonal needs may produce serious or even life-threatening toxicity. Adverse reactions are listed as those of hyperthyroidism from overdose, including arrhythmias, heart attack, tremor, insomnia, muscle weakness and heat intolerance [10]. In obesity studies, thyroid hormone therapy induced subclinical hyperthyroidism [9].
- Population
- Label [10]; obesity studies [9].
- Sources
- [10], [9]
- Caveats
- Label statements, not trial rates.
Acute overdose
Case reports: overdoses brought fast heart rate, confusion or fever, with one death. In larger studies over 90% had minimal or no symptoms.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In 95 published overdose cases, the median dose taken was 4,250 µg. Tachycardia occurred in 38.9%, confusion in 23.2%, fever in 18.9% and atrial fibrillation in 5.3%, and one death was reported. In larger retrospective studies, more than 90% had minimal or no symptoms, particularly children. Coma and heart failure occurred rarely, in adults after high doses [16].
- Population
- 95 case reports and 6 retrospective studies with 11,513 patients [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Case reports cannot give a rate, and severe cases are more likely to be published.
Room light during sleep raised next-morning insulin resistance
One small trial found a single night of sleeping in room light raised next-morning insulin resistance by about 15% and night heart rate, against sleeping in dim light.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- After one night with overhead room light at 100 lux, HOMA-IR rose about 15%, against a 4% fall after a second dim night (p = 0.018). Early insulin response to a glucose drink rose, heart rate during sleep was higher and heart rate variability lower. Melatonin levels did not differ [11].
- Population
- 20 young adults randomized to room light (n = 10) or dim light under 3 lux (n = 10) in a sleep laboratory [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One night, 20 people. Glucose levels stayed similar in both groups, and whether repeated nights change health was not tested [11].
Low blood pressure and dehydration
The labels warn of low blood pressure and dehydration from excess fluid loss, and in kidney injury trials diuretics raised hypotension about twofold.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The furosemide label reports postural hypotension and warns that excessive diuresis can cause dehydration and circulatory collapse [10]. In trials treating established kidney injury, diuretics raised hypotension (RR 1.99, 95% CI 1.16 to 3.41) and arrhythmias (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.12 to 2.33) [12].
- Population
- Label statements [10]; 720 and 1,011 people in kidney injury trials [12].
- Sources
- [10], [12]
- Caveats
- The kidney injury trials enrolled critically ill people and pooled diuretics as a group [12].
Low blood sugar and low blood pressure on medication
An expert consensus states that starting a low-carbohydrate diet on insulin, sulfonylureas or blood pressure drugs carries a risk of low blood sugar and low blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- An international consensus on adjusting medication states that starting a low-carbohydrate diet on medication requires close monitoring and medication changes to reduce the risk of hypoglycemia and hypotension. It names insulin, sulfonylureas, SGLT2 inhibitors, blood pressure medications and diuretics as the most immediate adjustments [10].
- Population
- Adults with type 2 diabetes on medication [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- A consensus document, not a trial measuring hypoglycemia rates.
Ischemic stroke and heart disease in subgroups
One large trial found more ischemic stroke in healthy women with normal blood pressure, and more coronary heart disease in women who had heart disease at entry.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In women without prior cardiovascular disease and with normal blood pressure, coronary heart disease fell (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.87), partly offset by a rise in ischemic stroke. In the 3.4% with cardiovascular disease at entry, coronary heart disease was higher, HR 1.47 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.93) during the intervention and 1.61 (95% CI 1.02 to 2.55) after it [10].
- Population
- 48,835 postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- Subgroup analyses. The abstract gives no figure for the stroke rise. The authors cite evidence that results in women with heart disease or high blood pressure at entry are confounded by cholesterol-lowering drug use after randomization [10].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 48,835 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Liver enzyme and blood pressure rise
One trial found a moderate rise in the liver enzyme AST and in diastolic blood pressure at 0.6 g a day in people with metabolic syndrome.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a 90-day randomized placebo-controlled trial in patients with metabolic syndrome, volunteers using maca at 0.6 g a day showed a moderate rise in AST and diastolic blood pressure. No adverse effects were found in the groups taking silymarin, with or without maca or yacon, and the authors report the effect could be reversed with silymarin [11].
- Population
- Patients with metabolic syndrome [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One trial. The abstract does not give the size of the rise [11].
Serious injuries in case reports
Case reports: 138 adverse events in 40 reports from 2003 to 2013, including disc herniation, nerve injury and vertebral artery dissection, often linked to spinal manipulation within massage.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- From 2003 to 2013, 40 reports described 138 adverse events with massage, mainly disc herniation, soft tissue trauma, neurologic compromise, spinal cord injury and vertebral artery dissection. Spinal manipulation within massage was repeatedly tied to the serious events [19]. An earlier review of 16 case reports and 4 case series found most harms followed exotic techniques or massage by laypeople, rarely massage therapists. Reported events included stroke, nerve damage, pulmonary embolism and hematoma [20].
- Population
- 138 cases [19]. 16 case reports and 4 case series [20].
- Sources
- [19], [20]
- Caveats
- Case reports give no rate. Both reviews judged serious events rare [19][20].
Heart rhythm events
Case reports: heart rhythm disturbances on melatonin improved after people stopped it.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A 63-year-old man taking 10 mg a day developed a heart rhythm disturbance that resolved after he stopped melatonin. A systematic review of published reports found similar arrhythmic events that improved after discontinuation [20].
- Population
- Case reports [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- Case reports cannot show cause or give rates.
Heart warnings at blood pressure doses (oral)
The label warns oral minoxidil at blood pressure doses can cause pericardial effusion and worsen angina. Hair loss doses are lower.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The oral tablet label carries a boxed warning that minoxidil can cause pericardial effusion, occasionally progressing to tamponade, and can worsen angina. It is approved only for hypertension not controlled by a diuretic plus two other drugs, and is usually given with a beta blocker and a diuretic [13].
- Population
- Patients with severe hypertension treated at antihypertensive doses [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- The label describes use at blood pressure doses, which are higher than the low doses used for hair loss.
QT interval and heart rhythm
The label reports QT interval lengthening rose with mirtazapine blood levels in a 54-person study, below a level considered clinically meaningful, with postmarketing reports of torsades de pointes.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a randomized trial in 54 healthy volunteers with placebo and moxifloxacin controls, QTc prolongation rose with mirtazapine concentration. At 45 mg and 75 mg the degree of prolongation was not at a level generally considered clinically meaningful. Cases of QT prolongation and torsades de pointes have been reported in postmarketing use. The label states that other QT-prolonging drugs taken with mirtazapine increase the risk [7].
- Population
- 54 healthy volunteers, and postmarketing reports [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Postmarketing reports have no denominator.
Heart failure signal
One trial after hip fracture was stopped early for a heart failure signal. FDA placed it in category 2 for compounding, citing heart failure risk.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The hip fracture trial was terminated early because of a safety signal of congestive heart failure in a limited number of patients. The authors describe an unfavorable safety profile in that population [3]. FDA placed ibutamoren mesylate in category 2 for compounding under both 503A and 503B, citing the potential for congestive heart failure and this trial [4].
- Population
- 123 older adults after hip fracture [3]; US compounding [4].
- Sources
- [3], [4]
- Caveats
- The abstract does not give the number of heart failure cases [3].
Eosinophilia and Churg-Strauss vasculitis
The label reports systemic eosinophilia, sometimes with vasculitis consistent with Churg-Strauss syndrome, often as oral steroids were reduced. A causal link has not been established.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states people with asthma on montelukast may present with systemic eosinophilia, sometimes with vasculitis consistent with Churg-Strauss syndrome, sometimes associated with reducing oral corticosteroids. It states a causal association has not been established [1].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports summarized in labeling [1].
- Sources
- [1]
- Caveats
- Reducing oral steroids may unmask the underlying condition [1].
Single-nutrient harms
Limited evidence: single supplements were linked to hip fracture with vitamin A, hemorrhagic stroke with vitamin E, and kidney stones with vitamin C and calcium.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The Task Force review found limited evidence linking some single supplements to serious harms: hip fracture with vitamin A, hemorrhagic stroke with vitamin E, and kidney stones with vitamin C and calcium [4].
- Population
- Healthy adults in RCTs and cohorts [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- These are single-nutrient findings, not tests of multivitamins.
Tizanidine with ciprofloxacin, fluvoxamine and oral contraceptives
One small study found ciprofloxacin raised tizanidine blood levels 10-fold and deepened its fall in blood pressure. The label contraindicates the combination.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In healthy volunteers, ciprofloxacin 500 mg twice a day raised tizanidine exposure 10-fold (range 6 to 24) and its peak level 7-fold. Systolic pressure fell 35 mm Hg against 15 mm Hg on placebo and diastolic 24 against 11, with more drowsiness [16]. The label lists strong CYP1A2 inhibitors, naming fluvoxamine and ciprofloxacin, as contraindicated, and says use with oral contraceptives and other weaker inhibitors such as cimetidine, famotidine, acyclovir and some heart rhythm drugs is to be avoided [12].
- Population
- 10 healthy volunteers in a crossover study, each given one 4 mg dose of tizanidine [16].
- Sources
- [16], [12]
- Caveats
- A drug-level study in 10 people, with one dose of tizanidine.
Stopping suddenly
The labels warn that stopping baclofen abruptly has caused hallucinations and seizures, and stopping tizanidine can cause rebound high blood pressure and a fast heart rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The baclofen label states that hallucinations and seizures have occurred on abrupt withdrawal [14]. The tizanidine label states that withdrawal reactions include rebound hypertension, tachycardia and increased muscle tone, particularly after 20 to 28 mg a day for 9 weeks or more or with concurrent narcotics [12].
- Population
- People stopping baclofen or tizanidine, as described in the labels [14][12].
- Sources
- [14], [12]
- Caveats
- The labels give no rate.
Blood pressure, heart rate and opioid interaction
The label states it can raise blood pressure and heart rate, and lists chronic opioid use as a contraindication. One trial saw a brief 1.5 mmHg rise.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In COR-I, mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure rose about 1.5 mm Hg at first, then fell about 1 mm Hg below baseline [1]. The label states the drug can raise blood pressure and resting heart rate. It is contraindicated with chronic opioid use and uncontrolled hypertension, because naltrexone blocks opioids and can precipitate withdrawal [8].
- Population
- 1,742 adults [1]; label [8].
- Sources
- [1], [8]
- Caveats
- The label states the clinical significance of the blood pressure and heart rate changes is unclear [8].
Erythritol and blood clotting
Small studies found 30 g of erythritol raised platelet clotting responses in healthy volunteers, and cohorts linked high blood erythritol to more heart attacks, strokes and deaths.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In patients undergoing cardiac evaluation, the top quarter of blood erythritol against the bottom was linked to major adverse cardiovascular events over 3 years (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.77 in the US, and 2.21, 95% CI 1.20 to 4.07 in Europe). Erythritol ingestion in 8 healthy volunteers raised blood levels above those linked to clotting for over 2 days [14]. In 20 healthy volunteers, 30 g of erythritol raised blood levels more than 1,000-fold and enhanced platelet aggregation in every subject, while 30 g of glucose did not [15]. The FDA reviewed the 2023 paper and determined its observational studies did not establish a causal link [3].
- Population
- 2,149 US and 833 European patients undergoing cardiac evaluation, and 8 healthy volunteers [14]. 10 healthy volunteers per group [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15], [3]
- Caveats
- The cohorts measured erythritol in blood, not how much people ate. The platelet studies measured clotting tests, not clots. WHO's sweetener guideline does not cover sugar alcohols such as erythritol [1].
Allergic acute coronary syndrome (Kounis syndrome) with diclofenac
Case reports: 27 people had allergic acute coronary events after diclofenac, mostly coronary spasm, and all survived to discharge.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A review of 27 published cases described acute coronary events with allergic features after diclofenac, most often coronary spasm without underlying coronary disease. Hypotension occurred in 70.4%, hives in 66.7% and chest pain in 85.2%, and all patients survived to discharge. The FDA adverse event database showed a positive reporting signal from 137 reports [22].
- Population
- 27 case patients, 81.5% male; FAERS reports [22].
- Sources
- [22]
- Caveats
- Case reports and reporting signals cannot give a rate.
QT prolongation and abnormal heart rhythm
The label warns ondansetron prolongs the QT interval, by 19.5 milliseconds at 32 mg intravenously and 5.6 at 8 mg, with postmarketing reports of torsade de pointes.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a placebo-controlled crossover study, the maximum mean increase in corrected QT was 19.5 milliseconds after 32 mg intravenously and 5.6 milliseconds after 8 mg, with a predicted 14.0 milliseconds at 24 mg and 9.1 at 16 mg. Postmarketing cases of torsade de pointes have been reported. The label calls for avoiding it in congenital long QT syndrome and for ECG monitoring with low potassium or magnesium, heart failure, slow heart rhythms or other QT-prolonging drugs [3].
- Population
- 58 healthy adults in a QT study, and postmarketing reports [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- The QT study used intravenous doses. The 8 mg dose did not prolong QT to a clinically relevant extent [3].
Heart muscle ischemia
The label reports heart muscle ischemia after ondansetron, mostly with intravenous use and often from coronary artery spasm. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Myocardial ischemia has been reported, in some cases immediately after intravenous administration, resolving with prompt treatment. Coronary artery spasm appears to be the most common cause [3].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- Reports, with no denominator.
Apomorphine and other interactions
The label lists apomorphine as a contraindication because of profound low blood pressure and loss of consciousness, and notes tramadol may work less well alongside ondansetron.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Use with apomorphine is contraindicated because of the risk of profound hypotension and loss of consciousness. Phenytoin, carbamazepine and rifampin raised ondansetron clearance and lowered its blood levels, with no dose change advised. In two small trials, people given ondansetron used more patient-controlled tramadol [3].
- Population
- Labeling statements and small trials [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- No rates are given.
Higher blood pressure and cholesterol
One small crossover trial found blood pressure and total, LDL and HDL cholesterol rose on one daily meal against three meals at the same calories.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- On one meal a day, blood pressure and total, LDL and HDL cholesterol rose significantly against three meals a day, and cortisol fell [1].
- Population
- Healthy normal-weight middle-aged adults, crossover with two 8-week periods [1].
- Sources
- [1]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives no sizes for these changes. The authors note diurnal variation may affect the results [1].
Sepsis and blood clots after a short course
Linked to more sepsis and blood clots in the 30 days after starting a short course, with rate ratios of 5.30 and 3.33.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Within 30 days of starting a short course, rates rose for sepsis (incidence rate ratio 5.30, 95% CI 3.80 to 7.41) and venous thromboembolism (3.33, 95% CI 2.78 to 3.99), and fell back over the next 31 to 90 days. The rise held below 20 mg a day of prednisone equivalent (4.02 and 3.61). One in five adults in the insurance plan received a short course over 3 years [22].
- Population
- 1,548,945 privately insured US adults, of whom 327,452 received a short course of oral corticosteroids [22].
- Sources
- [22]
- Caveats
- Observational. The illness that prompted the prescription, most often a respiratory infection, spinal condition or allergy, may account for part of the rise. The study gives rate ratios and no share of users affected.
Heart disease, blood pressure and potassium
Linked to more cardiovascular events at 7.5 mg a day or more of prednisolone, and to more new high blood pressure as the total dose rises.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Cardiovascular events occurred at 23.9 per 1,000 person-years in glucocorticoid users and 17.0 in non-users. At 7.5 mg a day or more of prednisolone equivalent the rate was 76.5 and the adjusted relative risk 2.56 (95% CI 2.18 to 2.99) [26]. In people with chronic inflammatory diseases, new hypertension occurred at 44.4 per 1,000 person-years in periods off glucocorticoids and 55.6 at a cumulative dose of 3,055 mg or more (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.35) [27]. The prednisone label states that corticosteroids can raise blood pressure, cause salt and water retention and increase potassium loss, and lists hypokalemia among adverse reactions [20].
- Population
- 68,781 glucocorticoid users and 82,202 non-users in Scotland [26]; 71,642 people with chronic inflammatory diseases, median follow-up 6.6 years [27].
- Sources
- [26], [27], [20]
- Caveats
- Observational. The diseases treated with high doses also raise cardiovascular risk.
Gas embolism and stroke
Case reports: gas bubbles reached the brain during oxygen-ozone injection into a lumbar disc, causing multiple strokes.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A 58-year-old woman developed limb weakness and speech disturbance during an intradiscal oxygen-ozone injection for disc herniation. Brain scans showed multiple gas emboli and strokes in both hemispheres, and echocardiography found a patent foramen ovale. She had improved significantly a year later. The authors note that oxygen-ozone therapy has been linked to gas embolism [13].
- Population
- One woman [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Case reports give no rate.
Low blood pressure with nitrates
The labels list use with nitrates as a contraindication, because blood pressure can drop, and warn of low blood pressure with alpha-blockers or heavy alcohol.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Both labels list use with organic nitrates as a contraindication, because the drugs potentiated the blood-pressure-lowering effect of nitrates in clinical pharmacology studies [8][7]. The Viagra label names nitrites in any form, and its patient information lists "poppers" such as amyl nitrite [8]. The Cialis label states that in a life-threatening situation, nitrates are considered only once at least 48 hours have passed since the last dose [7]. Both labels also warn of low blood pressure with alpha-blockers, other blood pressure drugs or large amounts of alcohol [8][7].
- Population
- Clinical pharmacology studies summarized in the labels [8][7].
- Sources
- [8], [7]
- Caveats
- Label statements, not trial rates.
Abuse potential, tolerance, and heart and lung warnings
The label classifies phentermine as a Schedule IV controlled substance and states tolerance to the appetite effect usually develops within a few weeks.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The phentermine label classifies it as a Schedule IV controlled substance related to the amphetamines. It states that tolerance to the appetite effect usually develops within a few weeks. It lists rare reported cases of primary pulmonary hypertension and of serious regurgitant heart valve disease. The valve cases were reported with phentermine combined with fenfluramine or dexfenfluramine, and the label states the role of phentermine itself has not been established [10].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports and pharmacology summarized in the label [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- These are label statements and case reports, not trial rates.
Sudden cardiac death during vigorous exertion
Linked to a brief rise in sudden cardiac death during and just after vigorous exertion in one cohort of men, very rare per bout and smaller in regular exercisers.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The relative risk of sudden death during and up to 30 minutes after vigorous exertion was 16.9 (95% CI 10.5 to 27.0) against lighter or no exertion. The absolute risk was 1 sudden death per 1.51 million episodes of exertion. Habitual vigorous exercise lowered the added risk, and baseline exercise level was not linked to overall sudden death risk [20].
- Population
- 21,481 male physicians free of heart disease, followed 12 years, with 122 sudden deaths [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- One cohort of men. The figure is per episode of exertion, not a share of people.
Interaction with clopidogrel
The esomeprazole label warns against use with clopidogrel because it reduces clopidogrel's antiplatelet activity. One trial found no rise in heart events with omeprazole.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that esomeprazole inhibits CYP2C19, the enzyme that converts clopidogrel to its active form, that esomeprazole 40 mg reduces clopidogrel's pharmacological activity, and that the label's instruction is to avoid using the two together [7]. In a randomized trial of people on aspirin and clopidogrel, cardiovascular events were 4.9% on omeprazole and 5.7% on placebo (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.44) [8].
- Population
- Drug interaction studies summarized in labeling [7]; 3,761 patients on dual antiplatelet therapy [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- The trial ended early and was not powered to rule out a small rise in heart events [8].
Blunted gains from exercise training
One small trial found resveratrol blunted training gains in VO2 max, blood pressure and lipids in older men.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- During 8 weeks of high-intensity training, VO2 max rose 45% more on placebo than on resveratrol. Mean arterial pressure fell by 4.8 mmHg on placebo only. Resveratrol also cancelled the training-related improvements in LDL cholesterol, total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio and triglycerides [12].
- Population
- 27 healthy, inactive men, mean age 65, at 250 mg a day [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One small trial in older men.
Heart rate
One trial found heart rate rose with dose, peaking at 24 weeks and declining after. The size of the rise was not reported.
Heart and tendon harms in case reports
Case reports: 15 men had liver injury, myocarditis or tendon rupture after SARMs. Most were athletes taking doses far above those in clinical studies.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A systematic review of 72 articles from 2003 to 2022 found 13 case reports describing 15 people harmed after using SARMs. All were men, median age 32 (range 19 to 52), more than half were athletes, and all took SARMs by mouth for a mean of 8 weeks. Reported harms included drug-induced liver injury, myocarditis and tendon rupture. Athletes reported doses much higher than those used in clinical studies [8].
- Population
- 15 published cases, plus preclinical and clinical studies summarized in the review [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- Case reports cannot give a rate, and the review rates its own evidence as level 4. The review estimates SARM use among athletes at 1% to 3% [8].
FDA warnings
FDA states life-threatening reactions, including liver injury needing hospitalization, have occurred with SARM products, and lists potential heart attack, stroke, psychosis and infertility.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- FDA states that life-threatening reactions, including liver injuries that required hospitalization, have occurred in people taking products containing SARMs. It lists potential heart attack or stroke, psychosis or hallucinations, sleep disturbance, sexual dysfunction, liver failure, infertility, miscarriage and testicular shrinkage. FDA testing of one product labeled as containing YK-11 found an undeclared anabolic steroid, after an adverse event report of a stroke [10]. Warning letters in 2023 and December 2025 told sellers that SARM products were unapproved new drugs, despite labels saying they were for research only [11][12].
- Population
- US consumers and sellers [10][11][12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Regulator statements of potential harm, without rates.
Prolonged standing at work
Linked to about twice the heart disease of mainly seated jobs in one cohort, and to more hospital treatment for varicose veins in another.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Jobs involving mainly standing were associated with about twice the risk of new heart disease over 12 years compared with jobs involving mainly sitting, after adjusting for many confounders [13]. Jobs requiring standing or walking at least 75% of the time were linked to more hospital treatment for varicose veins (pooled RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.68) compared with all other jobs [14].
- Population
- 7,320 employed adults in Ontario, followed about 12 years [13]. 5,647 Danish workers aged 20 to 59, with 111 hospitalizations over 12 years [14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Observational. Standing jobs differ from desk jobs in pay, shift work and physical strain. These studies are about all-day standing jobs, not trials of standing desks, and neither gives a rate per worker.
Sleep onset time linked to heart disease
One large cohort linked falling asleep before 10 p.m., between 11 and midnight, or after midnight to 12% to 25% more cardiovascular disease than 10 to 11 p.m.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Against sleep onset at 10:00 to 10:59 p.m., hazard ratios for cardiovascular disease were 1.24 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.39) before 10 p.m., 1.12 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.25) at 11:00 to 11:59 p.m. and 1.25 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.52) at midnight or later, after adjusting for sleep duration and irregularity. The link was stronger in women [12].
- Population
- 103,712 UK Biobank participants with 7 days of wrist accelerometry, 3,172 cases over a mean 5.7 years [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort with one week of measurement. In men, only sleep onset before 10 p.m. was significant [12].
Dizziness on standing, fainting and falls
The duloxetine label reports falls, fainting and blood pressure drops on standing, with more falls than placebo across its trials. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that orthostatic hypotension, falls and syncope have been reported at the labeled doses, mostly in the first week or after a dose increase, and that people on duloxetine reported a higher rate of falls than people on placebo in an analysis of all placebo-controlled trials. It states the risk rose with age and that falls with fractures and hospital stays have been reported. It names blood pressure medicines and doses above 60 mg as raising the chance of a pressure drop [18].
- Population
- Adults in placebo-controlled duloxetine trials, as summarized in labeling [18].
- Sources
- [18]
- Caveats
- The label gives no fall rates for either group.
Heart rhythm
The venlafaxine label reports QT prolongation and ventricular arrhythmias in postmarketing use, and a small rise in pulse in trials. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The venlafaxine label lists QT prolongation, ventricular fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia, including torsade de pointes, among reactions reported after approval. In depression studies, mean pulse rose about 2 beats a minute on venlafaxine and 1 on placebo. On desvenlafaxine, mean pulse rose 1.3 beats a minute at 50 mg and 4.1 at 400 mg against a fall of 0.3 on placebo [10][9].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports and premarketing studies summarized in labeling [10][9].
- Sources
- [10], [9]
- Caveats
- Voluntary reports from a population of unknown size.
Overdose
The venlafaxine label reports that overdose may carry a higher risk of death than SSRI overdose and a lower risk than tricyclic overdose.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label cites published retrospective studies in which venlafaxine overdose was associated with more fatal outcomes than SSRI overdose and fewer than tricyclic overdose. It adds that people prescribed venlafaxine had more suicide risk factors than people prescribed SSRIs, so it is unclear how much of the difference comes from the drug [10].
- Population
- Retrospective studies summarized in labeling [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- The label gives no numbers and says the cause of the difference is not clear.
With trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole
Linked to hospital admission for high potassium, about 12 times as likely as after amoxicillin, and to sudden death in older adults on spironolactone.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Among older adults on long-term spironolactone, hospital admission for hyperkalemia within 14 days was far more likely after trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole than after amoxicillin (adjusted OR 12.4, 95% CI 7.1 to 21.6) [20]. Sudden death within 14 days was also more likely (adjusted OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.55 to 3.90) [21].
- Population
- Ontario residents aged 66 or older on spironolactone, with 6,903 hyperkalemia admissions over 18 years [20] and 11,968 sudden deaths [21].
- Sources
- [20], [21]
- Caveats
- Observational, in older adults. The label lists trimethoprim among drugs that can raise potassium [3].
Blunted fitness gains from training
Small trials found mixed results: one found simvastatin blunted fitness gains from aerobic training, and others found similar gains in statin users and non-users.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Results differ by trial. Over 12 weeks of aerobic training, fitness rose 10% with exercise alone and 1.5% with simvastatin, and muscle citrate synthase rose 13% against a 4.5% fall [7]. Over 16 weeks of interval training, VO2 peak rose 12% in statin users and 19% in non-users, while metabolic syndrome scores, fat oxidation and mitochondrial enzymes improved similarly [15]. Over 12 weeks of endurance and resistance training, strength, fatigue resistance and capillarization improved with no differences between statin users and controls; citrate synthase improved less in statin users without symptoms [16].
- Population
- 37 sedentary overweight adults with metabolic syndrome risk factors, randomized [7]; 106 adults with metabolic syndrome, statin users and matched non-users [15]; 32 statin users and 20 controls, mean age 63 to 64 [16].
- Sources
- [7], [15], [16]
- Caveats
- Small trials, and only [7] randomized statin use. No meta-analysis was sourced.
Very high blood pressure during heavy lifts
One small study found blood pressure peaked at a mean 320/250 mmHg during heavy double-leg presses in experienced bodybuilders.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Measured directly in the artery, pressure rose to a group mean of 320/250 mmHg during double-leg presses to failure, above 480/350 mmHg in one lifter, and 255/190 mmHg during single-arm curls. Breath-holding against a closed airway contributed part of the rise [22].
- Population
- 5 experienced bodybuilders lifting at 80% to 100% of their maximum [22].
- Sources
- [22]
- Caveats
- Five people in one 1985 study. Pressures fell quickly after each lift, and the study did not measure any later harm.
Interference with pacemakers and defibrillators
Case reports: TENS interfered with cardiac pacemakers in two patients and caused false defibrillator alarms or shocks in two others.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In two patients with pacemakers, a short ECG during TENS looked normal, while longer Holter monitoring showed interference with pacemaker function, which stopped after the pacemakers were reprogrammed [18]. In two patients with implanted defibrillators using a TENS device for back pain, the device's signal was read as ventricular fibrillation, and one received inappropriate pacing and shocks [19].
- Population
- 2 patients with pacemakers [18]. 2 patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators [19].
- Sources
- [18], [19]
- Caveats
- Case reports give no rate.
Acute kidney injury and pulmonary embolism
One trial found more acute kidney injury and blood clots in the lungs on testosterone in men at high heart risk. Event counts were not given.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- TRAVERSE reported a higher incidence of acute kidney injury and pulmonary embolism in the testosterone group than the placebo group [8].
- Population
- 5,246 men aged 45 to 80 at high cardiovascular risk [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One trial. The abstract reports these as observed differences without event counts.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 5,246 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
With other blood pressure drugs, opioids, sedatives or alcohol
The label warns of an added blood pressure effect with other blood pressure drugs, and of dizziness on standing with alcohol, barbiturates or narcotics.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The hydrochlorothiazide label states that other antihypertensive drugs have an additive effect, and that alcohol, barbiturates or narcotics may worsen low blood pressure on standing [14].
- Population
- People taking hydrochlorothiazide with these drugs, as described in the label [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate.
With corticosteroids or digoxin
The label warns that corticosteroids deepen potassium loss on a thiazide, and that low potassium heightens the heart's sensitivity to digitalis.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The hydrochlorothiazide label states that corticosteroids and ACTH intensify electrolyte depletion, particularly hypokalemia, and that hypokalemia may sensitize or exaggerate the response of the heart to the toxic effects of digitalis [14].
- Population
- People taking hydrochlorothiazide with these drugs, as described in the label [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate.
Use with combined hormonal birth control
The label contraindicates use with combined hormonal contraceptives, citing US postmarketing reports of venous and arterial clots in women taking both. No trial tested the combination.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states the clot risk of combined hormonal contraceptives may increase further with tranexamic acid, and is of particular concern in women who are obese or smoke, especially smokers over 35. Women using combined hormonal contraception were excluded from the clinical trials, and there are no trial data on the combination. The label cites US postmarketing reports of venous and arterial clots in women using both [4].
- Population
- Postmarketing reports summarized in the label [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- Reports without a denominator cannot give a rate. The contraindication names combined (estrogen-containing) methods.
Use with clotting concentrates or oral tretinoin
The label warns factor IX complex concentrates, anti-inhibitor coagulant concentrates and oral tretinoin (all-trans retinoic acid) may raise clot risk with tranexamic acid.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In a study of 28 patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia, all 4 given all-trans retinoic acid with intravenous tranexamic acid died, 3 of them from clots. The label does not recommend tranexamic acid with factor IX complex concentrates or anti-inhibitor coagulant concentrates [4].
- Population
- 28 patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia, and label statements [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- Four patients in one small study. A share counted in so few people is not a rate.
Heart rhythm and QT interval
The label warns trazodone prolongs the QT interval and reports torsade de pointes at doses of 100 mg or less. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that clinical studies indicate trazodone may be arrhythmogenic in people with existing heart disease, with premature ventricular beats, ventricular couplets, tachycardia with fainting and torsade de pointes identified. Postmarketing events including torsade de pointes have been reported at 100 mg a day or less. It names other QT-prolonging drugs as adding to the risk, including some antiarrhythmics, some antipsychotics and the antibiotic gatifloxacin, and drugs that block trazodone's breakdown such as itraconazole, clarithromycin and voriconazole [12].
- Population
- Clinical studies and postmarketing reports summarized in labeling [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- No rate and no placebo comparison are given.
Changed drug levels with other medicines
The label states that strong blockers of one liver enzyme raise trazodone levels, inducers lower them, and trazodone can raise digoxin and phenytoin levels.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that strong CYP3A4 inhibitors raise trazodone exposure, giving itraconazole, ketoconazole, clarithromycin and indinavir as examples, and that this may increase the risk of adverse reactions including cardiac arrhythmias. Strong inducers lower it, with rifampin, carbamazepine, phenytoin and St. John's wort as examples. Trazodone can increase blood levels of digoxin and phenytoin [12].
- Population
- Labeling statements drawn from drug interaction studies [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Changes in drug levels, with no rate of harm.
With MAO inhibitors, ergot drugs and other triptans
The label contraindicates sumatriptan with MAO-A inhibitors, which raise its blood levels 7-fold, and within 24 hours of an ergot drug or another triptan.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that MAO-A inhibitors increase exposure to sumatriptan 7-fold and contraindicates use with one or within 2 weeks of one. It contraindicates use within 24 hours of ergotamine-type drugs or another triptan because their effects on blood vessels may add together [11].
- Population
- People taking these drugs together, as described in the label [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- The label gives no rate.
Stroke
Linked to 20% more strokes in vegetarians than meat eaters in one UK cohort, mostly hemorrhagic. A meta-analysis found no link to stroke death.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In EPIC-Oxford, vegetarians had higher rates of total stroke than meat eaters (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.40), about 3 more per 1,000 people over 10 years, mostly from hemorrhagic stroke [11]. In 7 cohorts, vegetarian diets were not linked to stroke death (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.10) [10].
- Population
- 48,188 UK adults followed 18.1 years [11]; adults in 7 cohorts [10]. Observational.
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. The stroke link did not weaken after adjusting for disease risk factors [11]. The vegetarian group included vegans [11].
Faster kidney decline in diabetic nephropathy
One trial found faster kidney decline and more heart events on high-dose B vitamins in people with diabetic kidney disease. The tablet combined folic acid and B6.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- At 36 months, filtration rate fell 16.5 mL/min/1.73 m² on high-dose B vitamins and 10.7 on placebo, a difference of -5.8 (95% CI -10.6 to -1.1). A composite of heart attack, stroke, revascularization and death occurred more often on B vitamins (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.0 to 4.0). Dialysis did not differ [13].
- Population
- 238 people with type 1 or 2 diabetes and diabetic nephropathy, mean follow-up 31.9 months [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- One trial of a combined tablet with folic acid and B6, so the effect cannot be assigned to B12 alone.
More cardiovascular events with B6, folic acid and B12 after a heart attack
One trial found heart attack, stroke and sudden death trended higher with B6, folic acid and B12 after a heart attack. Another found more unstable angina.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- In the group given 40 mg B6 with folic acid and B12, the primary composite of heart attack, stroke and sudden coronary death trended higher than placebo (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.50, P = 0.05) [10]. In HOPE-2, hospitalization for unstable angina was higher on B6, folic acid and B12 (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.49) [9].
- Population
- 3,749 people after a heart attack in Norway [10]; 5,522 people with vascular disease or diabetes [9].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Across 15 trials, serious adverse events did not significantly differ (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.14) [8].
Heart failure
One trial found more heart failure and heart failure hospitalization on 400 IU a day in people with vascular disease or diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- On 400 IU a day, heart failure (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.26) and hospitalization for heart failure (RR 1.21, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.47) were more common than on placebo [2].
- Population
- 9,541 people aged 55 or older with vascular disease or diabetes, median 7 years [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- Heart failure was a secondary outcome in one trial.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 9,541 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Calciphylaxis and cholesterol microemboli
The label warns of fatal and serious calciphylaxis, and of cholesterol microemboli that can cause purple toes syndrome. It gives no rate.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- The label states that warfarin can cause fatal and serious calciphylaxis in people with and without end-stage kidney disease. It states that anticoagulation may enhance the release of atheromatous plaque emboli, most often to the kidneys, and describes microemboli to the feet as purple toes syndrome, with some cases progressing to necrosis or death [11].
- Population
- Reports summarized in labeling [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- No denominator is given.
Stroke in people with dementia
Linked to ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack at higher Z-drug doses in one cohort of people with dementia, with minimal or inconsistent risk at lower doses.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Among people with dementia, those prescribed higher-dose Z-drugs had more ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack than non-users with sleep disturbance over 2 years (HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.14 to 3.10). Mortality, infection and venous thromboembolism showed minimal or inconsistent excess risk [25].
- Population
- 3,532 people with dementia newly prescribed Z-drugs and 1,833 non-users with sleep disturbance in England, mean age 83 [25].
- Sources
- [25]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort in England, with doses defined in zopiclone equivalents. The abstract gives no absolute rate.
Sodium intake and blood pressure
Shown to lower systolic pressure about 4 mmHg when salt is cut by about 4.4 g a day, in adults with and without hypertension.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 34 trials (3,230 participants) of at least 4 weeks, cutting salt by about 4.4 g a day lowered systolic pressure by 4.18 mmHg (95% CI -5.18 to -3.18) and diastolic by 2.06 mmHg. Each 6 g a day less salt was linked to 5.8 mmHg lower systolic pressure [10].
- Population
- Adults with and without hypertension [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- These trials lowered usual salt intake; they did not test electrolyte mixes or people with high sweat losses.
Ephedra side effects and the 2004 FDA rule
Shown to raise psychiatric, autonomic and gut symptoms and palpitations 2.2 to 3.6 times. FDA declared ephedrine alkaloid supplements adulterated in 2004.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 50 trials, ephedra or ephedrine raised the odds of psychiatric, autonomic or gastrointestinal symptoms and heart palpitations by 2.2 to 3.6 times [2]. FDA declared supplements containing ephedrine alkaloids adulterated because they present an unreasonable risk of illness or injury, citing their pharmacology, the peer-reviewed literature and reported adverse events. The rule took effect April 12, 2004 [3].
- Population
- Controlled trials and case reports [2]; US market [3].
- Sources
- [2], [3]
- Caveats
- Trial data were too sparse to assess events rarer than 1 per 1,000 [2].
Raised blood pressure
Shown to raise systolic blood pressure about 3 to 5 mmHg with glycyrrhizic acid, rising with daily dose. Products based on licorice flavonoids did not.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 18 studies (337 people) of at least 100 mg glycyrrhizic acid a day, systolic pressure rose 5.45 mm Hg (95% CI 3.51 to 7.39) and diastolic 3.19 mm Hg (95% CI 0.10 to 6.29), and the rise tracked the daily dose [5]. In 8 RCTs (541 participants), glycyrrhizic acid products raised systolic pressure 3.48 mm Hg (95% CI 2.74 to 4.21) and diastolic 1.27 mm Hg (95% CI 0.76 to 1.78). Products based on licorice flavonoids did not change blood pressure significantly [7]. In a crossover trial, 100 mg glycyrrhizic acid a day for 2 weeks raised home systolic pressure 3.1 mm Hg (95% CI 0.8 to 5.4), against -0.3 mm Hg on the control product [6].
- Population
- Adults in controlled studies [5][7]. 28 healthy volunteers, median age 24 [6].
- Sources
- [5], [7], [6]
- Caveats
- The crossover trial was not blinded [6]. Deglycyrrhizinated products contain little glycyrrhizin and were not the subject of these analyses.
FDA actions on DMAA and DMHA
FDA states DMAA is not a dietary ingredient and can raise blood pressure and lead to heart problems, including arrhythmias and heart attack.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- FDA states DMAA is not a dietary ingredient and that it can raise blood pressure and lead to cardiovascular problems including arrhythmias and heart attack. FDA has issued warning letters since 2012, detained two DMAA products (OxyElite Pro and Jack3d) and seized products in 2013, which were destroyed in 2020 [13]. On April 10, 2019, FDA issued 9 warning letters to companies selling supplements labeled to contain DMHA, which it considers either a new dietary ingredient for which FDA received no required notification, or a food additive without FDA approval [14].
- Population
- US market [13][14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Regulatory actions, not measured harm rates.
Higher blood pressure during and after immersion
Shown to raise blood pressure slightly after cold exposure in healthy adults. Systolic pressure rose 7% during an hour in 14°C water.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 24 studies in healthy people, mean blood pressure was slightly higher after cold exposure (SMD 0.28, p < 0.001) [13]. During 1-hour immersion at 14°C, heart rate rose by 5%, systolic pressure by 7% and diastolic pressure by 8% [16].
- Population
- Healthy participants in 24 studies of cold water immersion and cryostimulation [13]. Young men [16].
- Sources
- [13], [16]
- Caveats
- All participants were healthy. No study here measured the response in people with high blood pressure or heart disease.
Heart rate and blood pressure
Shown to raise heart rate over placebo in 16 of 28 lab studies of smokeless nicotine, with several finding higher blood pressure.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 16 of 28 studies, smokeless nicotine raised heart rate over placebo or control, and several studies reported higher blood pressure and blood flow [2]. In 37 daily snus or pouch users who quit for 12 weeks, home systolic pressure rose 3.7 mmHg (95% CI 1.5 to 5.9), weight rose 1.8 kg and HbA1c rose 0.7 mmol/mol [9].
- Population
- Nicotine-naive adults in lab studies [2]; Swedish adults quitting snus [9].
- Sources
- [2], [9]
- Caveats
- The quitting study had no control group, and its direction differs from the acute rise seen with use [9].
Poisoning from eating plant arnica
Case reports: eating arnica plant products has caused severe gastroenteritis, rapid heart rate, muscle weakness and death. This concerns swallowed herbal arnica, not homeopathic dilutions.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- An expert panel safety report states that eating products containing Arnica montana has caused severe gastroenteritis, nervousness, rapid heart rate, muscle weakness and death [13]. Among 86 calls to a poison center about herbal teas taken to induce abortion, multiple organ failure occurred in people who had taken rue, Carachipita, arnica or burdock [14].
- Population
- Published reports reviewed by the panel [13]. Callers to the Montevideo Poison Centre from 1986 to 1999 [14].
- Sources
- [13], [14]
- Caveats
- This concerns herbal arnica swallowed as the plant or extract, not homeopathic dilutions. Neither source gives a rate, and the poison center cases often involved several plants [14].
Delirium and slow heart rate
Case reports: a woman stopping a high-dose cat's claw supplement developed delirium and a very slow heart rate, and received a pacemaker.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A 53-year-old woman who tried to stop a high-dose over-the-counter cat's claw supplement developed severe insomnia, anxiety and stomach upset, then delirium needing intensive care. Her heart rate stayed at 29 to 40 beats a minute with first-degree heart block, and she received a permanent pacemaker for suspected sick sinus syndrome [6].
- Population
- One case report [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- A single case. Testing pointed to an underlying heart rhythm disorder [6].
Cold shock and irregular heartbeats
One small study recorded ectopic heartbeats in 11 of 12 healthy volunteers during breath-hold submersion in water at 5°C to 10°C.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 12 volunteers submerged in water at 5°C and 10°C while holding their breath, ectopic arrhythmias occurred in 11 subjects and 29 of 36 submersions, mostly in the 10 seconds after breath holding ended. They included supraventricular tachycardia and premature ventricular beats [28]. A review proposes that simultaneous cold shock and diving responses, which it calls autonomic conflict, may account for these arrhythmias and for some deaths ascribed to drowning or hypothermia [29]. An earlier review concluded the cold shock response can incapacitate or kill long before hypothermia develops [30]. A meta-analysis found the response habituates with repeated immersions, with heart rate 14 beats a minute lower and minute ventilation 21.3 L a minute lower [31].
- Population
- 12 volunteers wearing wet or dry suits [28]. Up to 145 participants in 17 groups in habituation studies [31].
- Sources
- [28], [29], [30], [31]
- Caveats
- The arrhythmia study involved face-under submersion with breath holding, not a head-out plunge. The link from these arrhythmias to deaths is a hypothesis in the review, not a measured rate [29].
Fluid in the lungs during cold water swimming
Case series: 292 published cases of immersion pulmonary edema in swimmers and divers. Of 58 triathlon deaths reviewed, 42 happened during the swim.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A case series of 36 people who had immersion pulmonary edema found 72.2% had a medical condition such as hypertension, heart rhythm or structural problems, asthma or diabetes. Its literature review counted 292 cases, 24.0% with identifiable cardiopulmonary risk factors [35]. Of 58 deaths in triathlon training or events in the US and Canada from 2008 to 2015, 42 (72.4%) occurred during the swim. Heart mass exceeded the 95th percentile in 9 of 20 autopsies reporting it, a marker the authors tie to susceptibility [36].
- Population
- 36 swimmers and divers, mean age 50 [35]. 58 deaths, 23 with postmortem reports [36].
- Sources
- [35], [36]
- Caveats
- Case series give no rate per swimmer. These cases involve exertion while swimming or diving, not sitting in a tub. The triathlon paper proposes pulmonary edema as a possible cause of death and does not prove it [36].
Yohimbine poisonings and mislabeling
Case reports: poison control yohimbine cases rose from 2000 to 2006, with gut distress, fast heart rate and anxiety. Most labeled amounts were inaccurate.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- California Poison Control logged 238 symptomatic adult yohimbine cases from 2000 to 2006, rising from 1.8 to 8.0 per 10,000 adult exposures. Common effects were gastrointestinal distress (46%), tachycardia (43%), anxiety or agitation (33%) and hypertension (25%). Yohimbine exposures had higher odds of a severe outcome than the average exposure (OR 5.81, 95% CI 4.43 to 7.64) [9]. Of 49 US yohimbe supplements, 11 listed a yohimbine quantity, and most of those were inaccurate (23% to 147% of label) [8].
- Population
- Poison control cases [9]; products from seven major US retailers [8].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- Poison center data capture only reported cases. 9.2% of cases involved weight loss use [9].
Synephrine: trials and case reports disagree
Small trials found no heart rate or blood pressure rise with bitter orange alone. Case reports describe chest pain, arrhythmias and stroke after multi-ingredient products.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 18 healthy adults, a single 49 mg dose did not change heart rate, systolic pressure or ECG, and diastolic pressure fell 4.5 mmHg at 60 minutes [6]. In 25 per group over 60 days at about 49 mg twice a day, blood pressure and blood tests did not change [7]. Case reports describe 35 patients with chest pain, palpitations, syncope, ischemic heart disease, arrhythmias or stroke after synephrine-containing products, 5 left disabled or on medication [10].
- Population
- Healthy adults [6][7]; case reports [10].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [10]
- Caveats
- The trials tested bitter orange alone, while case reports usually involved multi-ingredient products with caffeine [10]. Authors of both trials also authored the Nutratech-linked review [4][6][7].
Heat strain at higher temperatures
One small study found 45 minutes in a 65°C far-infrared sauna raised core temperature 1.4°C, doubled heart rate and shrank plasma volume 11.6% in healthy adults.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Rectal temperature rose 1.4°C (95% CI 0.9 to 1.8). Heart rate rose from 74 to 153 beats a minute. Plasma volume fell 11.6% (95% CI -15.9 to -7.2), with sweat losses of 1.4 L an hour. Mean arterial pressure was 9 mmHg lower immediately afterward. Participants rated the heat as extremely hot and extremely uncomfortable [13].
- Population
- 12 healthy adults, 6 of them women, in a single 45-minute exposure [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Healthy volunteers, one session. The exposure was three times as long as a Waon session and hotter than the sports protocols.
Poison center exposures
Case reports: US poison centers logged 1,807 kratom exposures from 2011 to 2017, with 11 deaths. Agitation and fast heart rate were most common.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- From 2011 to 2017, US poison centers recorded 1,807 kratom exposures, 65% of them in 2016 and 2017. Of exposures with kratom listed first, 31.8% led to admission to a health care facility and 51.9% to a serious medical outcome. There were 11 deaths, 2 after kratom alone. Agitation (22.9%) and fast heart rate (21.4%) were the most common effects of kratom alone. Using other substances raised the odds of admission (OR 2.80) [11].
- Population
- Exposures reported to US poison centers [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Poison center reports are voluntary and cannot give a rate of harm among all users.
Symptoms during infusion
Limited evidence: all 6 clinic clients given 500 mg IV NAD had cramping, nausea or chest pressure during infusion, while a slower research infusion had none.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- All 6 clients given 500 mg IV NAD on 4 consecutive days reported moderate to severe abdominal cramping, diarrhea, nausea, vomiting, raised heart rate, throat pain, congestion and chest pressure during infusion. Symptoms stopped when the infusion ended. Infusions averaged 97 minutes for NAD and 37 minutes for IV NR. Five of 8 clients given IV NR reported minor tingling and cramping [4]. In the 6-hour research infusion of 750 mg, no adverse events were observed [5].
- Population
- 14 clients of a commercial clinic, records reviewed retrospectively [4]; 11 healthy men [5].
- Sources
- [4], [5]
- Caveats
- The two studies disagree. They differ in infusion length, and both are very small. Study [4] was funded by the clinic chain that gave the infusions, all its authors were employed there, and the NR maker donated the NR.
Cardiovascular events and mortality
Limited evidence: snus, which contains tobacco, was linked to higher death from any cause and cardiovascular death in Swedish men. No long-term pouch data were located.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 130,361 never-smoking Swedish men, snus use was not associated with first heart attack (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.17), but 28-day case fatality after a heart attack trended higher (OR 1.28, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.68) [10]. In 169,103 never-smoking men, exclusive snus users had higher all-cause mortality (aHR 1.28, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.35) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.27, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.41), rising with years of use [11].
- Population
- Swedish male snus users in 8 pooled cohorts [10][11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Snus contains tobacco; tobacco-free pouches lack many tobacco constituents [5][12]. No long-term outcome data on pouches were located. Observational data cannot exclude lifestyle confounding [10].
Blood pressure and side effects at higher theacrine doses
Small trials found higher blood pressure at 6 mg/kg of theacrine, with reports of gut discomfort, a felt fast heartbeat, dizziness and headache.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 6 mg/kg, theacrine raised resting systolic and diastolic blood pressure against placebo. After 3 or 6 mg/kg, participants reported gastrointestinal discomfort, a feeling of fast heartbeat, dizziness, headache, head pressure and hand tremor [9]. At 3 to 9 mg/kg, salivary cortisol was higher than on placebo at 120 and 180 minutes, with no change in heart rate or blood pressure [6].
- Population
- 19 cyclists [9]; 19 healthy adults [6].
- Sources
- [9], [6]
- Caveats
- Single doses in small crossover trials. The abstract of [9] does not give side effect rates.
Poison center reports
Limited evidence: of 1,320 US poison center phenibut exposures, 12.6% had major, life-threatening effects and three people died.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- From 2009 to 2019, US poison centers recorded 1,320 phenibut exposures, rising sharply after 2015. The most common effects were agitation (30.4%), drowsiness (29.0%), fast heart rate (21.9%) and confusion (21.3%). Coma occurred in 6.2%. Major, life-threatening effects occurred in 12.6%, and three deaths were reported. Among phenibut-only exposures, 10.2% had major effects [12]. A Minnesota poison center recorded 56 calls from 2000 to 2018, 86% in the last five years. 19.6% of patients were intubated, and 10.7% had withdrawal concerns [13]. A poison center in northern Germany received 17 inquiries about phenibut from 2008 to 2022. Overdoses were reported in 15, and 8 of those people were somnolent. No respiratory depression or coma was recorded [14].
- Population
- Exposures reported to US poison centers [12][13] and to a German poison center [14].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Other substances were involved in 40.2% of adult US cases [12]. Reports are voluntary and cannot give a rate among all users.
Deaths and cardiovascular events
Case reports: two soldiers on DMAA supplements died of cardiac arrest during exertion, and synephrine products were tied to chest pain and arrhythmias.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Two soldiers taking multi-ingredient supplements containing DMAA collapsed from cardiac arrest during physical exertion and died [10]. A review of 30 case reports described 35 patients with adverse events after synephrine-containing supplements, most often chest pain, palpitations, syncope and dizziness, with ischemic heart disease, arrhythmias and cerebrovascular disease among the diagnoses. Five were left disabled or on medication [11]. In US emergency departments, weight loss or energy products were implicated in 71.8% of supplement-related visits for palpitations, chest pain or tachycardia [12].
- Population
- Case reports [10][11]; national surveillance from 63 emergency departments, 2004 to 2013 [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Case reports cannot show causation. Caffeine and other ingredients may have contributed [11].
Heart rhythm and coronary vasospasm case reports
Case reports: two women had a cardiac arrest with dangerous heart rhythms, or chest pain with suspected coronary spasm, after raspberry ketone products.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A 32-year-old woman with no cardiac risk factors had a pulseless electrical activity arrest and then polymorphic ventricular tachycardia that needed 33 shocks and temporary overdrive pacing. No clear cause was found, and she had recently started an over-the-counter weight loss product containing raspberry ketones [3]. A 47-year-old woman developed sweating, a heart rate of 137 and blood pressure of 197/130 about two hours after a first dose of two raspberry ketone tablets. On the following days she had six episodes of chest pain with transient ST elevation, and CT showed unobstructed coronary arteries. The report raises coronary vasospasm linked to raspberry ketones as a question [4].
- Population
- Two case reports [3][4].
- Sources
- [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Single cases cannot establish cause. The first patient was in hospital for a perianal abscess [3]. The second had anemia, a duodenal ulcer and pulmonary emboli during the same admission [4].
Deaths in the sauna
Case series: sauna deaths in Finland ran below 2 per 100,000 people a year, and half or more of those who died had been drinking alcohol.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In Finland from 1990 to 2002, deaths occurring in a sauna numbered fewer than 2 per 100,000 inhabitants a year. About half (51%) were natural deaths, heat exposure was the cause in 25%, and 50% of all cases were under the influence of alcohol [36]. In Sweden from 1992 to 2003, 77 sauna deaths were identified, 82% of them men. Of 69 with blood alcohol measured, 49 (71%) tested positive. Of those found dead in a sauna, all but 2 were alone [37].
- Population
- Forensic autopsy records for Finland, 1990 to 2002 [36], and Sweden, 1992 to 2003 [37].
- Sources
- [36], [37]
- Caveats
- Autopsy series count deaths that happened in a sauna. They cannot show how many would have happened elsewhere, and they give no rate per session.
Low blood pressure with alcohol
One small study found systolic blood pressure fell from 136 to 113 mmHg when 10 men combined heavy drinking with a sauna, and not with sauna alone.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 10 healthy men, systolic pressure stayed at baseline during a sauna without alcohol and fell from 136 to 113 mmHg with sauna after heavy drinking (P < 0.01). Heart rate rose equally in both conditions. Neither condition increased premature ventricular beats [38].
- Population
- 10 healthy male volunteers [38].
- Sources
- [38]
- Caveats
- One small study in healthy young men, so it says nothing about people with heart disease.
Reduced blood flow to the heart in coronary artery disease
One small study found heart muscle perfusion scans were worse during a sauna than at rest in 14 of 15 people with coronary artery disease, without symptoms.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with proven coronary artery disease, perfusion defect scores averaged -0.93 in the sauna against -0.44 at rest (P < 0.001), and were worse than rest in 14 of 15. Heart rate rose 32% and systolic pressure fell 13%. There were no arrhythmias or ECG changes, and the session was clinically tolerated [41].
- Population
- 16 patients with coronary artery disease, 15 with perfusion scores [41].
- Sources
- [41], [4]
- Caveats
- One small imaging study from 1999. A later trial gave 21 adults with stable coronary artery disease 4 sauna sessions a week for 8 weeks, and its abstract does not report on cardiac events either way [4].
Thyroid overactivity in Graves' disease
Case reports: a woman with untreated Graves' disease had thyroid overactivity attributed to iodine from a sea moss and bladderwrack supplement, easing after she stopped.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A 28-year-old woman with fatigue, palpitations and weight loss had TSH below 0.01 mIU/L and raised free T4 (2.46 ng/dL). She had used a store-bought Irish sea moss and bladderwrack supplement on and off for 2 years and was diagnosed with Graves' disease. The authors attributed her thyrotoxicosis to excess iodine (the Jod-Basedow phenomenon). One week after stopping sea moss, free T4 was 1.4 ng/dL [3].
- Population
- One case report [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- A conference abstract. The product also contained bladderwrack, a brown seaweed, and the patient had untreated thyroid disease [3].
Blood pressure, heart rate and sodium load
One small trial found 0.3 g per kg raised diastolic pressure about 3 mmHg and heart rate about 10 beats per minute. This dose exceeds the sodium upper limit.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a double-blind crossover trial, 0.3 g per kg raised diastolic pressure by 3.3 mmHg and heart rate by 10.1 beats per minute, with no change in systolic pressure. The authors note bicarbonate is 27% sodium, so this dose exceeds the 2,300 mg daily sodium upper limit [9].
- Population
- 11 endurance-trained adults [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One acute trial in athletes. People with high blood pressure were not studied. In chronic kidney disease, where bicarbonate is used to treat acidosis, 20 RCTs and 2 non-randomized trials (2,932 patients) found no significant difference from control in worsening edema (RR 1.26, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.68) or death or prolonged hospitalization (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.32) [11].
Adverse events in published reports
A scoping review found 16 documented adverse events after whole-body cryotherapy in 5 case reports and 2 trials, 4 of them graded serious.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The 16 events were cold panniculitis, transient global amnesia, cerebral bleeding, moyamoya syndrome and aortic dissection from case reports, and 11 minor events in trials: headache, discomfort or dizziness, lasting shivering, raised blood pressure and hives. The reviewers rated causality possible or probable for the case reports and concluded the risks were within acceptable limits when contraindications are followed [25].
- Population
- Five case reports and two randomized trials [25].
- Sources
- [25], [2]
- Caveats
- The review's authors are a consortium of cryotherapy researchers. Events were counted only if published, and a Cochrane review found that none of its trials actively monitored adverse events [2].
Higher blood pressure after a session
One study found systolic blood pressure rose by an average of 19 mmHg after each 3-minute session at -130°C in 25 healthy young men.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Systolic pressure rose by an average of 19 mmHg after each of 15 daily sessions, and diastolic pressure rose 6 mmHg after the first. Heart rate fell by about 7 beats a minute. The response did not adapt over 15 sessions [26]. A case report describes abdominal aortic dissection in a 56-year-old after 15 sessions, which its authors suggest could be triggered by such blood pressure changes [27].
- Population
- 25 men aged 21 with normal blood pressure [26]. One patient [27].
- Sources
- [26], [27]
- Caveats
- Young healthy men only. The authors state the rise makes the treatment unsuitable for advanced or uncontrolled hypertension [26]. A single case cannot establish cause.
Brain and blood vessel events
Case reports: transient global amnesia in a 63-year-old man and reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome in a teenager, each following a session.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A 63-year-old man had transient global amnesia after a session and recovered completely within 24 hours [30]. An adolescent developed reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome after a session, a condition that carries a risk of bleeding in the brain and stroke [31]. A scoping review lists further single cases of cerebral bleeding and moyamoya syndrome [25].
- Population
- Single case reports [30][31].
- Sources
- [30], [31], [25]
- Caveats
- Case reports cannot give a rate or prove cause. The amnesia patient also reported heavy work stress, another known trigger [25].
Medical testing after abnormal pulse alerts
Linked to follow-up testing: in one review of 264 patients seen after an Apple Watch abnormal pulse reading, 11.4% received a clinically actionable heart diagnosis.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Among 264 patients evaluated over 4 months for an abnormal pulse detected with an Apple Watch, 41 (15.5%) had an explicit alert documented and 58 (22.0%) already had atrial fibrillation. Testing included a 12-lead recording in 59.8%, a Holter monitor in 29.2% and a chest x-ray in 24.2%. A clinically actionable cardiovascular diagnosis was made in 30 patients (11.4%) [19].
- Population
- 264 patients evaluated over a 4 month period, reviewed retrospectively [19].
- Sources
- [19]
- Caveats
- A retrospective chart review with no comparison group, so it cannot show how many tests would have happened without the watch. Published in 2020 [19].
Symptom preoccupation and health care use in people with atrial fibrillation
Linked to more symptom monitoring, treatment concern and health care use in one study of 172 patients with atrial fibrillation who did or did not use a wearable.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Compared with non-users, wearable users reported higher rates of symptom monitoring and preoccupation (P = 0.03) and more concerns about treatment (P = 0.02). Of wearable users, 20% reported anxiety and always contacting their doctor in response to irregular rhythm notifications. After matching, users had more atrial fibrillation care over 9 months (P = 0.04), including more ECGs, echocardiograms and ablation procedures [20].
- Population
- 172 patients with atrial fibrillation, mean age 72.6, 42% women, of whom 83 used a wearable [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- Observational and retrospective, in older patients with a diagnosed heart rhythm condition. It cannot show the wearable caused the difference, and the authors call for randomized studies [20].
Heart events and blood clotting
Linked to more heart events in people with the highest blood xylitol levels. Lab studies found xylitol raised clotting. A 5-week trial found no arterial change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 2,149 people having elective heart evaluations, those in the top third of fasting plasma xylitol had more major cardiovascular events over 3 years than those in the bottom third (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.12 to 2.21). In isolated human platelets and in animals, xylitol raised platelet reactivity and clot formation. In 10 healthy volunteers, a xylitol-sweetened drink raised plasma xylitol and platelet responsiveness in every subject [12]. In 42 adults with obesity, 24 g a day for 5 weeks did not change arterial stiffness against no substance [11].
- Population
- A discovery cohort of 1,157 and a validation cohort of 2,149, plus 10 volunteers [12]. 42 adults with obesity [11].
- Sources
- [12], [11]
- Caveats
- The cohort finding is an association with blood levels, which also reflect xylitol the body makes, and does not show xylitol caused the events. The volunteer study measured platelet function, not clinical events, and the abstract describes no control group [12]. The 5-week trial was a small pilot [11].
Mixed results89
Aspirin for people without cardiovascular disease
Mixed results: aspirin cut first cardiovascular events by about 11%, 1 in 265 people, while raising major bleeding by 1 in 210.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Uncommon: between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 100 people.
- Effect
- Across 13 trials, aspirin lowered the composite cardiovascular outcome (HR 0.89, 95% credible interval 0.84 to 0.95, absolute reduction 0.38%, number needed to treat 265) and raised major bleeding (HR 1.43, 95% credible interval 1.30 to 1.56, absolute increase 0.47%, number needed to harm 210) [11]. An earlier individual-data analysis found serious vascular events at 0.51% a year on aspirin against 0.57% on control, with no difference in vascular death (0.19% against 0.19%) [2]. Of the three 2018 trials, one in adults aged 70 or over found no significant drop in cardiovascular disease (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.08) [12], one in moderate-risk adults found events in 4.29% against 4.48% (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.13) [13], and one in diabetes found serious vascular events in 8.5% against 9.6% (rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.97) with major bleeding in 4.1% against 3.2% [14]. In 2022 the US Preventive Services Task Force concluded that the net benefit in adults aged 40 to 59 with a 10-year cardiovascular risk of 10% or more is small, and advised against starting low-dose aspirin for primary prevention at age 60 or older [15].
- Population
- 164,225 participants in 13 trials, median age 62 [11]; primary prevention trials with individual participant data [2]; 19,114 adults aged 70 or over [12]; 12,546 moderate-risk adults [13]; 15,480 adults with diabetes [14].
- Sources
- [11], [2], [12], [13], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- The band above is the number needed to treat of 265. The trial in diabetes concluded that the absolute benefits were largely counterbalanced by bleeding [14]. Only one guideline body's statement was read for this page.
Heart disease and stroke
Mixed results: most pooled cohorts linked up to one egg a day to no change in heart disease or stroke, while a 2022 analysis found 4% higher risk.
Compared with one fewer egg a day [5][6]; under one egg a week or never [7]; half an egg a day less [8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 33 risk estimates, one more egg a day was not linked to cardiovascular disease (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.03), coronary heart disease (0.96) or stroke (0.99). It was linked to lower risk in Asian cohorts (0.92, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.99) and not in US or European ones [5]. At 1 or more eggs a day against fewer than 1 a week, cardiovascular disease was not raised (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.05) [7]. A 2022 update of 49 estimates linked each extra 50 g egg a day to higher risk (RR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.08), 1.08 in US cohorts and no link in Asian ones [6]. In 6 pooled US cohorts, each extra half egg a day was linked to higher risk (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.10), a link that disappeared after adjusting for dietary cholesterol [8].
- Population
- 1,720,108 participants and 139,195 events [5]. 22 cohorts [7]. 3,601,401 participants and 255,479 events [6]. 29,615 US adults followed a median 17.5 years [8].
- Sources
- [5], [7], [6], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational. People eating more eggs in US cohorts had higher BMI, ate more red meat and were less often on statins [5]. Heterogeneity was high in the 2022 update (I² 80.1%) [6]. Results differ by region, which may reflect what eggs are eaten with.
Diabetes and heart disease in trials that treated raised glucose before diabetes
Mixed results: in trials of people with raised glucose, lifestyle change cut new diabetes 58%, while neither it nor insulin aimed at normal fasting glucose cut cardiovascular events.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with elevated fasting and post-load glucose, a lifestyle program reduced the incidence of diabetes by 58% (95% CI 48 to 66) and metformin by 31% (95% CI 17 to 43) against placebo over 2.8 years [12]. Over a median 21 years of follow-up of the same participants, neither metformin (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.37) nor the lifestyle program (HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.50) reduced major cardiovascular events [13]. In a trial that gave insulin glargine to reach a fasting glucose of 95 mg/dL or below, cardiovascular outcomes did not differ from standard care over 6.2 years (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.11). New diabetes was less frequent (30% against 35%), severe hypoglycemia was more frequent (1.00 against 0.31 per 100 person-years) and weight rose [14].
- Population
- 3,234 people without diabetes, mean age 51, mean body mass index 34.0 [12][13]. 12,537 people, mean age 63.5, with cardiovascular risk factors plus impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes [14].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose lowering changes it. In the long follow-up, all groups were offered a lifestyle program and many used statins and blood pressure drugs, which the authors say may have diluted any effect [13]. The insulin trial included people who already had type 2 diabetes [14].
Coronary heart disease
Mixed results: two meta-analyses found no clear link between fasting insulin and coronary heart disease and one found 50% more, while HOMA-IR was linked in the one that pooled it.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 14 Western prospective studies, the odds ratio for coronary heart disease in the top against the bottom third of fasting insulin was 1.12 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.28), and the authors concluded the association is likely to be more modest than previously suspected [9]. In a meta-analysis of adults without diabetes, the relative risk of coronary heart disease for high against low values was 1.12 (95% CI 0.92 to 1.37) for fasting insulin, 1.52 (1.31 to 1.76) for fasting glucose and 1.64 (1.35 to 2.00) for HOMA-IR. Per standard deviation it was 1.04 (0.96 to 1.12) for insulin and 1.46 (1.26 to 1.69) for HOMA-IR [10]. A third meta-analysis found a relative risk of 1.50 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.77) for the highest against the lowest fasting insulin group, and 1.16 (1.10 to 1.22) per 50 pmol/L [11].
- Population
- 2,649 coronary heart disease cases in 14 studies of fasting insulin [9]. 516,325 participants in 65 studies of glucose, insulin or HOMA-IR [10]. 22,379 people and 1,986 cases in 9 studies [11].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. Each study compared its own high and low groups, measured with its own insulin assay, so the pooled groups share no common cut point.
Heart rate variability at rest, portable and optical devices pooled
Mixed results: two meta-analyses found a small standardized error against ECG at rest, and their authors differed on whether that supports treating the readings as interchangeable.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Portable heart rate variability devices pooled across 23 studies [11]. Optical pulse sensors, wearable and camera-based, pooled across 10 studies [12]. Wearable devices in 18 studies, 16 of them ECG-based straps [13].
- Compared with
- ECG
- Effect
- Across 23 studies and 301 effects, portable devices differed from ECG by an absolute standardized difference of 0.23 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.42, I² 78.6%). Error was larger for SDNN (0.44) and in tilt or recovery positions, and did not vary by device. The authors called the error small and acceptable [11]. For optical pulse sensors in healthy people, pooled absolute standardized error was 0.188 for RMSSD (95% CI 0.066 to 0.309) and 0.134 for SDNN (95% CI 0.014 to 0.255). The authors wrote that the estimates do not show interchangeability and do not extend to sleep, exercise, stress or free-living use [12]. A systematic review found correlation with ECG ranged from "very good to excellent" at rest and declined progressively as exercise intensity rose [13].
- Population
- 23 studies published before July 2017 [11]. 43 studies of healthy or apparently healthy people, 10 with data for pooling [12]. 18 studies [13].
- Sources
- [11], [12], [13]
- Caveats
- Pooled studies were mostly at rest or under controlled conditions. Heterogeneity was high in one analysis [11]. The reviews pool device types and generations.
Heart attack and death in trials that lowered HbA1c in type 2 diabetes
Mixed results: pooled trials of intensive glucose lowering found 9% fewer major cardiovascular events and no fewer deaths, and one trial aiming below 6.0% found more deaths.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A prospectively planned meta-analysis found that more intensive glucose control reduced major cardiovascular events by 9% (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.99) and heart attack by 15% (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.94). Death from any cause (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.20) and cardiovascular death (HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.42) were not reduced, and major hypoglycemia rose (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.91 to 3.21) [15]. In one of the pooled trials, a strategy targeting HbA1c below 6.0% reached a median of 6.4% against 7.5% with standard therapy. Deaths were higher in the intensive group (257 against 203, HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.46), and the intensive strategy was stopped after a mean 3.5 years [16].
- Population
- 27,049 participants with type 2 diabetes and 2,370 major vascular events over 4.4 years [15]. 10,251 patients, mean age 62, with cardiovascular disease or risk factors and a median HbA1c of 8.1% [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose lowering reduces it. These trials used the drugs and insulin regimens of their time in older, high-risk people with long-standing diabetes, and do not describe people without diabetes.
Risk prediction beyond standard risk factors
Mixed results: adding CRP to standard risk factors improved prediction slightly in 52 pooled cohorts, and the US Preventive Services Task Force judged the evidence insufficient.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 52 prospective studies, adding CRP to a model of conventional risk factors raised the C-index by 0.0039 and gave a net reclassification improvement of 1.52%. The authors estimated that measuring CRP in people at intermediate risk could prevent one additional cardiovascular event over 10 years for every 400 to 500 people screened [15]. The US Preventive Services Task Force found that adding hs-CRP to existing risk models gives small improvements in discrimination and reclassification whose clinical meaning is largely unknown, and concluded the evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms [16].
- Population
- 246,669 participants without cardiovascular disease in 52 studies [15]. Asymptomatic adults [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16]
- Caveats
- The estimate of events prevented assumes statin treatment decisions under older US guidelines [15].
Heart attack and coronary death in trials of omega-3 supplements
Mixed results: a pooled analysis of 10 supplement trials found no significant reduction in coronary events, while a later one of 13 trials found reductions of 5% to 8%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 10 trials, allocation to omega-3 supplements had no significant association with coronary heart disease death (RR 0.93, 99% CI 0.83 to 1.03), nonfatal heart attack (RR 0.97, 99% CI 0.87 to 1.08), any coronary heart disease event (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.01) or major vascular events (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.01) [8]. A later meta-analysis of 13 trials found, in its analysis that left out the REDUCE-IT trial of icosapent ethyl, lower risks of heart attack (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.99), coronary heart disease death (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.98) and total coronary heart disease (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.99) [9].
- Population
- 77,917 people at high cardiovascular risk in 10 trials lasting a mean 4.4 years, EPA doses of 226 to 1,800 mg a day [8]. 127,477 participants in 13 trials, mean treatment 5.0 years [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- These analyses compared people by the dose they were assigned, not by the omega-3 index they reached. One developer of the index argues that events track blood levels more than dose and that uptake varies from person to person, which he says makes the effects hard to show in trials of this design [1]. No trial reported here treated people to an index target.
Stroke
Mixed results: higher total cholesterol went with fewer bleeding strokes in pooled cohorts, and higher non-HDL cholesterol with slightly more ischemic strokes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 23 prospective studies, the relative risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 0.69 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.81) for high against low total cholesterol and 0.85 (0.80 to 0.91) per 1 mmol/L higher [11]. In 61 prospective studies, total cholesterol showed no independent positive association with death from stroke, and at ages 70 to 89 and at systolic blood pressure above about 145 mm Hg it was negatively related to death from hemorrhagic and total stroke [5]. In 68 pooled cohorts, the hazard ratio for ischemic stroke was 1.12 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.20) per 43 mg/dL higher non-HDL cholesterol [6].
- Population
- 1,430,141 participants with 7,960 hemorrhagic strokes [11]. Almost 900,000 adults with about 12,000 stroke deaths [5]. 302,430 people with 2,534 ischemic strokes [6].
- Sources
- [11], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors of the largest analysis call the absence of a positive link with stroke death unexplained, and note that statin trials reduce total stroke rates [5].
Coronary heart disease in cohort studies
Mixed results: pooled cohorts linked higher triglycerides to more coronary heart disease, but in the largest analysis the link disappeared after adjustment for other risk factors.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 29 Western prospective studies, people in the top third of usual triglyceride values had an adjusted odds ratio for coronary heart disease of 1.72 (95% CI 1.56 to 1.90) against the bottom third. The authors noted that adjustment for established risk factors substantially weakened the association [10]. In 68 prospective studies, coronary heart disease rates per 1,000 person-years were 2.6 in the bottom third and 6.2 in the top third of triglycerides. After adjustment for several conventional factors, the hazard ratio per standard deviation higher triglycerides was 0.99 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.05), and the authors concluded that vascular risk can be assessed without regard to triglyceride [11]. In a Danish cohort followed for a mean 26 years, multifactorially adjusted hazard ratios for heart attack at non-fasting triglycerides of 5 mmol/L (442.5 mg/dL) or more, against below 1 mmol/L, were 5.4 in women and 2.4 in men [12].
- Population
- 262,525 participants with 10,158 coronary heart disease cases in 29 studies [10]. 302,430 people without vascular disease in 68 prospective studies [11]. 7,587 women and 6,394 men aged 20 to 93 in Copenhagen [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Observational. Triglycerides travel with low HDL cholesterol, obesity and diabetes, so how much of the link belongs to triglycerides themselves depends on what an analysis adjusts for [10][11].
Cardiovascular events in trials that lowered triglycerides
Mixed results: fibrates cut cardiovascular events 10% in pooled trials and icosapent ethyl 25% in one, while pemafibrate lowered triglycerides 26% without fewer events.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 18 trials, fibrates reduced major cardiovascular events by 10% (95% CI 0 to 18) and coronary events by 13% (95% CI 7 to 19), with no effect on death from any cause [16]. Icosapent ethyl, 4 g a day, reduced a composite of cardiovascular events against placebo (17.2% against 22.0%, HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.83) in statin-treated patients with triglycerides of 135 to 499 mg/dL [17]. A different omega-3 formulation, 4 g a day against corn oil, made no difference (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.09) and the trial was stopped early [18]. Pemafibrate lowered triglycerides by 26.2% against placebo and did not reduce cardiovascular events (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.15), while ApoB rose 4.8% [19]. In a meta-regression of 49 trials, each 1 mmol/L reduction in triglycerides went with a risk ratio of 0.84 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.94) for major vascular events after accounting for LDL cholesterol. With the icosapent ethyl trial removed, the risk ratio was 0.91 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.006) [20].
- Population
- 45,058 participants in 18 fibrate trials [16]. 8,179 patients followed a median 4.9 years [17]. 13,078 statin-treated patients at high cardiovascular risk [18]. 10,497 patients with type 2 diabetes, triglycerides of 200 to 499 mg/dL and low HDL cholesterol, followed a median 3.4 years [19]. 374,358 patients in 49 trials [20].
- Sources
- [16], [17], [18], [19], [20]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose lowering changes it. The meta-regression's authors concluded that the benefit of high-dose eicosapentaenoic acid appeared to exceed its lipid-lowering effect [20]. The icosapent ethyl and pemafibrate trials were funded by the drugs' makers [17][19].
Blood pressure, cholesterol and blood sugar
Mixed results: effects of activity trackers on blood pressure, cholesterol and HbA1c across systematic reviews were typically small and often not statistically significant.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Effects of activity trackers on blood pressure, cholesterol and glycosylated hemoglobin were typically small and often non-significant, as were effects on quality of life and pain [18].
- Population
- Participants in 39 systematic reviews and meta-analyses [18].
- Sources
- [18]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives no pooled figures for these outcomes [18].
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Heart attack and coronary heart disease
Mixed results: cohorts linked drinking to about 29% less coronary heart disease than non-drinking, but genetic studies found no protection and some found higher risk.
Compared with non-drinkers [2]; each 100 g a week less, among current drinkers [4]; genetically predicted lower intake [7][8][6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Drinkers had less incident coronary heart disease (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.77) and less coronary death (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.81) than non-drinkers, lowest at 1 to 2 drinks a day [2]. Among current drinkers, each 100 g a week was linked to slightly lower heart attack risk (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.97) [4]. In Chinese men, self-reported drinking of about 100 g a week showed a U-shaped link with heart attack, but genetically predicted intake was not linked to it (RR 0.96 per 280 g a week, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.18) [7]. A gene variant tied to drinking 17.2% less was linked to lower odds of coronary heart disease (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.96) [8]. In UK adults, genetically predicted intake was linked to 1.4-fold higher coronary artery disease risk per standard deviation, with minimal rise at light intake [6].
- Population
- 84 cohorts [2]. 599,912 current drinkers [4]. 512,715 Chinese adults, 161,498 genotyped [7]. 261,991 people of European descent in 56 studies [8]. 371,463 UK Biobank participants [6].
- Sources
- [2], [4], [7], [8], [6]
- Caveats
- Cohorts share the sick quitter and lifestyle problems above. Mendelian randomization uses genes that set drinking levels to sidestep those problems, and its results disagree with the cohorts. Genetic studies have their own limits, such as genes acting through other paths.
Heart failure
Mixed results: candesartan and valsartan trials found fewer heart failure hospital stays, and a Cochrane review found no significant drop in deaths or total hospital stays.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with reduced ejection fraction who could not take ACE inhibitors, cardiovascular death or heart failure admission occurred in 33% on candesartan and 40% on placebo (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.89) [11]. Valsartan added to usual therapy did not change mortality and lowered a combined endpoint of death and illness (RR 0.87, 97.5% CI 0.77 to 0.97), mainly through fewer heart failure hospitalizations (13.8% against 18.2%) [12]. A Cochrane review of 22 studies in reduced ejection fraction found ARBs did not significantly lower total mortality (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.00) or total hospitalizations (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.01) against placebo. In 2 studies of people with ejection fraction above 40%, neither outcome differed from placebo [13].
- Population
- 2,028 people with ejection fraction of 40% or less, median 33.7 months [11]; 5,010 people with heart failure [12]; 17,900 people with ejection fraction of 40% or less and 7,151 with ejection fraction above 40% [13].
- Sources
- [11], [12], [13]
- Caveats
- The trial evidence is for candesartan and valsartan. About 93% of people in the valsartan heart failure trials also took an ACE inhibitor [14].
After a heart attack
Mixed results: older trials found 23% lower odds of death after a heart attack, and three recent trials in people with preserved heart function disagreed.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a review of older trials, long-term beta-blockers lowered the odds of death by 23% (95% CI 15 to 31), with 42 people treated for 2 years to avoid one death. Short-term trials found a 4% reduction that was not significant [6]. In people with ejection fraction of 50% or more, death or a new heart attack occurred in 7.9% on a beta-blocker and 8.3% without (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.16) [7]. In people with ejection fraction above 40%, death, reinfarction or heart failure hospitalization occurred at 22.5 against 21.7 events per 1,000 patient-years (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.22) [8]. In a third trial in people with ejection fraction of 40% or more, death or a major cardiovascular event occurred in 14.2% against 16.3% (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.98), with fewer new heart attacks (5.0% against 6.7%) [9].
- Population
- 54,234 people in older randomized trials, mostly of propranolol, timolol and metoprolol [6]; 5,020 people, median 3.5 years [7]; 8,438 people, median 3.7 years [8]; 5,574 people, median 3.5 years [9].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The older review was published in 1999. The three recent trials were open-label.
Heart attack and stroke in high blood pressure
Shown to lower stroke by about 20% against placebo in high blood pressure, with no drop in deaths and more strokes than on other drug classes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 13 trials, beta-blockers did not lower all-cause mortality against placebo (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.11). Total cardiovascular disease fell (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.97), reflecting fewer strokes (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.96), with no difference in coronary heart disease (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.07). Stroke was more frequent than on calcium channel blockers (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.40) or renin-angiotensin drugs (RR 1.30, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.53) [12]. For atenolol, 4 placebo-controlled trials found no difference in all-cause mortality (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.15) or heart attack (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.19), and 5 trials against other drugs found higher mortality on atenolol (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.25) [13].
- Population
- 13 trials, with 23,613 people in placebo comparisons and 40,245 people on beta-blockers overall, three quarters of them on atenolol [12]; 6,825 people in 4 placebo-controlled atenolol trials and 17,671 in 5 comparative trials, mean 4.6 years [13].
- Sources
- [12], [13]
- Caveats
- Most of the evidence is for atenolol. The Cochrane authors rated most trials at high risk of bias and found no outcome trials of newer vasodilating beta-blockers [12].
Heart disease and stroke
Mixed results: pooled cohorts linked higher bilirubin to 7% less cardiovascular disease per standard deviation, while genetic studies found no effect on heart disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 12 population cohorts, the adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular disease was 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.97) per standard deviation higher total bilirubin, 0.95 (0.92 to 0.99) for coronary heart disease and 0.93 (0.88 to 0.98) for stroke. Adding bilirubin to a risk model built on established risk factors did not improve prediction [6]. In three Danish studies, people with the UGT1A1 genotype that raised bilirubin by 95% had no lower odds of ischemic heart disease (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.11) or heart attack (1.01, 0.92 to 1.12). A meta-analysis of genetic studies gave an odds ratio of 1.01 (0.88 to 1.16) for genotypes with about twice the bilirubin [7].
- Population
- 12 prospective studies with 9,378 cardiovascular events, including 7,222 participants in the PREVEND cohort [6]. 67,068 genotyped Danish adults, and 14,711 cases with 60,324 controls in the genetic meta-analysis [7].
- Sources
- [6], [7]
- Caveats
- The cohort finding is observational. The authors of the genetic studies conclude that their data suggest bilirubin is not causally associated with the risk of ischemic heart disease [7].
Preeclampsia and high blood pressure in pregnancy
Mixed results: the 2025 Cochrane update found little to no difference in preeclampsia, while the 2018 version and earlier reviews found fewer cases at 1 g a day or more.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Sources disagree. The 2025 Cochrane update found little to no difference in preeclampsia against placebo (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.04, 6 RCTs, 15,364 women, low certainty). In the 4 trials of 500 or more women (14,730), the RR was 0.92 (95% CI 0.79 to 1.05, high certainty), and preterm birth before 37 weeks did not differ (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.11). Baseline calcium intake and preeclampsia risk did not change the findings, and low and high doses did not differ (RR 0.96, 2 RCTs, 22,000 women) [8]. The 2018 version of the review found that 1 g a day or more lowered high blood pressure (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.81) and preeclampsia (RR 0.45, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.65), with a clear effect in women with low calcium diets (RR 0.36), and that preterm birth fell (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.97) [9]. An umbrella review of earlier meta-analyses reported a pooled RR for preeclampsia of 0.53 (95% CI 0.42 to 0.68, I² 84%) [10]. Calcium started before pregnancy did not change preeclampsia in 1,355 women with prior preeclampsia (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.14) [11].
- Population
- 10 trials with 37,504 women [8]. 13 trials with 15,730 pregnant women [9]. 1,355 parous women in one trial [11].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The 2025 update removed 20 previously included trials, 11 because eligibility criteria changed and 9 that await classification over trustworthiness concerns. It was part-funded by WHO [8]. The umbrella review's search ended in December 2023, before those exclusions [10]. Heterogeneity was high in the 2018 review and small-study effects were possible. In its largest trial, preeclampsia fell only 8% and the interval included no effect [9].
Compared with other blood pressure drugs
Mixed results: fewer strokes than beta-blockers or ACE inhibitors, more heart failure than diuretics or ACE inhibitors, and no difference in deaths from any cause.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 23 trials of first-line treatment, all-cause mortality did not differ between calcium channel blockers and any other class. Against diuretics, heart failure was more frequent (RR 1.37, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.51). Against beta-blockers, major cardiovascular events (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.92) and stroke (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.88) were less frequent. Against ACE inhibitors, stroke was less frequent (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.99) and heart failure more frequent (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.28) [4]. In ALLHAT, amlodipine did not differ from chlorthalidone on fatal coronary disease or nonfatal heart attack (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.07) and had a higher 6-year rate of heart failure (10.2% against 7.7%) [5]. An amlodipine-based regimen brought fewer strokes than an atenolol-based one (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.89) [6]. Benazepril plus amlodipine brought fewer cardiovascular events than benazepril plus hydrochlorothiazide (9.6% against 11.8%, HR 0.80) [7].
- Population
- 153,849 people with hypertension in 23 trials, 18 of dihydropyridines and 4 of non-dihydropyridines [4]; 33,357 adults aged 55 or older in ALLHAT, mean 4.9 years [5]; 19,257 adults with hypertension and three other risk factors [6]; 11,506 high-risk adults with hypertension [7].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Most of the evidence is for dihydropyridines, and the three named trials all used amlodipine. Certainty was rated low to moderate across comparisons [4].
Blood pressure
Mixed results: reviews in older adults and during cold exposure found systolic pressure about 4 to 9 mmHg lower, while an earlier, smaller analysis found no change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 15 RCTs (24 datasets, 415 participants) of L-citrulline or watermelon in middle-aged and older adults, systolic pressure fell 4.02 mmHg (95% CI -6.54 to -1.50) and diastolic 2.54 mmHg (95% CI -4.27 to -0.81). L-citrulline combined with L-arginine lowered systolic pressure 10.44 mmHg (95% CI -13.57 to -7.31) [7]. In 6 RCTs (162 participants) measuring blood pressure during cold exposure, systolic pressure was 9.28 mmHg lower (95% CI -10.66 to -7.90) and diastolic 5.33 mmHg lower (95% CI -9.38 to -1.27) with L-citrulline [8]. In a systematic review of 12 RCTs in 360 postmenopausal women, most of the 7 trials that measured blood pressure reported lower systolic and mean arterial pressure [9]. An earlier analysis of 5 interventions found no change in brachial systolic (0.28 mmHg, 95% CI -2.87 to 2.31), diastolic (-1.56 mmHg, 95% CI -4.32 to 1.20) or aortic pressure [10]. A 2018 meta-analysis reporting a 7.54 mmHg systolic drop across 15 trials has been retracted by its journal [11].
- Population
- Middle-aged and older adults [7]; adults under cold exposure [8]; postmenopausal women aged 50 to 75 in 4 to 8 week US trials [9]; adults, with body weight a source of heterogeneity [10].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Sources disagree. The reductions come from analyses of older adults and of cold exposure, and the earlier, smaller analysis found no change [10]. The older-adult analysis pooled L-citrulline, watermelon and citrulline with arginine [7]. Two of the analyses come from one author group [7][8]. The postmenopausal review did not pool results [9]. The retracted paper [11] is listed so that readers who meet its numbers elsewhere know its status.
Cardiovascular disease
Mixed results: higher morning cortisol went with 18% more cardiovascular disease per standard deviation in pooled cohorts, while genetic studies found no clear effect on heart disease or stroke.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In two nested case-control studies, each standard deviation higher morning plasma cortisol had an odds ratio for new cardiovascular disease of 1.28 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.54), and in a meta-analysis with earlier prospective studies it was 1.18 (1.06 to 1.31). The same paper's genetic analysis gave 1.06 (0.98 to 1.15) [5]. A second genetic study found genetically predicted cortisol unrelated to ischemic heart disease (0.98, 0.93 to 1.03) or ischemic stroke (0.99, 0.91 to 1.08) [6]. A third found each standard deviation of genetically higher cortisol associated with more atrial fibrillation (1.20, 1.06 to 1.35), an association that disappeared after adjusting for genetically predicted blood pressure and waist size (0.99, 0.72 to 1.38) [7].
- Population
- 696 people with new cardiovascular disease and 6,680 controls in the pooled cohorts, and 122,737 coronary heart disease cases with 547,261 controls in the genetic analysis [5]. Genetic variants from a consortium of 12,597 people, applied to large outcome studies [6][7].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- The cohort finding is observational, and the genetic estimates disagree with one another. The genetic studies rest on a small number of variants [6][7].
Blood pressure in step-count programs
Mixed results: one review found systolic pressure fell 3.8 mmHg with pedometer programs, while reviews of activity trackers found blood pressure effects small and often not significant.
Compared with before the program in the same people, and control participants, pooled together [8]; control groups the source does not describe [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pedometer program participants lowered systolic blood pressure by 3.8 mmHg (95% CI 1.7 to 5.9), more so when starting pressure was higher [8]. Across 39 reviews of activity trackers, effects on blood pressure, cholesterol and HbA1c were typically small and often not significant [9].
- Population
- 2,767 participants in 26 studies [8]. 163,992 participants in 39 reviews [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The blood pressure figure pools randomized and observational studies [8]. The umbrella review gives no pooled blood pressure number in its abstract [9].
Differences between the four drugs
Linked to less major and stomach bleeding with apixaban than with rivaroxaban or dabigatran in indirect comparisons and large cohorts. No randomized trial compared the drugs directly.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a network meta-analysis of 23 trials, major bleeding was higher with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.62) and rivaroxaban 20 mg (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.78) than with apixaban 5 mg twice daily. Stroke or systemic embolism was higher with rivaroxaban (OR 1.35) and edoxaban 60 mg (OR 1.33) than with dabigatran 150 mg [15]. In US Medicare patients, rivaroxaban was associated with more major ischemic or hemorrhagic events than apixaban (16.1 against 13.4 per 1,000 person-years, HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.24) [16]. In a multinational cohort, apixaban was associated with less gastrointestinal bleeding than dabigatran (HR 0.81), edoxaban (HR 0.77) or rivaroxaban (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.79), with similar rates of ischemic stroke, intracranial bleeding and death [17].
- Population
- 94,656 patients in 23 trials [15]; 581,451 Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 or older, mean age 77.0 [16]; 527,226 new DOAC users [17].
- Sources
- [15], [16], [17]
- Caveats
- The network meta-analysis compares drugs indirectly through warfarin, and the cohorts are observational, so differences between the people prescribed each drug may remain [17].
Detecting giant cell arteritis
Shown in a meta-analysis of 68 studies: an ESR above 100 raised the likelihood of giant cell arteritis about 3 times, and 40 or below lowered it.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- Temporal artery biopsy, imaging or clinical diagnosis
- Effect
- In patients suspected of giant cell arteritis, an ESR above 100 mm/hr had a positive likelihood ratio of 3.11 (95% CI 1.43 to 6.78). The absence of an ESR above 40 mm/hr had a negative likelihood ratio of 0.18 (0.08 to 0.44). The authors conclude that no single feature was strong enough to confirm or refute the diagnosis taken alone [15]. The 2022 classification criteria give 3 points for an ESR of 50 mm/hr or above or a raised C-reactive protein, out of 6 needed [9].
- Population
- 14,037 patients with suspected giant cell arteritis in 68 studies [15].
- Sources
- [15], [9]
- Caveats
- The studies used different reference standards, and the patients were already suspected of the disease, so the figures do not apply to an ESR found on a routine test [15].
Fractures, stroke and breast cancer in trials of estrogen therapy after menopause
Mixed results: in one large trial estrogen alone cut fractures by 27% and raised strokes by 33% in postmenopausal women, with little or no difference in breast cancer.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review drew its main results from the Women's Health Initiative. Among 10,739 women who had had a hysterectomy, oral conjugated equine estrogen for an average of 7 years, against placebo, gave relative risks of 0.73 for all clinical fractures (95% CI 0.65 to 0.80), 1.33 for stroke (1.06 to 1.67), 1.78 for gallbladder disease requiring surgery (1.42 to 2.24), 0.94 for coronary events (0.78 to 1.13), 1.32 for venous clots (1.00 to 1.74) and 0.79 for breast cancer (0.61 to 1.01). Among 16,608 women with a uterus, estrogen with a progestin for 5.6 years gave 0.78 for fractures (0.71 to 0.86), 1.39 for stroke (1.09 to 2.09), 2.03 for venous clots (1.55 to 6.64) and 1.27 for breast cancer (1.03 to 1.56) [10].
- Population
- 24 randomized trials with 45,660 women, most of them postmenopausal American women with a mean age over 60 [10].
- Sources
- [10], [7]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. Higher estradiol went with more breast cancer in cohorts [7], and estrogen given alone did not raise it in this trial. The trials set a dose and did not target a blood level. The review's authors caution that the results rest on one study of oral therapy, and that only about 30% of the women were aged 50 to 59 [10].
Fenofibrate and fibrates: heart attacks and strokes
Mixed results: pooled fibrate trials showed about 10% fewer major heart events and 13% fewer coronary events, but fenofibrate's main trial missed its coronary goal and deaths did not fall.
Compared with placebo [8][9]; placebo or usual care [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with type 2 diabetes, coronary events were 5.2% on fenofibrate and 5.9% on placebo (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.05), not significant. Total cardiovascular events fell from 13.9% to 12.5% (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.99), with 24% fewer nonfatal heart attacks and a nonsignificant rise in coronary deaths (HR 1.19) [8]. Across 18 fibrate trials, major cardiovascular events fell 10% (95% CI 0 to 18), coronary events 13%, and stroke, cardiovascular death and all-cause death did not change [9]. In primary prevention, fibrates lowered cardiovascular death, heart attack or stroke (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.96), with absolute reductions under 1% [10]. The fenofibrate label states it was not shown to reduce coronary heart disease illness and death in type 2 diabetes [7].
- Population
- 9,795 adults aged 50 to 75 with type 2 diabetes, 5 years [8]; 45,058 people in 18 trials [9]; 16,135 people in 6 primary prevention trials [10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [7]
- Caveats
- [9] and [10] pool fibrates as a class, including gemfibrozil and bezafibrate, not fenofibrate alone. More placebo patients started statins in [8], which the authors say may have masked a benefit.
Blood pressure
Mixed results: kefir did not lower blood pressure in a meta-analysis of 7 trials, while kimchi lowered it about 3.5 mmHg after excluding outlying trials.
Compared with people who did not drink kefir [6]; control groups the abstract does not describe [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Kefir did not change systolic (WMD -1.76 mmHg, 95% CI -5.21 to 1.69) or diastolic pressure [6]. After excluding heterogeneous studies, kimchi lowered systolic pressure by 3.48 mmHg (95% CI -5.95 to -1.01) and diastolic by 2.68 mmHg [9].
- Population
- 385 adults in 7 kefir trials [6]. 205 participants in 5 kimchi trials [9].
- Sources
- [6], [9]
- Caveats
- The kimchi result depends on excluding some studies [9]. Both reviews pooled few small trials.
Cardiovascular outcomes with purified EPA (prescription)
Mixed results: one review found fewer cardiovascular deaths with prescription purified EPA, and another found no change in cardiovascular death at high doses.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 16 RCTs (127,771 patients, median 3.7 years), cardiovascular death fell with purified EPA (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.94) and less with mixed EPA and DHA (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.00) [8]. Across 6 trials (42,738 adults) of 1.8 g a day or more of EPA-dominant omega-3, hospitalization for unstable angina fell (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.87), while cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke and hs-CRP did not change significantly. Recurrent heart attack and revascularization fell only after excluding STRENGTH, the one mixed EPA and DHA outcome trial [9]. Across 10 imaging trials (860 patients) on statins, total coronary plaque volume changed by -10.0% with added EPA, -3.3% with added EPA and DHA and +1.9% on statin alone [10]. In 23 RCTs of omega-3 in general, plaque volume did not change [2].
- Population
- Adults in primary or secondary prevention trials [8]; adults with established cardiovascular disease or high risk [9]; patients with coronary artery disease [10][2].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [2]
- Caveats
- Purified EPA (icosapent ethyl) is a prescription drug, not an over-the-counter fish oil. The two outcome reviews disagree on cardiovascular death [8][9]. Authors of [8] and [10] include a REDUCE-IT investigator with Amarin research funding and an Amarin speakers bureau member [8].
Stroke in trials of folic acid
Mixed results: folic acid cut first stroke 21% in Chinese adults with hypertension, while a pooled analysis of 8 other trials found no significant effect.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Chinese trial, enalapril with folic acid 0.8 mg lowered first stroke compared with enalapril alone (2.7% against 3.4%, HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.93) over a median 4.5 years. Heart attack (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.82) and death from any cause (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.10) did not differ [9]. In a meta-analysis of 8 trials of folic acid in people at raised cardiovascular risk, the rate ratio for stroke was 0.96 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.06) and for major vascular events 1.01 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.05) [10]. A Cochrane review of B vitamin trials found a small reduction in stroke against placebo (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99, 10 trials) and no difference in heart attack (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10) [11].
- Population
- 20,702 adults with hypertension and no history of stroke or heart attack [9]. 37,485 participants in 8 trials, median follow-up 5 years [10]. 71,422 participants in 15 trials [11].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- These trials assigned folic acid, alone or with other B vitamins, and report outcomes by assigned treatment, not by the folate level reached. The Cochrane authors note that the stroke evidence for folic acid with enalapril came from one very large trial [11].
Heart function and death in trials that gave T3
Mixed results: trials giving T3 after heart surgery or in heart failure with low T3 improved measures of heart function, and deaths after surgery did not differ.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a systematic review of 14 randomized trials of T3 after surgery, 13 of them cardiac surgery, intravenous T3 increased cardiac index after coronary bypass. Mortality was not significantly altered by high-dose intravenous T3 and could not be assessed for the other regimens [8]. In a meta-analysis of randomized trials in heart failure with low T3, thyroid hormone treatment raised free T3 and improved left ventricular ejection fraction (weighted mean difference 5.61, 95% CI 4.38 to 6.85) and cardiac output (0.65, 0.42 to 0.89). The abstract reports no data on deaths [9].
- Population
- 14 randomized trials of postoperative T3 in adults [8]. Randomized trials in heart failure with low T3 found in English and Chinese databases to November 2021 [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. The surgical trials were small and short, with T3 given for 6 to 24 hours in most. The heart failure analysis had high heterogeneity, with I-squared of 63% to 95% for its main outcomes [8][9].
Blood pressure
Mixed results: reviews found lower blood pressure, by up to about 6 mmHg systolic, but disagree on whether systolic or diastolic pressure falls.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 16 trials (810 people), grape seed extract lowered systolic pressure by 6.08 mmHg (95% CI -10.74 to -1.42) and diastolic pressure by 2.80 mmHg (95% CI -4.42 to -1.19) [1]. An earlier meta-analysis of 9 RCTs (390 people) found systolic pressure 1.54 mmHg lower (95% CI -2.85 to -0.22) and no change in diastolic pressure [2]. A 2022 meta-analysis of 19 trials found diastolic pressure 2.20 mmHg lower (95% CI -3.79 to -0.60) and no significant change in systolic pressure (-3.55 mmHg, 95% CI -7.59 to 0.49) [3]. A meta-analysis of proanthocyanidins from any source (6 RCTs, 376 people) found systolic pressure 4.60 mmHg lower and diastolic pressure 2.75 mmHg lower [4].
- Population
- Adults, including people with obesity, metabolic syndrome or raised blood pressure [1][2][3][4].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- The reviews disagree on which pressure falls. Heterogeneity in the 2022 analysis was high (I² 88.8% diastolic, 97.4% systolic) [3]. The proanthocyanidin review included sources other than grape seed [4].
Stroke
Mixed results: 68 pooled cohorts found no clear link with ischemic stroke, and a meta-analysis tied higher HDL cholesterol to slightly more bleeding in the brain.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The adjusted hazard ratio for ischemic stroke was 0.93 (95% CI 0.84 to 1.02) per 15 mg/dL higher HDL cholesterol [8]. In a meta-analysis of prospective studies, the relative risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 0.98 (95% CI 0.80 to 1.19) for high against low HDL cholesterol and 1.11 (0.99 to 1.25) per 1 mmol/L higher. For intracerebral hemorrhage the pooled relative risk was 1.17 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.35) [19].
- Population
- 302,430 people in 68 prospective studies, with 2,534 ischemic strokes [8]. 1,430,141 participants in 23 prospective studies, with 7,960 hemorrhagic strokes [19].
- Sources
- [8], [19]
- Caveats
- Observational. Most intervals include no association [8][19].
Blood pressure and triglycerides
Mixed results: triglycerides fell more on higher-protein diets in two meta-analyses, while blood pressure fell slightly in one and did not differ in another.
Compared with diets with less protein
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 74 trials, higher-protein diets lowered systolic (SMD -0.21, 95% CI -0.32 to -0.09) and diastolic blood pressure (SMD -0.18, 95% CI -0.29 to -0.06) and triglycerides (SMD -0.51, 95% CI -0.78 to -0.24). Total and LDL cholesterol, C-reactive protein and HbA1c did not change [6]. In energy-restricted trials, triglycerides fell 0.23 mmol/L more (95% CI 0.12 to 0.33), and blood pressure and total, LDL and HDL cholesterol did not differ [1].
- Population
- Adults in 74 trials [6] and in 24 weight-loss trials [1].
- Sources
- [1], [6]
- Caveats
- Restricting to studies at lower risk of bias reduced the triglyceride effect [6]. In type 2 diabetes, blood pressure changes were not significant [8].
Heart disease and stroke in cohorts and genetic studies
Mixed results: cohorts linked 25% lower homocysteine to 11% less heart disease and 19% less stroke, while large genetic datasets found little or no effect on heart disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of individual data, a 25% lower usual homocysteine level (about 3 µmol/L) was associated in the prospective studies with an 11% lower risk of ischemic heart disease (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83 to 0.96) and a 19% lower risk of stroke (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.95), after adjustment for known risk factors. Associations were stronger in retrospective studies, where blood was drawn after disease onset [5]. In 19 unpublished genetic datasets, people with the MTHFR variant that raises homocysteine by about 20% had no excess of coronary heart disease (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.07). In 86 published studies of the same variant the odds ratio was 1.15 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.21), a discrepancy the authors attribute to publication bias or methodological problems [6].
- Population
- 30 prospective or retrospective studies with 5,073 ischemic heart disease events and 1,113 stroke events [5]. 48,175 coronary heart disease cases and 67,961 controls in the unpublished datasets, and 28,617 cases and 41,857 controls in the published ones [6].
- Sources
- [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The cohort authors conclude that raised homocysteine is at most a modest independent predictor in healthy populations [5]. The genetic datasets did not measure homocysteine itself and tested heart disease, not stroke [6].
Stroke in trials that lowered homocysteine
Mixed results: a Cochrane review found 10% fewer strokes with homocysteine-lowering B vitamins, while a pooled analysis of 8 trials found no significant effect.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review found a small reduction in stroke with homocysteine-lowering B vitamins against placebo (4.3% against 5.1%, RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99, 10 trials) [8]. An individual-data meta-analysis of 8 trials found a rate ratio for stroke of 0.96 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.06) [7]. In a Chinese trial in adults with hypertension, adding folic acid 0.8 mg to enalapril lowered first stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.93) over a median 4.5 years, with no difference in heart attack or death from any cause [9].
- Population
- 44,224 participants in the 10 trials with stroke data [8]. 37,485 participants in 8 trials [7]. 20,702 adults with hypertension and no history of stroke or heart attack [9].
- Sources
- [8], [7], [9]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors calculate that about 143 people would need treatment with folic acid plus enalapril for 5.4 years to prevent 1 stroke, and note that this evidence came from one very large trial [8].
Bleeding stroke at low levels
Mixed results: one cohort linked LDL cholesterol below 70 mg/dL to more bleeding strokes, while pooled trials lowering it to very low levels found no increase.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a cohort with repeated LDL cholesterol measurements, people averaging below 70 mg/dL had more intracerebral hemorrhage than those at 70 to 99 mg/dL: adjusted HR 1.65 (95% CI 1.32 to 2.05) at 50 to 69 mg/dL and 2.69 (2.03 to 3.57) below 50 mg/dL. Risk at 100 mg/dL or above was similar to that at 70 to 99 [16]. In a meta-analysis of trials in populations starting at a median of 70 mg/dL or less and reaching a median as low as 21 mg/dL, LDL lowering was not associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke [14]. Statin trials found no significant effect on deaths due to stroke (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.09) [12].
- Population
- 96,043 adults, mean age 51, free of stroke, heart attack and cancer at baseline, 753 hemorrhages over 9 years [16]. 50,627 patients in 3 trials of non-statin drugs plus a statin trial subgroup [14].
- Sources
- [16], [14], [12]
- Caveats
- The cohort is observational and cannot show that low LDL cholesterol caused the hemorrhages. The trials ran for a few years, so they say little about decades at very low levels.
Cardiovascular events in trials that lowered lipoprotein(a)
Mixed results: a trial designed to test lowering took lipoprotein(a) from 236 to 64 nmol/L with no fewer cardiovascular events, while PCSK9 inhibitor trial analyses tied lowering to fewer.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a placebo-controlled trial of monthly pelacarsen in patients with cardiovascular disease and lipoprotein(a) of at least 70 mg/dL, the median baseline level was 236 nmol/L. At 12 months it was 64.4 nmol/L on pelacarsen and 233.4 nmol/L on placebo. Over a median 4.7 years, a major adverse cardiovascular event occurred in 12.3% and 12.1% (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.15). Among patients starting at 90 mg/dL or above the hazard ratio was 1.00 (0.87 to 1.15) [17]. Further analyses by treatment exposure, by the level reached at 3 months and by subgroup also found no association with fewer events [18]. Adding niacin to a statin lowered lipoprotein(a) 21% and did not reduce cardiovascular events [19]. Evolocumab lowered lipoprotein(a) by a median 26.9%, and reduced coronary events by 23% (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.88) in patients with baseline levels above the median against 7% (HR 0.93, 0.80 to 1.08) at or below it, an interaction with a P value of 0.07 [20]. With alirocumab, each 1 mg/dL reduction in lipoprotein(a) went with a hazard ratio of 0.994 (95% CI 0.990 to 0.999) for major cardiovascular events, independent of the fall in LDL cholesterol [21].
- Population
- 8,350 patients with cardiovascular disease randomized and 8,322 analyzed, mean age 59.7, 27.0% women [17]. Patients with cardiovascular disease and low HDL cholesterol in a niacin trial [19]. 25,096 patients with cardiovascular disease, median follow-up 2.2 years [20]. 18,924 patients after an acute coronary syndrome, median follow-up 2.8 years [21].
- Sources
- [17], [18], [19], [20], [21]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose lowering changes it. The pelacarsen trial enrolled people who already had cardiovascular disease, was funded by Novartis and was published in November 2026 [17]. The PCSK9 inhibitor findings are secondary analyses of drugs that mainly lower LDL cholesterol [20][21]. The sources for this page include no outcome results for other drugs built to lower lipoprotein(a).
Heart risk factors
Mixed results: triglycerides and cholesterol ratio improved in some trials, while a Cochrane review found little to no difference in LDL or blood pressure over 1 to 2 years.
Compared with diets with more carbohydrate
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 1 to 2 years, diastolic blood pressure and LDL cholesterol showed little to no difference from balanced-carbohydrate diets, with and without type 2 diabetes [1]. Over 2 years, the ratio of total to HDL cholesterol fell 20% on a low-carbohydrate diet and 12% on a low-fat diet [5]. In type 2 diabetes, triglycerides improved substantially at 6 months and less at 12 months. LDL cholesterol worsened at 12 months by an amount judged clinically important but not statistically significant [6].
- Population
- Adults with overweight or obesity [1][5]; adults with type 2 diabetes [6].
- Sources
- [1], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- Mean baseline LDL and diastolic pressure were in the normal range across the Cochrane trials [1]. No trial here measured heart attacks or strokes.
Stress hormones, blood pressure and immune cells after one session
Mixed results: a single session lowered blood pressure and heart rate in pooled trials, and cortisol fell in one small trial but not in pooled trials.
Compared with control conditions in randomized studies the source abstract does not describe [12]; light touch [18]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Single sessions reduced state anxiety, blood pressure and heart rate, and did not reduce cortisol [12]. In healthy adults, 45 minutes of Swedish massage produced a large drop in arginine vasopressin and a small drop in blood cortisol against light touch. Circulating lymphocytes rose (effect sizes 0.14 to 0.43) and stimulated cytokine production fell [18].
- Population
- 37 randomized studies [12]. Healthy adults aged 18 to 45 [18].
- Sources
- [12], [18]
- Caveats
- The trial calls its data preliminary, and these were changes over one session [18]. Lymphocyte counts in blood do not show fewer infections.
Ruling acute heart failure out and in
Shown to exclude acute heart failure with 99% sensitivity below 300 pg/mL, while about 4 in 10 people above the age-specific values did not have it.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- A final diagnosis of acute heart failure made by clinicians with access to imaging and the full record
- Effect
- In a diagnostic meta-analysis in acute care, NT-proBNP at a threshold of 300 pg/mL had a sensitivity of 0.99 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.00) and a negative predictive value of 0.98 (0.89 to 1.0) for acute heart failure. At higher thresholds sensitivity declined and specificity varied, and the authors conclude that imaging is required to confirm a diagnosis [11]. In a North American emergency department study, the age-specific values of 450, 900 and 1,800 pg/mL had sensitivities of 85.7%, 79.3% and 75.9%, specificities of 93.9%, 84.0% and 75.0%, and positive predictive values of 53.6%, 58.4% and 62.0%. The 300 pg/mL rule-out value had a sensitivity of 93.9% and a negative predictive value of 98.0% [12].
- Population
- 37 study cohorts with 15,263 test results [11]. 1,461 patients with breathlessness at 19 emergency departments, 277 of them with acute heart failure [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- These figures describe people who came to hospital acutely breathless. They do not describe a result from a routine blood draw in someone without symptoms. A predictive value depends on how common heart failure is among those tested, which was 19% in the emergency department study [12].
Variation within one person
Shown to vary within one person by about 10% over days and about 34% over longer intervals in a meta-analysis of 21 studies.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- The same person's results on repeat blood draws
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of biological variation studies found within-person variation of NT-proBNP of 9.9% (95% CI 8.8 to 18.0) when samples were taken over less than 15 days and 34.3% (25.0 to 60.0) over more than 15 days [15]. In one of the studies, within-person variation was 21.8% and a change of 61.7% was needed between two results to exceed expected variation. The variation was comparable in patients with chronic heart failure and in healthy participants [16].
- Population
- 21 studies of biological variation, 3 of which met every item of the review's quality checklist [15]. 83 patients with chronic heart failure followed for 6 weeks and 28 people the study classed as healthy followed for 4 months [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16]
- Caveats
- The estimate depended on how often and for how long people were sampled. The studies state no threshold for agreement, so the result is given as numbers only [15].
Atrial fibrillation
Mixed results: higher blood EPA plus DHA went with slightly less atrial fibrillation in pooled cohorts, while trials of omega-3 supplements found 25% more.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 17 cohorts, higher levels of EPA plus DHA in blood or fat tissue had a hazard ratio for new atrial fibrillation of 0.93 (95% CI 0.87 to 0.99), comparing the 90th with the 10th percentile. EPA alone showed no association (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.05) [10]. In a meta-analysis of 7 trials with cardiovascular outcomes, marine omega-3 supplements were associated with more atrial fibrillation (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.46), with a hazard ratio of 1.49 (95% CI 1.04 to 2.15) in trials testing more than 1 g a day and 1.12 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.22) at 1 g a day or less [11].
- Population
- 54,799 participants in 17 cohorts, 7,720 cases over a median 13.3 years [10]. 81,210 patients in 7 trials, mean age 65, weighted average follow-up 4.9 years [11].
- Sources
- [10], [11]
- Caveats
- The cohorts measured levels in blood or fat tissue under habitual intake and are observational. The trials tested supplements, with more atrial fibrillation at higher doses [10][11].
Blood pressure
Mixed results: pet owners had slightly lower systolic pressure and heart rate in one meta-analysis but no less hypertension, and getting a dog did not change blood pressure.
Compared with people without pets [2]; people who delayed getting a dog and people with no plans to get one [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pet owners had lower heart rate (mean difference -2.32), mean arterial pressure (-2.60) and systolic pressure (-1.69 mmHg, 95% CI -3.06 to -0.31), with no difference in diastolic pressure (-0.23) or in the share with hypertension [2]. Systolic and diastolic pressure, resting heart rate and VO2max did not change after getting a dog [6].
- Population
- 26 studies [2]. 71 adults followed 8 months [6].
- Sources
- [2], [6]
- Caveats
- The pooled differences are between groups measured once, and are small. The controlled study was small [6].
Cholesterol and blood pressure in trials
Not shown to change cholesterol or blood pressure against all comparison diets combined. Against plant proteins, LDL fell less on red meat. Against fish, it fell more.
Compared with diets replacing red meat with legumes, soy or nuts, fish, poultry, mixed animal protein, refined carbohydrates or the usual diet [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against all comparison diets combined, red meat made no significant difference to total, LDL or HDL cholesterol, apolipoproteins A1 and B, or blood pressure, and gave a smaller fall in triglycerides (0.065 mmol/L). Against high-quality plant proteins, total cholesterol fell 0.264 mmol/L less and LDL 0.198 mmol/L less. Against fish, LDL fell 0.173 mmol/L more and HDL 0.065 mmol/L more. Against refined carbohydrates, triglycerides fell 0.181 mmol/L more [4].
- Population
- 1,803 participants in 36 randomized trials [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The result depends on what replaced the red meat. Trials measured blood markers, not heart events.
Heart attack and stroke, from eating less salt
Mixed results: pooled trials found about 23% fewer cardiovascular events, which reviewers called underpowered and driven by one retirement home trial. A trial follow-up found 25% fewer.
Compared with control groups without salt reduction advice or substitution [11]; control groups without sodium reduction counseling [12]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review of 8 trials found weak evidence of fewer cardiovascular events with less salt (pooled RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.95, 6 trials, 5,912 people), driven by one trial in which retirement home kitchens cut salt. Results for cardiovascular death in people with hypertension were imprecise (RR 0.67, 95% CI 0.45 to 1.01) [11]. Ten to 15 years after two sodium reduction trials in adults with prehypertension, cardiovascular events were 25% less frequent in the former intervention groups (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.99) [12].
- Population
- 7,284 adults in 8 trials of 6 to 36 months [11]. 3,126 adults aged 30 to 54 with prehypertension, with event data from 2,415 [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors state their review lacked the power to confirm clinically important effects [11]. The trial follow-up was observational after the trials ended, with 77% of participants reporting outcomes [12].
Blood vessel function
Mixed results: pooled heat therapy trials found better artery dilation, while two 8-week sauna trials found no change in artery dilation or stiffness.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Heat therapy improved brachial artery flow-mediated dilation by 1.95 percentage points (95% CI 0.14 to 3.76, 5 studies) [1]. A sauna meta-analysis reported flow-mediated dilation 1.71 percentage points higher after 2 to 4 weeks [2]. In adults with stable coronary artery disease, 8 weeks of Finnish sauna did not change flow-mediated dilation (0.15% with sauna, 0.07% with control, interaction P = 0.909) or carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (P = 0.816) [4]. In sedentary adults, pulse wave velocity did not differ between exercise plus sauna and exercise alone (-0.4 m/s, 95% CI -1.1 to 0.3) [3].
- Population
- Healthy and clinical populations [1][2]. 41 adults with coronary artery disease, 21 assigned to sauna at 79°C for 20 to 30 minutes, 4 times a week [4]. 47 sedentary adults [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [4], [3]
- Caveats
- Certainty was rated low for flow-mediated dilation [1]. In [4] the sauna group showed signs of heat acclimation, a lower resting core temperature and a higher sweat rate, without vascular change.
Sleep extension and blood pressure, glucose and insulin
Mixed results: pooled sleep extension trials found no overall change in blood pressure, fasting glucose or insulin resistance. Blood pressure fell in people with raised pressure.
Compared with control or baseline conditions the source does not describe [14]; control or baseline conditions the source does not describe [15]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Sleep extension lengthened total sleep by 51 minutes (95% CI 39 to 63) and did not change blood pressure overall. In people with pre-hypertension or stage 1 hypertension, 24-hour systolic pressure fell 7.8 mmHg (95% CI -10.6 to -4.9) and diastolic pressure 4.2 mmHg. Pooled effects on fasting glucose and insulin resistance were not significant [14]. A systematic review of 7 extension studies reported better direct and indirect measures of insulin sensitivity, less appetite and less desire for sweet and salty foods [15].
- Population
- 13 studies from 11 trials, 3 days to 6 weeks, adults without a sleep disorder [14]. 138 participants in 7 studies, mostly short sleepers [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15]
- Caveats
- Small and short trials. The blood pressure fall is a subgroup result. The review of 7 studies gave no pooled estimates [15].
Blood pressure, against non-sham controls
Mixed results: pooled trials found blood pressure fell about 5.6/3.0 mm Hg with slow breathing, but device trials showed no effect once manufacturer-linked trials were removed.
Compared with control groups the source abstract does not describe [6]; control groups in 8 device trials, not sham-controlled in most [7]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 17 randomized trials of slow breathing at 10 breaths a minute or fewer, with or without a guiding device, systolic pressure fell 5.62 mm Hg (95% CI -7.86 to -3.38) and diastolic 2.97 mm Hg (95% CI -4.28 to -1.66), with high heterogeneity [6]. Across 8 trials of the RESPeRATE device, systolic pressure fell 3.67 mm Hg and diastolic 2.51 mm Hg. Excluding the 5 trials sponsored by or involving the manufacturer left no overall effect [7]. The American Heart Association rated device-guided breathing Class IIA for lowering blood pressure in 2013 [8].
- Population
- People with hypertension, prehypertension or on blood pressure medication in 17 trials [6]. 494 adults in 8 trials, none longer than 9 weeks [7].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Heterogeneity was high in every analysis [6]. The AHA rating predates the blinded trials in the next block [8][9].
Chlorthalidone compared with hydrochlorothiazide
Mixed results: indirect comparisons favored chlorthalidone, and the one large head-to-head trial found no difference in heart events between the two.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a pragmatic trial in adults 65 and older already on hydrochlorothiazide, a major cardiovascular event or non-cancer death occurred in 10.4% switched to chlorthalidone and 10.0% kept on hydrochlorothiazide over a median 2.4 years (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.16) [7]. In a cohort of first-time users, the composite cardiovascular outcome did not differ (calibrated HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.17) [8]. Network meta-analyses that compared the drugs indirectly across separate trials found 21% fewer cardiovascular events on chlorthalidone (95% CI 12 to 28) [9], and 12% fewer on thiazide-like than thiazide-type diuretics after adjusting for blood pressure [10]. In 9 trials that compared them directly, chlorthalidone lowered systolic pressure by 3.26 mm Hg and diastolic by 2.41 mm Hg more [11].
- Population
- 13,523 veterans with a mean age of 72 [7]; 730,225 first-time users in three US databases [8]; 9 trials with 50,946 people in the drug-adjusted analysis [9]; randomized trials of at least 1 year in adults with hypertension [10]; 9 head-to-head trials [11].
- Sources
- [7], [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- In the head-to-head trial, 94.5% were taking hydrochlorothiazide 25 mg at entry and chlorthalidone was given at 12.5 or 25 mg [7]. The indirect comparisons do not randomize between the two drugs. For side effect differences, see the low potassium block below.
Blood pressure
Mixed results: one review found systolic pressure about 2.7 mmHg lower in adults with prediabetes or diabetes, while a larger pooled analysis found no effect.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 15 RCTs (855 adults with prediabetes or type 2 diabetes), systolic pressure fell 2.69 mmHg (95% CI -3.84 to -1.55, I² 30.1%), and 3.41 mmHg in those starting at 130 or above. Diastolic pressure did not change significantly (-1.20 mmHg, 95% CI -2.84 to 0.44) [35]. The 63-trial pooled analysis found no significant blood pressure effect [7].
- Population
- Adults with prediabetes, type 2 diabetes or hyperglycemia [35][7].
- Sources
- [35], [7]
- Caveats
- The two analyses disagree. Diastolic heterogeneity was 84.3% [35].
Coronary heart disease, in cohorts and in a trial that lowered urate
Mixed results: cohorts link high uric acid to slightly more coronary heart disease, while a genetic study and an allopurinol trial in 5,721 people found no effect.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 26 prospective studies, hyperuricemia went with an adjusted risk ratio of 1.09 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.16) for coronary heart disease and 1.16 (1.01 to 1.30) for coronary death. Each 1 mg/dL higher went with a risk ratio for coronary death of 1.12 (1.05 to 1.19). The association was not significant in men [16]. In a Mendelian randomization study, genetically higher serum urate was not associated with coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke or heart failure [11]. In a randomized trial in people aged 60 or older with ischemic heart disease and no gout, allopurinol titrated up to 600 mg daily did not change the rate of heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death against usual care (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.21) over a mean of 4.8 years [17].
- Population
- 402,997 adults in 26 studies [16]. 54,501 coronary heart disease cases and 68,275 controls [11]. 5,721 participants, mean age 72, 75.5% men [17].
- Sources
- [16], [11], [17]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose lowering changes it. The trial's abstract does not report how far serum urate fell, and it enrolled older people who already had heart disease [17].
Blood pressure
Mixed results: one meta-analysis found systolic blood pressure about 5 mmHg lower, while trials in people with diabetes found no change.
Compared with control diets the source does not describe [2]; omnivorous diets, in 7 controlled trials and 32 observational studies [7]; omnivorous Adventists in the same cohort, white adults in the USA and Canada [8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 7 controlled trials (311 participants), vegetarian diets lowered systolic blood pressure by 4.8 mmHg (95% CI -6.6 to -3.1) and diastolic by 2.2 mmHg against omnivorous diets. In 32 observational studies, systolic was 6.9 mmHg lower [7]. In 9 RCTs in people with diabetes, blood pressure did not change [2]. In an Adventist cohort sample, lacto-ovo vegetarians had lower odds of hypertension than omnivores (OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.92) [8].
- Population
- Adults, mean age 44.5 in the trials [7]; adults with diabetes [2]; 500 white Adventists, observational [8].
- Sources
- [2], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Few small trials. Heterogeneity was high in the observational studies (I² 91.4%) [7]. Part of the cohort difference reflected lower body weight [8].
Stroke and heart attack
Mixed results: stroke was slightly lower, 4.3% against 5.1%, with B vitamins mostly combined with folic acid, while heart attack and death did not change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 15 RCTs with 71,422 participants, homocysteine-lowering B vitamins (B6, folic acid or B12, alone or combined) did not change heart attack (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10) or death from any cause (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.06). Stroke was lower: 4.3% against 5.1% (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99, 10 trials, 44,224 people) [8].
- Population
- Adults with and without existing cardiovascular disease, followed 1 to 7.3 years. People with end-stage kidney disease were excluded [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- Most trials combined B12 with folic acid, so the stroke result cannot be assigned to B12 alone. The authors rated the stroke evidence high quality [8].
Heart attack, stroke and death
Mixed results: stroke was about 10% lower in pooled trials of B6, mostly with folic acid and B12, while heart attack and death did not change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 15 trials of vitamins B6, B9 or B12, heart attack (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10) and death from any cause (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.06) did not change. Stroke was lower (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99) [8]. In HOPE-2, 50 mg of B6 with folic acid and B12 lowered homocysteine by 2.4 µmol/L. Major cardiovascular events did not change (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.07) and stroke fell (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.97) [9]. In NORVIT, 40 mg of B6 alone did not change recurrent events (RR 1.14, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.32) [10].
- Population
- 71,422 participants in 15 trials [8]; 5,522 people aged 55 or older with vascular disease or diabetes, 5 years [9]; 3,749 people within 7 days of a heart attack, median 40 months [10].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Most trials combined B6 with folic acid and B12, so B6 alone cannot be separated. The Cochrane authors rated the heart attack and mortality evidence high quality [8].
Time in the therapeutic INR range
Linked to fewer major bleeds and clots when more time was spent in the target INR range, in retrospective studies but not clearly in randomized trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 47 studies in atrial fibrillation, time in therapeutic range ran from 29% to 75%, and was higher in randomized trials than in retrospective studies (64.9% against 56.4%). Time in range correlated negatively with major hemorrhage (r -0.59) and thromboembolic rates (r -0.59). In retrospective studies, a 6.9% improvement in time in range lowered major hemorrhage by 1 event per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.29 to 1.71). The correlations were not significant within randomized trials [13]. In the edoxaban trial the median time in range on warfarin was 68.4% [14]. The label states that keeping the INR in range does not eliminate the risk of bleeding [11].
- Population
- 47 studies from 38 articles of people with atrial fibrillation on vitamin K antagonists [13]; 21,105 patients [14].
- Sources
- [13], [14], [11]
- Caveats
- Correlations across studies, not a trial of raising time in range.
VO2 max, Garmin Forerunner 245
Mixed results: three studies found Garmin Forerunner 245 estimates within 6 to 8% of laboratory VO2 max on average, underestimating by 6 mL/kg/min in highly trained athletes.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin Forerunner 245, software version 13.00 in one study [8]
- Compared with
- Respiratory gas analysis during a treadmill ramp test
- Effect
- In 23 runners, mean absolute percentage error after three outdoor runs was 5.7%, against a 4.0% coefficient of variation for the laboratory test itself. Error was 7.1% at lower fitness and -6.2% at the highest fitness [9]. In 35 endurance athletes, the watch underestimated by 4.73 and 4.05 mL/kg/min over two runs (error 7.9% and 7.2%, intraclass correlation 0.71 and 0.75). Error was 2.8 to 4.1% in moderately trained athletes and 9.4 to 10.4% in highly trained athletes, where the watch read 6.3 mL/kg/min low [10]. In 24 trained youth soccer players, error was 5.58% after one run with an intraclass correlation of 0.37 [8].
- Population
- 23 runners with peak oxygen uptake of 38 to 61 mL/kg/min [9]. 35 endurance athletes, mean age 25.1, mean VO2 max 60.1 [10]. 24 trained male youth soccer players [8].
- Sources
- [9], [10], [8]
- Caveats
- Trained runners and athletes, with one research group contributing to all three studies. The authors of one study state laboratory gas analysis remains preferred when precision is required [10].
VO2 max, wearables using exercise data pooled
Mixed results: a meta-analysis found exercise-based watch estimates averaged within 0.1 mL/kg/min of laboratory VO2 max, with limits of agreement of about 10 either way.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Consumer wearables that estimate from exercise data, pooled [15]. Mostly Garmin watches paired with chest strap heart rate sensors [16].
- Compared with
- Laboratory VO2 max testing
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 14 validation studies, wearables using exercise-based data had a bias of -0.09 mL/kg/min with limits of agreement from -9.92 to 9.74. The authors concluded these estimates suit population-level measurement and that error for an individual is large [15]. A later systematic review of 13 studies found the wearable valid or acceptable for VO2 max in 7 of them, with estimates generated from submaximal outdoor runs, and questioned usefulness in elite endurance athletes [16].
- Population
- 14 validation studies [15]. 13 studies of untrained adults, recreational athletes and highly trained athletes [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16]
- Caveats
- The journal published a correction to the meta-analysis in 2026, and the figures here are those in the article's abstract [17].
Heart rate, Apple Watch models pooled
Mixed results: a meta-analysis found Apple Watch heart rate within 0.3 beats per minute of the reference on average, with limits of agreement of about 7 beats either way.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch models pooled across generations
- Compared with
- The criterion method used in each study
- Effect
- Bland-Altman meta-analysis gave a mean bias of -0.27 beats per minute (95% CI -0.72 to 0.17) with limits of agreement from -7.19 to 6.64. The authors described this as a small underestimation with moderate measurement variability, and reported that accuracy varied with measurement conditions and individual physiology [3].
- Population
- 82 studies of 14 Apple Watch health metrics, pooled mean age 41.3 [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- Studies span many watch generations and software versions. The review is registered as a living review that its authors plan to update yearly [3].
Heart rate, Fitbit models pooled
Mixed results: a meta-analysis found Fitbit devices read 3 beats per minute below the reference on average, with limits of agreement from 24 below to 18 above.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Fitbit models that combine a heart rate sensor with a motion sensor, pooled
- Compared with
- Reference heart rate measures
- Effect
- Across 74 comparisons, Fitbit devices underestimated heart rate by a mean 2.99 beats per minute, with population limits of agreement from -23.99 to 18.01. The authors concluded this underestimation can be acceptable on average for heart rate, and that results varied with study quality, participant age, activity type and Fitbit model [6].
- Population
- 52 studies in the review, 41 in the meta-analysis [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Figures are after removing studies at high risk of bias. Models and firmware are pooled [6].
Heart rate across skin tones, wrist-worn devices
Mixed results: in one systematic review, four of ten studies found lower heart rate accuracy with darker skin, four found no effect and two were mixed.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Wrist-worn consumer devices pooled [11]. Apple Watch 4, Fitbit Charge 2, Garmin Vivosmart 3 and Xiaomi Mi Band 3, with two research devices [12]. Apple Watch Series 9 [13].
- Compared with
- ECG [12]. A Polar H7 chest strap [13]. Reference methods varied across the review [11].
- Effect
- Of 10 studies that reported heart rate or rhythm accuracy by race or skin tone, 4 found significantly lower accuracy in darker-skinned participants, 4 found no effect and 2 were mixed [11]. In 53 people spread evenly across six skin tone categories, accuracy did not differ significantly by skin tone, while it differed between devices and absolute error was on average 30% higher during activity than at rest [12]. In 30 young adults in three skin pigmentation groups, Apple Watch Series 9 heart rate varied more from the chest strap in the darkest group [13].
- Population
- 469 participants in 10 studies [11]. 53 adults aged 18 to 54 [12]. 30 healthy young adults [13].
- Sources
- [11], [12], [13]
- Caveats
- The review's authors call the evidence preliminary and inconclusive and note small samples and subjective skin tone grading [11]. One abstract gives no error figures by group [13].
Blood pressure, against exercise and other active comparisons
Mixed results: against active comparisons such as exercise, systolic pressure did not differ, and diastolic pressure fell about 2 mm Hg in one review.
Compared with active control interventions [8]; exercise [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against active controls, systolic pressure differed by 4.16 mm Hg (95% CI -10.76 to 2.44, p = 0.22) and diastolic fell 1.88 mm Hg (95% CI -3.41 to -0.36), from 5 trials [8]. Against exercise, no evidence was found for effects on systolic or diastolic pressure [9]. An American Heart Association statement rated yoga Class III for lowering blood pressure in 2013 [10].
- Population
- 306 participants in 5 trials [8]. Patients with prehypertension or hypertension [9].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Five small trials with very low quality evidence [8].
Endurance and aerobic capacity
Small trials found mixed results: one review found better endurance in athletes, while trained cyclists showed no change and older adults gained in thresholds only.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of fungal supplements in athletes (14 RCTs, 528 athletes, 8 pooled), Cordyceps sinensis improved endurance (p 0.05), ventilatory threshold (p 0.03) and VO2 peak (p 0.04) [1]. In 22 trained male cyclists, 3 g a day of CordyMax Cs-4 for 5 weeks did not change VO2 peak, ventilatory threshold or time trial results [2]. In 20 adults aged 50 to 75, Cs-4 for 12 weeks raised metabolic threshold 10.5% and ventilatory threshold 8.5%, and VO2 max did not change [3]. In 28 young adults, a mushroom blend with Cordyceps militaris showed no change after 1 week, and in the 10 who continued for 3 weeks VO2 max rose 4.8 mL/kg/min [4].
- Population
- Athletes [1], trained cyclists [2], healthy older adults [3], young adults [4].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Trials are small and disagree. The meta-analysis abstract gives p-values without effect sizes, and its search included a Chinese database [1]. Trial [4] tested a blend, not cordyceps alone.
High blood pressure, wet cupping
Limited evidence: a few small trials suggested wet cupping lowered blood pressure against blood pressure drugs, and reviewers drew no firm conclusion.
Compared with antihypertensive medication [11]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 7 randomized trials, a few small studies suggested wet cupping alone lowered blood pressure more than antihypertensive medication. The reviewers wrote that no firm conclusions can be drawn [11].
- Population
- Adults with hypertension in 7 trials [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Most trials were not of high methodological quality [11].
Heart failure and coronary heart disease
One cohort found low DHEA-S went with 30% to 42% more heart failure hospitalizations and was not tied to coronary heart disease.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- DHEA-S below the 15th percentile for sex (55.4 µg/dL in men, 27.4 µg/dL in women) had hazard ratios for heart failure hospitalization of 1.30 in men (95% CI 1.07 to 1.58) and 1.42 in women (1.13 to 1.79). In men a greater percentage fall in DHEA-S over 15 years also went with more heart failure hospitalization (1.94, 1.11 to 3.39). Neither a low level nor the change was associated with new coronary heart disease [5].
- Population
- 8,143 adults in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, mean age 63, without cardiovascular disease at the start. 3,706 had DHEA-S measured twice, 15 years apart [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- One observational cohort. The cut points are percentiles of that study's own participants [5].
Death after a heart attack and in angina, in diet-advice trials
Mixed results: advice to eat fatty fish cut 2-year death 29% in men after a heart attack in one trial, while another found more cardiac death in men with angina.
Compared with men given no advice to eat fish [10][11][12]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In DART, men recovering from a heart attack who were advised to eat more fatty fish had 29% lower all-cause death over 2 years [10] (unadjusted HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.92), followed by higher risk over the next 3 years (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.70), and no substantial long-term survival benefit [11]. In DART-2, men with angina advised to eat two portions of oily fish a week or take fish oil capsules had no fall in all-cause death, and higher cardiac death (adjusted HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.58) and sudden cardiac death (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.23), largely in the group given capsules [12].
- Population
- 2,033 men, mean age 56.5, recovering from a heart attack [10]. 3,114 men under 70 with angina, followed 3 to 9 years [12].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Trials of dietary advice, so the fish actually eaten varied. DART-2 combined fish and capsule advice, and its authors call the excess cardiac death unexplained [12]. Trials of fish oil supplements are on the fish-oil page.
Outcomes in trials that raised testosterone
Limited evidence: the large testosterone treatment trials enrolled men by total testosterone, so they do not show what correcting a low free testosterone alone does.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A trial of 790 men aged 65 or older enrolled on a total testosterone below 275 ng/dL and found improved sexual function with no benefit for vitality or walking distance [15]. A trial of 5,246 men enrolled on two fasting total testosterone levels below 300 ng/dL and found no difference in major cardiac events (hazard ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.17) [16]. The American Urological Association states that total and free testosterone are not interchangeable and that no clear data point to consistent thresholds between the two below which symptoms appear and above which treatment benefits occur [3].
- Population
- 790 men treated for 1 year [15]. 5,246 men aged 45 to 80, mean follow-up 33.0 months [16].
- Sources
- [15], [16], [3]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. Neither trial reports results by free testosterone level in its abstract.
Heart rate variability at rest, Apple Watch Series 6
Mixed results: one study of 78 adults found Apple Watch Series 6 matched ECG for average beat intervals at rest but showed a 31% error for beat-to-beat variability.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 6, recording through the Breathe app
- Compared with
- Biopac 3-lead ECG
- Effect
- At rest, mean absolute percentage error was 1.15% for R-R intervals and beats per minute, which the authors called near-perfect agreement. For the study's beat-to-beat variability measure, which it terms N-N intervals, error at rest was 31.31%, with moderate agreement. Agreement was highest at rest and lower while talking, watching a film and around walking [3].
- Population
- 78 healthy adults aged 20 to 75, tested in a laboratory [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- Healthy volunteers in one laboratory session. The study received no external funding [3].
Heart rate variability at rest, Firstbeat Textile Strap, Oura Ring 2nd generation, Polar H10 and smartphone camera apps
Mixed results: one study of 5 adults found errors in resting RMSSD from 4% to 112% across seven device and app pairings.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Polar H10 chest strap read through the Elite HRV and HRV4Training apps, Firstbeat Textile Strap, Oura Ring 2nd generation, and three iPhone 8 camera apps (Camera HRV, Elite HRV, HRV4Training)
- Compared with
- Shimmer3 multi-lead ECG
- Effect
- Mean absolute percentage error for RMSSD was 4.10% for Polar H10 with HRV4Training, 6.84% for Oura, 7.66% for Polar H10 with Elite HRV, 8.71% and 9.43% for the Elite HRV and HRV4Training camera readings, 11.27% for the Firstbeat strap and 112.36% for Camera HRV. Concordance correlation with ECG ranged from 0.98 (Polar H10 with HRV4Training) to 0.04 (Camera HRV), with Oura at 0.91 [5].
- Population
- 5 healthy young adults contributing 148 resting trials [5].
- Sources
- [5]
- Caveats
- Five participants. The same chest strap gave different errors through two apps. The study received no external funding [5].
Heart rate variability at rest, Garmin vivoactive 4
Mixed results: one study in 263 people found Garmin pulse data matched ECG for longer-term variability measures and showed moderate concordance of 0.66 for RMSSD.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin vivoactive 4, using the watch's optical pulse signal analyzed by the researchers
- Compared with
- High-resolution (1000 Hz) ECG, 30 minutes under standardized conditions
- Effect
- Lin's concordance with ECG was 0.9998 for mean heart rate, 0.9617 for SDANN and 0.9613 for very low frequency power. Concordance was 0.6617 for rMSSD and 0.5919 for the short-term fractal exponent, which the authors called moderate. They advised caution with markers of short-term variability [6].
- Population
- 104 survivors of heart attack, 129 patients after ischemic stroke and 30 controls [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Mostly patients with cardiovascular disease, at rest. Variability was computed by the researchers from the pulse signal, so the figures do not describe the number the watch displays [6].
Nighttime heart rate variability, Apple Watch S6, Garmin Forerunner 245 Music, Oura Ring Generation 2, Polar Vantage V, Somfit and WHOOP 3.0
Mixed results: one study of 53 young adults found intraclass correlation with ECG from 0.24 to 0.99 across six devices, and every device underestimated heart rate variability.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch S6, Garmin Forerunner 245 Music, Oura Ring Generation 2, Polar Vantage V, Somfit, WHOOP 3.0
- Compared with
- ECG during or just before one night of laboratory sleep
- Effect
- Against ECG, WHOOP underestimated heart rate variability by 4.5 ms (intraclass correlation 0.99), Polar by 8.7 ms (0.65), Apple Watch by 9.6 ms (0.67), Oura by 10.2 ms (0.63), Somfit by 20.5 ms (0.69) and Garmin by 22.4 ms (0.24). For every device except WHOOP, readings were overestimated at low values and underestimated at high values [14].
- Population
- 53 healthy adults (26 women), mean age 25.4, one night [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- The authors belong to a research group that receives funding and equipment from WHOOP Inc. and state WHOOP had no role in the study. Sampling periods differed by device, from 3 minutes near the start of sleep (Garmin) to 4 hours within sleep (Polar), and were not specified for Apple Watch and Oura. Apple Watch values were read through Sleep Watch, a third-party app [14].
Nighttime heart rate variability, Garmin Fenix 6, Oura Generation 3, Oura Generation 4, Polar Grit X Pro and WHOOP 4.0
Mixed results: one study of 13 adults over 536 nights found nightly heart rate variability error against ECG ranged from 6% to 16% across five devices.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin Fenix 6, Oura Generation 3, Oura Generation 4, Polar Grit X Pro, WHOOP 4.0
- Compared with
- ECG worn during sleep
- Effect
- Mean absolute percentage error for nightly heart rate variability was 5.96% for Oura Generation 4 (concordance 0.99), 7.15% for Oura Generation 3 (0.97), 8.17% for WHOOP 4.0 (0.94), 10.52% for Garmin Fenix 6 (0.87) and 16.32% for Polar Grit X Pro (0.82). The authors rated the Garmin and Polar concordance as "poor" and the WHOOP concordance as "moderate". For resting heart rate, error was 1.67% to 3.00% across the four devices analyzed [16].
- Population
- 13 healthy adults (6 women), 536 nights in total [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- Thirteen participants. Funded by the US Air Force Research Laboratory, and the authors declared no competing interests. Firmware versions are not reported in the abstract [16].
Nighttime heart rate variability, WHOOP 2.0
Mixed results: one study of 6 adults found WHOOP 2.0 within 6% of ECG during deep sleep, an error as large as the changes it is used to detect.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- WHOOP 2.0
- Compared with
- ECG during slow-wave sleep
- Effect
- For the natural log of RMSSD, bias was 1.66% (SD 1.80) and limits of agreement plus or minus 5.93% with the company's own filter. These approached or exceeded the smallest worthwhile change (1.5 to 6.5%) and the coefficient of variation (3 to 13%) for the measure. Heart rate bias was 0.39% or less, well under its smallest worthwhile change [20].
- Population
- 6 healthy young adults (3 women), mean age 22.9, over 15 sleep opportunities in a laboratory [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- Six participants. One author's position was later sponsored by WHOOP Inc., an arrangement the paper says began after data collection [20].
Heart rate variability over 24 hours, Samsung Gear Sport
Mixed results: one study of 28 adults found Samsung Gear Sport RMSSD correlated 0.78 with ECG during sleep and 0.25 while awake.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Samsung Gear Sport smartwatch
- Compared with
- Shimmer3 chest ECG over 24 hours of daily life
- Effect
- In 5 minute windows during sleep, RMSSD correlated 0.778 with ECG with a mean bias of -18.24 ms and a mean absolute error of 22.44 ms. While awake, the correlation was 0.251 and the mean absolute error 32.11 ms. Heart rate correlated 0.941 with ECG during sleep and 0.675 while awake [21].
- Population
- 28 adults (14 women) going about their daily routines for 24 hours [21].
- Sources
- [21]
- Caveats
- Variability was computed by the researchers from the watch's pulse signal. The authors concluded the watch gave acceptable time-domain values during sleep and not while awake [21].
Erectile function
Mixed results: erectile function scores rose 88% in an uncontrolled study of 30 men, and a sham-controlled trial after prostate surgery found no difference.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 30 men with erectile dysfunction for about 4 years, 40 daily sessions improved the erectile function score by 88% (p < 0.0001), and 80% reported a positive outcome [20]. In 109 men randomized after nerve-sparing prostatectomy to hyperbaric oxygen or air under pressure, no outcome differed between groups at 18 months [21].
- Population
- 30 men with a mean age of 59, no control group [20]. 109 men aged 40 to 65, 83 of whom completed follow-up [21].
- Sources
- [20], [21]
- Caveats
- The positive study had no control group. The two studies enrolled different kinds of patients.
Blood pressure
Mixed results: blood pressure fell right after sessions in small studies, while pooled heart failure trials found no lasting change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 31 people with treated hypertension, systolic pressure fell from 118.5 to 115.1 mmHg and diastolic from 70.5 to 65.9 mmHg after a single session (P < .001). After repeated sessions the fall was not significant overall, and was significant in 11 non-smokers (124.2 to 108.8 mmHg systolic) [12]. In 12 healthy adults, mean arterial pressure was 9 mmHg lower immediately after 45 minutes at 65°C [13]. Pooled heart failure trials found no significant effect on systolic or diastolic pressure [1]. A single session in 10 healthy women did not change blood pressure compared with rest [11]. A 2009 review of 9 papers found limited moderate evidence for normalizing blood pressure [14].
- Population
- 31 people with hypertension, mean age 64, no control group [12]. 12 healthy adults [13]. People with heart failure [1]. 10 healthy women [11].
- Sources
- [12], [13], [1], [11], [14]
- Caveats
- The hypertension study had no control group, and its subgroup finding in non-smokers rests on 11 people [12]. No randomized trial of infrared sauna for high blood pressure was located.
Furosemide before a blood transfusion
Limited evidence: four small trials of furosemide before transfusion measured only breathing and pressure markers, and a Cochrane review found too little evidence to judge clinical benefit.
Compared with no diuretic or placebo before transfusion [13]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- One study found better inspired oxygen fraction and two found better pulmonary capillary wedge pressure with furosemide. None measured clinically important outcomes such as transfusion-related fluid overload [13].
- Population
- 100 people in 4 trials [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- Too small and too narrow to show clinical benefit or harm [13].
Blood pressure
Small trials found mixed results: one review found blood pressure about 3 mmHg lower, while double-blind placebo trials alone found no significant change.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of 12 trials (922 people) found systolic pressure 3.22 mmHg lower (95% CI -5.52 to -0.92) and diastolic pressure 1.91 mmHg lower (95% CI -3.64 to -0.18) [6]. A meta-analysis limited to 7 double-blind, placebo-controlled trials (626 people) found no significant change in systolic (WMD -0.028, 95% CI -0.182 to 0.127) or diastolic pressure (WMD -0.144, 95% CI -0.299 to 0.010) [7]. In one trial of 61 people with cardiovascular risk, diastolic pressure was 3.00 mmHg lower, at very low certainty [4].
- Population
- Adults in blood pressure trials [6][7]. People with cardiovascular disease or risk factors [4].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [4]
- Caveats
- The reviews disagree. In the first, the systolic effect was larger when Pycnogenol was given with other treatments [6].
Heart disease and stroke, in cohorts by sodium intake
Mixed results: in cohorts, higher measured sodium was linked to more cardiovascular events, while one large study found the link only where average intake exceeded 5 g a day.
Compared with people in the lowest quarter of sodium excretion [14]; communities with lower mean sodium intake [15]; people excreting 4.00 to 5.99 g of sodium a day [13]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 10,709 adults with at least two 24-hour urine collections, the highest quarter of sodium excretion was linked to more cardiovascular events than the lowest (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.14), and each extra 1,000 mg a day to 18% more (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.29) [14]. Across 255 communities, sodium was linked to cardiovascular events and stroke only where mean intake was above 5 g a day, and in the lowest third of intake (mean 4.04 g a day) higher sodium was linked to fewer events [15]. In the same program, intakes below 3 g and above 7 g a day were both linked to more events than 4 to 6 g [13].
- Population
- 10,709 adults in 6 cohorts, median follow-up 8.8 years [14]. 82,544 adults in 255 communities in 18 countries, median 8.1 years [15]. 101,945 adults in 17 countries [13].
- Sources
- [14], [15], [13]
- Caveats
- Observational. Studies using several 24-hour urine samples [14] found a straight-line link, while those using one morning sample [15][13] found a curve, and how sodium is measured is part of the disagreement. Confounding and reverse causation are possible.
Blood clots in veins
Mixed results: Finnish men using a sauna 2 to 3 times a week had fewer venous clots than men using it once, and men at 4 or more did not.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 24.9 years, 146 of 2,242 men (6.5%) had a venous thromboembolism. Against one session a week or fewer, adjusted hazard ratios were 0.67 (95% CI 0.46 to 0.96) at 2 to 3 sessions and 0.92 (95% CI 0.51 to 1.68) at 4 or more [32].
- Population
- 2,242 Finnish men aged 42 to 61 with no history of venous thromboembolism [32].
- Sources
- [32]
- Caveats
- Observational, one cohort. The most frequent users showed no association, so there is no dose pattern.
Coronary artery disease and stroke in genetic studies of transferrin
Limited evidence: two genetic studies tied higher transferrin, the protein behind TIBC, to slightly more coronary artery disease and slightly less stroke.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In Mendelian randomization studies using three gene variants tied to iron status, the odds ratio per standard deviation higher transferrin was 1.08 for coronary artery disease (95% CI 1.01 to 1.16) and 0.92 for stroke (0.86 to 0.99). The authors read a higher transferrin as a sign of lower iron status. The same studies found higher serum iron associated with less coronary artery disease and more stroke [8][9].
- Population
- Gene associations with iron status from 48,972 people. Coronary artery disease data from 60,801 cases and 123,504 controls combined with a second set of 63,746 cases and 130,681 controls. Stroke data from the MEGASTROKE consortium [8][9].
- Sources
- [8], [9]
- Caveats
- The studies measured transferrin, not TIBC. They estimate a lifelong genetic difference in iron status from three variants and do not show what a single reading means. The two outcomes point in opposite directions [8][9].
Artery and valve calcification
Small trials found mixed results: vitamin K slowed artery calcification in some trials but not valve calcification in men. Calcification is a scan marker.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 13 controlled trials (2,162 people), vitamin K reduced vascular calcification by 9.1% (95% CI 0.5 to 17.7) against control, with no significant change in arterial stiffness [4]. Over 2 years, coronary calcium scores rose from a median 145 to 214 on placebo and from 135 to 184 on 360 µg MK-7 a day, a significant difference [5]. In men with aortic valve calcification, 720 µg MK-7 plus vitamin D for 2 years did not change valve calcium progression (difference 17 units, 95% CI -86 to 53) or aortic and coronary calcium [6]. In 398 people with severe coronary calcification, 720 µg vitamin K2 plus 25 µg vitamin D a day for 24 months slowed the rise in calcium score (196 against 248 units, difference -52, 95% CI -79 to -24). Total plaque volume rose similarly in both groups [7].
- Population
- 13 controlled trials with 2,162 participants [4]; 180 Dutch patients with symptomatic coronary disease [5]; 365 men from the community averaging 71 years [6]; 398 adults with a calcium score of 400 or more, median age 71 [7].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Calcification is a scan marker, not heart attack or death. The meta-analysis notes few studies and substantial heterogeneity [4]. The valve trial was funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation [6]. The two 720 µg trials gave vitamin D with vitamin K2 [6][7].
VO2 max, Apple Watch Series 7
Mixed results: one study of 19 adults found Apple Watch Series 7 estimates averaged 4.5 mL/kg/min below laboratory VO2 max, with a mean error of 15.8%.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 7
- Compared with
- Gas analysis during a graded cycle ergometer test to exhaustion
- Effect
- Laboratory VO2 max averaged 45.88 mL/kg/min (SD 9.42) against 41.37 (SD 6.5) from the watch (P = .01). Mean absolute percentage error was 15.79%, root mean square error 8.85 mL/kg/min and intraclass correlation 0.47 (95% CI 0.06 to 0.75). The authors reported acceptable overall agreement on Bland-Altman analysis alongside low reliability, with overestimation at low fitness and underestimation at high fitness [2].
- Population
- 19 adults (7 women) aged 18 to 63, who wore the watch for at least 2 days and completed an outdoor run [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- Nineteen participants. The laboratory test was on a cycle and the watch estimate came from running [2].
VO2 max, Garmin Forerunner 230 and Polar V800
Mixed results: one study of 44 adults found random errors of 6.6 to 16.4 mL/kg/min for two watches, with the resting-based estimate overestimating in men.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin Forerunner 230, which estimates from a 10 minute outdoor run, and Polar V800, which estimates from heart rate at rest
- Compared with
- A treadmill VO2 max test
- Effect
- Bland-Altman analysis showed random errors from 6.6 to 16.4 mL/kg/min, larger for the Polar watch. In men, the Polar estimate ran 3.87 mL/kg/min above the Garmin estimate (p = 0.013). The authors concluded the Garmin watch estimated VO2 max in both sexes and the Polar watch in women but not men, and that both carry large random error [7].
- Population
- 22 women and 22 men [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- The abstract does not report mean bias against the laboratory for each watch. Published in 2021 [7].
VO2 max, Google Pixel Watch 3
Mixed results: one study of 34 adults found Pixel Watch 3 estimates within 0.5 mL/kg/min of laboratory VO2 max on average, with limits of agreement of 12 either way.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Google Pixel Watch 3
- Compared with
- Indirect calorimetry during a maximal treadmill test
- Effect
- Bias was -0.53 mL/kg/min with limits of agreement from -12.56 to 11.50 and a mean absolute percentage error of 8.65%. The authors concluded the estimates lack individual-level validity for clinical use while the low bias suggests use for population monitoring. In the same study, heart rate bias was -2.39 beats per minute (error 2.73%) and energy expenditure error 15.02% [13].
- Population
- 34 participants, with watch estimates generated in daily life [13].
- Sources
- [13]
- Caveats
- One watch generation and 34 participants [13].
VO2 max, Polar Fitness Test on Polar Vantage M2
Mixed results: one study of 24 adults with cardiovascular risk factors found the resting Polar Fitness Test within 1 mL/kg/min on average, with limits of 11.4 either way.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Polar Fitness Test, a resting test, run on a Polar Vantage M2
- Compared with
- Cardiopulmonary exercise testing on a treadmill
- Effect
- Mean bias was -1.0 mL/kg/min with limits of agreement of plus or minus 11.4, a mean absolute percentage error of 13.7% and an intraclass correlation of 0.743. One of five walk-test equations performed similarly (error 12.6%). The authors concluded the test may serve at population level and that its variability limits use for individual clinical decisions [14].
- Population
- 24 adults (9 women), mean age 57.4, in medically supervised exercise training, 7 of them on heart rate-limiting medication [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Twenty-four participants, some on medication that lowers heart rate [14].
Heart rate, Apple Watch 6, Fitbit Sense and Polar Vantage V
Mixed results: one study of 60 young adults found heart rate error under 5% for Apple Watch 6 in five activities and up to 11% for the other two watches.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch 6, Fitbit Sense, Polar Vantage V
- Compared with
- Polar H10 chest strap, not ECG
- Effect
- Across sitting, walking, running, resistance exercises and cycling, the coefficient of variation for heart rate was under 5% in all five activities for Apple Watch 6, 2.44 to 8.80% for Polar Vantage V and 4.14 to 10.76% for Fitbit Sense [2].
- Population
- 60 healthy young adults (30 women), mean age 24.9 [2].
- Sources
- [2]
- Caveats
- The reference was a chest strap. Young, lean, healthy volunteers [2].
Heart rate, Apple Watch Series 4, Fitbit Versa, Garmin Fenix 5 and Polar Vantage V
Mixed results: one study of 25 adults found heart rate error from 1% to 19% across four watches, depending on device and running speed.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 4, Fitbit Versa, Garmin Fenix 5, Polar Vantage V
- Compared with
- Polar H7 chest strap, not ECG
- Effect
- Across sitting, walking, running at four speeds and intermittent sprints, the coefficient of variation for heart rate was 0.9 to 4.3% for Apple Watch Series 4, 2.2 to 6.7% for Polar Vantage V, 2.9 to 9.2% for Garmin Fenix 5 and 4.1 to 19.1% for Fitbit Versa. The authors judged the Apple and Polar watches suitable at the intensities tested and advised caution with the Garmin and Fitbit readings at certain intensities [4].
- Population
- 25 adults, each wearing all four watches [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The reference was a chest strap. Five minutes per activity in one session. Firmware versions are not reported in the abstract [4].
Heart rate, Polar Vantage V2 and Polar Verity Sense
One study of 16 adults found a 1.4% heart rate error for an optical band on the upper arm and 6.8% for a watch on the wrist.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Polar Verity Sense, worn on the upper arm, and Polar Vantage V2, worn on the wrist
- Compared with
- Polar H10 chest strap
- Effect
- Across nine activities from lying down to high-intensity intervals, the upper-arm band had a bias of -0.05 beats per minute, a mean absolute error of 1.43 and a mean absolute percentage error of 1.35%. The wrist watch on the non-dominant wrist had a bias of 2.56 beats per minute, a mean absolute error of 6.41 and a mean absolute percentage error of 6.82% (concordance 0.92), and its accuracy varied considerably by activity [7].
- Population
- 16 healthy adults (7 women), mean age 27.4, two sessions each [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Sixteen participants and a chest strap reference. The authors declared no conflicts of interest [7].
Heart rate during resistance exercise, Apple Watch Series 8, Fitbit Charge 5, Garmin Vivosmart 5 and Samsung Galaxy Watch 5
Mixed results: one study of 70 men found Apple Watch Series 8 within 2 beats of ECG during lifting, while two watches read 20 to 26 beats low after sets.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 8, Fitbit Charge 5, Garmin Vivosmart 5, Samsung Galaxy Watch 5
- Compared with
- ECG
- Effect
- For mean heart rate across the session, Apple Watch Series 8 had a bias of -0.36 beats per minute, a mean absolute error of 1.81 and an intraclass correlation of 0.969. For dynamic heart rate across the protocol, its mean absolute error was 4.95 beats per minute (intraclass correlation 0.904). Immediately after each set, the Samsung and Fitbit devices underestimated ECG heart rate by 25.60 and 19.59 beats per minute [14].
- Population
- 70 healthy men aged 20 to 39 performing bench press, T-bar row, squat and deadlift at 10-repetition maximum loads [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- Men only. The abstract gives full figures only for the Apple Watch [14].
Not shown to help74
Exercise performance
Not shown to improve VO2 max or exercise performance in athletes or healthy adults, though it raised blood CoQ10.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 24 studies, CoQ10 consistently raised blood CoQ10. Performance effects were small and inconsistent. A small chronic benefit was no longer stable after outliers were removed, and acute dosing showed no benefit [11]. In athletes, VO2max did not change (7 studies, SMD 0.03, 95% CI -0.32 to 0.39), nor did anaerobic threshold [12]. Across 14 RCTs (433 participants), VO2max and blood lactate did not change [13]. In 33 trials (3,317 participants) in adults aged 40 and over, VO2peak rose 0.73 mL/kg/min (95% CI -0.07 to 1.54), compatible with no benefit, and estimates for walking distance, grip and leg strength, chair rises and lean mass were uncertain [14].
- Population
- Healthy adults in randomized trials [11]; athletes and trained people [12]; exercising adults [13]; middle-aged and older adults [14].
- Sources
- [11], [12], [13], [14]
- Caveats
- Certainty was very low to low [11][14]. Risk of bias raised some concerns in 23 of 24 athlete studies [12].
Death and cardiovascular events
Not shown to change deaths, cardiovascular events or stroke in adults. Coronary events and heart attacks fell slightly, by about 8% to 9%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Long-chain omega-3 made little or no difference to all-cause mortality (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.01, 45 RCTs), cardiovascular events (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.01, 43 RCTs) or stroke (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.12). Coronary heart disease events fell slightly (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.97, number needed to treat 167, low certainty) [1]. A meta-analysis of 13 large trials (127,477 people, mean 5.0 years) found lower myocardial infarction (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.99), coronary death (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.98) and total cardiovascular disease (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.99) with REDUCE-IT excluded, and a linear dose-response for total cardiovascular disease [6].
- Population
- 143,693 adults for mortality [1]; 127,477 adults in 13 cardiovascular outcome trials [6].
- Sources
- [1], [6]
- Caveats
- The two reviews agree on small effect sizes and differ in emphasis. Adding REDUCE-IT, a trial of high-dose purified EPA, strengthened the associations but introduced significant heterogeneity [6]. Effects in [1] did not differ by dose or trial duration.
Heart attack and death in trials of drugs that raised HDL cholesterol
Not shown to cut heart attacks or deaths when raised by drugs: pooled trials of niacin, fibrates and CETP inhibitors in 117,411 patients found no reduction on statins.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of 39 trials, no significant effect on death from any cause was seen for niacin (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.15), fibrates (0.98, 0.89 to 1.08) or CETP inhibitors (1.16, 0.93 to 1.44). Niacin reduced non-fatal heart attack in trials run before statins (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.85) and not in trials where statins were taken (0.96, 0.85 to 1.09) [10]. A meta-regression of 108 trials found no association between the change in HDL cholesterol a treatment produced and coronary events or deaths, once the change in LDL cholesterol was accounted for [11]. Among CETP inhibitors, torcetrapib raised HDL cholesterol 72.1% and increased cardiovascular events (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.44) and death from any cause (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.14 to 2.19) [12]. Dalcetrapib raised it 31 to 40% with no effect on events (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.16) [13]. Evacetrapib raised it 133.2% and lowered LDL cholesterol 31.1% with no effect on events (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.11) [14]. Anacetrapib raised it by 43 mg/dL, lowered non-HDL cholesterol by 17 mg/dL and reduced major coronary events (rate ratio 0.91, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.97) [15]. Adding niacin to a statin raised HDL cholesterol from 35 to 42 mg/dL in one trial (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.21) and by 6 mg/dL in another (rate ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03), without fewer events in either [16][17].
- Population
- 117,411 patients in 39 trials [10]. 299,310 participants in 108 trials [11]. 15,067, 15,871, 12,092 and 30,449 patients at high cardiovascular risk in the four CETP inhibitor trials [12][13][14][15]. 3,414 and 25,673 patients with vascular disease in the two niacin trials [16][17].
- Sources
- [10], [11], [12], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks risk is not always one whose raising changes it. Torcetrapib also raised blood pressure, an effect its investigators considered off-target [12]. The one trial with fewer events also lowered non-HDL cholesterol [15]. Niacin with laropiprant increased serious adverse events [17].
Heart attack and death in trials that lowered homocysteine
Not shown to fall when homocysteine is lowered: B vitamins cut homocysteine about 25%, and heart attacks and deaths did not differ from placebo across pooled trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of individual data from 8 placebo-controlled trials, folic acid lowered homocysteine by an average of 25% and had no significant effect on major vascular events (rate ratio 1.01, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.05) or major coronary events (1.03, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.10), overall or in any subgroup studied. Nor did it change overall cancer incidence (1.05, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.13) or death from any cause (1.02, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.08) [7]. A Cochrane review of 15 trials found no difference from placebo in heart attack (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10, 12 trials) or death from any cause (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.06, 11 trials), and judged that further trials were unlikely to change the finding [8].
- Population
- 37,485 people at increased cardiovascular risk in 8 trials, median follow-up 5 years, 9,326 major vascular events [7]. 71,422 participants in 15 trials with follow-up of 1 to 7.3 years [8].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- The pooled trials ran for a median of 5 years in people at increased risk of cardiovascular disease, so they say little about longer treatment or lower-risk people [7].
Heart attack, stroke and death in type 2 diabetes
Not shown to lower heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular death or death from any cause in type 2 diabetes, in one large trial and two meta-analyses.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 6.2 years, cardiovascular outcomes occurred at 2.94 per 100 person-years on insulin glargine and 2.85 on standard care (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.11) [8]. Across 20 trials, insulin did not change death from any cause against other glucose-lowering drugs (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.06) or against diet or placebo (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.07), and did not change cardiovascular death (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.09) [7]. A network meta-analysis of 301 trials found no significant differences between any drug class in cardiovascular or all-cause mortality [6]. Between two basal insulins, major cardiovascular events occurred in 8.5% on degludec and 9.3% on glargine (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.06) [9].
- Population
- 12,537 people with cardiovascular risk factors and impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes, mean age 63.5 [8]; 18,599 patients in 20 trials [7]; 301 trials [6]; 7,637 patients with type 2 diabetes [9].
- Sources
- [8], [7], [6], [9]
- Caveats
- The glargine trial was funded by the manufacturer and targeted a normal fasting glucose [8].
Torsemide against furosemide in heart failure
Not shown to differ in deaths between torsemide and furosemide in heart failure, 26.1% against 26.2% in the largest trial and in two pooled analyses of trials.
Compared with furosemide [3][4][5][6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- After a hospital stay for heart failure, death occurred in 26.1% on torsemide and 26.2% on furosemide over a median 17.4 months (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.18), and death or hospitalization at 12 months did not differ (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.02) [3]. Pooled trials found no difference in deaths (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.02) or heart failure hospitalization (OR 0.96) [4], and no difference in deaths (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.10) or heart failure readmission (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.52 to 1.38) [5]. A pooled analysis that added nonrandomized studies found fewer heart failure hospitalizations on torsemide (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.99) and no difference in deaths [6].
- Population
- 2,859 adults hospitalized with heart failure at 60 US hospitals, median age 65, 36.9% women [3]; 4,011 patients in 10 trials [4]; 12 trials [5]; 11,996 patients in 17 studies [6].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The large trial was open-label with crossover and loss to follow-up [3]. Hospitalization findings differed between analyses that did and did not include nonrandomized studies [4][6].
Short naps and heart disease and death
Not linked to heart disease or death for naps under an hour in two pooled cohort analyses. One Swiss cohort linked napping once or twice weekly to fewer heart events.
Compared with people who did not nap [6][7][8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Naps under 60 minutes a day were not linked to cardiovascular disease (p = 0.98) or death from any cause (p = 0.08). The dose-response curve for heart disease was J-shaped: risk dipped from 0 to 30 minutes, rose slightly to about 45 minutes and rose sharply after that [6]. Naps under an hour were not linked to death (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.11) or cardiovascular disease (HR 1.03) [7]. In one cohort, napping 1 to 2 times a week was linked to fewer cardiovascular events (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.95), and nap length was not linked to events [8].
- Population
- 151,588 participants in 11 cohorts, mean follow-up 11 years [6]. 371,306 participants in 21 studies [7]. 3,462 Swiss adults without heart disease followed 5.3 years, 155 events [8].
- Sources
- [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- Observational, with naps self-reported. The dip near 30 minutes was not tested against a trial. The Swiss finding rests on few events with a wide interval [8].
Inflammation and blood vessel function
Not shown to lower C-reactive protein in two meta-analyses of nut trials. Blood vessel widening, a measure of vessel function, improved in one.
Compared with control conditions the abstract does not describe [13]; control arms without nuts [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 25 trials, nuts made no significant difference to C-reactive protein (WMD -0.01 mg/L, 95% CI -0.06 to 0.03) or other inflammation markers. Flow-mediated dilation rose 0.79% (95% CI 0.35 to 1.23) across 8 trials [13]. Tree nuts had no significant effect on C-reactive protein in 61 trials [4].
- Population
- 32 randomized trials in adults, 652 participants for vessel function [13]. 2,582 adults in 61 trials [4].
- Sources
- [13], [4]
- Caveats
- The authors note the C-reactive protein result may have been influenced by two studies [13].
Blood pressure
Not shown to lower blood pressure overall, with drops seen at 300 mg a day or more and in people with type 2 diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 17 trials, resveratrol did not significantly change systolic pressure (WMD -2.5 mmHg, 95% CI -5.5 to 0.6), diastolic pressure (WMD -0.5 mmHg, 95% CI -2.2 to 1.3) or mean pressure. Significant effects appeared in subsets with 300 mg a day or more and with diabetes [3]. A second meta-analysis found no change in systolic (WMD 0.82 mmHg, 95% CI -8.86 to 10.50) or diastolic pressure [4]. An umbrella review of 45 systematic reviews rated as high certainty a drop in people with type 2 diabetes of 7.97 mmHg systolic (95% CI 5.31 to 10.63) and 3.55 mmHg diastolic (95% CI 1.93 to 5.18) [5].
- Population
- 17 RCTs [3]; 10 RCTs with 11 arms [4]; meta-analyses of RCTs [5].
- Sources
- [3], [4], [5]
- Caveats
- Heterogeneity was moderate, with I² of 62% for systolic pressure [3]. The subgroup findings come from smaller sets of trials.
Heart attack, stroke and death
Not shown to lower or raise heart attack, stroke or death against other diabetes drugs, in two large trials and a meta-analysis of 47 trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 6.3 years, the cardiovascular composite occurred in 12.0% on glimepiride and 11.8% on linagliptin (HR 0.98, 95.47% CI 0.84 to 1.14) [5]. Added to metformin, it occurred at 1.5 per 100 person-years on sulfonylureas and 1.5 on pioglitazone (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.26) [6]. Across 47 trials of at least 52 weeks, sulfonylureas were not associated with death from any cause (OR 1.12, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.30), cardiovascular death (OR 1.12, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.42), heart attack (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.12) or stroke (OR 1.16, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.66) [7]. A network meta-analysis of 301 trials found no significant differences between drug classes in cardiovascular or all-cause mortality [8].
- Population
- 6,033 adults with type 2 diabetes and raised cardiovascular risk, mean age 64.0 [5]; 3,028 patients on metformin, 11% with a previous cardiovascular event [6]; 37,650 patients in 47 trials [7]; 301 trials [8].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7], [8]
- Caveats
- One trial was stopped early for futility [6]. A Bayesian meta-analysis reached a different result. See the cardiovascular death block under risks.
Blood pressure and cardiometabolic markers
Not shown to change blood pressure, cholesterol or body fat in adults. Fasting glucose and CRP fell very slightly.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 10 RCTs, tart cherry juice did not change blood pressure, cholesterol, triglycerides or body fat. Fasting glucose fell by 0.51 mg/dL [4]. Across 21 trials, blood pressure, heart rate, hs-CRP and IL-6 did not change, while CRP fell by 0.39 mg/L (95% CI -0.74 to -0.05, moderate certainty) [5]. A 3-month trial in 50 middle-aged adults found no change in vascular or metabolic measures [6].
- Population
- Adults across 10 to 21 RCTs [4][5]; middle-aged adults, 30 mL concentrate twice a day [6].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- A 0.51 mg/dL glucose change is very small. The 3-month trial was funded by the Cherry Research Committee [6].
Compared with DOACs in atrial fibrillation
Not shown to match DOACs in atrial fibrillation: stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 3.69% on warfarin against 3.01%, with about twice the brain bleeds.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across four trials, DOACs lowered stroke or systemic embolism by 19% against warfarin (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.91) and death by 10% (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.95) [4]. In patient-level data, stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 3.69% on warfarin against 3.01% on a standard-dose DOAC, death in 8.42% against 7.76% and intracranial bleeding in 1.40% against 0.63% [5]. In rheumatic heart disease with atrial fibrillation, the result went the other way, with fewer cardiovascular events or deaths on a vitamin K antagonist than on rivaroxaban [6].
- Population
- 71,683 participants in four trials, 29,272 of them on warfarin [4][5]; 4,531 patients with rheumatic heart disease and atrial fibrillation [6].
- Sources
- [4], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- The four trials were funded by DOAC manufacturers. The gap in major bleeding was larger at trial centers where warfarin control was poorer [4].
62 more
Compared with ARBs
Not shown to differ from ARBs in deaths or cardiovascular events in people with high blood pressure or vascular disease. Fewer people stopped ARBs over side effects.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 9 head-to-head trials lasting at least a year, total mortality (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.10), total cardiovascular events (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.19) and cardiovascular mortality (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.13) did not differ between ACE inhibitors and ARBs. Withdrawals over adverse effects were lower on ARBs (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.93), an absolute difference of 1.8% over 4.1 years, mainly from dry cough on ACE inhibitors [14]. In ONTARGET, the composite of cardiovascular death, heart attack, stroke or heart failure hospitalization occurred in 16.5% on ramipril and 16.7% on telmisartan (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.09) [15].
- Population
- 11,007 people with primary hypertension in 9 trials [14]; 17,118 people with vascular disease or high-risk diabetes assigned to ramipril or telmisartan, median 56 months [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors rated the evidence moderate for mortality and low for cardiovascular events, citing possible publication bias [14].
Heart disease and stroke
Not linked to cardiovascular disease overall in a meta-analysis of 29 cohorts, with a slightly lower rate of coronary heart disease and a slightly higher rate of stroke.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of 29 prospective cohorts found no evidence of an association of ALT with cardiovascular disease. In stratified analyses ALT was somewhat inversely associated with coronary heart disease (relative risk 0.95, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.00) and positively associated with stroke (1.01, 1.00 to 1.02) [15]. In US adults, ALT above 30 U/L in men or 19 U/L in women was not associated with cardiovascular death (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.4) [11].
- Population
- Over 1.23 million participants and 20,406 cardiovascular outcomes in 29 cohorts, which also covered other liver enzymes [15]. 14,950 US adults [11].
- Sources
- [15], [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors asked for more study of the opposite directions seen for coronary heart disease and stroke [15].
Compared with febuxostat
Not shown to differ from febuxostat in gout flares or major cardiovascular events. One trial found fewer deaths on allopurinol.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 3 trials, gout attacks over 8 to 24 weeks occurred in 21% on allopurinol up to 300 mg and 23% on febuxostat 80 mg (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.1) [1]. At fixed doses, 21% on allopurinol 300 mg reached the urate target against 53% and 62% on febuxostat 80 and 120 mg, with flares over weeks 9 to 52 in 64%, 64% and 70% [2]. With doses raised to target, flares in the last phase were 36.5% on allopurinol and 43.5% on febuxostat [4]. In people with gout and cardiovascular disease, the main cardiovascular outcome occurred in 10.4% on allopurinol and 10.8% on febuxostat (HR 1.03), and death from any cause was more frequent on febuxostat (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.47), as was cardiovascular death (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.73) [6].
- Population
- 1,136 participants in 3 trials [1]; 760 people with gout [2]; 940 people with gout [4]; 6,190 people with gout and cardiovascular disease followed a median of 32 months [6].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [4], [6]
- Caveats
- In the cardiovascular trial 56.6% stopped the study drug and 45.0% left follow-up [6].
Coronary heart disease in genetic studies
Not shown to protect against coronary disease in genetic studies: gene variants that raise ApoA1 did not go with less disease once ApoB was accounted for.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Mendelian randomization analysis using a variant in the APOA1 gene region, each standard deviation higher ApoA1 had an odds ratio for coronary artery disease of 1.13 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.30), while the observational hazard ratio in the same paper was 0.81 (0.75 to 0.88) [12]. In a second analysis, the odds ratio per standard deviation higher ApoA1 was 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.89) when ApoA1 was analyzed alone and 0.94 (0.76 to 1.17) after adjustment for ApoB, which itself kept an odds ratio of 1.68 (1.54 to 1.84) [13].
- Population
- Genetic data on 20,370 Finnish participants combined with an earlier genome-wide study, applied to 122,733 coronary cases, and 918 incident cases among 11,535 people for the observational estimate [12]. Genetic data from up to 441,016 UK Biobank participants, applied to 60,801 coronary cases and 123,504 controls [13].
- Sources
- [12], [13]
- Caveats
- Gene variants act from birth, so these estimates describe lifelong differences, not a change made later in life. The authors of one analysis note that its single-trait estimates weakened under methods more robust to variants that act through several traits [13].
Compared with ACE inhibitors
Not shown to differ from ACE inhibitors in deaths or cardiovascular events. Fewer people stopped ARBs over side effects, mainly cough.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 9 head-to-head trials in hypertension, total mortality (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.10) and total cardiovascular events (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.19) did not differ, and withdrawals over adverse effects were lower on ARBs (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.93) [15]. In ONTARGET, the main cardiovascular outcome occurred in 16.7% on telmisartan and 16.5% on ramipril (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.09) [16]. After a heart attack with heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction, deaths did not differ between valsartan and captopril (979 against 958, HR 1.00, 97.5% CI 0.90 to 1.11) [17]. In heart failure trials, mortality did not differ between ARBs and ACE inhibitors (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.22), and withdrawals over adverse effects were lower on ARBs (RR 0.63, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.76) [13].
- Population
- 11,007 people in 9 hypertension trials [15]; 17,118 people assigned to telmisartan or ramipril [16]; 9,818 people assigned to valsartan or captopril after a heart attack, median 24.7 months [17]; heart failure trials within a 22-study review [13].
- Sources
- [15], [16], [17], [13]
- Caveats
- The evidence in [16] is for telmisartan and in [17] for valsartan.
Heart disease and stroke
Not linked to cardiovascular disease in a meta-analysis of 29 general population cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A meta-analysis of 29 prospective cohorts found no evidence of an association of AST with cardiovascular disease, defined as coronary heart disease, stroke or both. Two other enzymes in the same analysis, GGT and alkaline phosphatase, were associated with it [7].
- Population
- Over 1.23 million participants and 20,406 cardiovascular outcomes across the 29 cohorts, which also covered other liver enzymes [7].
- Sources
- [7]
- Caveats
- Observational. The abstract gives no pooled estimate for AST [7].
Heart attack, stroke and death
Not shown to change heart attack or death in 15 trials of B6, folic acid or B12. Stroke was about 10% lower.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 15 trials of vitamins B6, B9 or B12, heart attack (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10) and death from any cause (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.06) did not change. Stroke was lower (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.99) [1]. In HOPE-2, folic acid, B6 and B12 lowered homocysteine and did not change major cardiovascular events (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.07) [2].
- Population
- 71,422 participants in 15 trials [1]; 5,522 people aged 55 or older with vascular disease or diabetes, 5 years [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- The Cochrane authors rated heart attack and mortality evidence high quality [1]. Trials tested folic acid, B6 and B12, not full B-complex products.
Asthma, high blood pressure and period pain
Not shown to treat asthma in children, high blood pressure or period pain. Every high- or acceptable-quality trial found manipulation no better than sham.
Compared with sham interventions [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- All randomized trials of acceptable or high quality found spinal manipulation was not superior to sham for infantile colic, childhood asthma, hypertension, primary dysmenorrhea and migraine. No trial tested whether manipulation prevents any of these conditions [10].
- Population
- 6 randomized trials with 534 participants [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- Few trials for each condition. Six of the 50 researchers at the review summit did not approve the final report [10].
Aerobic endurance
Not shown to change aerobic performance, perceived effort or lactate in healthy adults across 10 trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Across 10 placebo-controlled studies, citrulline did not change aerobic performance (SMD 0.15, 95% CI -0.02 to 0.32), perceived exertion (-0.03), oxygen uptake kinetics (0.01) or lactate (0.25, 95% CI -0.10 to 0.59) [6].
- Population
- Healthy adults in aerobic tests [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- The authors note chronic protocols showed a positive tendency that has not been tested in enough trials [6].
Blood pressure
Not shown to change blood pressure in pooled trials. Cohorts linked coffee to no change or slightly lower risk of high blood pressure.
Compared with less or no coffee [14]; people drinking no coffee [15]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pooled randomized trials found no significant change in systolic (-0.55 mmHg, 95% CI -2.46 to 1.36) or diastolic pressure (-0.45 mmHg, 95% CI -1.52 to 0.61). Pooled cohorts found no link with developing hypertension (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.08) [14]. A later dose-response analysis of cohorts found 2% lower hypertension risk per daily cup (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.98 to 0.99), and 0.92 at 6 cups a day [15].
- Population
- 10 randomized trials of at least 1 week and 5 cohorts [14]. 243,869 people and 58,094 hypertension cases in 10 cohort studies [15].
- Sources
- [14], [15], [12]
- Caveats
- The trial evidence was rated low in quality [14]. Caffeinated coffee raised blood pressure within the hour in a single-morning trial [12], and caffeine on its own raises it slightly (see the caffeine page).
Endurance training adaptations
Not shown to change gains from endurance training, for better or worse, in one meta-analysis and a later 5-week trial.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Regular cold water immersion with endurance training had no effect on time-trial mean power or maximal aerobic power (SMD -0.07, 95% CI -0.54 to 0.53) or on time-trial duration (SMD 0.00, 95% CI -0.58 to 0.58) [7]. In 16 men doing interval training 3 times a week for 5 weeks, 15 minutes at 11.2°C after each session did not change VO2 max, running time to failure, or muscle markers of adaptation and inflammation relative to training alone [12].
- Population
- Participants in controlled endurance training studies [7]. 16 healthy men, 9 using cold immersion and 7 controls [12].
- Sources
- [7], [12], [6]
- Caveats
- Few small trials with wide intervals. An umbrella review found endurance performance improved immediately after immersion with no later benefit and no effect on adaptations [6].
Cardiovascular disease in genetic studies
Not shown to cause cardiovascular disease in a genetic study: people with a variant that lowers cystatin C had the same risk.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Mendelian randomization analysis using a common variant in the cystatin C gene, each copy of which lowered serum cystatin C by 6.13%, the causal relative risk of cardiovascular disease was 1.00 per doubling of cystatin C (95% CI 0.82 to 1.22). This differed significantly from the observational estimate of 1.82. No causal effect was detected for coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke or heart failure taken singly [16].
- Population
- Genetic data from 43 studies with 252,216 participants and 63,292 cardiovascular events [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- One analysis using a single variant that explained 2.8% of the variation in cystatin C. It tests cystatin C itself as a cause and does not test kidney function, which cystatin C is measured to reflect [16].
Heart disease, stroke and death from any cause
Not linked to heart disease, cardiovascular disease or death from any cause for total dairy or milk, in 29 pooled cohorts.
Compared with lower intakes, in dose-response models [11]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- No associations were found for total dairy, high-fat or low-fat dairy, or milk with death from any cause, coronary heart disease or cardiovascular disease. Fermented dairy was linked to slightly lower death (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97 to 0.99, per 20 g a day) and cardiovascular disease (RR 0.98), and cheese to 2% lower cardiovascular disease per 10 g a day, but these links weakened when one large Swedish study was removed [11].
- Population
- 938,465 participants with 93,158 deaths, 28,419 coronary cases and 25,416 cardiovascular cases in 29 cohorts [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Observational. Heterogeneity was very high for the fermented dairy estimates (I² 94.4% and 87.5%) [11].
Mechanical heart valves and rheumatic heart disease
Not shown to match warfarin with mechanical heart valves or rheumatic atrial fibrillation: two trials found more strokes, clots or deaths on a DOAC.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A trial of dabigatran in people with mechanical heart valves was stopped after 252 patients. Stroke occurred in 5% on dabigatran and none on warfarin, and major bleeding in 4% against 2% [18]. In rheumatic heart disease with atrial fibrillation, 560 patients on rivaroxaban and 446 on a vitamin K antagonist had a stroke, systemic embolism, heart attack or death, and survival time free of these was 76 days shorter on rivaroxaban (95% CI 31 to 121). Major bleeding did not differ [19]. The dabigatran label lists a mechanical prosthetic heart valve as a contraindication [20].
- Population
- 252 patients with mechanical heart valves [18]; 4,531 patients with rheumatic heart disease and atrial fibrillation, mean age 50.5 [19].
- Sources
- [18], [19], [20]
- Caveats
- One trial each for dabigatran and rivaroxaban. The pivotal atrial fibrillation trials did not enroll these groups.
Fenofibrate added to a statin
Not shown to lower heart attacks, strokes or heart deaths when fenofibrate was added to simvastatin in type 2 diabetes, 2.2% against 2.4% a year.
Compared with simvastatin with placebo [11]; statins alone [10]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- The annual rate of nonfatal heart attack, nonfatal stroke or cardiovascular death was 2.2% on fenofibrate with simvastatin and 2.4% on simvastatin with placebo (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.08), and no secondary outcome differed. Annual deaths were 1.5% and 1.6%. A subgroup with high triglycerides and low HDL suggested possible benefit, and results differed by sex [11]. In the Cochrane review, the two trials of fibrates on top of statins showed no benefit [10].
- Population
- 5,518 patients with type 2 diabetes, mean follow-up 4.7 years [11]; 2 trials [10].
- Sources
- [11], [10]
- Caveats
- Subgroup findings were prespecified but not confirmed [11].
Walking distance with leg artery disease
Not shown to give a clinically meaningful gain in pain-free walking distance in people with intermittent claudication.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 11 placebo-controlled trials (477 participants), pain-free walking distance rose by an effect size of 3.57 kcal (95% CI -0.10 to 7.23), about 64.5 meters on a flat treadmill at 3.2 km/h. Publication bias was likely to have inflated this [8].
- Population
- People with intermittent claudication [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- The review authors found no evidence of a clinically significant benefit [8].
Heart attack in genetic studies
Not shown to protect against heart attack in genetic studies: gene variants that raise HDL cholesterol alone did not lower risk.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Carriers of a variant in the endothelial lipase gene had HDL cholesterol 0.14 mmol/L higher, with other risk factors similar. That difference predicted a 13% lower risk of heart attack (OR 0.87), and the observed odds ratio was 0.99 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.11). A one standard deviation rise in HDL cholesterol from a 14-variant genetic score was also not associated with heart attack (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.26). The same method applied to LDL cholesterol gave an odds ratio of 2.13 (95% CI 1.69 to 2.69) per standard deviation, in line with the observational estimate [9].
- Population
- 20,913 heart attack cases and 95,407 controls in 20 studies for the single variant, and up to 12,482 cases and 41,331 controls for the genetic score [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- One Mendelian randomization study. Its authors concluded that some genetic mechanisms that raise HDL cholesterol do not seem to lower risk, which does not rule out a role for other properties of HDL particles [9].
Coronary heart disease in genetic studies
Not shown to cause coronary heart disease: gene variants that raise CRP did not raise risk in 194,418 people.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Mendelian randomization meta-analysis, variants in the CRP gene each changed CRP concentration by up to 30% per allele and were unrelated to other risk factors. The risk ratio for coronary heart disease was 1.00 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.13) per standard deviation higher genetically raised log CRP, against 1.33 (1.23 to 1.43) for the same difference in measured CRP in prospective studies (P = 0.001 for the difference). The authors concluded that CRP concentration itself is unlikely to be even a modest causal factor in coronary heart disease [9].
- Population
- 194,418 participants in 47 studies in 15 countries, including 46,557 with coronary heart disease [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- The finding concerns CRP itself. It does not test whether the inflammation that CRP reflects is a cause [9].
Continuous drip against injections in acute heart failure
Not shown to differ in deaths, readmissions or kidney injury between a continuous intravenous drip and repeated injections of loop diuretics in acute heart failure.
Compared with bolus injection [7][2]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- All-cause mortality (RR 1.53, 95% CI 0.81 to 2.90), readmission (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.16) and acute kidney injury (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.49) did not differ. Weight loss was 0.86 kg greater with a drip, but not in trials at lower risk of bias (MD 0.70 kg, 95% CI -0.06 to 1.46) [7]. In a double-blind trial, symptom scores and creatinine change at 72 hours did not differ between a furosemide drip and injections every 12 hours [2].
- Population
- 681 adults in 7 trials [7]; 308 patients [2].
- Sources
- [7], [2]
- Caveats
- Low to very low certainty evidence [7].
Heart events against a Mediterranean diet
Shown to have more major heart events than a Mediterranean diet in two trials, one in people with heart disease and one in people at high heart risk.
Compared with diets with more fat
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with coronary heart disease followed for 7 years, major cardiovascular events occurred in 111 of 500 on the low-fat diet and 87 of 502 on the Mediterranean diet, with adjusted hazard ratios of 0.719 to 0.753 for the Mediterranean diet. The difference appeared in men and not in the 175 women [11]. In people at high cardiovascular risk followed for a median of 4.8 years, events occurred in 4.4% of the reduced-fat control group against 3.8% and 3.4% on Mediterranean diets with olive oil or nuts (HR 0.69 and 0.72) [12].
- Population
- 1,002 adults aged 20 to 75 with coronary heart disease in Spain, 82.5% men [11]; 7,447 adults aged 55 to 80 at high cardiovascular risk without cardiovascular disease, 57% women, in Spain [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- Participants knew their diet [11]. In [12], the control group was given advice to reduce fat, and the results were republished after randomization problems were found at some sites. Both trials were in Spain.
Cardiovascular disease
Not shown to lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death in older US adults over 3.6 to 11 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the Physicians' Health Study II, a daily multivitamin for a median 11.2 years did not change major cardiovascular events (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.10), myocardial infarction (HR 0.93), stroke (HR 1.06) or cardiovascular death (HR 0.95) [1]. In COSMOS, the composite cardiovascular outcome did not differ (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.12) over a median 3.6 years [2]. Among 8,905 COSMOS participants without hypertension, new self-reported hypertension occurred in 22.9% on the multivitamin and 23.6% on placebo (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.06), and 2-year systolic pressure change did not differ [3].
- Population
- 14,641 US male physicians aged 50 and older [1]; 21,442 US women aged 65 and older and men aged 60 and older [2][3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [4], [3]
- Caveats
- The US Preventive Services Task Force evidence review covered these trials and found little or no benefit for cardiovascular disease from vitamin and mineral supplements [4].
Heart attack, stroke and death
Not shown to lower heart attacks, strokes or deaths in people with vascular disease, including those on statins.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In AIM-HIGH, the primary composite occurred in 16.4% on niacin and 16.2% on placebo (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.21). The trial stopped at a mean 3 years for lack of efficacy [1]. In HPS2-THRIVE, major vascular events occurred in 13.2% and 13.7% (rate ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03) [2]. Across 23 trials, niacin did not change overall mortality (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.12), heart attacks (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.00) or strokes (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.22) [3].
- Population
- 3,414 people [1]; 25,673 adults [2]; 39,195 participants in 23 trials, median dose 2 g a day [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- AIM-HIGH was funded by the US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and Abbott Laboratories [1]. HPS2-THRIVE was funded by Merck and others, and added laropiprant to reduce flushing [2]. The Cochrane authors rated the mortality evidence high quality [3].
Kidney function
Shown to run higher with reduced kidney function, where studies used a median cut point of 1,980 pg/mL against 450 with preserved function.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- Diagnostic accuracy in patients with an estimated GFR of 60 or above in the same studies
- Effect
- In a meta-analysis of studies that reported results by kidney function, most divided patients at an estimated GFR of 60 mL/min per 1.73 m². With reduced kidney function the area under the curve for acute decompensated heart failure ranged from 0.66 to 0.89 at a median cut point of 1,980 pg/mL. With preserved function it ranged from 0.72 to 0.95 at a cut point of 450 pg/mL. The authors conclude that NT-proBNP keeps its usefulness for diagnosis in reduced kidney function at higher cut points [8]. The European guideline lists renal dysfunction among the causes of a raised level [3].
- Population
- 4,287 patients in 9 diagnostic studies, with 1,325 cases of acute decompensated heart failure [8].
- Sources
- [8], [3]
- Caveats
- The cut points varied between the studies and were chosen within each one. None of the guideline ranges on this page is adjusted for kidney function.
Blood pressure
Not shown to lower blood pressure in a meta-analysis of 61 tree nut trials.
Compared with control arms without nuts [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Tree nut intake had no statistically significant effect on blood pressure, while cholesterol, ApoB and triglycerides fell [4].
- Population
- 2,582 adults without cardiovascular disease in 61 trials [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- Trials were designed around blood lipids, and the abstract gives no blood pressure estimate.
Blood pressure
Not shown to lower blood pressure in pooled trials of adults with normal or mildly raised blood pressure.
Compared with control groups in randomized trials [13]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Pooled trials found no significant change in systolic (mean difference -0.48 mmHg, 95% CI -1.76 to 0.80) or diastolic pressure (-0.47 mmHg, 95% CI -1.33 to 0.39) [13]. A review of high-polyphenol olive oil reported blood pressure improvements only in subgroups and single trials [10].
- Population
- 17 randomized trials, 14 of olive oil and 3 of flaxseed oil, in adults with normal blood pressure or at risk of hypertension [13].
- Sources
- [13], [10]
- Caveats
- The pooled analysis combined olive oil and flaxseed oil trials. The authors call for longer, higher-dose trials [13].
Blood sugar, cholesterol and blood pressure
Not shown to change HbA1c, fasting glucose, cholesterol or blood pressure against placebo, with one spore oil trial finding lower lipids.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a Cochrane review of 5 trials (398 participants), 1.4 to 3 g a day for 12 to 16 weeks did not change HbA1c (WMD -0.10%, 95% CI -1.05 to 0.85), total cholesterol, LDL or BMI against placebo. Fasting glucose, blood pressure and triglycerides did not differ. Post-meal glucose results were inconsistent [2]. A 2025 meta-analysis of 17 RCTs (971 participants) at 200 to 11,200 mg a day for 1 to 24 weeks found no effect on blood pressure, fasting glucose or the lipid profile. BMI fell by 0.43 (95% CI 0.10 to 0.77) and heart rate by 3.92 beats a minute (95% CI 0.40 to 7.45) [3]. In 110 adults with dyslipidemia, a spore oil extract for 12 weeks lowered total cholesterol, triglycerides and LDL and raised HDL compared with placebo. The abstract gives no effect sizes [4].
- Population
- Adults with type 2 diabetes in the analyzed trials [2]. Healthy, at-risk and chronically ill adults [3]. Adults with dyslipidemia [4].
- Sources
- [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Data in [2] came from 3 small trials, and risk of bias was unclear in 4 of 5 [2]. The 2025 review rated the certainty of evidence very low for every outcome [3]. The spore oil trial tested a different product and disagrees with both reviews on lipids [4].
Heart attack, stroke and mortality
Not shown to lower death, heart attack, stroke or other cardiovascular events in people, with events mostly from two US trials.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Selenium did not change death from any cause (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.08), cardiovascular death (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.2) or all cardiovascular events (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.11) [3]. A Cochrane review of antioxidants found no effect of selenium on mortality (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.03, 17 trials) [4].
- Population
- 12 trials with 19,715 people, mostly the US SELECT and NPC trials [3]; 17 low-bias selenium trials [4].
- Sources
- [3], [4]
- Caveats
- Clinical events came mostly from two US trials [3].
After a heart attack
Not shown to lower heart failure hospitalization or death after a heart attack in two trials of about 10,500 people.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people at raised risk of heart failure after a heart attack, a first heart failure hospitalization or death from any cause occurred in 8.2% on empagliflozin and 9.1% on placebo over a median 17.9 months (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.06). Heart failure hospitalization alone occurred in 3.6% against 4.7% (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.98) and death in 5.2% against 5.5% [21]. In people with a heart attack and no diabetes or chronic heart failure, cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization occurred in 2.5% on dapagliflozin and 2.6% on placebo (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.40) over about a year [22].
- Population
- 6,522 patients after acute myocardial infarction [21]; 4,017 patients after acute myocardial infarction with impaired heart function and no diabetes [22].
- Sources
- [21], [22]
- Caveats
- Not an approved use. The dapagliflozin trial changed its primary analysis during the trial because few events occurred. Its composite of ranked outcomes favored dapagliflozin (win ratio 1.34, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.50), driven by weight and new diabetes [22].
Blood pressure, device-guided breathing against sham
Not shown to lower office blood pressure more than a sham device or music, in a pooled analysis of blinded trials and a double-blind trial.
Compared with a sham device playing music without pacing the breath [9][10]; music therapy [9]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In individual patient data from blinded, randomized trials with active controls, office systolic pressure differed by 2.2 mm Hg in favor of the control group (95% CI -2.7 to 7.0) and diastolic by 0.2 mm Hg in favor of the device (95% CI -2.8 to 3.1) [9]. In 48 people with type 2 diabetes and hypertension using the device or a sham for 15 minutes a day for 8 weeks, systolic pressure differed by 2.35 mm Hg in favor of sham (95% CI -6.50 to 11.20) and diastolic by 2.25 mm Hg in favor of the device (95% CI -2.16 to 6.67) [10].
- Population
- Adults with hypertension in 5 eligible trials, 3 with individual data [9]. 48 adults with type 2 diabetes and hypertension in the Netherlands [10].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- All trials were short [9]. The sham used music, which may itself relax, so these trials ask whether slowing the breath adds anything beyond sitting quietly with music.
New heart failure in type 2 diabetes or obesity
Not shown to change the risk of new heart failure in people with type 2 diabetes or obesity.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against placebo or other glucose-lowering drugs, tirzepatide did not change overall heart failure risk (RR 0.63, 95% CI 0.35 to 1.13), an absolute risk reduction of 0.17% [11]. A second meta-analysis found no association with heart failure hospitalization [12].
- Population
- 13,378 participants in 11 RCTs [11]; 29,023 participants in 22 RCTs [12].
- Sources
- [11], [12]
- Caveats
- All 11 trials in the first review were funded by Eli Lilly, and its certainty was rated moderate [11].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
Not shown to lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death more than dulaglutide in type 2 diabetes with heart disease. Pooled trials found about 13% fewer events.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against the GLP-1 drug dulaglutide, a major cardiovascular event occurred in 12.2% on tirzepatide and 13.1% on dulaglutide (HR 0.92, 95.3% CI 0.83 to 1.01). This met the trial's noninferiority margin but not superiority [13]. Across RCTs in type 2 diabetes or overweight and obesity, tirzepatide was associated with fewer major cardiovascular events (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.94) and lower all-cause mortality (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.93), with no association for the individual components of the composite [12]. A network meta-analysis estimated tirzepatide against placebo at HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.91) for major cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes [14].
- Population
- 13,165 adults with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, mean age 64.1 [13]; 29,023 participants in 22 RCTs [12]; 11 trials in type 2 diabetes with cardiovascular disease or high risk [14].
- Sources
- [13], [12], [14]
- Caveats
- SURPASS-CVOT used an active comparator, not placebo, and was funded by Eli Lilly [13]. The network estimate is indirect, and SURPASS-CVOT was its only tirzepatide trial [14].
Blood pressure
Not shown to lower blood pressure in trials of adults with overweight or type 2 diabetes. One cohort linked vegan diets to less hypertension.
Compared with the participants' habitual diet, unchanged, in 3 trials in US and New Zealand adults, and in 8 trials a National Cholesterol Education Program diet, American Diabetes Association and Korean Diabetes Association diets, a portion-controlled diet, a Mediterranean diet, a low-fat diet, a healthy omnivorous diet or a high-carbohydrate lacto-ovo vegetarian diet [1]; omnivorous Adventists in the same cohort, white adults in the USA and Canada [4]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Blood pressure did not change in 11 trials [1]. In an Adventist cohort sample, vegans had lower systolic (by 6.8 mmHg) and diastolic (by 6.9 mmHg) blood pressure than omnivores, and lower odds of hypertension (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.74) [4].
- Population
- Adults with overweight or type 2 diabetes [1]; 500 white Adventists, observational [4].
- Sources
- [1], [4]
- Caveats
- The cohort link was partly explained by lower body weight [4].
Heart disease
Not shown to lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death with beta-carotene in male physicians. One trial in smokers found 26% more cardiovascular deaths, not significant.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 12 years, heart attack (468 against 489), stroke (367 against 382) and cardiovascular death (338 against 313) did not significantly differ between beta-carotene and placebo [4]. In CARET, cardiovascular death was 26% higher on beta-carotene with retinyl palmitate (RR 1.26, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.61) [5].
- Population
- 22,071 US male physicians [4]; 18,314 smokers, former smokers and asbestos-exposed workers [5].
- Sources
- [4], [5]
- Caveats
- The CARET interval crosses 1. CARET combined beta-carotene with retinol, so the two cannot be separated [5].
Cancer, cardiovascular disease and death
Not shown to lower cancer, cardiovascular disease or death in adults. Reviews disagree on cancer death, which one found about 16% lower.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In VITAL, invasive cancer did not differ (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.06), nor did major cardiovascular events (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.12) or death from any cause (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.12). Cancer death had HR 0.83 (95% CI 0.67 to 1.02) [18]. Across 52 trials (75,454 participants), all-cause mortality did not change (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.02) and cancer death fell (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.95) [19]. Across 9 RCTs (114,379 participants), cardiovascular events (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.04), cardiovascular death (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.24) and heart attack (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.11) did not differ from placebo [20]. Across 5 RCTs (56,901 participants), melanoma incidence (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.24) and recurrence (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.29 to 5.18) did not differ [21]. In 455 people starting chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer, 4,000 IU a day after a loading dose did not change progression-free survival against 400 IU a day (median 11.8 against 10.3 months, P 0.25) or overall survival (25.6 against 27.0 months) [22].
- Population
- 25,871 US adults over a median 5.3 years [18]; adults in 52 RCTs [19]; adults in 9 placebo-controlled RCTs [20]; adults in 5 RCTs, with or without calcium [21]; US adults with untreated metastatic colorectal cancer, median follow-up 20 months [22].
- Sources
- [18], [19], [20], [21], [22]
- Caveats
- The sources disagree on cancer death. VITAL's interval crossed 1.0 [18] and the pooled analysis did not [19]. Melanoma was a secondary endpoint in some trials and events were few [21].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
Not shown to lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death in male physicians or in people with vascular disease or diabetes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 8 years, 400 IU every other day did not change major cardiovascular events (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.13) in male physicians [1]. Over a median 7 years, 400 IU a day did not change major cardiovascular events (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.14) in people with vascular disease or diabetes [2]. Across 9 trials, total stroke did not change (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.05) [3].
- Population
- 14,641 US male physicians aged 50 or older [1]; 9,541 people aged 55 or older with vascular disease or diabetes [2]; 118,765 participants in 9 trials [3].
- Sources
- [1], [2], [3]
- Caveats
- The stroke total hides opposite effects by subtype (see Risks) [3].
VO2 max, wearables using resting data pooled
Not shown to match laboratory VO2 max when based on resting data. A meta-analysis found a 2.2 mL/kg/min overestimate with limits of agreement from 13 below to 17 above.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Consumer wearables that estimate from resting data, pooled
- Compared with
- Laboratory VO2 max testing
- Effect
- Wearables using resting information significantly overestimated VO2 max, with a bias of 2.17 mL/kg/min and limits of agreement from -13.07 to 17.41. The authors concluded exercise-based estimates were closer to laboratory values than resting-based ones [15].
- Population
- 14 validation studies across both estimate types [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- The journal published a correction to the meta-analysis in 2026, and the figures here are those in the article's abstract [17].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One trial found allopurinol did not lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death in adults aged 60 or older with ischemic heart disease and no gout.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a mean of 4.8 years, nonfatal heart attack, nonfatal stroke or cardiovascular death occurred in 11.0% on allopurinol up to 600 mg a day and 11.3% on usual care (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.21). Death from any cause was 10.1% against 10.6% (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.20) [11].
- Population
- 5,721 UK adults aged 60 or older with ischemic heart disease and no history of gout, mean age 72 [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Open label with no placebo, with outcomes assessed blind to treatment [11].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 5,721 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart failure
One trial found allopurinol did not improve clinical status, walking distance or quality of life over 24 weeks in heart failure with high uric acid.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At 24 weeks, clinical status had worsened in 45% on allopurinol and 46% on placebo and improved in 13% and 19%. Quality of life scores, 6-minute walk distance and ejection fraction did not differ. Uric acid was lower on allopurinol by 4.2 mg/dL at 12 weeks and 3.5 mg/dL at 24 weeks [12].
- Population
- 253 people with symptomatic heart failure, an ejection fraction of 40% or below and uric acid of at least 9.5 mg/dL [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One trial of 24 weeks, at a target dose of 600 mg a day.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death in a trial that infused ApoA1
One trial found four weekly infusions of human ApoA1 after a heart attack did not significantly lower heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death against placebo.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the AEGIS-II trial, the composite of heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death occurred in 4.8% of patients given ApoA1 (CSL112) and 5.2% given placebo at 90 days (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.05, P = 0.24). At 180 days it was 6.9% against 7.6% (HR 0.91, 0.81 to 1.01), and at 365 days 9.8% against 10.5% (HR 0.93, 0.85 to 1.02). Adverse events were similar, with more hypersensitivity events reported with ApoA1 [14]. In a meta-analysis of people on statins, a rise in ApoA1 after starting treatment went with fewer major cardiovascular events (HR 0.93 per standard deviation, 95% CI 0.90 to 0.97), while a rise in HDL cholesterol did not (0.98, 0.94 to 1.01) [11].
- Population
- 18,219 patients with acute myocardial infarction, multivessel coronary disease and other risk factors, given four weekly infusions of 6 g or placebo [14]. 38,153 trial participants allocated to a statin [11].
- Sources
- [14], [11]
- Caveats
- The trial tested a short course of infused ApoA1 soon after a heart attack and was funded by the maker of the product. It did not test a lasting rise in a person's own ApoA1 [14]. The statin finding compares people within trials and is observational [11].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 18,219 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Cardiovascular events, cocoa flavanol extract
One trial of a cocoa flavanol extract did not significantly lower total cardiovascular events in 21,442 older adults. Cardiovascular death, a secondary outcome, fell 27%.
Compared with placebo [6]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a median 3.6 years, total cardiovascular events occurred in 410 people taking cocoa extract and 456 taking placebo (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.02). Cardiovascular death was lower (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.98), and death from any cause did not differ significantly (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.03). The authors reported no safety concerns [6].
- Population
- 21,442 US women aged 65 and older and men aged 60 and older without major cardiovascular disease [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- This tested a capsule of cocoa extract with 500 mg of flavanols, not chocolate. Secondary outcomes do not carry the weight of the primary one.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 21,442 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart rate variability at rest, Apple Watch Series 9 and Ultra 2
One study found Apple Watch Series 9 and Ultra 2 underestimated heart rate variability by 8 ms on average against a chest strap, outside the study's 10 ms equivalence margin.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 9 and Apple Watch Ultra 2
- Compared with
- Polar H10 chest strap analyzed with Kubios HRV software, not ECG
- Effect
- The watches underestimated heart rate variability by 8.31 ms on average (p = 0.025), with a mean absolute percentage error of 28.88% and a mean absolute error of 20.46 ms. Equivalence testing found the readings did not fall within the pre-specified margin of plus or minus 10 ms. Resting heart rate differed by -0.08 beats per minute, with a mean absolute percentage error of 5.91% [4].
- Population
- 39 healthy adults providing 316 measurements over 14 days [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The reference was a chest strap, not ECG. Funded by Science Foundation Ireland, and the authors declared no conflicts of interest [4].
Death and heart attack in a dialysis trial that raised hematocrit to 42%
One trial found raising hematocrit to 42% with epoetin did not cut deaths or heart attacks in hemodialysis patients with heart disease, and the trial was halted.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Patients were assigned to epoetin doses aimed at a hematocrit of 42% or of 30%. After 29 months there were 183 deaths and 19 first nonfatal heart attacks in the 42% group and 150 deaths and 14 nonfatal heart attacks in the 30% group, a risk ratio of 1.3 (95% CI 0.9 to 1.9). The difference did not reach the preset stopping boundary, and the study was halted. Within each group, death rates fell as the hematocrit reached rose [11].
- Population
- 1,233 people on hemodialysis with heart failure or ischemic heart disease, treated for a median of 14 months [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- One trial in people on dialysis with heart disease, in whom hematocrit was raised with a drug. The higher target group also had a decline in the adequacy of dialysis and more intravenous iron, so the trial cannot separate hematocrit from the treatment used to raise it [11].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 1,233 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Cardiovascular effects compared with exercise
One small trial found 45 minutes of infrared sauna raised body temperature but did not reproduce the breathing or cardiovascular responses of moderate cycling in 10 women.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Tympanic temperature was 1.05°C higher during infrared sauna than rest and 0.79°C higher than cycling. Respiratory rate was 6.66 breaths a minute higher during cycling than sauna. Blood pressure, arterial stiffness and heart rate variability did not differ between sauna, cycling and rest [11].
- Population
- 10 healthy women, mean age 36, in a randomized crossover of rest, infrared sauna and indoor cycling [11].
- Sources
- [11]
- Caveats
- Ten women, single sessions.
Longevity and heart disease
Limited evidence: no pooled trial measured deaths, heart attacks or strokes, and cohort studies linked eating windows of 8 hours or less to more cardiovascular deaths.
Compared with no trial reported these outcomes [5]; US adults whose eating window was 12 to 14 hours [14]; US adults with other eating windows [15]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- A Cochrane review of 18 pooled trials with 1,125 participants found no data on all-cause death, cardiovascular death, stroke, heart attack or heart failure [5]. In US survey cohorts, eating windows under 8 hours were linked to higher cardiovascular death against 12 to 14 hours [14], and mortality was lowest at about 11 to 12 hours a day [15]. These cohort results appear under Risks.
- Population
- Trials of 4 weeks to 6 months [5]; observational cohorts of 19,831 and 33,052 US adults [14][15].
- Sources
- [5], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- The cohorts measured habitual eating duration from two 24-hour diet recalls, not a chosen fasting plan [14][15].
Stopping low-dose furosemide in stable heart failure
One trial found stopping low-dose furosemide in stable heart failure with no fluid retention did not worsen breathlessness over 90 days, and 75% stayed off it.
Compared with continuing furosemide, against placebo [8]
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Breathlessness scores did not differ between withdrawal and continued furosemide (median AUC 1,875 against 1,541, P=0.94). 75.3% of the withdrawal group and 83.7% of the continuing group needed no extra furosemide (OR 1.69, 95% CI 0.82 to 3.49). Heart failure events were infrequent and similar [8].
- Population
- 188 stable outpatients with heart failure, ejection fraction 45% or less, on furosemide 40 or 80 mg a day, 25% women [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- Small, 90 days, and limited to people with no signs of fluid retention.
Heart attack and stroke against usual diet
One large trial in postmenopausal women found no change in coronary heart disease, stroke or total cardiovascular disease over 8.1 years against usual diet.
Compared with diets with more fat
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a mean of 8.1 years, coronary heart disease (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.06), stroke (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.15) and total cardiovascular disease (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.05) did not differ from the comparison group. By year 6, fat intake was 8.2% of energy lower in the low-fat group [9]. With follow-up through 2010, incidence still did not differ between groups [10].
- Population
- 48,835 postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 at 40 US centers [9][10].
- Sources
- [9], [10]
- Caveats
- Women only. The fat reduction reached was smaller than the 20% of energy target. Subgroup results differed by heart disease and blood pressure at entry (see Risks) [10].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 48,835 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One trial stopped early: an early drop in major cardiovascular events did not hold at the later analysis, and cardiovascular safety remains uncertain.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- At the 25% interim analysis, major cardiovascular events occurred in 1.3% on placebo and 0.8% on the combination (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.90). At 50% of planned events the figures were 2.3% and 2.0% (HR 0.88, adjusted 99.7% CI 0.57 to 1.34). The trial was stopped early after the sponsor publicly released confidential interim data, and the authors state that cardiovascular safety remains uncertain [6].
- Population
- 8,910 adults with overweight or obesity at raised cardiovascular risk, mean age 61, 85.2% with diabetes [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- The trial ended before it could test its planned noninferiority margin. The early interim result did not hold at the later analysis [6].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 8,910 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Blood pressure
Small trials found no drop in blood pressure against placebo in older adults, including with walking exercise.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In adults 55 and older with high daytime systolic pressure, 1,000 mg a day of NR with walking exercise for 6 weeks did not lower systolic pressure more than placebo with the same exercise (+5.19 against -2.71 mmHg) [10]. Blood pressure did not change in a 12-week trial in mild cognitive impairment [9].
- Population
- 54 sedentary adults, mean age 67 [10]; 42 older adults with amnestic mild cognitive impairment [9].
- Sources
- [10], [9]
- Caveats
- Pilot trials. A nighttime pressure trend in [10] came from a post hoc analysis.
Obesity
One study found NT-proBNP told acute heart failure apart less well in people with obesity, who run lower levels, and 300 pg/mL missed 9 of 271 cases.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- Diagnostic accuracy in patients without obesity in the same study
- Effect
- Among patients with acute breathlessness, the area under the curve for acute heart failure was 0.890 in those with obesity and 0.938 in those without. In patients with obesity the 300 pg/mL rule-out value had a sensitivity of 96.7% and missed 9 of 271 patients with acute heart failure. Lowering the cut-offs by 33% at a body mass index of 30 to 34.9 and by 50% at 35 or above raised sensitivity to 98.2%, missing 5 patients, and lowered specificity from 84.9% to 76.5% [13]. A cardiology society statement describes cut-off concentrations about 50% lower for people with obesity [2], and the European and UK guidelines both note lower levels with obesity [3][4].
- Population
- 2,038 patients presenting to emergency departments with acute breathlessness, 509 of them with obesity [13].
- Sources
- [13], [2], [3], [4]
- Caveats
- One diagnostic study in the acute setting. The adjusted cut-offs are a proposal from that study and are not part of the guideline ranges on this page [13].
Atrial fibrillation
One study found atrial fibrillation raised NT-proBNP in people without heart failure and cut its accuracy for acute heart failure from about 0.90 to between 0.70 and 0.76.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- Diagnostic accuracy in patients without atrial fibrillation in the same study
- Effect
- Among patients with acute breathlessness, atrial fibrillation without heart failure was associated with markedly higher natriuretic peptide levels than neither condition. The area under the curve for acute heart failure was 0.893 to 0.912 across three natriuretic peptides in patients without atrial fibrillation and 0.701 to 0.757 in patients with it [14]. The European guideline's table for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction uses an NT-proBNP above 365 pg/mL in atrial fibrillation in place of 125 pg/mL in sinus rhythm [3].
- Population
- 1,445 patients attending emergency departments with acute breathlessness, 242 of them with atrial fibrillation [14].
- Sources
- [14], [3]
- Caveats
- The abstract gives the accuracy as a range across three peptides and does not single out NT-proBNP. The authors call for adjusted thresholds in atrial fibrillation without proposing values [14].
Treatment steered by the level in heart failure
One trial found that adjusting heart failure drugs toward an NT-proBNP below 1,000 pg/mL did not reduce hospital stays or cardiovascular deaths against usual care.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction were assigned to therapy titrated toward an NT-proBNP below 1,000 pg/mL or to usual care. Over a median 15 months, a first heart failure hospitalization or cardiovascular death occurred in 37% of each group (adjusted HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.22). Cardiovascular death occurred in 12% and 13%. The falls in NT-proBNP achieved did not differ significantly between the groups, and the trial was stopped early for futility [9].
- Population
- 894 patients at 45 sites in the United States and Canada, median age 63, with an ejection fraction of 40% or below and a recent heart failure event [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- The two groups reached similar NT-proBNP levels, so the trial compared two strategies of care more than two levels of the marker. Its abstract notes that earlier, smaller trials of guided therapy had inconsistent results [9].
Death and cardiovascular events in a trial of cinacalcet in dialysis patients
One trial found cinacalcet, a drug for raised PTH, did not significantly reduce death or cardiovascular events in dialysis patients: 48.2% against 49.2% on placebo.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In patients on hemodialysis with moderate to severe secondary hyperparathyroidism, the composite of death, heart attack, hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure or a peripheral vascular event occurred in 938 of 1,948 (48.2%) on cinacalcet and 952 of 1,935 (49.2%) on placebo, a relative hazard of 0.93 (95% CI 0.85 to 1.02, P = 0.11). Low blood calcium and gastrointestinal adverse events were significantly more frequent on cinacalcet [14].
- Population
- 3,883 patients with a median intact PTH of 693 pg/mL, followed for up to 64 months [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. This is the unadjusted intention-to-treat result, and the trial was funded by the drug's maker. It studied people with kidney failure and very high PTH, so it says nothing about results near the reference range [14].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,883 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart rate variability
One trial found no added change in heart rate variability when a 15-minute sauna followed exercise for 8 weeks, compared with exercise alone.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- No heart rate variability index differed significantly between exercise plus sauna and exercise alone after 8 weeks, including RMSSD, SDNN and resting heart rate [31].
- Population
- 38 sedentary adults aged 49 ± 9 with at least one cardiovascular risk factor, in three groups [31].
- Sources
- [31], [3]
- Caveats
- One small trial, drawn from the same study as the blood pressure and fitness findings in [3].
Heart failure with preserved pumping function
One trial found no significant drop in cardiovascular death, cardiac arrest or heart failure hospital stay, 18.6% against 20.4%. Heart failure hospital stays alone fell 17%.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over a mean 3.3 years, the composite of cardiovascular death, aborted cardiac arrest or heart failure hospitalization occurred in 18.6% on spironolactone and 20.4% on placebo (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.04). Hospitalization for heart failure was less frequent (12.0% against 14.2%, HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.99). Total deaths and hospitalizations for any reason did not differ [4]. In the two trials of this drug class in mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction, cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization was less frequent (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.95) and cardiovascular death did not differ (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.05) [2].
- Population
- 3,445 people with symptomatic heart failure and ejection fraction of 45% or more [4]; the same trial pooled with a trial of finerenone [2].
- Sources
- [4], [2]
- Caveats
- Only [4] tested spironolactone in this group.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 3,445 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
After a heart attack
One trial found routine spironolactone after a heart attack did not lower cardiovascular death or heart failure against placebo over 3 years.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Cardiovascular death or new or worsening heart failure occurred at 1.7 events per 100 patient-years on spironolactone and 2.1 on placebo (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.21). A first heart attack, stroke, heart failure event or cardiovascular death occurred in 7.9% against 8.3% (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.13). Serious adverse events were reported in 7.2% against 6.8% [8].
- Population
- 7,062 people with a heart attack treated by percutaneous coronary intervention, median 3 years [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One trial, in people selected for a heart attack and not for heart failure.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 7,062 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart failure
Limited evidence: pooled heart failure studies found no significant change in ejection fraction or stroke volume.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Of 11 studies, only ejection fraction and stroke volume had enough data to pool, and neither association was significant in all-cause heart failure [8].
- Population
- Patients with heart failure and ejection fraction under 50%, 500 mg to 6 g a day for 2 to 48 weeks [8].
- Sources
- [8]
- Caveats
- One study was rated high quality. No study was specific to dilated cardiomyopathy.
Heart attack and stroke in trials that raised testosterone
One trial found raising testosterone in men with levels below 300 ng/dL did not change heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death over 33 months.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In 5,246 men aged 45 to 80 with symptoms, two fasting testosterone levels below 300 ng/dL and existing or high risk of cardiovascular disease, a first major cardiac event occurred in 7.0% on testosterone gel and 7.3% on placebo (hazard ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.17), which met the trial's test for noninferiority. Atrial fibrillation, acute kidney injury and pulmonary embolism were more frequent in the testosterone group [22]. In a 1-year imaging substudy of an earlier trial, noncalcified coronary plaque volume grew more with testosterone than with placebo (estimated difference 41 cubic millimeters, 95% CI 14 to 67), with no major cardiovascular events in either group [23].
- Population
- 5,246 men, mean treatment 21.7 months and mean follow-up 33.0 months [22]. 138 men aged 65 or older who completed coronary imaging [23].
- Sources
- [22], [23]
- Caveats
- The trial was funded by a maker of testosterone gel and others, and treatment lasted under 2 years on average [22]. In cohorts, very low testosterone went with more cardiovascular deaths [16], which this trial did not reduce.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 5,246 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One trial found no change in heart attack, stroke or cardiovascular death over 8 years in male physicians aged 50 or older.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Over 8 years, major cardiovascular events did not differ on 500 mg a day against placebo (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.11). Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death each did not differ [10].
- Population
- 14,641 US male physicians aged 50 or older in the Physicians' Health Study II [10].
- Sources
- [10]
- Caveats
- One trial, men only.
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 14,641 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One small trial found no difference in heart events or deaths, with far too few events to test an effect.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In the valve trial, cardiovascular events (10 against 10) and deaths (1 against 4) did not differ between MK-7 plus vitamin D and placebo [6].
- Population
- 365 men with aortic valve calcification, 24 months [6].
- Sources
- [6]
- Caveats
- Clinical events were safety outcomes in a small trial, far too few to test an effect.
VO2 max, Apple Watch Series 9 and Ultra 2
One study of 30 adults found Apple Watch estimates averaged 6.1 mL/kg/min below laboratory VO2 max, with a mean error of 13.3%.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch on watchOS 10 or later, mostly Series 9 (17 participants) and Ultra 2 (6), with a few Series 5 to 8 and SE 2
- Compared with
- Indirect calorimetry during a maximal treadmill test
- Effect
- The watch underestimated VO2 max by a mean 6.07 mL/kg/min (95% CI 3.77 to 8.38), with limits of agreement from -6.11 to 18.26. Mean absolute percentage error was 13.31% (95% CI 10.01 to 16.61) and mean absolute error 6.92 mL/kg/min. The authors concluded the estimates need refinement before clinical use [3].
- Population
- 30 participants who wore a watch for 5 to 10 days to generate an estimate. Most had fitness in the "good" to "superior" categories [3].
- Sources
- [3]
- Caveats
- A fit sample, with one participant in the "fair" category and none lower. The authors declared no competing interests [3].
VO2 max, Apple Watch Series 10
One study of 40 adults found Apple Watch Series 10 estimates averaged 6.3 mL/kg/min below laboratory VO2 max and placed 14% of participants in the right fitness band.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Apple Watch Series 10 running watchOS 11
- Compared with
- Indirect calorimetry during a maximal treadmill test
- Effect
- The mean difference was -6.25 mL/kg/min (95% CI -8.28 to -4.23), with limits of agreement from -18.23 to 5.73. Mean absolute error was 6.79 mL/kg/min and mean absolute percentage error 13.2% (95% CI 9.6 to 16.8). Against published fitness percentile bands, the watch placed 5 participants (14%) in the correct band and a further 12 (34%) within one adjacent band. The authors described individual-level agreement as low and suggested use for population-level assessment [4].
- Population
- 40 healthy adults (20 women), tested between October 2024 and January 2025 [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- One watch generation and software version. Supported by Ireland's Health Research Board, and the authors reported no competing interests [4].
VO2 max, Garmin Forerunner 920XT and Polar V800
One study of 24 adults judged VO2 max estimates from two sports watches not valid, with error of 7.3% for one and above 10% for the other.
The numbers and sources
- Device
- Garmin Forerunner 920XT and Polar V800
- Compared with
- Indirect calorimetry
- Effect
- Mean absolute percentage error was 7.3% for the Garmin Forerunner 920XT, which significantly underestimated VO2 max (p = 0.027), and above 10% for the Polar V800. The authors concluded the tested devices did not give valid estimates of VO2 max [12].
- Population
- 24 healthy adults [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- Published in 2019. The same study tested three other wrist devices for energy expenditure only [12].
Checked, no increase found7
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death were about as common as on placebo in men with low testosterone, including men at high heart risk.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- In TRAVERSE, a major cardiac event occurred in 182 men (7.0%) on testosterone and 190 (7.3%) on placebo (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.17), which met the trial's noninferiority margin [8]. In a pooled analysis of 35 trials, cardiovascular events occurred in 7.5% on testosterone and 7.2% on placebo (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.42). Deaths were 0.4% versus 0.8% (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.17 to 1.24) [9]. Across RCTs with at least 12 months of follow-up, all-cause mortality (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.19), cardiovascular mortality (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.65 to 1.12), stroke (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.50) and myocardial infarction (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.28) did not differ from placebo [10]. A meta-analysis of 41 RCTs found no rise in major cardiac events (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.52 to 1.32) [11].
- Population
- 5,246 men aged 45 to 80 with low testosterone and existing or high risk of cardiovascular disease, mean follow-up 33 months [8]; 5,601 men, mean age 65, with individual data from 3,431 men followed for a mean of 9.5 months [9]; 9,280 men aged 40 and older, mean age 64.6, in 23 RCTs [10]; 11,161 men in 41 RCTs [11].
- Sources
- [8], [9], [10], [11]
- Caveats
- Mean treatment in TRAVERSE was 21.7 months, and the trial was funded by AbbVie and others [8]. The pooled analysis authors note a lack of long-term data [9]. Comorbidities contributed to heterogeneity in the 41-trial analysis (I² 53.2%) [11].
Heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death
One open-label trial found major cardiovascular events about as common as on insulin glargine, 4.2% against 5.0%, in adults with type 2 diabetes at high risk.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Common: between 1 in 100 and 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Against insulin glargine, a four-part major cardiovascular event outcome occurred in 4.2% on orforglipron and 5.0% on insulin glargine (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.20), meeting the trial's non-inferiority margin. Deaths were 1.4% and 3.2%. Gastrointestinal events occurred in 62.1% and 14.2%, and clinically significant or severe hypoglycemia in 6.8% and 19.2% [12].
- Population
- 2,749 adults with type 2 diabetes at increased cardiovascular risk, all with established cardiovascular or chronic kidney disease, mean age 63.1, median follow-up 2 years [12].
- Sources
- [12]
- Caveats
- One open-label trial, designed to rule out excess cardiovascular risk against insulin glargine rather than to show a benefit. Funded by Eli Lilly [12].
- Why limited
- This rests on one trial, of 2,749 people. Strength counts independent studies that agree, so one trial is limited at any size.
Cardiovascular deaths in women
No cardiovascular deaths occurred in 13 trials of testosterone in women lasting up to a year, too short to show long-term effects.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Thirteen RCTs of transdermal testosterone in women, lasting 8 to 52 weeks, reported no cardiovascular deaths [17].
- Population
- 2,628 women in 13 RCTs [17].
- Sources
- [17]
- Caveats
- Trials this short cannot show long-term cardiovascular safety, and the review did not pool data [17].
Use in adolescents
Limited evidence: no consistent short-term changes in kidney, liver or heart markers in adolescents.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- A systematic review of 5 studies, RCTs and cohorts, found no consistent short-term signals in kidney function, liver enzymes or cardiometabolic markers, and no serious adverse events attributed to creatine [21].
- Population
- Adolescent athletes and physically active youth, including some with medical conditions, in studies published 2015 to 2025 [21].
- Sources
- [21]
- Caveats
- Five small studies with short follow-up, found through a PubMed-only search [21].
Adverse effects in early trials
Limited evidence: 9 short trials at 3 g a day found no change in blood chemistry or blood counts.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Across 9 studies giving 3 g a day for 3 to 8 weeks, HMB did not change blood chemistry or hematology markers. Total cholesterol fell 5.8%, LDL 7.3% and systolic pressure 4.4 mmHg against placebo [14].
- Population
- Men and women, young and old, exercising or not [14].
- Sources
- [14]
- Caveats
- A pooled summary of nine trials, not a systematic review. No independent review of long-term safety was located.
Low blood pressure episodes with salt substitutes
One trial analysis in older adults with normal blood pressure found low blood pressure episodes did not rise with a salt substitute over 2 years.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Hypotension episodes occurred at 9.0 per 100 person-years with the salt substitute and 9.7 with usual salt (P = 0.76) [9].
- Population
- 611 Chinese older adults with normal blood pressure in 48 care facilities [9].
- Sources
- [9]
- Caveats
- A post hoc analysis of a cluster-randomized trial.
Serious adverse events in trials
No serious adverse events occurred in a 149-person heart failure trial of 10 daily sessions, and small studies in arthritis and chronic fatigue reported none.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- No serious adverse events were observed in either group of the WAON-CHF trial [4]. In 34 people with rheumatoid arthritis or ankylosing spondylitis, no adverse effects and no flare of disease were reported over 8 sessions [27]. None of 10 inpatients with chronic fatigue syndrome reported adverse effects over 4 weeks [28]. In the depression trial, adverse events were generally mild in both the heated and sham groups [16].
- Population
- 149 hospitalized patients with advanced heart failure [4]. 34 patients with inflammatory arthritis [27]. 10 inpatients [28]. 30 adults with major depressive disorder [16].
- Sources
- [4], [27], [28], [16]
- Caveats
- These were supervised sessions of 15 minutes at 60°C in clinics, with patients monitored. The trials were too small and short to detect uncommon events, and none describes unsupervised home use. No case series of injuries from home infrared saunas was located.
Not studied in people2
Combining with blood pressure or erectile dysfunction medication
Not studied in people. Predicted, not observed: citrulline lowered blood pressure in trials, and the sildenafil label warns of added blood pressure drops with nitrates and blood pressure drugs.
No study in people. This rests on how it acts in the body, animal studies.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Citrulline lowered systolic pressure by 4.02 mmHg in pooled trials in middle-aged and older adults [7]. The sildenafil label lists nitrates as a contraindication because sildenafil potentiates their blood pressure lowering effect, and reports a further fall of 8 mmHg systolic and 7 mmHg diastolic when sildenafil was taken with amlodipine by people with high blood pressure [14]. In dogs, injected citrulline given with oral sildenafil raised nitric oxide levels more than saline or citrulline alone, and raised penile and testicular artery blood flow within 1 to 8 hours. The study had no sildenafil-only group [15]. No study measured blood pressure in people taking citrulline with any of these drugs.
- Population
- Adults in blood pressure trials [7]. Label data from people taking sildenafil [14]. 18 German Shepherd dogs [15].
- Sources
- [7], [14], [15]
- Caveats
- The concern is inferred from each part acting on the same nitric oxide pathway. The dog study gave citrulline by injection and did not report blood pressure [15].
Heart rhythm in people with heart disease
Not studied in people. In the lab, lamotrigine slowed heart conduction like a class IB drug, and the label predicts arrhythmia risk in people with heart disease.
No study in people. This rests on lab studies.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In vitro testing showed class IB antiarrhythmic activity at therapeutic concentrations. From this, the label states lamotrigine could widen the QRS interval and cause arrhythmias, including sudden death, in people with structural or functional heart disease, and that other sodium channel blockers may add to the risk [4].
- Population
- Laboratory testing described in the label [4].
- Sources
- [4]
- Caveats
- The warning rests on lab findings. No rate in people is given.